(AMBA) Ambarella - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: KYG037AX1015

Vision Processor, AI SoC, Automotive Camera, Security Module

Stock: Semiconductors
Age 13.3y
MCap 2,959m
Avg Vol 993K (70.0M USD)
Beta 2.183
Volatility 57.47%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of AMBA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-01": 0.14, "2021-04": 0.23, "2021-07": 0.35, "2021-10": 0.57, "2022-01": 0.45, "2022-04": 0.44, "2022-07": 0.2, "2022-10": 0.24, "2023-01": 0.23, "2023-04": -0.15, "2023-07": -0.15, "2023-10": -0.28, "2024-01": -0.24, "2024-04": -0.26, "2024-07": -0.13, "2024-10": -0.58, "2025-01": 0.11, "2025-04": 0.07, "2025-07": 0.15, "2025-10": 0.27,
EPS CAGR: -12.73%
EPS Trend: -35.7%
Last SUE: 1.80
Qual. Beats: 13

Revenue

Revenue of AMBA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-01: 62.142, 2021-04: 70.133, 2021-07: 79.327, 2021-10: 92.167, 2022-01: 90.229, 2022-04: 90.305, 2022-07: 80.884, 2022-10: 83.096, 2023-01: 83.321, 2023-04: 62.142, 2023-07: 62.121, 2023-10: 50.595, 2024-01: 51.616, 2024-04: 54.473, 2024-07: 63.724, 2024-10: 82.653, 2025-01: 84.015, 2025-04: 85.872, 2025-07: 95.511, 2025-10: 108.452,
Rev. CAGR: 5.03%
Rev. Trend: 10.9%
Last SUE: 1.48
Qual. Beats: 2

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 57.5%
Value at Risk 5%th 82.1%
Relative Tail Risk -13.13%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.01
Alpha -45.48
CAGR/Max DD -0.16
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.469
Beta 2.183
Beta Downside 2.116
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 59.14%
Mean DD 33.61%
Median DD 35.83%

Description: AMBA Ambarella January 12, 2026

Ambarella (NASDAQ: AMBA) designs low-power system-on-chip (SoC) solutions that combine high-definition video compression, advanced image signal processing, and on-chip AI inference. Its product portfolio includes CVflow vision processors, AI neural processors, HD radar transceivers, and serializer/deserializer IP, which are sold to OEMs and ODMs for automotive ADAS/driver-monitoring cameras, autonomous-vehicle central domain controllers, security-camera IoT devices, and a range of consumer imaging products such as drones, action cams, and VR headsets.

Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue $1.21 billion, up ~12 % YoY; gross margin 55 %; R&D expense ~15 % of revenue, reflecting continued investment in AI-edge architectures. The automotive ADAS segment now accounts for roughly 45 % of total sales, driven by regulatory mandates for driver-monitoring systems in Europe and China. Industry-wide, AI-at-the-edge and high-resolution video traffic are expanding at a 15 % CAGR, supporting Ambarella’s growth outlook, while supply-chain constraints on advanced packaging remain a material risk.

For a deeper dive into how Ambarella’s valuation compares to peers and to explore scenario-based forecasts, you might find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income: -79.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.65 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 63.99% < 20% (prev 77.93%; Δ -13.94% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 80.1m > Net Income -79.7m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 2.66 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.5m) vs 12m ago 2.57% < -2%
Gross Margin: 59.78% > 18% (prev 0.61%; Δ 5918 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 52.56% > 50% (prev 37.64%; Δ 14.92% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -35.42 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -71.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.21m)

Altman Z'' -2.02

A: 0.32 (Total Current Assets 383.7m - Total Current Liabilities 144.5m) / Total Assets 751.9m
B: -0.41 (Retained Earnings -311.5m / Total Assets 751.9m)
C: -0.11 (EBIT TTM -78.4m / Avg Total Assets 711.3m)
D: -1.92 (Book Value of Equity -310.9m / Total Liabilities 161.8m)
Altman-Z'' Score: -2.02= D

Beneish M -3.09

DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 42.2m/34.0m, Revenue 373.9m/252.5m)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 59.78% / 60.52%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.52)
SGI: 1.48 (Revenue 373.9m / 252.5m)
TATA: -0.21 (NI -79.7m - CFO 80.1m) / TA 751.9m)
Beneish M-Score: -3.09 = AA

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.21

1. Piotroski: 5.0pt
2. FCF Yield: 2.83%
3. FCF Margin: 20.29%
4. Debt/Equity: 0.02
5. Debt/Ebitda: data missing
6. ROIC - WACC: -24.70%
7. RoE: -13.85%
8. Revenue Trend: 10.92%
9. EPS Trend: -35.73%

What is the price of AMBA shares?

As of January 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 67.19 with a total of 545,346 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.24%, over one month by -6.65%, over three months by -19.48% and over the past year by -18.57%.

Is AMBA a buy, sell or hold?

Ambarella has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.87. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMBA.
  • Strong Buy: 5
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AMBA price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 97.5 45%
Analysts Target Price 97.5 45%
ValueRay Target Price 62.8 -6.6%

AMBA Fundamental Data Overview January 20, 2026

P/E Forward = 114.9425
P/S = 7.9146
P/B = 5.0141
P/EG = 4.9654
Revenue TTM = 373.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -78.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -71.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 13.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.73m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -160.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.68b USD (2.96b + Debt 13.6m - CCE 295.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -35.42 (Ebit TTM -78.4m / Interest Expense TTM 2.21m)
EV/FCF = 35.29x (Enterprise Value 2.68b / FCF TTM 75.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.83% (FCF TTM 75.9m / Enterprise Value 2.68b)
FCF Margin = 20.29% (FCF TTM 75.9m / Revenue TTM 373.9m)
Net Margin = -21.31% (Net Income TTM -79.7m / Revenue TTM 373.9m)
Gross Margin = 59.78% ((Revenue TTM 373.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 150.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.25% (prev 58.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.56 (Enterprise Value 2.68b / Total Assets 751.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.42% (Interest Expense 1.29m / Debt 13.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -61.9m (EBIT -78.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.66 (Total Current Assets 383.7m / Total Current Liabilities 144.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 13.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 590.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.24 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -160.4m / EBITDA -71.6m)
Debt / FCF = -2.11 (Net Debt -160.4m / FCF TTM 75.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 575.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.20% (Net Income -79.7m / Total Assets 751.9m)
RoE = -13.85% (Net Income TTM -79.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 575.2m)
RoCE = -13.31% (EBIT -78.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 575.2m + L.T.Debt 13.6m))
RoIC = -10.77% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -61.9m / Invested Capital 575.2m)
WACC = 13.93% (E(2.96b)/V(2.97b) * Re(13.96%) + D(13.6m)/V(2.97b) * Rd(9.42%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 13.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 48.67% ; FCFF base≈75.9m ; Y1≈49.8m ; Y5≈22.7m
Fair Price DCF = 9.00 (EV 226.9m - Net Debt -160.4m = Equity 387.3m / Shares 43.1m; r=13.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -35.73 | EPS CAGR: -12.73% | SUE: 1.80 | # QB: 13
Revenue Correlation: 10.92 | Revenue CAGR: 5.03% | SUE: 1.48 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+7 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+11 | Growth EPS=+3.8% | Growth Revenue=+10.1%

Additional Sources for AMBA Stock

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