Overview Dividends

(ARLP) Alliance Resource Partners - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US01877R1086

Coal, Royalties, Terminal, Technology, Export

ARLP EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -26.08%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -75.7%

ARLP Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -7.15%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -91.5%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	23.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	39.8%
Relative Tail Risk	0.96%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.10
Alpha	0.14

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.586
Beta	0.330
Beta Downside	0.388

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	22.93%
Mean DD	7.99%
Median DD	7.32%

Description: ARLP Alliance Resource Partners November 09, 2025

Alliance Resource Partners L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) is a diversified natural-resource firm that primarily produces and markets bituminous coal to U.S. electric utilities and steel manufacturers. Its operations are organized into four segments: Illinois Basin Coal, Appalachia Coal, Oil & Gas Royalties, and Coal Royalties.

The company runs seven underground mining complexes across Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia, and it operates a coal-loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mt. Vernon, Indiana. In addition to mining, ARLP generates ancillary revenue by leasing oil-and-gas mineral interests, leasing coal reserves to its own mines, and offering mining-technology solutions such as proximity-detection, collision-avoidance, and data-analytics platforms.

Key recent metrics: ARLP produced roughly 15 million short tons of coal in 2023, a 4 % decline from 2022, while adjusted EBITDA fell to about $150 million due to lower thermal-coal prices and higher operating costs. The firm’s cash-flow generation remains sensitive to U.S. power-plant fuel-mix decisions and to steel-industry demand, both of which are being reshaped by the ongoing transition to lower-carbon energy sources and by recent EPA regulations on coal-combustion emissions.

Given the volatility in coal pricing, the company’s exposure to regulatory risk, and the modest upside from its royalty and technology businesses, a granular scenario analysis is essential before forming an investment view. For a deeper dive into ARLP’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful.

ARLP Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	3,134m
Sub-Industry	Coal & Consumable Fuels
IPO / Inception	1999-08-17
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-11.1%
Analyst Rating	5.0 of 5

ARLP Dividends

Dividend Yield	10.41%
Yield on Cost 5y	111.59%
Yield CAGR 5y	62.66%
Payout Consistency	92.9%
Payout Ratio	122.6%

ARLP Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	17.69%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.77
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	2.21
Current Volume	657k
Average Volume	291.1k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (318.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 135.0m TTM)

FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.08pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 10.25% (prev 14.55%; Δ -4.30pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 675.7m > Net Income 318.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-56.1m) to EBITDA (686.3m) ratio: -0.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (128.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 18.99% (prev 23.22%; Δ -4.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 75.73% (prev 81.92%; Δ -6.19pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 4697 (EBITDA TTM 686.3m / Interest Expense TTM 45.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.71

1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0

2. FCF Yield 11.83% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 16.18% = 4.05

4. Debt/Equity 0.02 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.08 = 2.50

7. RoE 15.85% = 1.32

8. Rev. Trend -91.53% = -6.87

9. EPS Trend -75.73% = -3.79

What is the price of ARLP shares?

As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 24.98 with a total of 656,969 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.38%, over one month by -0.22%, over three months by +0.49% and over the past year by +1.91%.

Is Alliance Resource Partners a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Alliance Resource Partners is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 56.71 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ARLP is around 29.49 USD . This means that ARLP is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +18.05% (Margin of Safety).

Is ARLP a buy, sell or hold?

Alliance Resource Partners has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARLP.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 0
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARLP price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	31	24.1%
Analysts Target Price	31	24.1%
ValueRay Target Price	32.6	30.4%

ARLP Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025

Market Cap USD = 3.13b (3.13b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.9101
P/E Forward = 9.8039
P/S = 1.3931
P/B = 1.8321
P/EG = -1.04
Beta = 0.27
Revenue TTM = 2.25b USD
EBIT TTM = 215.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 686.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 450.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 23.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 38.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -56.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.08b USD (3.13b + Debt 38.4m - CCE 94.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4697 (Ebit TTM 215.22b / Interest Expense TTM 45.8m)
FCF Yield = 11.83% (FCF TTM 364.0m / Enterprise Value 3.08b)
FCF Margin = 16.18% (FCF TTM 364.0m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Net Margin = 14.17% (Net Income TTM 318.7m / Revenue TTM 2.25b)
Gross Margin = 18.99% ((Revenue TTM 2.25b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.11% (prev 22.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 3.08b / Total Assets 2.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 28.71% (Interest Expense 11.0m / Debt 38.4m)
Taxrate = 5.73% (5.89m / 102.7m)
NOPAT = 202.89b (EBIT 215.22b * (1 - 5.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 486.1m / Total Current Liabilities 255.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 38.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.08 (Net Debt -56.1m / EBITDA 686.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.15 (Net Debt -56.1m / FCF TTM 364.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.96% (Net Income 318.7m / Total Assets 2.91b)
RoE = 15.85% (Net Income TTM 318.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.01b)
RoCE = 8741 % (out of range, set to none) (EBIT 215.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.01b + L.T.Debt 450.9m))
RoIC = 8899 % (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT 202.89b / Invested Capital 2.28b)
WACC = 7.47% (E(3.13b)/V(3.17b) * Re(7.23%) + D(38.4m)/V(3.17b) * Rd(28.71%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 7.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.51%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.33% ; FCFE base≈332.9m ; Y1≈333.8m ; Y5≈356.0m
Fair Price DCF = 49.01 (DCF Value 6.29b / Shares Outstanding 128.4m; 5y FCF grow -0.27% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -75.73 | EPS CAGR: -26.08% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.53 | Revenue CAGR: -7.15% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ARLP Stock

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