(AMBA) Ambarella - Ratings and Ratios
Ai SoCs, Vision Processors, Compression Chips, Domain Controllers
AMBA EPS (Earnings per Share)
AMBA Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 81.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.66% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.89 |
| Alpha | 21.84 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.404 |
| Beta | 2.164 |
| Beta Downside | 2.152 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.14% |
| Mean DD | 32.43% |
| Median DD | 35.83% |
Description: AMBA Ambarella November 09, 2025
Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMBA) designs and sells low-power system-on-chip (SoC) solutions that combine high-definition video compression, advanced image-signal processing, and on-chip AI inference. Its product portfolio includes central domain controllers, CVflow SoCs, AI neural processors, vision-processor SoCs, HD radars, and serializer/deserializer (SerDes) IP, plus licensed software modules that enable end-to-end video and perception pipelines on a single chip.
The company’s chips are deployed across several high-growth verticals: automotive (dash-cams, electronic mirrors, front-facing ADAS cameras, cabin-monitoring and driver-monitoring systems), autonomous-vehicle domain controllers, IoT security cameras, and a broad set of robotics and industrial imaging applications such as authentication cameras and sensing modules. Ambarella also serves consumer-facing markets-including wearable body cameras, action cameras, drones, video-conferencing units, and VR headsets-by delivering high-quality video at reduced power consumption.
In its most recent quarter (Q2 2024), Ambarella reported revenue of roughly $340 million, up 18 % year-over-year, with a gross margin near 57 % and an operating cash flow of $85 million, reflecting strong demand for AI-enabled edge vision. The firm’s R&D spend remains around 15 % of revenue, underscoring its focus on maintaining a technology lead in a sector where AI-edge compute and automotive ADAS volumes are projected to grow at double-digit CAGR rates. Competitive pressure from larger players such as Nvidia and Texas Instruments, as well as macro-level semiconductor supply-chain dynamics, constitute material risk factors that investors should monitor.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
AMBA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,828m |
| Sub-Industry | Semiconductors |
| IPO / Inception | 2012-10-10 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 31.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.87 of 5 |
AMBA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAMBA Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 4.83% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.08 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.15 |
| Current Volume | 706.6k |
| Average Volume | 440.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (-88.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 20.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 62.61% (prev 85.40%; Δ -22.78pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 52.4m > Net Income -88.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.73 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (42.4m) change vs 12m ago 3.05% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 59.82% (prev 60.22%; Δ -0.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 51.31% (prev 33.89%; Δ 17.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -11.12 (EBITDA TTM -76.4m / Interest Expense TTM -8.87m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.72
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 343.9m - Total Current Liabilities 125.9m) / Total Assets 706.4m |
| (B) -0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -296.4m / Total Assets 706.4m |
| (C) -0.15 = EBIT TTM -98.7m / Avg Total Assets 678.4m |
| (D) -2.28 = Book Value of Equity -296.3m / Total Liabilities 129.9m |
| Total Rating: -2.72 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.76
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.28% = 0.64 |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.12% = 3.28 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.82 = 0.35 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -31.67)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -15.65% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 34.10% = 2.56 |
| 9. EPS Trend -11.37% = -0.57 |
What is the price of AMBA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.04%, over one month by +8.26%, over three months by +28.08% and over the past year by +50.15%.
Is Ambarella a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AMBA is around 83.01 USD . This means that AMBA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.5%.
Is AMBA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AMBA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 93.7 | 6.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 93.7 | 6.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 97.1 | 10.6% |
AMBA Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Forward = 169.4915
P/S = 10.9982
P/B = 6.3768
P/EG = 4.9654
Beta = 1.964
Revenue TTM = 348.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -98.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -76.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.44m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.77m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.44m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -139.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.57b USD (3.83b + Debt 3.44m - CCE 261.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.12 (Ebit TTM -98.7m / Interest Expense TTM -8.87m)
FCF Yield = 1.28% (FCF TTM 45.7m / Enterprise Value 3.57b)
FCF Margin = 13.12% (FCF TTM 45.7m / Revenue TTM 348.1m)
Net Margin = -25.46% (Net Income TTM -88.6m / Revenue TTM 348.1m)
Gross Margin = 59.82% ((Revenue TTM 348.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 139.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.87% (prev 60.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.05 (Enterprise Value 3.57b / Total Assets 706.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 37.36% (Interest Expense 1.29m / Debt 3.44m)
Taxrate = -1.28% (negative due to tax credits) (253.0k / -19.7m)
NOPAT = -100.0m (EBIT -98.7m * (1 - -1.28%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.73 (Total Current Assets 343.9m / Total Current Liabilities 125.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 3.44m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 576.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.82 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -139.3m / EBITDA -76.4m)
Debt / FCF = -3.05 (Net Debt -139.3m / FCF TTM 45.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 566.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -12.55% (Net Income -88.6m / Total Assets 706.4m)
RoE = -15.65% (Net Income TTM -88.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 566.2m)
RoCE = -17.33% (EBIT -98.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 566.2m + L.T.Debt 3.44m))
RoIC = -17.66% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -100.0m / Invested Capital 566.2m)
WACC = 14.01% (E(3.83b)/V(3.83b) * Re(13.99%) + D(3.44m)/V(3.83b) * Rd(37.36%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 13.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.87%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 48.80% ; FCFE base≈45.7m ; Y1≈30.0m ; Y5≈13.7m
Fair Price DCF = 3.21 (DCF Value 136.8m / Shares Outstanding 42.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -11.37 | EPS CAGR: -15.71% | SUE: 2.70 | # QB: 12
Revenue Correlation: 34.10 | Revenue CAGR: 5.19% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for AMBA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle