ASLE Stock Analysis: AerSale | NASDAQ

Airports & Air Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 309m USD | 12M Return: 2.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Used Aircraft, Spare Engines, Airframe Parts, Maintenance Services
Total Rating 25
Safety 76
Buy Signal -0.87
Airports & Air Services
Industry Rotation: -4.4
Market Cap: 309M
Avg Turnover: 3.18M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.8%
VaR 5th Pctl5.83%
VaR vs Median-3.04%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.18
Rel. Str. IBD12.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group28
Character TTM
Beta0.731
Beta Downside0.730
Hurst Exponent0.599
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD72.22%
CAGR/Max DD-0.37
CAGR/Mean DD-0.53
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ASLE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.47, "2021-09": 0.22, "2021-12": 0.31, "2022-03": 0.41, "2022-06": 0.56, "2022-09": -0.03, "2022-12": 0.23, "2023-03": 0.07, "2023-06": -0.01, "2023-09": 0.03, "2023-12": -0.02, "2024-03": 0.11, "2024-06": -0.05, "2024-09": 0.04, "2024-12": 0.09, "2025-03": -0.05, "2025-06": 0.18, "2025-09": 0.04, "2025-12": 0.16, "2026-03": -0.07,
EPS CAGR: 21.66%
EPS Trend: 22.3%
Last SUE: -0.50
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ASLE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 91.921, 2021-09: 73.298, 2021-12: 116.783, 2022-03: 122.806, 2022-06: 139.608, 2022-09: 50.999, 2022-12: 95.131, 2023-03: 78.271, 2023-06: 69.326, 2023-09: 92.484, 2023-12: 94.422, 2024-03: 90.54, 2024-06: 77.101, 2024-09: 82.684, 2024-12: 94.741, 2025-03: 65.776, 2025-06: 107.382, 2025-09: 71.191, 2025-12: 90.937, 2026-03: 70.614,
Rev. CAGR: 2.06%
Rev. Trend: 36.7%
Last SUE: -1.09
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 7.4 years of data

Jan +6.1% 19
Feb +2.8% 31
Mar -1.4% 9
Apr -1.6% 9
May -3.2% 27
Jun -0.1% 9
Jul +0.6% 15
Aug +3.9% 20
Sep +0.3% 2
Oct +7.2% 21
Nov -10.8% 20
Dec +1.4% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ASLE AerSale

AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ: ASLE) is an integrated aftermarket provider for the commercial and defense aviation sectors. The company operates through two primary segments: Asset Management Solutions, which handles the acquisition, leasing, and disassembly of aircraft and engines, and Technical Operations (TechOps), which focuses on maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services alongside specialized engineering solutions.

The business model relies on a whole-asset lifecycle strategy, extracting value from mid-life aircraft through continued operation, leasing, or parts harvesting. In the aerospace industry, this vertical integration allows firms to mitigate supply chain volatility by maintaining an internal inventory of flight-ready components and engines. The TechOps segment further diversifies revenue via high-margin proprietary modifications, such as cargo conversions and engineered safety systems.

Investors may find it useful to examine the companys valuation metrics on ValueRay to better understand its market position. Headquartered in Doral, Florida, AerSale serves a global client base including passenger airlines, cargo carriers, and government contractors.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Aerobatic flight vision system FAA certification and commercial adoption
  • USM parts availability and feedstock acquisition costs impact margins
  • TechOps segment revenue growth from heavy maintenance and cargo conversions
  • Asset Management segment profitability tied to aircraft and engine sales volume
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 11.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.51 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 60.76% < 20% (prev 80.15%; Δ -19.39% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -4.41m > Net Income 11.9m
Net Debt (200.3m) to EBITDA (42.2m): 4.74 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.74 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.2m) vs 12m ago -9.74% < -2%
Gross Margin: 31.37% > 18% (prev 29.07%; Δ 2.30% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.76% > 50% (prev 49.58%; Δ 2.19% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 21.3m / Interest Expense TTM 9.28m)
Altman Z'' 4.76
A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 282.0m - Total Current Liabilities 75.3m) / Total Assets 668.1m
B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 144.2m / Total Assets 668.1m)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 21.3m / Avg Total Assets 657.1m)
D: 1.72 (Book Value of Equity 422.8m / Total Liabilities 245.3m)
Altman-Z'' = 4.76 = AA
Beneish M -2.53
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 48.2m/42.1m, Revenue 340.1m/320.3m)
GMI: 0.93 (GM 29.07% / 31.37%)
AQI: 1.77 (AQ_t 0.49 / AQ_t-1 0.28)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 340.1m / 320.3m)
TATA: 0.02 (NI 11.9m - CFO -4.41m) / TA 668.1m)
Beneish M = -2.53 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ASLE shares?

As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.01 with a total of 295,431 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.31%, over one month by -4.45%, over three months by -14.87% and over the past year by +2.56%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.70 (which is 5.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is ASLE a buy, sell or hold?

AerSale has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ASLE.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ASLE price?
Analysts Target Price 7.8 29%
AerSale (ASLE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 308.6m (308.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 31.0952
P/E Forward = 8.0841
P/S = 0.9072
P/B = 0.7321
Revenue TTM = 340.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 21.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 42.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 138.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.11m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 202.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 31.3m
Net Debt = 200.3m USD (calculated: Debt 202.4m - CCE 2.08m)
Enterprise Value = 508.8m USD (308.6m + Debt 202.4m - CCE 2.08m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.30 (Ebit TTM 21.3m / Interest Expense TTM 9.28m)
EV/FCF = -37.05x (Enterprise Value 508.8m / FCF TTM -13.7m)
FCF Yield = -2.70% (FCF TTM -13.7m / Enterprise Value 508.8m)
FCF Margin = -4.04% (FCF TTM -13.7m / Revenue TTM 340.1m)
Net Margin = 3.49% (Net Income TTM 11.9m / Revenue TTM 340.1m)
Gross Margin = 31.37% ((Revenue TTM 340.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 233.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.74% (prev 34.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 508.8m / Total Assets 668.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.59% (Interest Expense 9.28m / Debt 202.4m)
Taxrate = 1.67% (201k / 12.1m)
NOPAT = 21.0m (EBIT 21.3m * (1 - 1.67%))
Current Ratio = 3.74 (Total Current Assets 282.0m / Total Current Liabilities 75.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 202.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 422.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.74 (Net Debt 200.3m / EBITDA 42.2m)
 Debt / FCF = -14.58 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 200.3m / FCF TTM -13.7m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 420.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.81% (Net Income 11.9m / Total Assets 668.1m)
RoE = 2.83% (Net Income TTM 11.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 420.1m)
RoCE = 3.82% (EBIT 21.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 420.1m + L.T.Debt 138.8m))
RoIC = 3.52% (NOPAT 21.0m / Invested Capital 595.7m)
WACC = 6.95% (E(308.6m)/V(510.9m) * Re(8.55%) + D(202.4m)/V(510.9m) * Rd(4.59%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.28 | Cagr: -3.80%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -13.7m)
 EPS Correlation: 22.27 | EPS CAGR: 21.66% | SUE: -0.50 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 36.73 | Revenue CAGR: 2.06% | SUE: -1.09 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=-82.61% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=-62.96% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=-66.67% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-18.2% | GrowthRev=-5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=-35.09% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+174.1% | GrowthRev=+32.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +36% (up=6, down=2)