ARKO Stock Analysis: Arko | NASDAQ
Specialty Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 527m USD | 12M Return: -3.9% | US0412421085 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 5.97M
EPS Trend: -95.0%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -95.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 8.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Arko Corp. is a small-cap U.S. convenience store operator headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, running its business through four segments: Retail (company-owned stores selling fuel, prepared foods, beverages, tobacco, snacks, grocery, beer, and general merchandise), Wholesale (fuel supply to dealers, sub-wholesalers, and bulk/spot purchasers), Fleet Fueling (cardlock locations and proprietary fuel cards), and GPMP (internal wholesale fuel distribution to its other segments). The companys structure combines direct-to-consumer retail with business-to-business fuel distribution, which is a common dual approach in the convenience store and fuel marketing industry where fuel sales typically generate high volume but thin margins while in-store merchandise drives profitability.
The firm is classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Automotive Retail sub-industry, reflecting its primary exposure to fuel retailing. Arko went public in late 2017 and operates entirely within the United States, with its vertically integrated fuel supply chain (via the GPMP segment) allowing it to serve both its own retail network and external wholesale customers from a single distribution platform.
- Fuel margin volatility drives quarterly earnings swings
- Convenience store acquisitions expand retail footprint nationally
- Wholesale fuel distribution margins face competitive pricing pressure
| Net Income: 14.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.44 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.53% < 20% (prev 3.24%; Δ 0.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 158.1m > Net Income 14.8m |
| Net Debt (3.74b) to EBITDA (242.9m): 15.40 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.60 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (115.9m) vs 12m ago 0.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.43% > 18% (prev 4.78%; Δ 11.65% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 221.4% > 50% (prev 224.4%; Δ -3.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 112.4m / Interest Expense TTM 86.6m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 744.5m - Total Current Liabilities 464.2m) / Total Assets 3.56b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 90.4m / Total Assets 3.56b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 112.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.58b) |
| D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 502.1m / Total Liabilities 2.99b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.99 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.37 (Receivables 151.1m/112.3m, Revenue 7.93b/8.10b) |
| GMI: 0.29 (GM 4.78% / 16.43%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 7.93b / 8.10b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 14.8m - CFO 158.1m) / TA 3.56b) |
| Beneish M = -3.39 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.67 with a total of 605,744 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.42%, over one month by -41.25%, over three months by -37.33% and over the past year by -3.88%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 4.10 (which is 12.2% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Arko has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARKO.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 9 | 92.7% |
P/E Trailing = 58.75
P/S = 0.0766
P/B = 1.3155
Revenue TTM = 7.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 112.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 242.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 658.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 103.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.66b
Net Debt = 3.74b USD (calculated: Debt 3.99b - CCE 253.7m)
Enterprise Value = 4.27b USD (527.3m + Debt 3.99b - CCE 253.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.30 (Ebit TTM 112.4m / Interest Expense TTM 86.6m)
EV/FCF = 107.0x (Enterprise Value 4.27b / FCF TTM 39.9m)
FCF Yield = 0.93% (FCF TTM 39.9m / Enterprise Value 4.27b)
FCF Margin = 0.50% (FCF TTM 39.9m / Revenue TTM 7.93b)
Net Margin = 0.19% (Net Income TTM 14.8m / Revenue TTM 7.93b)
Gross Margin = 16.43% ((Revenue TTM 7.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.35% (prev 3.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 4.27b / Total Assets 3.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.17% (Interest Expense 86.6m / Debt 3.99b)
Taxrate = 25.65% (6.61m / 25.8m)
NOPAT = 83.5m (EBIT 112.4m * (1 - 25.65%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 744.5m / Total Current Liabilities 464.2m)
Debt / Equity = 7.95 (Debt 3.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 502.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.40 (Net Debt 3.74b / EBITDA 242.9m)
Debt / FCF = 93.75 (Net Debt 3.74b / FCF TTM 39.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 434.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.41% (Net Income 14.8m / Total Assets 3.56b)
RoE = 3.40% (Net Income TTM 14.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 434.5m)
RoCE = 10.28% (EBIT 112.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 434.5m + L.T.Debt 658.5m))
RoIC = 2.84% (NOPAT 83.5m / Invested Capital 2.94b)
WACC = 2.65% (E(527.3m)/V(4.52b) * Re(10.48%) + D(3.99b)/V(4.52b) * Rd(2.17%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -70.03 | Cagr: -0.53%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈60.9m ; Y1≈53.4m ; Y5≈43.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 692.2m - Net Debt 3.74b = -3.05b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -95.00 | EPS CAGR: -46.22% | SUE: -3.08 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -95.02 | Revenue CAGR: -8.57% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-14.29% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-62.07% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-26.7% | GrowthRev=+0.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=-66.67% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+18.2% | GrowthRev=-3.7%