(ASML) ASML Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Lithography Systems, Metrology Equipment, Inspection Systems, Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.69% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.58% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 23.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.12 |
| Alpha | 29.20 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.57 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.416 |
| Beta | 1.398 |
| Beta Downside | 1.346 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.48% |
| Mean DD | 16.69% |
| Median DD | 12.42% |
Description: ASML ASML Holding December 11, 2025
ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ: ASML) designs, manufactures and services advanced lithography equipment used to pattern integrated circuits, including extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) and deep-ultraviolet (DUV) systems, as well as metrology, inspection and computational lithography solutions. Its product portfolio supports the full wafer-fabrication workflow for a wide range of semiconductor nodes, and the firm operates globally across Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and the United States.
Key recent data points: in Q3 2024 ASML reported record revenue of $5.6 billion and shipped 44 EUV machines, preserving a > 90 % market-share in the EUV segment. Gross margins remain high at ~48 % and free-cash-flow conversion exceeds 70 %, reflecting the high-margin, capital-intensive nature of its business. The primary growth driver is the accelerating demand for AI-enabled chips and advanced 3-nm/2-nm nodes, which push fabs to invest in additional EUV capacity despite a modest cyclical slowdown in mature-node spending.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation and scenario analysis, the ValueRay research hub offers a comprehensive ASML report you may find useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income (9.85b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.93b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.21 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 14.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 18.38% (prev 33.66%; Δ -15.28pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 (>3.0%) and CFO 11.88b > Net Income 9.85b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-2.42b) to EBITDA (13.25b) ratio: -0.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (387.6m) change vs 12m ago -1.52% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.44% (prev 51.15%; Δ 1.30pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 74.20% (prev 62.87%; Δ 11.33pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 954.1 (EBITDA TTM 13.25b / Interest Expense TTM 12.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.54
| (A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 25.15b - Total Current Liabilities 19.22b) / Total Assets 45.10b |
| (B) 0.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 14.41b / Total Assets 45.10b |
| (C) 0.28 = EBIT TTM 12.12b / Avg Total Assets 43.41b |
| (D) 0.73 = Book Value of Equity 18.99b / Total Liabilities 26.10b |
| Total Rating: 4.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 90.85
| 1. Piotroski 9.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.73% |
| 3. FCF Margin 29.32% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 109.6)% |
| 7. RoE 54.27% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 74.84% |
| 9. EPS Trend 50.93% |
What is the price of ASML shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.85%, over one month by -2.02%, over three months by +10.94% and over the past year by +54.59%.
Is ASML a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 22
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASML price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1072.2 | 0.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1072.2 | 0.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1291.9 | 21.2% |
ASML Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 37.3096
P/E Forward = 34.0136
P/S = 12.7364
P/B = 18.4523
P/EG = 1.998
Beta = 1.355
Revenue TTM = 32.21b EUR
EBIT TTM = 12.12b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 13.25b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.70b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.08b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 2.70b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -2.42b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 345.64b EUR (348.07b + Debt 2.70b - CCE 5.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 954.1 (Ebit TTM 12.12b / Interest Expense TTM 12.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.73% (FCF TTM 9.45b / Enterprise Value 345.64b)
FCF Margin = 29.32% (FCF TTM 9.45b / Revenue TTM 32.21b)
Net Margin = 30.58% (Net Income TTM 9.85b / Revenue TTM 32.21b)
Gross Margin = 52.44% ((Revenue TTM 32.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.32b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.63% (prev 52.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.66 (Enterprise Value 345.64b / Total Assets 45.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.47% (Interest Expense 12.7m / Debt 2.70b)
Taxrate = 17.23% (442.2m / 2.57b)
NOPAT = 10.03b (EBIT 12.12b * (1 - 17.23%))
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 25.15b / Total Current Liabilities 19.22b)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 2.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.99b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.18 (Net Debt -2.42b / EBITDA 13.25b)
Debt / FCF = -0.26 (Net Debt -2.42b / FCF TTM 9.45b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.84% (Net Income 9.85b / Total Assets 45.10b)
RoE = 54.27% (Net Income TTM 9.85b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.15b)
RoCE = 58.11% (EBIT 12.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.15b + L.T.Debt 2.70b))
RoIC = 120.7% (NOPAT 10.03b / Invested Capital 8.31b)
WACC = 11.08% (E(348.07b)/V(350.77b) * Re(11.16%) + D(2.70b)/V(350.77b) * Rd(0.47%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 11.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.79%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.46% ; FCFE base≈6.78b ; Y1≈4.91b ; Y5≈2.74b
Fair Price DCF = 86.71 (DCF Value 33.66b / Shares Outstanding 388.1m; 5y FCF grow -32.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 50.93 | EPS CAGR: 2.42% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.84 | Revenue CAGR: 11.57% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=5.53 | Chg30d=-0.070 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=25.91 | Chg30d=+0.031 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+4.8% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
Additional Sources for ASML Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle