(APEI) American Public Education - Ratings and Ratios
Online Education, Degree Programs, Certificate Programs, Nursing Education
APEI EPS (Earnings per Share)
APEI Revenue
Description: APEI American Public Education
American Public Education, Inc. is a leading provider of online and campus-based postsecondary education in the United States, operating through three distinct segments: American Public University System, Rasmussen University, and Hondros College of Nursing. The company offers a diverse range of academic programs, with 182 degree options and 136 certificate programs across various fields, including nursing, national security, and information technology, catering to the needs of the federal government workforce and other industries.
The companys focus on career learning opportunities, particularly in areas such as leadership, finance, and human resources, positions it well to capitalize on the growing demand for skilled professionals. With a strong presence in online education, American Public Education is poised to benefit from the increasing trend towards online and flexible learning. The companys incorporation in 1991 and headquarters in Charles Town, West Virginia, provide a foundation for its growth and expansion. For more information, visit https://www.apei.com.
Analyzing the technical data, the stocks current price of $30.56 is at its 52-week high, indicating a strong upward trend. The short-term and long-term moving averages (SMA20: $28.55, SMA50: $27.10, SMA200: $21.43) suggest a bullish momentum, with the stock price consistently trading above these averages. The Average True Range (ATR) of 1.24, representing a 4.07% daily volatility, indicates a relatively stable stock. Based on this technical analysis, it is likely that the stock will continue its upward trend, potentially reaching $35.00 in the near term.
From a fundamental perspective, American Public Educations market capitalization of $498.44M USD and a forward P/E ratio of 23.81 suggest a relatively stable and profitable company. The Return on Equity (RoE) of 8.21% indicates a decent return for shareholders. Considering the companys strong academic program offerings, growing demand for online education, and favorable technical indicators, it is forecasted that APEI will continue to grow, driven by its diversified revenue streams and expanding online presence. As the company continues to execute its growth strategy, we predict that the stock price will reach $40.00 by the end of the year, representing a potential upside of 30% from current levels.
APEI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 706m |
| Sub-Industry | Education Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-11-09 |
APEI Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 70.0% |
| Fundamental | 72.0% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 119% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.40 of 5 |
APEI Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAPEI Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 90.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 95.9% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -20.3% |
| CAGR 5y | 46.02% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.64 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 1.92 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.96 |
| Alpha | 132.29 |
| Beta | 1.648 |
| Volatility | 55.48% |
| Current Volume | 144.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 203.7k |
| Stop Loss | 35 (-4.3%) |
| Signal | -0.58 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (28.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 38.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.73pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.59% (prev 23.67%; Δ -0.08pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 67.5m > Net Income 28.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (19.1m) to EBITDA (62.0m) ratio: 0.31 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.83 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (18.0m) change vs 12m ago 2.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 51.97% (prev 50.41%; Δ 1.56pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 117.4% (prev 109.0%; Δ 8.43pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.99 (EBITDA TTM 62.0m / Interest Expense TTM 3.21m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.06
| (A) 0.28 = (Total Current Assets 235.0m - Total Current Liabilities 82.9m) / Total Assets 537.4m |
| (B) -0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -34.7m / Total Assets 537.4m |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 44.9m / Avg Total Assets 549.0m |
| (D) -0.13 = Book Value of Equity -34.5m / Total Liabilities 265.1m |
| Total Rating: 2.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.01
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.93% = 3.46 |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.79% = 1.95 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.72 = 2.25 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.31 = 2.43 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.02)% = -0.03 |
| 7. RoE 9.73% = 0.81 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.59% = 6.27 |
| 9. EPS Trend 47.38% = 2.37 |
What is the price of APEI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.24%, over one month by +1.70%, over three months by +19.35% and over the past year by +152.90%.
Is American Public Education a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of APEI is around 35.96 USD . This means that APEI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.67%.
Is APEI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the APEI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38.5 | 5.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38.5 | 5.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 40.5 | 10.7% |
Last update: 2025-10-04 03:46
APEI Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 36.8491
P/E Forward = 18.4843
P/S = 1.0949
P/B = 2.5743
P/EG = 1.2314
Beta = 1.648
Revenue TTM = 644.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 44.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 62.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 94.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 195.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 19.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 724.8m USD (705.7m + Debt 195.7m - CCE 176.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.99 (Ebit TTM 44.9m / Interest Expense TTM 3.21m)
FCF Yield = 6.93% (FCF TTM 50.2m / Enterprise Value 724.8m)
FCF Margin = 7.79% (FCF TTM 50.2m / Revenue TTM 644.5m)
Net Margin = 4.44% (Net Income TTM 28.6m / Revenue TTM 644.5m)
Gross Margin = 51.97% ((Revenue TTM 644.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 309.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.31% (prev 54.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.35 (Enterprise Value 724.8m / Total Assets 537.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.57% (Interest Expense 1.11m / Debt 195.7m)
Taxrate = 24.02% (1.42m / 5.92m)
NOPAT = 34.1m (EBIT 44.9m * (1 - 24.02%))
Current Ratio = 2.83 (Total Current Assets 235.0m / Total Current Liabilities 82.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.72 (Debt 195.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 272.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.31 (Net Debt 19.1m / EBITDA 62.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.38 (Net Debt 19.1m / FCF TTM 50.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 294.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.33% (Net Income 28.6m / Total Assets 537.4m)
RoE = 9.73% (Net Income TTM 28.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 294.1m)
RoCE = 11.58% (EBIT 44.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 294.1m + L.T.Debt 94.1m))
RoIC = 9.54% (NOPAT 34.1m / Invested Capital 358.0m)
WACC = 9.56% (E(705.7m)/V(901.4m) * Re(12.09%) + D(195.7m)/V(901.4m) * Rd(0.57%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.19% ; FCFE base≈42.7m ; Y1≈45.5m ; Y5≈54.8m
Fair Price DCF = 29.36 (DCF Value 530.5m / Shares Outstanding 18.1m; 5y FCF grow 7.29% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 47.38 | EPS CAGR: 4.67% | SUE: -0.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.59 | Revenue CAGR: 3.13% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 3
Additional Sources for APEI Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle