AMD Stock Analysis: Advanced Micro Devices | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.005.164m USD | 12M Return: 174.6% | US0079031078 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Microprocessors, Graphics Cards, Accelerators, Embedded Chips
Total Rating 81
Safety 89
Buy Signal 1.26
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: +12.6
Market Cap: 1,005B
Avg Turnover: 12.6B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility58.2%
VaR 5th Pctl9.38%
VaR vs Median-2.08%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.78
Rel. Str. IBD98.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group90.4
Character TTM
Beta2.889
Beta Downside2.682
Hurst Exponent0.415
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD63.00%
CAGR/Max DD1.24
CAGR/Mean DD3.64
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AMD over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.73, "2021-12": 0.92, "2022-03": 1.13, "2022-06": 1.05, "2022-09": 0.67, "2022-12": 0.69, "2023-03": 0.6, "2023-06": 0.58, "2023-09": 0.7, "2023-12": 0.77, "2024-03": 0.62, "2024-06": 0.69, "2024-09": 0.92, "2024-12": 1.09, "2025-03": 0.96, "2025-06": 0.48, "2025-09": 1.2, "2025-12": 1.53, "2026-03": 1.37, "2026-06": 1.66,
EPS CAGR: 30.27%
EPS Trend: 96.1%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 4
Revenue Revenue of AMD over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 4313, 2021-12: 4826, 2022-03: 5887, 2022-06: 6550, 2022-09: 5565, 2022-12: 5599, 2023-03: 5353, 2023-06: 5359, 2023-09: 5800, 2023-12: 6168, 2024-03: 5473, 2024-06: 5835, 2024-09: 6819, 2024-12: 7658, 2025-03: 7438, 2025-06: 7685, 2025-09: 9246, 2025-12: 10270, 2026-03: 10253, 2026-06: 11536,
Rev. CAGR: 26.09%
Rev. Trend: 97.5%
Last SUE: 1.35
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

P/E Ratio 156.3

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.4% 10
Feb -0.8% 5
Mar -4.0% 16
Apr -0.9% 10
May +12.3% 26
Jun +1.1% 15
Jul +14.1% 33
Aug -2.2% 21
Sep -5.2% 25
Oct -4.8% 12
Nov +7.2% 36
Dec -2.4% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AMD Advanced Micro Devices

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a U.S.-based semiconductor company headquartered in Santa Clara, California, operating internationally across three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. Founded in 1969 and listed on NASDAQ, AMD designs CPUs, GPUs, AI accelerators, FPGAs, adaptive SoCs, and networking products under well-known brands including Ryzen (consumer/workstation CPUs), EPYC (server CPUs), Radeon (graphics), and Instinct (data center AI accelerators). The company sells to original equipment manufacturers, public cloud service providers, system integrators, distributors, and add-in-board manufacturers.

AMD operates a fabless business model, designing chips while outsourcing wafer fabrication to third-party foundries, which reduces capital expenditure requirements but creates dependence on manufacturing partners. The company competes primarily against Intel in x86 CPUs and NVIDIA in discrete GPUs and AI accelerators, with data center and AI infrastructure representing its largest growth focus alongside the more mature consumer client and gaming markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Data Center segment revenue accelerates on AI accelerator demand
  • Nvidia competition limits AMD Instinct GPU market share gains
  • China export restrictions curb AMD AI chip shipments
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.0
Net Income: 6.43b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.54 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 47.07% < 20% (prev 49.58%; Δ -2.51% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 10.1b > Net Income 6.43b
Net Debt (-7.79b) to EBITDA (10.7b): -0.73 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.61 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.66b) vs 12m ago 1.53% < -2%
Gross Margin: 53.20% > 18% (prev 47.62%; Δ 5.58% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.86% > 50% (prev 39.56%; Δ 12.30% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 52.32 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.69b / Interest Expense TTM 147.0m)
Altman Z'' 6.48
A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 31.5b - Total Current Liabilities 12.1b) / Total Assets 84.5b
B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 5.91b / Total Assets 84.5b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 7.69b / Avg Total Assets 79.6b)
D: 3.90 (Book Value of Equity 67.2b / Total Liabilities 17.2b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.48 = AAA
Beneish M -2.96
DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 7.28b/5.69b, Revenue 41.3b/29.6b)
GMI: 0.90 (GM 47.62% / 53.20%)
AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.64)
SGI: 1.40 (Revenue 41.3b / 29.6b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 6.43b - CFO 10.1b) / TA 84.5b)
Beneish M = -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AMD shares?

As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 594.24 with a total of 15,252,527 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.94%, over one month by +20.44%, over three months by +11.20% and over the past year by +174.58%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 543.50 (which is 8.5% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is AMD a buy, sell or hold?

Advanced Micro Devices has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.51. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AMD.

  • StrongBuy: 39
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 11
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AMD price?
Analysts Target Price 619.5 4.3%
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 1005b (1005b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 156.2766
P/E Forward = 39.5257
P/S = 24.3352
P/B = 14.9253
P/EG = 0.626
Revenue TTM = 41.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.69b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.7b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.35b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 875.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.33b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.05b
Net Debt = -7.79b USD (calculated: Debt 5.33b - CCE 13.1b)
Enterprise Value = 997b USD (1005b + Debt 5.33b - CCE 13.1b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 52.32 (Ebit TTM 7.69b / Interest Expense TTM 147.0m)
EV/FCF = 118.7x (Enterprise Value 997b / FCF TTM 8.40b)
FCF Yield = 0.84% (FCF TTM 8.40b / Enterprise Value 997b)
FCF Margin = 20.34% (FCF TTM 8.40b / Revenue TTM 41.3b)
Net Margin = 15.58% (Net Income TTM 6.43b / Revenue TTM 41.3b)
Gross Margin = 53.20% ((Revenue TTM 41.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 19.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.77% (prev 52.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 11.81 (Enterprise Value 997b / Total Assets 84.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.76% (Interest Expense 147.0m / Debt 5.33b)
Taxrate = 14.44% (1.09b / 7.56b)
NOPAT = 6.58b (EBIT 7.69b * (1 - 14.44%))
Current Ratio = 2.61 (Total Current Assets 31.5b / Total Current Liabilities 12.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 5.33b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 67.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.73 (Net Debt -7.79b / EBITDA 10.7b)
Debt / FCF = -0.93 (Net Debt -7.79b / FCF TTM 8.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 63.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.08% (Net Income 6.43b / Total Assets 84.5b)
RoE = 10.07% (Net Income TTM 6.43b / Total Stockholder Equity 63.9b)
RoCE = 11.61% (EBIT 7.69b / Capital Employed (Equity 63.9b + L.T.Debt 2.35b))
RoIC = 9.24% (NOPAT 6.58b / Invested Capital 71.2b)
WACC = 16.07% (E(1005b)/V(1010b) * Re(16.14%) + D(5.33b)/V(1010b) * Rd(2.76%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 16.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 64.72 | Cagr: 0.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 57.02% ; FCFF base≈6.66b ; Y1≈7.63b ; Y5≈11.2b
[DCF] Fair Price = 48.05 (EV 70.7b - Net Debt -7.79b = Equity 78.4b / Shares 1.63b; r=16.07% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.05 | EPS CAGR: 30.27% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 97.47 | Revenue CAGR: 26.09% | SUE: 1.35 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.93 | Chg30d=+0.21% | Revisions=+71% | Analysts=39
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.58 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+48% | GrowthEPS=+81.7% | GrowthRev=+47.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=15.58 | Chg30d=+1.66% | Revisions=+77% | GrowthEPS=+105.7% | GrowthRev=+73.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +68% (up=86, down=15)