(AMBA) Ambarella - Overview
Sector: Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Equipment & Materials | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 2.333m USD | Total Return: 10.9% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +40.9
Avg Turnover: 33.7M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 7.3
EPS Trend: -15.4%
Qual. Beats: 14
Rev. Trend: 32.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Interest Coverage Ratio -2.6 is critical
Altman Z'' -1.60 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Volatile
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Ambarella, Inc. develops semiconductor solutions for artificial intelligence (AI) processing, advanced image signal processing, and high-definition compression.
The companys system-on-a-chip (SoC) designs integrate video and image processing, AI algorithms, and audio processing. This integration is common in the semiconductor industry to optimize performance and power efficiency.
Ambarellas products are used across various sectors, including automotive (e.g., ADAS cameras, autonomous vehicle controllers), IoT (e.g., security cameras), and industrial applications (e.g., robotics). The company also serves consumer markets with solutions for wearable and action cameras. Its business model involves selling solutions to original design manufacturers (ODMs) and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
For more detailed financial and operational insights, consider exploring ValueRay.
- Automotive sector demand for AI chips drives revenue growth
- IoT security camera market expansion boosts chip sales
- Research and development spending impacts profitability
- Global semiconductor supply chain disruptions affect production
- Competition from larger chipmakers pressures market share
| Net Income: -75.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.87 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 59.47% < 20% (prev 70.05%; Δ -10.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 73.5m > Net Income -75.9m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.31 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.2m) vs 12m ago 3.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 59.19% > 18% (prev 0.60%; Δ 5.86k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 52.53% > 50% (prev 41.35%; Δ 11.18% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.57 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -69.1m / Interest Expense TTM 20.7m) |
| A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 410.3m - Total Current Liabilities 177.9m) / Total Assets 798.6m |
| B: -0.41 (Retained Earnings -327.9m / Total Assets 798.6m) |
| C: -0.07 (EBIT TTM -53.0m / Avg Total Assets 743.8m) |
| D: -1.61 (Book Value of Equity -327.3m / Total Liabilities 203.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.60 = D |
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 39.2m/29.8m, Revenue 390.7m/284.9m) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 59.19% / 60.50%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.51) |
| SGI: 1.37 (Revenue 390.7m / 284.9m) |
| TATA: -0.19 (NI -75.9m - CFO 73.5m) / TA 798.6m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.34%, over one month by -0.04%, over three months by -23.12% and over the past year by +10.89%.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 89.6 | 68.3% |
P/S = 5.9715
P/B = 3.7208
P/EG = 4.9654
Revenue TTM = 390.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -53.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -69.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 13.4m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.03m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -299.1m USD (recalculated: Debt 13.4m - CCE 312.6m)
Enterprise Value = 2.03b USD (2.33b + Debt 13.4m - CCE 312.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.57 (Ebit TTM -53.0m / Interest Expense TTM 20.7m)
EV/FCF = 30.79x (Enterprise Value 2.03b / FCF TTM 66.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.25% (FCF TTM 66.1m / Enterprise Value 2.03b)
FCF Margin = 16.91% (FCF TTM 66.1m / Revenue TTM 390.7m)
Net Margin = -19.42% (Net Income TTM -75.9m / Revenue TTM 390.7m)
Gross Margin = 59.19% ((Revenue TTM 390.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 159.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.66% (prev 60.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.55 (Enterprise Value 2.03b / Total Assets 798.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 153.9% (Interest Expense 20.7m / Debt 13.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -41.9m (EBIT -53.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.31 (Total Current Assets 410.3m / Total Current Liabilities 177.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 13.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 594.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.33 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -299.1m / EBITDA -69.1m)
Debt / FCF = -4.53 (Net Debt -299.1m / FCF TTM 66.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 583.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.20% (Net Income -75.9m / Total Assets 798.6m)
RoE = -13.00% (Net Income TTM -75.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 583.5m)
RoCE = -8.88% (EBIT -53.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 583.5m + L.T.Debt 13.4m))
RoIC = -7.18% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -41.9m / Invested Capital 583.5m)
WACC = 14.86% (E(2.33b)/V(2.35b) * Re(14.95%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 14.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 46.38% ; FCFF base≈49.0m ; Y1≈32.2m ; Y5≈14.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 9.98 (EV 137.8m - Net Debt -299.1m = Equity 436.9m / Shares 43.8m; r=14.86% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -15.40 | EPS CAGR: -27.76% | SUE: 0.94 | # QB: 14
Revenue Correlation: 32.37 | Revenue CAGR: 2.99% | SUE: 0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.16 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+5 | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.75 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+21.1% | Growth Revenue=+12.8%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+44.6% | Growth Revenue=+13.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.71 (6 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)