ARKO Stock Analysis: Arko | NASDAQ
Specialty Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 902m USD | 12M Return: 78.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.16M
EPS Trend: -87.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -93.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 8.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Arko Corp. is a small-cap U.S. convenience store operator headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, running its business through four segments: Retail (company-owned stores selling fuel, prepared foods, beverages, tobacco, snacks, grocery, beer, and general merchandise), Wholesale (fuel supply to dealers, sub-wholesalers, and bulk/spot purchasers), Fleet Fueling (cardlock locations and proprietary fuel cards), and GPMP (internal wholesale fuel distribution to its other segments). The companys structure combines direct-to-consumer retail with business-to-business fuel distribution, which is a common dual approach in the convenience store and fuel marketing industry where fuel sales typically generate high volume but thin margins while in-store merchandise drives profitability.
The firm is classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Automotive Retail sub-industry, reflecting its primary exposure to fuel retailing. Arko went public in late 2017 and operates entirely within the United States, with its vertically integrated fuel supply chain (via the GPMP segment) allowing it to serve both its own retail network and external wholesale customers from a single distribution platform.
- Fuel margin volatility drives quarterly earnings swings
- Convenience store acquisitions expand retail footprint nationally
- Wholesale fuel distribution margins face competitive pricing pressure
| Net Income: 28.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.85 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.88% < 20% (prev 3.02%; Δ 0.86% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 167.9m > Net Income 28.8m |
| Net Debt (3.71b) to EBITDA (268.5m): 13.80 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (111.3m) vs 12m ago -3.93% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.77% > 18% (prev 4.63%; Δ 7.14% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 211.3% > 50% (prev 235.6%; Δ -24.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.52 > 6 (EBIT TTM 136.6m / Interest Expense TTM 89.9m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 769.7m - Total Current Liabilities 475.1m) / Total Assets 3.58b |
| B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 89.1m / Total Assets 3.58b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 136.6m / Avg Total Assets 3.59b) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 495.4m / Total Liabilities 3.02b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.05 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.63 (Receivables 160.3m/110.0m, Revenue 7.59b/8.49b) |
| GMI: 0.39 (GM 4.63% / 11.77%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 0.89 (Revenue 7.59b / 8.49b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 28.8m - CFO 167.9m) / TA 3.58b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.07 with a total of 359,683 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.37%, over one month by +0.00%, over three months by +48.98% and over the past year by +78.26%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.60 (which is 5.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Arko has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARKO.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.5 | 5.3% |
P/E Trailing = 40.2
P/S = 0.139
P/B = 2.3152
Revenue TTM = 7.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 136.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 268.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 691.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.00b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.65b
Net Debt = 3.71b USD (calculated: Debt 4.00b - CCE 296.4m)
Enterprise Value = 4.61b USD (902.0m + Debt 4.00b - CCE 296.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.52 (Ebit TTM 136.6m / Interest Expense TTM 89.9m)
EV/FCF = 122.5x (Enterprise Value 4.61b / FCF TTM 37.6m)
FCF Yield = 0.82% (FCF TTM 37.6m / Enterprise Value 4.61b)
FCF Margin = 0.50% (FCF TTM 37.6m / Revenue TTM 7.59b)
Net Margin = 0.38% (Net Income TTM 28.8m / Revenue TTM 7.59b)
Gross Margin = 11.77% ((Revenue TTM 7.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.69b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 3.05% (prev 34.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.29 (Enterprise Value 4.61b / Total Assets 3.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.25% (Interest Expense 89.9m / Debt 4.00b)
Taxrate = 35.99% (16.8m / 46.6m)
NOPAT = 87.4m (EBIT 136.6m * (1 - 35.99%))
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 769.7m / Total Current Liabilities 475.1m)
Debt / Equity = 8.08 (Debt 4.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 495.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.80 (Net Debt 3.71b / EBITDA 268.5m)
Debt / FCF = 98.55 (Net Debt 3.71b / FCF TTM 37.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 400.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.80% (Net Income 28.8m / Total Assets 3.58b)
RoE = 7.19% (Net Income TTM 28.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 400.2m)
RoCE = 12.52% (EBIT 136.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 400.2m + L.T.Debt 691.0m))
RoIC = 3.01% (NOPAT 87.4m / Invested Capital 2.91b)
WACC = 3.05% (E(902.0m)/V(4.90b) * Re(10.21%) + D(4.00b)/V(4.90b) * Rd(2.25%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 10.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -73.33 | Cagr: -2.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈78.7m ; Y1≈69.0m ; Y5≈55.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 895.4m - Net Debt 3.71b = -2.81b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -87.58 | EPS CAGR: -33.58% | SUE: 2.00 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -93.91 | Revenue CAGR: -8.38% | SUE: 1.80 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-22.22% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=+11.54% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+93.3% | GrowthRev=-2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=+8.33% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+34.5% | GrowthRev=-1.1%