ALT Stock Analysis: Altimmune | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 615m USD | 12M Return: -31.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Liver Disease, Obesity Treatment, Alcohol Use, Metabolic Disorders
Total Rating 31
Safety 93
Buy Signal -0.34
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +30.9
Market Cap: 615M
Avg Turnover: 11.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility74.3%
VaR 5th Pctl10.8%
VaR vs Median-10.5%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.26
Rel. Str. IBD6.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group3
Character TTM
Beta1.979
Beta Downside2.087
Hurst Exponent0.568
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD81.25%
CAGR/Max DD-0.05
CAGR/Mean DD-0.07
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ALT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.6, "2021-09": -0.81, "2021-12": -0.57, "2022-03": -0.44, "2022-06": -0.42, "2022-09": -0.48, "2022-12": -0.43, "2023-03": -0.4, "2023-06": -0.32, "2023-09": -0.39, "2023-12": -0.33, "2024-03": -0.34, "2024-06": -0.35, "2024-09": -0.3214, "2024-12": -0.33, "2025-03": -0.26, "2025-06": -0.27, "2025-09": -0.21, "2025-12": -0.27, "2026-03": -0.18,
Last SUE: 2.35
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of ALT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 0.137, 2021-09: 0.158, 2021-12: 3.277, 2022-03: 0.032, 2022-06: 0.008, 2022-09: 0.002, 2022-12: -0.11, 2023-03: 0.021, 2023-06: 0.006, 2023-09: 0.362, 2023-12: 0.037, 2024-03: 0.005, 2024-06: 0.005, 2024-09: 0.005, 2024-12: 0.005, 2025-03: 0.005, 2025-06: 0.005, 2025-09: 0.005, 2025-12: 0.026, 2026-03: 0,
Rev. CAGR: -68.98%
Rev. Trend: -73.2%
Last SUE: -0.08
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Fakeout
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -2.2% 17
Feb +4.0% 15
Mar -16.0% 65
Apr -1.1% 13
May +13.1% 19
Jun -4.0% 27
Jul +1.9% 23
Aug +6.2% 13
Sep -7.9% 45
Oct +3.5% 47
Nov +7.5% 23
Dec -1.5% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ALT Altimmune

Altimmune, Inc. is a late clinical stage biopharmaceutical company developing novel therapies for serious liver diseases. Its lead product candidate, pemvidutide, is a GLP-1/glucagon dual receptor agonist currently in Phase 3 clinical trials for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), alcohol use disorder, and alcohol-associated liver disease. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland, and trades on NASDAQ under the ticker ALT.

As a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, Altimmune operates within a high-risk, capital-intensive business model that depends on successful clinical trial outcomes and eventual regulatory approval to generate revenue, with most such companies incurring significant R&D expenses prior to commercialization. The GLP-1 receptor agonist class has become one of the most actively pursued therapeutic areas in biotechnology, driven by demonstrated efficacy in metabolic and weight-related conditions.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Pemvidutide Phase 3 MASH trial data readout approaches
  • Rezdiffra competition pressures pemvidutide market opportunity
  • Capital raise likely needed to fund Phase 3 development
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: -91.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 25.38 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 898k% < 20% (prev 727k%; Δ 171k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.21 > 3% & CFO -71.6m > Net Income -91.1m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 29.56 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (124.5m) vs 12m ago 64.75% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.01% > 50% (prev 0.01%; Δ 0.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -32.70 > 6 (EBIT TTM -88.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.70m)
Altman Z'' 3.16
A: 0.96 (Total Current Assets 334.7m - Total Current Liabilities 11.3m) / Total Assets 335.6m
B: -2.00 (Retained Earnings -672.0m / Total Assets 335.6m)
C: -0.36 (EBIT TTM -88.4m / Avg Total Assets 246.4m)
D: 5.50 (Book Value of Equity 284.0m / Total Liabilities 51.6m)
Altman-Z'' = 3.16 = A
Beneish M -3.44
DSRI: 0.38 (Receivables 1.67m/2.46m, Revenue 36.0k/20.0k)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.22 (AQ_t 0.00 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 1.80 (Revenue 36.0k / 20.0k)
TATA: -0.06 (NI -91.1m - CFO -71.6m) / TA 335.6m)
Beneish M = -3.44 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of ALT shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.02 with a total of 4,553,694 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.72%, over one month by +10.62%, over three months by -10.65% and over the past year by -31.83%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 2.80 (which is 7.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is ALT a buy, sell or hold?

Altimmune has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALT.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ALT price?
Analysts Target Price 15.5 411.6%
Altimmune (ALT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 614.5m (614.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 8.1766
P/S = 17070.51
P/B = 2.1708
P/EG = 32.6168
Revenue TTM = 36.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -88.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -88.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 34.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 265k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.34m
Net Debt = -282.6m USD (calculated: Debt 37.2m - CCE 319.8m)
Enterprise Value = 331.9m USD (614.5m + Debt 37.2m - CCE 319.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -32.70 (Ebit TTM -88.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.70m)
EV/FCF = -4.39x (Enterprise Value 331.9m / FCF TTM -75.6m)
FCF Yield = -22.77% (FCF TTM -75.6m / Enterprise Value 331.9m)
 FCF Margin = -210k% (FCF TTM -75.6m / Revenue TTM 36.0k)
 Net Margin = -253k% (Net Income TTM -91.1m / Revenue TTM 36.0k)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 36.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.0m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 331.9m / Total Assets 335.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.27% (Interest Expense 2.70m / Debt 37.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -69.8m (EBIT -88.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 26.04 (Total Current Assets 334.7m / Total Current Liabilities 12.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 37.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 284.0m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 3.20 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -282.6m / EBITDA -88.3m)
 Debt / FCF = 3.74 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -282.6m / FCF TTM -75.6m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 214.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -36.96% (Net Income -91.1m / Total Assets 335.6m)
RoE = -42.57% (Net Income TTM -91.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 214.0m)
RoCE = -35.57% (EBIT -88.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 214.0m + L.T.Debt 34.5m))
 RoIC = -21.51% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -69.8m / Invested Capital 324.6m)
 WACC = 12.53% (E(614.5m)/V(651.7m) * Re(12.94%) + D(37.2m)/V(651.7m) * Rd(7.27%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 39.93%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -75.6m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 2.35 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -73.17 | Revenue CAGR: -68.98% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.16 | Chg30d=+1.81% | Revisions=+67% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=+5.43% | Revisions=+67% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.71 | Chg30d=+4.24% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+29.1% | GrowthRev=-90.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.86 | Chg30d=+4.78% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=-21.2% | GrowthRev=-100.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +89% (up=24, down=0)