(ALM) Almonty Industries Common - Overview
Stock: Tungsten, Tin, Concentrate
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 141% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -24.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.35 |
| Alpha | 624.78 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.033 |
| Beta Downside | 0.510 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.93% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.05 |
Description: ALM Almonty Industries Common December 21, 2025
Almonty Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ALM) is a Toronto-based mining company that extracts, processes, and ships tungsten concentrate, while also pursuing tin and tungsten exploration. Its operating assets are spread across three locations: the Los Santos mine in Spain, the Panasqueira project in Portugal, and the Taedae-Wolseong operations in the Republic of Korea.
Key metrics as of the latest quarter (Q3 2024) show an average tungsten concentrate production of ~140 Mt, a realized price of $30.5 lb⁻¹ (≈ $67 kg⁻¹), and an operating cash flow margin of roughly 22 %. The company’s balance sheet is relatively low-leverage, with net debt of $45 million against a market-cap of ~$600 million, yielding a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio under 0.5×. Primary sector drivers include tight global tungsten supply-China accounts for > 80 % of output-and rising demand from defense, aerospace, and renewable-energy applications, which together support a long-term price floor above $25 lb⁻¹.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ALM’s valuation and risk profile, you may want to explore the ValueRay analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: -65.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.30 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 247.4% < 20% (prev -148.2%; Δ 395.7% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -5.04m > Net Income -65.0m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.38 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (258.4m) vs 12m ago 49.90% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 1.86% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 173.7% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 8.74% > 50% (prev 8.80%; Δ -0.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -13.88 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -59.4m / Interest Expense TTM 4.36m) |
Altman Z'' -0.81
| A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 128.4m - Total Current Liabilities 54.0m) / Total Assets 433.1m |
| B: -0.42 (Retained Earnings -179.9m / Total Assets 433.1m) |
| C: -0.18 (EBIT TTM -60.5m / Avg Total Assets 344.2m) |
| D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 149.8m / Total Liabilities 261.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.81 = CCC |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 4.93m/3.96m, Revenue 30.1m/22.5m) |
| GMI: 6.55 (GM 1.86% / 12.17%) |
| AQI: 0.64 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.34 (Revenue 30.1m / 22.5m) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI -65.0m - CFO -5.04m) / TA 433.1m) |
| Beneish M-Score: 1.83 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of ALM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +20.63%, over one month by +39.33%, over three months by +104.74% and over the past year by +621.33%.
Is ALM a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.5 | -21.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.4 | 15.1% |
ALM Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 58.1395
P/S = 55.0229
P/B = 13.3355
Revenue TTM = 30.1m CAD
EBIT TTM = -60.5m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -59.4m CAD
Long Term Debt = 174.4m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 22.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 197.3m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 85.7m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.34b CAD (2.25b + Debt 197.3m - CCE 111.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -13.88 (Ebit TTM -60.5m / Interest Expense TTM 4.36m)
EV/FCF = -33.97x (Enterprise Value 2.34b / FCF TTM -68.8m)
FCF Yield = -2.94% (FCF TTM -68.8m / Enterprise Value 2.34b)
FCF Margin = -228.9% (FCF TTM -68.8m / Revenue TTM 30.1m)
Net Margin = -216.3% (Net Income TTM -65.0m / Revenue TTM 30.1m)
Gross Margin = 1.86% ((Revenue TTM 30.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.42% (prev -13.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.40 (Enterprise Value 2.34b / Total Assets 433.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.54% (Interest Expense 1.06m / Debt 197.3m)
Taxrate = 0.49% (163.0k / 33.4m)
NOPAT = -60.2m (EBIT -60.5m * (1 - 0.49%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.38 (Total Current Assets 128.4m / Total Current Liabilities 54.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.15 (Debt 197.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 171.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.44 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 85.7m / EBITDA -59.4m)
Debt / FCF = -1.24 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 85.7m / FCF TTM -68.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 59.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -18.90% (Net Income -65.0m / Total Assets 433.1m)
RoE = -108.9% (Net Income TTM -65.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 59.7m)
RoCE = -25.84% (EBIT -60.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 59.7m + L.T.Debt 174.4m))
RoIC = -25.12% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -60.2m / Invested Capital 239.6m)
WACC = 8.98% (E(2.25b)/V(2.45b) * Re(9.72%) + D(197.3m)/V(2.45b) * Rd(0.54%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 9.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 29.24%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -68.8m)
EPS Correlation: -24.16 | EPS CAGR: 12.00% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.81 | Revenue CAGR: 53.85% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=+0.040 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+170.2% | Growth Revenue=+356.0%