APA Stock Analysis: APA | NASDAQ
Oil & Gas E&P | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 14.830m USD | 12M Return: 89.3% | US03743Q1085 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 262M
EPS Trend: -24.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 32.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
APA Corporation is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. Its producing assets are concentrated in the United States, Egypt, and the North Sea, with additional exploration and appraisal activity in Suriname and held interests in projects in Uruguay and other international locations. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and was incorporated in 1954.
As a pure-play exploration and production (E&P) operator, APA focuses exclusively on upstream activities-locating and developing hydrocarbon reserves-rather than midstream transportation, refining, or marketing. Its geographic spread across multiple basins and countries is a common risk-management approach within the E&P sector, helping to diversify exposure to country-specific political, operational, and reservoir risks.
- Crude oil price volatility drives quarterly revenue and margin swings
- Permian Basin production growth supports US segment cash flow
- Suriname exploration success unlocks multi-year offshore reserves upside
| Net Income: 1.68b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.47% < 20% (prev -5.53%; Δ 4.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 4.53b > Net Income 1.68b |
| Net Debt (3.58b) to EBITDA (5.73b): 0.62 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.95 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (354.0m) vs 12m ago -2.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.77% > 18% (prev 39.78%; Δ -1.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 49.00% > 50% (prev 55.63%; Δ -6.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.63 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.54b / Interest Expense TTM 260.0m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 2.28b - Total Current Liabilities 2.41b) / Total Assets 18.0b |
| B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 384.0m / Total Assets 18.0b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 3.54b / Avg Total Assets 18.0b) |
| D: 0.70 (Book Value of Equity 7.02b / Total Liabilities 10.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.08 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 1.35b/1.51b, Revenue 8.83b/10.1b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 39.78% / 38.77%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 8.83b / 10.1b) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI 1.68b - CFO 4.53b) / TA 18.0b) |
| Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.68 with a total of 3,957,574 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.20%, over one month by -2.28%, over three months by +35.93% and over the past year by +89.29%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 40.20 (which is 8% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
APA has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.10. Therefore, it is recommended to hold APA.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 46 | 5.2% |
P/E Trailing = 8.9304
P/E Forward = 9.4251
P/S = 1.7301
P/B = 2.1807
P/EG = 1.1785
Revenue TTM = 8.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.54b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.73b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.74b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 138.0m
Net Debt = 3.58b USD (calculated: Debt 4.02b - CCE 444.0m)
Enterprise Value = 18.4b USD (14.8b + Debt 4.02b - CCE 444.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.63 (Ebit TTM 3.54b / Interest Expense TTM 260.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.73x (Enterprise Value 18.4b / FCF TTM 2.11b)
FCF Yield = 11.45% (FCF TTM 2.11b / Enterprise Value 18.4b)
FCF Margin = 23.87% (FCF TTM 2.11b / Revenue TTM 8.83b)
Net Margin = 18.99% (Net Income TTM 1.68b / Revenue TTM 8.83b)
Gross Margin = 38.77% ((Revenue TTM 8.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.41b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 1.08% (prev 77.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 18.4b / Total Assets 18.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.47% (Interest Expense 260.0m / Debt 4.02b)
Taxrate = 36.31% (1.13b / 3.11b)
NOPAT = 2.26b (EBIT 3.54b * (1 - 36.31%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 2.28b / Total Current Liabilities 2.41b)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 4.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.62 (Net Debt 3.58b / EBITDA 5.73b)
Debt / FCF = 1.70 (Net Debt 3.58b / FCF TTM 2.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.30% (Net Income 1.68b / Total Assets 18.0b)
RoE = 26.27% (Net Income TTM 1.68b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.38b)
RoCE = 35.01% (EBIT 3.54b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.38b + L.T.Debt 3.74b))
RoIC = 14.79% (NOPAT 2.26b / Invested Capital 15.3b)
WACC = 6.72% (E(14.8b)/V(18.8b) * Re(7.43%) + D(4.02b)/V(18.8b) * Rd(6.47%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 7.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 21.90 | Cagr: 7.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.92b ; Y1≈2.20b ; Y5≈3.24b
[DCF] Fair Price = 128.8 (EV 48.7b - Net Debt 3.58b = Equity 45.1b / Shares 350.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -24.64 | EPS CAGR: -2.92% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 32.11 | Revenue CAGR: 2.75% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.37 | Chg30d=+12.87% | Revisions=+4% | Analysts=23
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.19 | Chg30d=+7.62% | Revisions=+8% | GrowthEPS=+64.1% | GrowthRev=-1.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.47 | Chg30d=+6.40% | Revisions=+35% | GrowthEPS=-27.8% | GrowthRev=-9.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=37, down=26)