ANDE Stock Analysis: The Andersons | NASDAQ
Food Distribution | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.421m USD | 12M Return: 82.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 22.4M
EPS Trend: 8.9%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: -88.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Andersons, Inc. (NASDAQ: ANDE) is a U.S.-headquartered agriculture and renewable fuels company founded in 1947 and based in Maumee, Ohio, operating across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and select international markets. The company is organized into two business segments: Agribusiness, which merchandises commodity grains (corn, wheat, soybeans), manufactures and distributes agricultural plant nutrients and fertilizers, and provides logistics services for physical agricultural commodities; and Renewables, which produces, purchases, sells, and trades ethanol, co-products, and other renewable feedstocks and biofuels.
Despite its GICS classification under Consumer Staples / Food Distributors, ANDEs revenue base is largely tied to commodity grain merchandising and ethanol production-two capital-intensive, margin-sensitive segments whose performance is heavily influenced by U.S. crop yields, weather, and federal renewable fuel policies such as the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), which mandates blending of biofuels like ethanol into the U.S. gasoline supply.
- Ethanol margins pressured by corn input costs
- Grain merchandising volume swings with harvest cycles
- Plant nutrient pricing volatility affects segment margins
| Net Income: 128.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.05 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.25% < 20% (prev 9.77%; Δ -3.52% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 133.3m > Net Income 128.6m |
| Net Debt (1.31b) to EBITDA (359.2m): 3.64 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.37 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (34.2m) vs 12m ago 20.37% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 7.25% > 18% (prev 6.70%; Δ 0.55% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 284.5% > 50% (prev 294.9%; Δ -10.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.19 > 6 (EBIT TTM 226.2m / Interest Expense TTM 54.0m) |
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 2.56b - Total Current Liabilities 1.87b) / Total Assets 3.92b |
| B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 1.07b / Total Assets 3.92b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 226.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.86b) |
| D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 1.27b / Total Liabilities 2.61b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.94 = A |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 772.0m/812.5m, Revenue 11.0b/11.2b) |
| GMI: 0.92 (GM 6.70% / 7.25%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 11.0b / 11.2b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 128.6m - CFO 133.3m) / TA 3.92b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 67.51 with a total of 270,143 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.74%, over one month by -7.87%, over three months by -9.10% and over the past year by +82.69%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 64.60 (which is 4.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
The Andersons has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ANDE.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 80 | 18.5% |
P/E Trailing = 18.9547
P/E Forward = 20.9205
P/S = 0.2205
P/B = 1.9063
P/EG = 0.8947
Revenue TTM = 11.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 226.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 359.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 569.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 740.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.38b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 71.5m
Net Debt = 1.31b USD (calculated: Debt 1.38b - CCE 72.4m)
Enterprise Value = 3.73b USD (2.42b + Debt 1.38b - CCE 72.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.19 (Ebit TTM 226.2m / Interest Expense TTM 54.0m)
EV/FCF = -35.53x (Enterprise Value 3.73b / FCF TTM -104.9m)
FCF Yield = -2.81% (FCF TTM -104.9m / Enterprise Value 3.73b)
FCF Margin = -0.96% (FCF TTM -104.9m / Revenue TTM 11.0b)
Net Margin = 1.17% (Net Income TTM 128.6m / Revenue TTM 11.0b)
Gross Margin = 7.25% ((Revenue TTM 11.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.96% (prev 9.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 3.73b / Total Assets 3.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.91% (Interest Expense 54.0m / Debt 1.38b)
Taxrate = 16.76% (28.8m / 172.1m)
NOPAT = 188.3m (EBIT 226.2m * (1 - 16.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.37 (Total Current Assets 2.56b / Total Current Liabilities 1.87b)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 1.38b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.27b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.64 (Net Debt 1.31b / EBITDA 359.2m)
Debt / FCF = -12.47 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.31b / FCF TTM -104.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.33% (Net Income 128.6m / Total Assets 3.92b)
RoE = 10.17% (Net Income TTM 128.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.26b)
RoCE = 12.33% (EBIT 226.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.26b + L.T.Debt 569.1m))
RoIC = 6.93% (NOPAT 188.3m / Invested Capital 2.72b)
WACC = 6.40% (E(2.42b)/V(3.80b) * Re(8.19%) + D(1.38b)/V(3.80b) * Rd(3.91%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -36.80 | Cagr: -0.22%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -104.9m)
EPS Correlation: 8.91 | EPS CAGR: 1.49% | SUE: 1.55 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -88.84 | Revenue CAGR: -14.22% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.45 | Chg30d=+2.84% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.47 | Chg30d=+0.74% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+69.3% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.96 | Chg30d=+0.34% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+9.0% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +67% (up=11, down=1)