(AMBA) Ambarella - NASDAQ

Sector: Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 3.069m USD | Total Return: -1.2% in 12m

System-On-Chip, AI Processors, Vision Processors, Domain Controllers
Total Rating 34
Safety 84
Buy Signal -0.62
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Industry Rotation: -1.3
Market Cap: 3.07B
Avg Turnover: 112M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility64.0%
VaR 5th Pctl9.96%
VaR vs Median-4.65%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.25
Rel. Str. IBD26.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group5.7
Character TTM
Beta2.764
Beta Downside3.011
Hurst Exponent0.444
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD53.19%
CAGR/Max DD-0.15
CAGR/Mean DD-0.29
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AMBA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-04": 0.23, "2021-07": 0.35, "2021-10": 0.57, "2022-01": 0.45, "2022-04": 0.44, "2022-07": 0.2, "2022-10": 0.24, "2023-01": 0.23, "2023-04": -0.15, "2023-07": -0.15, "2023-10": -0.28, "2024-01": -0.24, "2024-04": -0.26, "2024-07": -0.13, "2024-10": -0.58, "2025-01": 0.11, "2025-04": 0.07, "2025-07": 0.15, "2025-10": 0.27, "2026-01": -0.35, "2026-04": -0.39,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AMBA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-04: 70.133, 2021-07: 79.327, 2021-10: 92.167, 2022-01: 90.229, 2022-04: 90.305, 2022-07: 80.884, 2022-10: 83.096, 2023-01: 83.321, 2023-04: 62.142, 2023-07: 62.121, 2023-10: 50.595, 2024-01: 51.616, 2024-04: 54.473, 2024-07: 63.724, 2024-10: 82.653, 2025-01: 84.015, 2025-04: 85.872, 2025-07: 95.511, 2025-10: 108.452, 2026-01: 100.867, 2026-04: 100.357,
Rev. CAGR: 22.34%
Rev. Trend: 81.0%
Last SUE: 0.10
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: AMBA Ambarella

Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMBA) is a U.S.-based semiconductor company founded in 2004 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California. It designs low-power system-on-chip (SoC) solutions and software for edge and physical artificial intelligence, video processing, and intelligent automation applications.

The companys core technology integrates its CVflow architecture with video, image, and audio processing functions onto a single chip. Its product portfolio includes central domain controllers, AI neural processors, vision processor SoCs, high-definition radars, and serializer/deserializers, along with licensed software modules.

Ambarella serves three primary end markets: automotive (dash cams, ADAS cameras, cabin/driver monitoring, and autonomous driving controllers), IoT (enterprise, public, and home security cameras), and a range of consumer and enterprise applications including video conferencing, access control, healthcare, and virtual reality. The company sells through direct sales and distributors to ODMs, OEMs, and Tier-1 suppliers, with operations across North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe.

As a fabless semiconductor designer in the Information Technology sector, Ambarella operates in a capital-intensive industry where firms typically outsource chip manufacturing to third-party foundries, allowing them to focus resources on R&D and design. The company has been publicly traded since October 2012.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Automotive AI chip design wins accelerate at Tier 1 suppliers
  • Edge AI competition from Nvidia pressures pricing and margins
  • China IoT demand softness pressures security camera segment revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: -69.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.79 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 58.79% < 20% (prev 66.62%; Δ -7.83% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 33.1m > Net Income -69.6m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 2.43 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.6m) vs 12m ago 3.28% < -2%
Gross Margin: 58.28% > 18% (prev 59.08%; Δ -0.81% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 54.14% > 50% (prev 45.06%; Δ 9.08% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 3.31
A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 405.2m - Total Current Liabilities 167.0m) / Total Assets 794.8m
B: -0.44 (Retained Earnings -346.0m / Total Assets 794.8m)
C: -0.09 (EBIT TTM -67.3m / Avg Total Assets 748.4m)
D: 3.21 (Book Value of Equity 605.8m / Total Liabilities 189.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 3.31 = A
Beneish M -2.87
DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 39.2m/30.2m, Revenue 405.2m/316.3m)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 59.08% / 58.28%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.50)
SGI: 1.28 (Revenue 405.2m / 316.3m)
TATA: -0.13 (NI -69.6m - CFO 33.1m) / TA 794.8m)
Beneish M = -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AMBA shares?

As of June 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 64.11 with a total of 957,293 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.69%, over one month by -31.48%, over three months by +18.52% and over the past year by -1.20%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 58.00 (which is 9.5% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is AMBA a buy, sell or hold?

Ambarella has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.87. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMBA.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AMBA price?
Analysts Target Price 95 48.2%
Ambarella (AMBA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.07b (3.07b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 88.4956
P/S = 7.5754
P/B = 5.063
P/EG = 4.9654
Revenue TTM = 405.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -67.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -42.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 10.9m USD (estimated: total debt 13.3m - short term 2.36m)
Short Term Debt = 2.36m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 13.3m already included)
Net Debt = -264.5m USD (calculated: Debt 13.3m - CCE 277.8m)
Enterprise Value = 2.80b USD (3.07b + Debt 13.3m - CCE 277.8m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -67.3m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 106.9x (Enterprise Value 2.80b / FCF TTM 26.2m)
FCF Yield = 0.94% (FCF TTM 26.2m / Enterprise Value 2.80b)
FCF Margin = 6.47% (FCF TTM 26.2m / Revenue TTM 405.2m)
Net Margin = -17.18% (Net Income TTM -69.6m / Revenue TTM 405.2m)
Gross Margin = 58.28% ((Revenue TTM 405.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 169.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.13% (prev 57.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.53 (Enterprise Value 2.80b / Total Assets 794.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 13.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -53.2m (EBIT -67.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.43 (Total Current Assets 405.2m / Total Current Liabilities 167.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 13.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 605.8m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 6.28 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -264.5m / EBITDA -42.1m)
 Debt / FCF = -10.08 (Net Debt -264.5m / FCF TTM 26.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 591.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.30% (Net Income -69.6m / Total Assets 794.8m)
RoE = -11.77% (Net Income TTM -69.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 591.8m)
RoCE = -11.17% (EBIT -67.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 591.8m + L.T.Debt 10.9m))
 RoIC = -8.72% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -53.2m / Invested Capital 610.0m)
 WACC = 15.63% (E(3.07b)/V(3.08b) * Re(15.70%) + D(13.3m)/V(3.08b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.44 | Cagr: 4.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 50.98% ; FCFF base≈35.6m ; Y1≈31.3m ; Y5≈25.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 10.29 (EV 187.1m - Net Debt -264.5m = Equity 451.6m / Shares 43.9m; r=15.63% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 80.96 | Revenue CAGR: 22.34% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=+3.70% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=12
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=+3.54% | Revisions=+38% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=+5.23% | Revisions=+54% | GrowthEPS=+27.5% | GrowthRev=+13.0%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=1.15 | Chg30d=+5.63% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+45.2% | GrowthRev=+14.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +54%