(ARLP) Alliance Resource Partners - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US01877R1086
Stock: Coal, Bituminous, Mining, Royalties, Terminal
Total Rating 35
Risk 79
Buy Signal -0.78
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 10.13% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 74.93% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 59.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 122.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.22% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.37 |
| Alpha | -11.76 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.335 |
| Beta Downside | 0.291 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.83% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.77 |
Description: ARLP Alliance Resource Partners January 12, 2026
Alliance Resource Partners L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) is a diversified natural-resource firm that mines and markets bituminous coal to U.S. utilities and steel producers, while also generating royalty income from oil-&-gas and coal assets.
The business runs four segments-Illinois Basin Coal Operations, Appalachia Coal Operations, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties-across seven underground mines in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania and West Virginia, plus a coal-loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mt. Vernon, Indiana.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): adjusted EBITDA of $310 million, net debt of $1.1 billion (≈3.5 × EBITDA), and total coal production of 12.4 million short tons, down 6 % YoY as utilities shift toward natural gas and renewables. The sector’s primary driver remains the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s forecast that coal-generated electricity will fall 15 % through 2028, while steel-grade coal demand stays relatively flat, creating a price-support niche for high-quality metallurgical coal.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation, you may find the ARLP screen on ValueRay worth a look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income: 318.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.08 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.25% < 20% (prev 14.55%; Δ -4.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 675.7m > Net Income 318.7m |
| Net Debt (-56.1m) to EBITDA (686.3m): -0.08 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.90 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (128.4m) vs 12m ago 0.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.99% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 1876 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 75.73% > 50% (prev 81.92%; Δ -6.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4697 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 686.3m / Interest Expense TTM 45.8m) |
Beneish M -4.00
| DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 172.2m/208.7m, Revenue 2.25b/2.48b) |
| GMI: 1.22 (GM 18.99% / 23.22%) |
| AQI: -9.63 (AQ_t -0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.08) |
| SGI: 0.91 (Revenue 2.25b / 2.48b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 318.7m - CFO 675.7m) / TA 2.91b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -9.40 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of ARLP shares?
As of January 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 24.27 with a total of 429,197 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.31%, over one month by +5.06%, over three months by +3.10% and over the past year by -6.94%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.31%, over one month by +5.06%, over three months by +3.10% and over the past year by -6.94%.
Is ARLP a buy, sell or hold?
Alliance Resource Partners has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARLP.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARLP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 31 | 27.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 31 | 27.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 31.2 | 28.7% |
ARLP Fundamental Data Overview January 29, 2026
P/E Trailing = 12.9259
P/E Forward = 9.434
P/S = 1.3948
P/B = 1.7312
P/EG = -1.04
Revenue TTM = 2.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 215.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 686.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 433.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 23.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 38.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -56.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.08b USD (3.14b + Debt 38.4m - CCE 94.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4697 (Ebit TTM 215.22b / Interest Expense TTM 45.8m)
EV/FCF = 8.47x (Enterprise Value 3.08b / FCF TTM 364.0m)
FCF Yield = 11.81% (FCF TTM 364.0m / Enterprise Value 3.08b)
FCF Margin = 16.18% (FCF TTM 364.0m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Net Margin = 14.17% (Net Income TTM 318.7m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Gross Margin = 18.99% ((Revenue TTM 2.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.11% (prev 22.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 3.08b / Total Assets 2.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 28.71% (Interest Expense 11.0m / Debt 38.4m)
Taxrate = 5.73% (5.89m / 102.7m)
NOPAT = 202.89b (EBIT 215.22b * (1 - 5.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 486.1m / Total Current Liabilities 255.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 38.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.08 (Net Debt -56.1m / EBITDA 686.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.15 (Net Debt -56.1m / FCF TTM 364.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.73% (Net Income 318.7m / Total Assets 2.91b)
RoE = 15.85% (Net Income TTM 318.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.01b)
RoCE = 8805 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT 215.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.01b + L.T.Debt 433.1m))
RoIC = 8910 % (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT 202.89b / Invested Capital 2.28b)
WACC = 7.39% (E(3.14b)/V(3.18b) * Re(7.15%) + D(38.4m)/V(3.18b) * Rd(28.71%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 7.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.51%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.42% ; FCFF base≈332.9m ; Y1≈333.7m ; Y5≈355.1m
Fair Price DCF = 55.59 (EV 7.08b - Net Debt -56.1m = Equity 7.14b / Shares 128.4m; r=7.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.27% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -17.34 | EPS CAGR: 16.53% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 9.24 | Revenue CAGR: 5.14% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.68 | Chg30d=-0.180 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+13.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.7%
P/E Forward = 9.434
P/S = 1.3948
P/B = 1.7312
P/EG = -1.04
Revenue TTM = 2.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 215.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 686.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 433.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 23.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 38.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -56.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.08b USD (3.14b + Debt 38.4m - CCE 94.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4697 (Ebit TTM 215.22b / Interest Expense TTM 45.8m)
EV/FCF = 8.47x (Enterprise Value 3.08b / FCF TTM 364.0m)
FCF Yield = 11.81% (FCF TTM 364.0m / Enterprise Value 3.08b)
FCF Margin = 16.18% (FCF TTM 364.0m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Net Margin = 14.17% (Net Income TTM 318.7m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Gross Margin = 18.99% ((Revenue TTM 2.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.11% (prev 22.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 3.08b / Total Assets 2.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 28.71% (Interest Expense 11.0m / Debt 38.4m)
Taxrate = 5.73% (5.89m / 102.7m)
NOPAT = 202.89b (EBIT 215.22b * (1 - 5.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 486.1m / Total Current Liabilities 255.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 38.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.08 (Net Debt -56.1m / EBITDA 686.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.15 (Net Debt -56.1m / FCF TTM 364.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.73% (Net Income 318.7m / Total Assets 2.91b)
RoE = 15.85% (Net Income TTM 318.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.01b)
RoCE = 8805 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT 215.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.01b + L.T.Debt 433.1m))
RoIC = 8910 % (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT 202.89b / Invested Capital 2.28b)
WACC = 7.39% (E(3.14b)/V(3.18b) * Re(7.15%) + D(38.4m)/V(3.18b) * Rd(28.71%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 7.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.51%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.42% ; FCFF base≈332.9m ; Y1≈333.7m ; Y5≈355.1m
Fair Price DCF = 55.59 (EV 7.08b - Net Debt -56.1m = Equity 7.14b / Shares 128.4m; r=7.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -0.27% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -17.34 | EPS CAGR: 16.53% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 9.24 | Revenue CAGR: 5.14% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.68 | Chg30d=-0.180 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+13.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.7%