(ANDE) The Andersons - Ratings and Ratios
Grain, Ethanol, Nutrients, Fertilizer
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.52% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.78% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -5.01% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.5% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.61% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.25 |
| Alpha | -4.22 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.348 |
| Beta | 0.755 |
| Beta Downside | 0.819 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.94% |
| Mean DD | 16.39% |
| Median DD | 14.80% |
Description: ANDE The Andersons November 14, 2025
The Andersons, Inc. (NASDAQ: ANDE) is a diversified agribusiness operating across three segments-Trade, Renewables, and Nutrient & Industrial-serving markets in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Egypt, Switzerland, and other international locations. The Trade segment runs grain elevators, stores and markets commodities (corn, soybeans, wheat, oats, ethanol, corn oil), and provides logistics and risk-management services. The Renewables segment produces, purchases, and sells ethanol and related co-products while offering operational and marketing support to its ethanol plants. The Nutrient & Industrial segment manufactures and distributes a broad portfolio of fertilizer, crop-protection chemicals, turf-care products, and specialty corncob-based items, plus agronomic services for both commercial and family farms.
Key recent metrics underscore the company’s scale and exposure to commodity cycles: FY 2023 revenue reached roughly **$5.5 billion**, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of **≈ 9 %**, driven largely by grain handling volumes of about **20 million bushels** and ethanol output near **200 million gallons**. The segment’s performance is tightly linked to three macro drivers-(1) U.S. corn and soybean price volatility, (2) the federal Renewable Fuel Standard that underpins ethanol demand, and (3) global fertilizer demand trends tied to rising agricultural yields and climate-adaptation practices.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of ANDE’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth a look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (73.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 695.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.44% (prev 10.16%; Δ -4.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 452.0m > Net Income 73.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (688.7m) to EBITDA (312.1m) ratio: 2.21 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (34.2m) change vs 12m ago -0.51% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 5.32% (prev 6.99%; Δ -1.67pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 346.9% (prev 334.9%; Δ 12.01pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.71 (EBITDA TTM 312.1m / Interest Expense TTM 47.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.08
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 1.96b - Total Current Liabilities 1.33b) / Total Assets 3.30b |
| (B) 0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 978.7m / Total Assets 3.30b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 175.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.34b |
| (D) 0.48 = Book Value of Equity 989.6m / Total Liabilities 2.07b |
| Total Rating: 3.08 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.59
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.83% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.02% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.66 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.21 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.83)% |
| 7. RoE 5.57% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -82.94% |
| 9. EPS Trend -14.80% |
What is the price of ANDE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.80%, over one month by +9.64%, over three months by +27.32% and over the past year by +9.42%.
Is ANDE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ANDE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 51.5 | 0.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 51.5 | 0.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 55.7 | 8.5% |
ANDE Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.2066
P/E Forward = 20.9205
P/S = 0.1458
P/B = 1.4345
P/EG = 2.93
Beta = 0.807
Revenue TTM = 11.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 175.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 312.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 569.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 205.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 775.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 688.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.38b USD (1.69b + Debt 775.5m - CCE 86.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.71 (Ebit TTM 175.8m / Interest Expense TTM 47.4m)
FCF Yield = 9.83% (FCF TTM 233.8m / Enterprise Value 2.38b)
FCF Margin = 2.02% (FCF TTM 233.8m / Revenue TTM 11.60b)
Net Margin = 0.63% (Net Income TTM 73.4m / Revenue TTM 11.60b)
Gross Margin = 5.32% ((Revenue TTM 11.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.30% (prev 6.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 2.38b / Total Assets 3.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.62% (Interest Expense 12.6m / Debt 775.5m)
Taxrate = -0.88% (negative due to tax credits) (-228.0k / 25.8m)
NOPAT = 177.4m (EBIT 175.8m * (1 - -0.88%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 1.96b / Total Current Liabilities 1.33b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 775.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.21 (Net Debt 688.7m / EBITDA 312.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.95 (Net Debt 688.7m / FCF TTM 233.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.23% (Net Income 73.4m / Total Assets 3.30b)
RoE = 5.57% (Net Income TTM 73.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.32b)
RoCE = 9.32% (EBIT 175.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.32b + L.T.Debt 569.1m))
RoIC = 8.37% (NOPAT 177.4m / Invested Capital 2.12b)
WACC = 6.55% (E(1.69b)/V(2.47b) * Re(8.80%) + D(775.5m)/V(2.47b) * Rd(1.62%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 8.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.25%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.11% ; FCFE base≈211.7m ; Y1≈139.0m ; Y5≈63.5m
Fair Price DCF = 32.60 (DCF Value 1.10b / Shares Outstanding 33.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -14.80 | EPS CAGR: -7.82% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -82.94 | Revenue CAGR: -8.80% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ANDE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle