(APLS) Apellis Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
Therapeutic, Complement, Hemoglobinuria, Macular Degeneration
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 69.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 91.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.35 |
| Alpha | -37.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.528 |
| Beta | 0.930 |
| Beta Downside | 1.365 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 82.47% |
| Mean DD | 49.21% |
| Median DD | 57.56% |
Description: APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals November 09, 2025
Apellis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: APLS) is a commercial-stage biopharma that develops complement-inhibiting therapeutics for high-unmet-need diseases, leveraging its proprietary pegylated C3 inhibitor platform.
Its flagship products are EMPAVELI (pegcetacoplan) for paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) and SYFOVRE for geographic atrophy (GA) secondary to age-related macular degeneration, both of which have received FDA approval and are generating commercial revenue.
The company is expanding EMPAVELI’s label to include several complement-mediated renal disorders (e.g., C3 glomerulopathy, immune-complex MPGN) and is advancing APL-3007, an siRNA therapy, as a next-generation GA candidate.
Strategic collaborations include a long-term license with Swedish Orphan Biovitrum (SOBI) for pegcetacoplan commercialization and a partnership with Beam Therapeutics to apply base-editing technology to complement-driven indications.
Key metrics as of Q3 2024: $215 million in total revenue (≈ 70 % from EMPAVELI), cash and equivalents of $540 million, and an upcoming FDA decision on APL-3007 slated for Q1 2025; the GA market is projected to exceed $5 billion by 2028, driven by an aging global population and increasing AMD prevalence.
For a deeper dive into APLS’s valuation metrics and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a concise analyst toolkit.
APLS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,506m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2017-11-09 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -36.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.09 of 5 |
APLS Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAPLS Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -27.57% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.33 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.56 |
| Current Volume | 2275.3k |
| Average Volume | 2517.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (45.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 61.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 30.22pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 69.97% (prev 89.85%; Δ -19.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 78.9m > Net Income 45.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-364.9m) to EBITDA (93.4m) ratio: -3.91 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (126.0m) change vs 12m ago 1.71% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 88.80% (prev 86.34%; Δ 2.46pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 103.7% (prev 79.30%; Δ 24.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.04 (EBITDA TTM 93.4m / Interest Expense TTM 45.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -8.78
| (A) 0.67 = (Total Current Assets 990.7m - Total Current Liabilities 279.5m) / Total Assets 1.06b |
| (B) -2.79 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.95b / Total Assets 1.06b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.79 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 91.7m / Avg Total Assets 980.3m |
| (D) -4.50 = Book Value of Equity -2.96b / Total Liabilities 657.6m |
| Total Rating: -8.78 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.95
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.67% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.74% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.28 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.91 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.77)% |
| 7. RoE 18.94% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.55% |
| 9. EPS Trend 78.70% |
What is the price of APLS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.36%, over one month by -27.82%, over three months by -26.49% and over the past year by -28.92%.
Is APLS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the APLS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 35.4 | 81.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 35.4 | 81.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.8 | -14.3% |
APLS Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 55.0278
P/E Forward = 46.2963
P/S = 2.466
P/B = 6.3142
Beta = 0.359
Revenue TTM = 1.02b USD
EBIT TTM = 91.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 93.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 361.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 100.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 114.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -364.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.14b USD (2.51b + Debt 114.3m - CCE 479.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.04 (Ebit TTM 91.7m / Interest Expense TTM 45.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.67% (FCF TTM 78.6m / Enterprise Value 2.14b)
FCF Margin = 7.74% (FCF TTM 78.6m / Revenue TTM 1.02b)
Net Margin = 4.43% (Net Income TTM 45.0m / Revenue TTM 1.02b)
Gross Margin = 88.80% ((Revenue TTM 1.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 113.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 94.65% (prev 92.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.02 (Enterprise Value 2.14b / Total Assets 1.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.87% (Interest Expense 11.3m / Debt 114.3m)
Taxrate = 0.28% (602.0k / 216.3m)
NOPAT = 91.4m (EBIT 91.7m * (1 - 0.28%))
Current Ratio = 3.54 (Total Current Assets 990.7m / Total Current Liabilities 279.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 114.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 401.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.91 (Net Debt -364.9m / EBITDA 93.4m)
Debt / FCF = -4.64 (Net Debt -364.9m / FCF TTM 78.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 237.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.25% (Net Income 45.0m / Total Assets 1.06b)
RoE = 18.94% (Net Income TTM 45.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 237.6m)
RoCE = 15.32% (EBIT 91.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 237.6m + L.T.Debt 361.1m))
RoIC = 13.23% (NOPAT 91.4m / Invested Capital 691.3m)
WACC = 9.46% (E(2.51b)/V(2.62b) * Re(9.44%) + D(114.3m)/V(2.62b) * Rd(9.87%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 9.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.58% ; FCFE base≈78.6m ; Y1≈64.5m ; Y5≈46.1m
Fair Price DCF = 5.33 (DCF Value 674.4m / Shares Outstanding 126.5m; 5y FCF grow -21.61% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 78.70 | EPS CAGR: 221.2% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.55 | Revenue CAGR: 198.5% | SUE: 3.41 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for APLS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle