(ANDE) The Andersons - Ratings and Ratios
Grain,Fertilizer,Ethanol,Plant Food,Animal Feed
ANDE EPS (Earnings per Share)
ANDE Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 55.1% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Alpha Jensen | -9.55 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.354 |
| Beta | 0.807 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.94% |
| Mean DD | 16.40% |
Description: ANDE The Andersons August 14, 2025
The Andersons Inc (NASDAQ:ANDE) is a US-based company operating in the Food Distributors sub-industry. As a food distributor, the companys performance is closely tied to the agricultural and food production sectors, with key economic drivers including commodity prices, crop yields, and demand for grains and other agricultural products.
To evaluate ANDEs financial health, we can look at key performance indicators (KPIs) such as Return on Equity (RoE), which stands at 6.99%. This suggests that the company generates a relatively modest return on shareholder equity. Additionally, the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.02 and Forward P/E of 20.92 indicate that the companys stock price is influenced by expectations of future earnings growth.
From a valuation perspective, ANDEs Market Cap of $1.288 billion suggests a relatively stable and established player in the industry. To further analyze the companys prospects, we can examine its exposure to commodity price fluctuations, its ability to manage costs and maintain profit margins, and its strategic initiatives to drive growth and expand its market share.
By applying a first-principles approach to analyzing ANDE, we can deconstruct the companys performance into its fundamental drivers, including revenue growth, operating margins, and cash flow generation. This enables us to identify areas of strength and weakness, as well as potential leverage points for improving the companys financial performance.
ANDE Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,705m |
| Sub-Industry | Food Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 1996-02-20 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -6.78% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.33 of 5 |
ANDE Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.57% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.77% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -5.01% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.5% |
ANDE Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 12.25% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.26 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.75 |
| Current Volume | 372.6k |
| Average Volume | 312.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (73.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 695.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.44% (prev 10.16%; Δ -4.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 452.0m > Net Income 73.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (688.7m) to EBITDA (312.1m) ratio: 2.21 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.2m) change vs 12m ago -0.51% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 5.32% (prev 6.16%; Δ -0.84pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 346.9% (prev 334.9%; Δ 12.01pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.71 (EBITDA TTM 312.1m / Interest Expense TTM 47.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.08
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 1.96b - Total Current Liabilities 1.33b) / Total Assets 3.30b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 978.7m / Total Assets 3.30b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 175.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.34b |
| (D) 0.48 = Book Value of Equity 989.6m / Total Liabilities 2.07b |
| Total Rating: 3.08 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.62
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.77% = 4.88 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.02% = 0.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.66 = 2.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.21 = -0.40 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.47)% = 1.84 |
| 7. RoE 5.57% = 0.46 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -81.11% = -6.08 |
| 9. EPS Trend -7.54% = -0.38 |
What is the price of ANDE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.81%, over one month by +18.61%, over three months by +25.15% and over the past year by +8.03%.
Is The Andersons a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ANDE is around 48.89 USD . This means that ANDE is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.91%.
Is ANDE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ANDE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 51.5 | 3.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 51.5 | 3.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 53.6 | 7.6% |
ANDE Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.6526
P/E Forward = 20.9205
P/S = 0.147
P/B = 1.0145
P/EG = 2.93
Beta = 0.807
Revenue TTM = 11.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 175.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 312.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 608.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 205.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 775.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 688.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.39b USD (1.70b + Debt 775.5m - CCE 86.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.71 (Ebit TTM 175.8m / Interest Expense TTM 47.4m)
FCF Yield = 9.77% (FCF TTM 233.8m / Enterprise Value 2.39b)
FCF Margin = 2.02% (FCF TTM 233.8m / Revenue TTM 11.60b)
Net Margin = 0.63% (Net Income TTM 73.4m / Revenue TTM 11.60b)
Gross Margin = 5.32% ((Revenue TTM 11.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.30% (prev 6.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.73 (Enterprise Value 2.39b / Total Assets 3.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.62% (Interest Expense 12.6m / Debt 775.5m)
Taxrate = -0.88% (negative due to tax credits) (-228.0k / 25.8m)
NOPAT = 177.4m (EBIT 175.8m * (1 - -0.88%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 1.96b / Total Current Liabilities 1.33b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 775.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.21 (Net Debt 688.7m / EBITDA 312.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.95 (Net Debt 688.7m / FCF TTM 233.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.23% (Net Income 73.4m / Total Assets 3.30b)
RoE = 5.57% (Net Income TTM 73.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.32b)
RoCE = 9.13% (EBIT 175.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.32b + L.T.Debt 608.2m))
RoIC = 8.17% (NOPAT 177.4m / Invested Capital 2.17b)
WACC = 6.69% (E(1.70b)/V(2.48b) * Re(8.99%) + D(775.5m)/V(2.48b) * Rd(1.62%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 8.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.25%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.29% ; FCFE base≈211.7m ; Y1≈139.0m ; Y5≈63.5m
Fair Price DCF = 31.68 (DCF Value 1.07b / Shares Outstanding 33.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -7.54 | EPS CAGR: -5.45% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -81.11 | Revenue CAGR: -18.36% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ANDE Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle