(ARWR) Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
Plozasiran, Olpasiran, Fazirsiran, Zodasiran, Daplusiran
ARWR EPS (Earnings per Share)
ARWR Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 60.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 95.3% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.18 |
| Alpha Jensen | 70.04 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.453 |
| Beta | 1.310 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 75.86% |
| Mean DD | 35.81% |
Description: ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals November 10, 2025
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ARWR) focuses on RNA-targeted medicines for hard-to-treat diseases. Its late-stage portfolio includes three Phase 3 candidates-Plozasiran (hypertriglyceridemia, dyslipidemia, familial chylomicronemia syndrome), Olpasiran (apo-A reduction) and Fazirsiran (alpha-1 antitrypsin-related liver disease)-plus a suite of Phase 2/1 programs targeting metabolic, hepatic, pulmonary and rare-disease indications. The company leverages a network of collaborations with GlaxoSmithKline, Horizon Therapeutics, Takeda and Amgen to co-develop and commercialize its RNAi platform.
As of the most recent filing, Arrowhead reported a market capitalization of roughly $2.5 billion and cash and equivalents of $300 million, giving it an estimated 12-month runway at current burn rates (~$200 million FY 2023 R&D spend). The biotech sector’s revenue growth is projected at a 10 % CAGR through 2029, driven by expanding demand for gene-silencing therapeutics and favorable reimbursement trends for rare-disease treatments-factors that could amplify ARWR’s upside if its Phase 3 readouts meet primary endpoints.
For a deeper dive into Arrowhead’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find the research tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
ARWR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,424m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 1993-06-16 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 66.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.13 of 5 |
ARWR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidARWR Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 9.45% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.12 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.26 |
| Current Volume | 1987.9k |
| Average Volume | 1632.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-148.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 35.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 58.92pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 126.1% (prev 1798 %; Δ -1672 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 21.8m > Net Income -148.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 4.87 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (139.0m) change vs 12m ago 11.95% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 94.78% (prev 11.29%; Δ 83.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 52.69% (prev 2.22%; Δ 50.47pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.91 (EBITDA TTM -52.5m / Interest Expense TTM 82.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.61
| (A) 0.54 = (Total Current Assets 946.9m - Total Current Liabilities 194.5m) / Total Assets 1.38b |
| (B) -1.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.60b / Total Assets 1.38b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.16 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.07 = EBIT TTM -75.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.13b |
| (D) -1.86 = Book Value of Equity -1.60b / Total Liabilities 860.8m |
| Total Rating: -2.61 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 34.88
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.34% = -0.17 |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.95% = -1.11 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.37 = 1.63 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.33 = 2.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -21.05)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -41.19% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -12.25% = -0.92 |
| 9. EPS Trend 10.49% = 0.52 |
What is the price of ARWR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.75%, over one month by +14.26%, over three months by +132.70% and over the past year by +92.56%.
Is Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ARWR is around 41.48 USD . This means that ARWR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 0.14%.
Is ARWR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARWR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.5 | 14.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.5 | 14.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 46.9 | 13.2% |
ARWR Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Forward = 111.1111
P/S = 9.6157
P/B = 9.1587
P/EG = -1.32
Beta = 1.31
Revenue TTM = 596.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -75.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -52.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 200.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 47.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 713.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -17.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.24b USD (5.42b + Debt 713.3m - CCE 900.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.91 (Ebit TTM -75.1m / Interest Expense TTM 82.3m)
FCF Yield = -0.34% (FCF TTM -17.6m / Enterprise Value 5.24b)
FCF Margin = -2.95% (FCF TTM -17.6m / Revenue TTM 596.6m)
Net Margin = -24.88% (Net Income TTM -148.4m / Revenue TTM 596.6m)
Gross Margin = 94.78% ((Revenue TTM 596.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 31.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.59% (prev 98.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.79 (Enterprise Value 5.24b / Total Assets 1.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.42% (Interest Expense 24.4m / Debt 713.3m)
Taxrate = -1.69% (negative due to tax credits) (2.97m / -175.7m)
NOPAT = -76.3m (EBIT -75.1m * (1 - -1.69%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 4.87 (Total Current Assets 946.9m / Total Current Liabilities 194.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.37 (Debt 713.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 519.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.33 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -17.1m / EBITDA -52.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.97 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -17.1m / FCF TTM -17.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 360.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.75% (Net Income -148.4m / Total Assets 1.38b)
RoE = -41.19% (Net Income TTM -148.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 360.3m)
RoCE = -13.39% (EBIT -75.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 360.3m + L.T.Debt 200.3m))
RoIC = -11.06% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -76.3m / Invested Capital 690.1m)
WACC = 9.98% (E(5.42b)/V(6.14b) * Re(10.84%) + D(713.3m)/V(6.14b) * Rd(3.42%) * (1-Tc(-0.02)))
Discount Rate = 10.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 13.77%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -17.6m)
EPS Correlation: 10.49 | EPS CAGR: 11.54% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -12.25 | Revenue CAGR: -4.57% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ARWR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle