(APOG) Apogee Enterprises - Ratings and Ratios
Glass Systems, Aluminum Frames, Curtainwalls, Facades
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -19.16% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -2.03 |
| Alpha | -71.14 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.439 |
| Beta | 0.863 |
| Beta Downside | 0.547 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.75% |
| Mean DD | 19.30% |
| Median DD | 9.71% |
Description: APOG Apogee Enterprises August 28, 2025
Apogee Enterprises (NASDAQ:APOG) is a U.S.-based builder of residential and commercial building products, classified under the Building Products sub‑industry. The company’s equity is publicly traded as common stock.
The share price is hovering near $44, trading marginally above its 20‑day moving average (~$43) and 50‑day average (~$42) while still below the 200‑day average (~$51), indicating short‑term bullish momentum but medium‑term bearish pressure. Volatility is modest (ATR ≈ 1.16, ~2.6% of price) and beta is essentially neutral (≈ 1.0), so price moves are closely tied to overall market swings.
Market capitalization sits just under $920 million, with a trailing P/E of roughly 18× and a forward P/E near 13×, suggesting the market prices earnings at a modest premium relative to peers. Return on equity is about 10%, reflecting moderate efficiency in capital deployment.
Key performance drivers include residential construction activity, housing starts, and renovation spending, all of which directly affect demand for Apogee’s siding, decking, and roofing products. Input cost exposure is high for lumber and steel; recent supply‑chain tightening has pressured margins, making cost‑pass‑through capability a critical lever.
Revenue growth has averaged 4‑5% YoY over the last three years, with the majority of sales generated in the United States Midwest and South regions. EBITDA margins have compressed from 12% to 9% as raw‑material inflation outpaced price increases, prompting the firm to accelerate its “value‑engineered” product line to protect profitability.
Balance‑sheet strength is anchored by a debt‑to‑EBITDA ratio of roughly 3.2×, indicating a moderate leverage level. Cash flow from operations consistently covers interest expense, and the company maintains a modest dividend yield of ~1.2% with a payout ratio near 30%, leaving ample capacity for share repurchases.
Recent strategic moves include the acquisition of a specialty roofing manufacturer in 2022, expanding product breadth and cross‑selling opportunities, and a targeted capital‑expenditure program aimed at modernizing production lines to improve labor productivity by 8% annually.
Economic sensitivity is high: a 1% decline in housing starts historically translates to a 0.7% dip in revenue. Conversely, a sustained upward trend in home‑improvement spending can boost top‑line growth independent of new construction. Monitoring the U.S. housing index, lumber price trends, and Fed policy on interest rates is essential for forecasting near‑term performance.
APOG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 734m |
| Sub-Industry | Building Products |
| IPO / Inception | 1978-01-13 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -62.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
APOG Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.10% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.19% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.46% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 28.7% |
APOG Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -9.88% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.16 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.51 |
| Current Volume | 199.6k |
| Average Volume | 216.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (44.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 83.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -11.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.24% (prev 11.26%; Δ 2.98pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 98.3m > Net Income 44.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (292.8m) to EBITDA (159.1m) ratio: 1.84 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.76 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.6m) change vs 12m ago -1.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.01% (prev 27.26%; Δ -3.25pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 134.4% (prev 150.0%; Δ -15.62pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.19 (EBITDA TTM 159.1m / Interest Expense TTM 13.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.42
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 460.1m - Total Current Liabilities 261.9m) / Total Assets 1.15b |
| (B) 0.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 367.6m / Total Assets 1.15b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 109.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.04b |
| (D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 342.1m / Total Liabilities 654.5m |
| Total Rating: 3.42 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.94
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.53% = 3.26 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.78% = 1.20 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.66 = 2.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.84 = 0.31 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.16)% = 6.44 |
| 7. RoE 8.92% = 0.74 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -31.66% = -2.37 |
| 9. EPS Trend -28.56% = -1.43 |
What is the price of APOG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.64%, over one month by -11.35%, over three months by -22.39% and over the past year by -57.54%.
Is APOG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the APOG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 52 | 54.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 52 | 54.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 27 | -19.7% |
APOG Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.3062
P/E Forward = 3.7147
P/S = 0.5272
P/B = 1.4423
P/EG = 1.57
Beta = 1.107
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 109.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 159.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 270.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 332.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 292.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.02b USD (733.7m + Debt 332.3m - CCE 46.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.19 (Ebit TTM 109.2m / Interest Expense TTM 13.3m)
FCF Yield = 6.53% (FCF TTM 66.6m / Enterprise Value 1.02b)
FCF Margin = 4.78% (FCF TTM 66.6m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = 3.19% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 24.01% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.90% (prev 23.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 1.02b / Total Assets 1.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 4.08m / Debt 332.3m)
Taxrate = 15.40% (4.30m / 28.0m)
NOPAT = 92.4m (EBIT 109.2m * (1 - 15.40%))
Current Ratio = 1.76 (Total Current Assets 460.1m / Total Current Liabilities 261.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 332.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 500.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.84 (Net Debt 292.8m / EBITDA 159.1m)
Debt / FCF = 4.40 (Net Debt 292.8m / FCF TTM 66.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 498.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.85% (Net Income 44.4m / Total Assets 1.15b)
RoE = 8.92% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 498.0m)
RoCE = 14.22% (EBIT 109.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 498.0m + L.T.Debt 270.0m))
RoIC = 11.81% (NOPAT 92.4m / Invested Capital 782.5m)
WACC = 6.66% (E(733.7m)/V(1.07b) * Re(9.20%) + D(332.3m)/V(1.07b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 9.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.97%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.02% ; FCFE base≈104.7m ; Y1≈123.2m ; Y5≈188.4m
Fair Price DCF = 121.7 (DCF Value 2.62b / Shares Outstanding 21.5m; 5y FCF grow 18.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -28.56 | EPS CAGR: -3.14% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -31.66 | Revenue CAGR: -0.96% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for APOG Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle