ARQQ Stock Analysis: Arqit Quantum | NASDAQ

Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 383m USD | 12M Return: -29.2% | KYG0567U1278 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Cybersecurity, Encryption Keys, Satellite Platforms, Cloud Platform
Total Rating 16
Safety 35
Buy Signal -0.21
Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +6.6
Market Cap: 383M
Avg Turnover: 6.27M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility138%
VaR 5th Pctl20.9%
VaR vs Median-8.19%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.23
Rel. Str. IBD48.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group57.1
Character TTM
Beta2.585
Beta Downside0.014
Hurst Exponent0.556
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD86.70%
CAGR/Max DD-0.06
CAGR/Mean DD-0.10

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Extended 1w
Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 5.2 years of data

Jan -22.1% 23
Feb -25.0% 30
Mar +13.6% 23
Apr -3.6% 10
May +25.6% 12
Jun -0.7% 9
Jul -1.5% 0
Aug -6.5% 22
Sep -9.6% 22
Oct -3.3% 20
Nov +65.0% 23
Dec -5.3% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ARQQ Arqit Quantum

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) is a UK-based cybersecurity company that delivers encryption services via both satellite and terrestrial platforms. Its flagship offering, QuantumCloud, is a platform-as-a-service that generates symmetric software encryption keys designed to resist attacks from quantum computers. The company also provides maintenance, support, and professional services to complement its core product. Arqit maintains a strategic collaboration with RAD to develop quantum-safe encryption solutions tailored for telecom networks and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

Arqit operates within the Application Software segment of the Information Technology sector, a space that includes providers of specialized security and enterprise software. The companys subscription-based platform model aligns with broader industry trends toward cloud-delivered, as-a-service cybersecurity offerings, which allow customers to scale usage without deploying on-premises hardware.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Government defense contracts expand for quantum-safe encryption
  • Telecom partnerships accelerate QuantumCloud platform adoption
  • Cash burn and share dilution concerns persist amid limited revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: -51.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -1.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -22.19 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 2.35k% < 20% (prev 6.53k%; Δ -4.18k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -1.15 > 3% & CFO -41.7m > Net Income -51.2m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 4.88 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (16.6m) vs 12m ago 227.7% < -2%
Gross Margin: 9.30% > 18% (prev -393.8%; Δ 403.1% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 3.31% > 50% (prev 0.82%; Δ 2.49% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -742.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM -51.2m / Interest Expense TTM 69.0k)
Altman Z'' -15.00
A: 0.71 (Total Current Assets 32.2m - Total Current Liabilities 6.59m) / Total Assets 36.2m
B: -6.62 (Retained Earnings -240.1m / Total Assets 36.2m)
C: -1.56 (EBIT TTM -51.2m / Avg Total Assets 32.8m)
D: 3.69 (Book Value of Equity 28.5m / Total Liabilities 7.73m)
Altman-Z'' = -23.59 = D
Beneish M -1.11
DSRI: 0.41 (Receivables 3.30m/1.79m, Revenue 1.09m/241k)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 4.51 (Revenue 1.09m / 241k)
TATA: -0.26 (NI -51.2m - CFO -41.7m) / TA 36.2m)
Beneish M = -1.11 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of ARQQ shares?

As of August 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 22.90 with a total of 256,709 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +33.68%, over one month by +15.42%, over three months by +48.41% and over the past year by -29.19%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 16.60 (which is 27.5% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).

Is ARQQ a buy, sell or hold?

Arqit Quantum has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ARQQ.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ARQQ price?
Analysts Target Price 60 162%
Arqit Quantum (ARQQ) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 382.5m (382.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 18.7266
P/S = 352.2145
P/B = 10.4579
Revenue TTM = 1.09m USD
EBIT TTM = -51.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -50.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.14m USD (estimated: total debt 2.17m - short term 1.03m)
Short Term Debt = 1.03m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.17m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 2.17m already included)
Net Debt = -26.7m USD (calculated: Debt 2.17m - CCE 28.9m)
Enterprise Value = 355.8m USD (382.5m + Debt 2.17m - CCE 28.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -742.7 (Ebit TTM -51.2m / Interest Expense TTM 69.0k)
EV/FCF = -8.53x (Enterprise Value 355.8m / FCF TTM -41.7m)
FCF Yield = -11.72% (FCF TTM -41.7m / Enterprise Value 355.8m)
 FCF Margin = -3.84k% (FCF TTM -41.7m / Revenue TTM 1.09m)
 Net Margin = -4.72k% (Net Income TTM -51.2m / Revenue TTM 1.09m)
 Gross Margin = 9.30% ((Revenue TTM 1.09m - Cost of Revenue TTM 985k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -6.74% (prev 30.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.82 (Enterprise Value 355.8m / Total Assets 36.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.18% (Interest Expense 69.0k / Debt 2.17m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -40.5m (EBIT -51.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 4.88 (Total Current Assets 32.2m / Total Current Liabilities 6.59m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 2.17m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 28.5m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.53 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -26.7m / EBITDA -50.3m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.64 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -26.7m / FCF TTM -41.7m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 21.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
 RoA = -156.1% (out of range, set to none)
 RoE = -233.6% (Net Income TTM -51.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 21.9m)
 RoCE = -222.2% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -51.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 21.9m + L.T.Debt 1.14m))
 RoIC = -132.2% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -40.5m / Invested Capital 30.6m)
 WACC = 15.01% (E(382.5m)/V(384.7m) * Re(15.08%) + D(2.17m)/V(384.7m) * Rd(3.18%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -44.50 | Cagr: -59.32%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -41.7m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.01 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 42.08 | Revenue CAGR: 36.20% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2025-09-30): EPS=-2.55 | Chg30d=+20.81% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+83.3%
EPS next Year (2026-09-30): EPS=-1.52 | Chg30d=+7.88% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+29.8% | GrowthRev=+368.3%