(ALKS) Alkermes - Ratings and Ratios
Schizophrenia, Bipolar, Alcohol, Opioid, Injectable
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.88% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.16 |
| Alpha | -7.99 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.471 |
| Beta | 0.598 |
| Beta Downside | 0.753 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.58% |
| Mean DD | 15.53% |
| Median DD | 16.30% |
Description: ALKS Alkermes November 07, 2025
Alkermes plc (NASDAQ: ALKS) is an Ireland-based biopharma that develops, markets, and licenses drugs for unmet needs in neurology and psychiatry, primarily in the United States. Its commercial portfolio includes ARISTADA (long-acting injectable for schizophrenia), ARISTADA INITIO, VIVITROL (alcohol-use disorder and opioid-dependence prevention), and the oral antipsychotic LYBALVI, while its pipeline targets additional neurological disorders.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was $1.22 billion, driven 68 % by ARISTADA sales; cash and cash equivalents stood at $514 million at year-end, providing runway for pipeline advancement; and the company reported a net loss of $84 million, reflecting ongoing R&D spend and amortization of acquisition intangibles.
Strategic partners include multiple Janssen entities, which supply both co-development funding and global commercialization reach. Alkermes also monetizes its proprietary drug-delivery platforms through licensing agreements, adding a non-dilutive revenue stream.
Sector-level drivers that shape Alkermes’ outlook are the expanding U.S. mental-health spending (projected CAGR ≈ 5 % through 2028) and the regulatory environment that increasingly favors long-acting injectables for adherence-critical conditions, both of which can amplify ARISTADA’s market share.
For a deeper dive into Alkermes valuation metrics and comparable peers, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (338.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 91.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.21 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 83.30% (prev 73.78%; Δ 9.52pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 541.1m > Net Income 338.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-544.9m) to EBITDA (435.8m) ratio: -1.25 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (168.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.89% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 86.04% (prev 83.17%; Δ 2.87pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.84% (prev 69.83%; Δ -1.99pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 87.27 (EBITDA TTM 435.8m / Interest Expense TTM 4.65m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.31
| (A) 0.54 = (Total Current Assets 1.74b - Total Current Liabilities 474.4m) / Total Assets 2.33b |
| (B) -0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -784.1m / Total Assets 2.33b |
| (C) 0.18 = EBIT TTM 405.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.24b |
| (D) -1.31 = Book Value of Equity -783.4m / Total Liabilities 596.1m |
| Total Rating: 2.31 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 89.16
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 12.89% |
| 3. FCF Margin 32.27% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.04 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.25 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.86)% |
| 7. RoE 21.40% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 48.19% |
| 9. EPS Trend 45.35% |
What is the price of ALKS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.74%, over one month by +0.65%, over three months by -6.06% and over the past year by +4.15%.
Is ALKS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALKS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43.8 | 48% |
| Analysts Target Price | 43.8 | 48% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 28.3 | -4.6% |
ALKS Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Trailing = 14.322
P/E Forward = 18.315
P/S = 3.1866
P/B = 2.7414
P/EG = -1057.29
Beta = 0.429
Revenue TTM = 1.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 405.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 435.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 71.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.63m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 71.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -544.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.81b USD (4.85b + Debt 71.6m - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 87.27 (Ebit TTM 405.6m / Interest Expense TTM 4.65m)
FCF Yield = 12.89% (FCF TTM 490.9m / Enterprise Value 3.81b)
FCF Margin = 32.27% (FCF TTM 490.9m / Revenue TTM 1.52b)
Net Margin = 22.27% (Net Income TTM 338.8m / Revenue TTM 1.52b)
Gross Margin = 86.04% ((Revenue TTM 1.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 212.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 86.91% (prev 87.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.63 (Enterprise Value 3.81b / Total Assets 2.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.49% (Interest Expense 4.65m / Debt 71.6m)
Taxrate = 17.85% (18.0m / 100.7m)
NOPAT = 333.2m (EBIT 405.6m * (1 - 17.85%))
Current Ratio = 3.67 (Total Current Assets 1.74b / Total Current Liabilities 474.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 71.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.73b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.25 (Net Debt -544.9m / EBITDA 435.8m)
Debt / FCF = -1.11 (Net Debt -544.9m / FCF TTM 490.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.54% (Net Income 338.8m / Total Assets 2.33b)
RoE = 21.40% (Net Income TTM 338.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.58b)
RoCE = 24.50% (EBIT 405.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.58b + L.T.Debt 71.6m))
RoIC = 21.04% (NOPAT 333.2m / Invested Capital 1.58b)
WACC = 8.18% (E(4.85b)/V(4.92b) * Re(8.22%) + D(71.6m)/V(4.92b) * Rd(6.49%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.48%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.68% ; FCFE base≈420.6m ; Y1≈511.5m ; Y5≈844.5m
Fair Price DCF = 84.27 (DCF Value 13.91b / Shares Outstanding 165.1m; 5y FCF grow 23.10% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 45.35 | EPS CAGR: -33.78% | SUE: -1.93 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 48.19 | Revenue CAGR: 5.33% | SUE: 1.66 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.16 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+12.2% | Growth Revenue=+22.8%
Additional Sources for ALKS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle