(AOUT) American Outdoor Brands - Overview
Stock: Shooting Accessories, Outdoor Cutlery, Optics, Hunting Gear, Camping Equipment
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.34% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.01 |
| Alpha | -65.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.197 |
| Beta Downside | 1.235 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 64.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.06 |
Description: AOUT American Outdoor Brands February 07, 2026
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:AOUT) designs, manufactures, and distributes a broad portfolio of outdoor and shooting-sports products-including firearms accessories, hunting optics, knives, camping gear, and emergency-prep equipment-under multiple brands such as Grilla, Schrade, Crimson Trace, and Performance Center by Smith & Wesson. The company reaches consumers through both e-commerce platforms and traditional wholesale channels in the U.S. and select international markets.
Recent financial snapshots show FY 2025 revenue of approximately **$1.18 billion**, up 3.2 % year-over-year, with e-commerce accounting for **~45 %** of total sales-a share that has risen 7 percentage points since FY 2023. Gross margin stabilized at **38 %**, reflecting modest pricing pressure from inflation-sensitive discretionary spending while benefiting from improved supply-chain efficiencies after the 2022-2023 component shortages.
Key macro drivers for AOUT include the **U.S. outdoor recreation market**, which the Outdoor Industry Association estimates grew **5 % YoY** in 2025, and a **steady increase in hunting-license renewals** (+2.1 % YoY), both of which underpin demand for hunting-related gear. Conversely, higher consumer-price-index (CPI) growth for non-essential goods (averaging **4.8 %** in Q4 2025) introduces downside risk to discretionary purchases, especially for premium-priced accessories.
Given these dynamics, a data-driven analyst would weigh AOUT’s expanding e-commerce footprint against inflation-driven demand elasticity before forming a price target. **For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore ValueRay’s detailed valuation models for AOUT.**
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -5.58m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.86 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 63.86% < 20% (prev 65.27%; Δ -1.41% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -1.35m > Net Income -5.58m |
| Net Debt (30.0m) to EBITDA (4.40m): 6.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.40 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.9m) vs 12m ago -2.08% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.07% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 4363 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 83.77% > 50% (prev 79.33%; Δ 4.44% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -37.27 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.40m / Interest Expense TTM 198.0k) |
Altman Z'' 1.15
| A: 0.55 (Total Current Assets 171.3m - Total Current Liabilities 38.9m) / Total Assets 240.9m |
| B: -0.33 (Retained Earnings -79.5m / Total Assets 240.9m) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -7.38m / Avg Total Assets 247.5m) |
| D: -1.13 (Book Value of Equity -79.4m / Total Liabilities 70.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.15 = BB |
Beneish M -3.21
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 40.3m/43.5m, Revenue 207.3m/201.6m) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 44.07% / 44.67%) |
| AQI: 0.81 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 207.3m / 201.6m) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI -5.58m - CFO -1.35m) / TA 240.9m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.21 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of AOUT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.66%, over one month by +10.04%, over three months by +39.55% and over the past year by -48.14%.
Is AOUT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AOUT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.5 | 35.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 12.5 | 35.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.3 | 0.7% |
AOUT Fundamental Data Overview February 06, 2026
P/S = 0.5842
P/B = 0.6951
Revenue TTM = 207.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -7.38m USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.40m USD
Long Term Debt = 33.1m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.50m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 33.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 151.1m USD (121.1m + Debt 33.1m - CCE 3.11m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -37.27 (Ebit TTM -7.38m / Interest Expense TTM 198.0k)
EV/FCF = -41.13x (Enterprise Value 151.1m / FCF TTM -3.67m)
FCF Yield = -2.43% (FCF TTM -3.67m / Enterprise Value 151.1m)
FCF Margin = -1.77% (FCF TTM -3.67m / Revenue TTM 207.3m)
Net Margin = -2.69% (Net Income TTM -5.58m / Revenue TTM 207.3m)
Gross Margin = 44.07% ((Revenue TTM 207.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 116.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.62% (prev 46.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 151.1m / Total Assets 240.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.23% (Interest Expense 75.0k / Debt 33.1m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 2.08m)
NOPAT = -7.38m (EBIT -7.38m * (1 - 0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.40 (Total Current Assets 171.3m / Total Current Liabilities 38.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 33.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 170.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.82 (Net Debt 30.0m / EBITDA 4.40m)
Debt / FCF = -8.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 30.0m / FCF TTM -3.67m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 173.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.25% (Net Income -5.58m / Total Assets 240.9m)
RoE = -3.21% (Net Income TTM -5.58m / Total Stockholder Equity 173.6m)
RoCE = -3.57% (EBIT -7.38m / Capital Employed (Equity 173.6m + L.T.Debt 33.1m))
RoIC = -4.25% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -7.38m / Invested Capital 173.6m)
WACC = 8.16% (E(121.1m)/V(154.3m) * Re(10.33%) + D(33.1m)/V(154.3m) * Rd(0.23%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 10.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.46%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -3.67m)
EPS Correlation: -23.43 | EPS CAGR: -14.42% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -11.08 | Revenue CAGR: -5.28% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 1
EPS current Year (2026-04-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=+0.070 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-85.5% | Growth Revenue=-13.6%
EPS next Year (2027-04-30): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=-0.095 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+200.0% | Growth Revenue=+8.2%