AMD Stock Analysis: Advanced Micro Devices | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 844.358m USD | 12M Return: 284.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

AI Accelerators, Microprocessors, Graphics Cards, FPGAs
Total Rating 72
Safety 79
Buy Signal 1.33
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: -45.3
Market Cap: 844B
Avg Turnover: 16.3B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility71.1%
VaR 5th Pctl11.5%
VaR vs Median-1.36%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.22
Rel. Str. IBD98.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group86.7
Character TTM
Beta2.730
Beta Downside2.483
Hurst Exponent0.423
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD63.00%
CAGR/Max DD1.06
CAGR/Mean DD3.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AMD over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.63, "2021-09": 0.73, "2021-12": 0.92, "2022-03": 1.13, "2022-06": 1.05, "2022-09": 0.67, "2022-12": 0.69, "2023-03": 0.6, "2023-06": 0.58, "2023-09": 0.7, "2023-12": 0.77, "2024-03": 0.62, "2024-06": 0.69, "2024-09": 0.92, "2024-12": 1.09, "2025-03": 0.96, "2025-06": 0.48, "2025-09": 1.2, "2025-12": 1.53, "2026-03": 1.37,
EPS CAGR: 24.11%
EPS Trend: 97.2%
Last SUE: 1.12
Qual. Beats: 3
Revenue Revenue of AMD over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 3850, 2021-09: 4313, 2021-12: 4826, 2022-03: 5887, 2022-06: 6550, 2022-09: 5565, 2022-12: 5599, 2023-03: 5353, 2023-06: 5359, 2023-09: 5800, 2023-12: 6168, 2024-03: 5473, 2024-06: 5835, 2024-09: 6819, 2024-12: 7658, 2025-03: 7438, 2025-06: 7685, 2025-09: 9246, 2025-12: 10270, 2026-03: 10253,
Rev. CAGR: 22.08%
Rev. Trend: 96.4%
Last SUE: 1.75
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

P/E Ratio 172.6

Tailwinds

Shakeout
Supp Ema20
Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +4.7% 17
Feb -4.7% 12
Mar -4.6% 24
Apr -2.6% 16
May +9.4% 21
Jun +0.9% 11
Jul +14.4% 39
Aug -2.2% 9
Sep -4.4% 21
Oct -3.1% 6
Nov +9.1% 32
Dec -2.5% 33

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AMD Advanced Micro Devices

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is a U.S.-headquartered semiconductor company that designs and sells processors, graphics chips, and related technologies for international markets. It reports through three operating segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. Its products include CPUs, GPUs, AI accelerators, FPGAs, adaptive SoCs, and data processing units, offered either as standalone devices or integrated into platforms, with key processor brands including Ryzen, EPYC, and Athlon, and data center accelerators marketed under the Instinct brand.

AMD serves a diverse customer base spanning original equipment manufacturers, public cloud providers, system integrators, distributors, and add-in-board manufacturers. Incorporated in 1969 and based in Santa Clara, California, the company competes in the global semiconductor industry, a sector characterized by high capital intensity, rapid technological cycles, and significant demand from cloud computing, gaming, and embedded applications.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • AMD Instinct GPU sales surge as data center AI demand accelerates
  • Ryzen and EPYC processors gain share against Intel in PCs and servers
  • US export restrictions on AI chips cap China revenue potential
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 5.01b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.92 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 48.38% < 20% (prev 50.06%; Δ -1.68% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 9.72b > Net Income 5.01b
Net Debt (-7.83b) to EBITDA (8.09b): -0.97 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.72 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.65b) vs 12m ago 1.48% < -2%
Gross Margin: 50.28% > 18% (prev 50.09%; Δ 0.19% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 49.54% > 50% (prev 38.78%; Δ 10.76% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 34.24 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.07b / Interest Expense TTM 148.0m)
Altman Z'' 6.73
A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 28.6b - Total Current Liabilities 10.5b) / Total Assets 79.6b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 8.08b / Total Assets 79.6b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 5.07b / Avg Total Assets 75.6b)
D: 4.25 (Book Value of Equity 64.5b / Total Liabilities 15.2b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.73 = AAA
Beneish M -3.08
DSRI: 0.71 (Receivables 6.04b/6.29b, Revenue 37.5b/27.8b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 50.09% / 50.28%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.61 / AQ_t-1 0.67)
SGI: 1.35 (Revenue 37.5b / 27.8b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 5.01b - CFO 9.72b) / TA 79.6b)
Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of AMD shares?

As of July 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 517.82 with a total of 28,228,900 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.77%, over one month by +11.03%, over three months by +135.18% and over the past year by +284.14%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 468.20 (which is 9.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is AMD a buy, sell or hold?

Advanced Micro Devices has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.16. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMD.

  • StrongBuy: 32
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 13
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AMD price?
Analysts Target Price 508.3 -1.8%
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 844b (844b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 172.6067
P/E Forward = 76.9231
P/S = 22.5439
P/B = 13.6818
P/EG = 1.2956
Revenue TTM = 37.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.07b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.35b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 874.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 647.0m
Net Debt = -7.83b USD (calculated: Debt 4.52b - CCE 12.3b)
Enterprise Value = 837b USD (844b + Debt 4.52b - CCE 12.3b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 34.24 (Ebit TTM 5.07b / Interest Expense TTM 148.0m)
EV/FCF = 97.57x (Enterprise Value 837b / FCF TTM 8.57b)
FCF Yield = 1.02% (FCF TTM 8.57b / Enterprise Value 837b)
FCF Margin = 22.89% (FCF TTM 8.57b / Revenue TTM 37.5b)
Net Margin = 13.37% (Net Income TTM 5.01b / Revenue TTM 37.5b)
Gross Margin = 50.28% ((Revenue TTM 37.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.82% (prev 54.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.50 (Enterprise Value 837b / Total Assets 79.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.28% (Interest Expense 148.0m / Debt 4.52b)
Taxrate = 0.24% (12.0m / 4.94b)
NOPAT = 5.05b (EBIT 5.07b * (1 - 0.24%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 28.6b / Total Current Liabilities 10.5b)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 4.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 64.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.97 (Net Debt -7.83b / EBITDA 8.09b)
Debt / FCF = -0.91 (Net Debt -7.83b / FCF TTM 8.57b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 62.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.63% (Net Income 5.01b / Total Assets 79.6b)
RoE = 8.08% (Net Income TTM 5.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 62.0b)
RoCE = 7.88% (EBIT 5.07b / Capital Employed (Equity 62.0b + L.T.Debt 2.35b))
RoIC = 7.42% (NOPAT 5.05b / Invested Capital 68.1b)
WACC = 15.51% (E(844b)/V(849b) * Re(15.58%) + D(4.52b)/V(849b) * Rd(3.28%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 15.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 58.28% ; FCFF base≈6.25b ; Y1≈7.16b ; Y5≈10.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 47.26 (EV 69.2b - Net Debt -7.83b = Equity 77.1b / Shares 1.63b; r=15.51% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.23 | EPS CAGR: 24.11% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 96.35 | Revenue CAGR: 22.08% | SUE: 1.75 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.61 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+82% | Analysts=39
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.81 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+70% | Analysts=39
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.38 | Chg30d=+0.26% | Revisions=+76% | GrowthEPS=+77.1% | GrowthRev=+42.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.18 | Chg30d=+1.68% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+78.4% | GrowthRev=+55.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +84% (up=142, down=11)