(ASML) ASML Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Lithography Systems, Metrology Systems, Inspection Systems, Software, Services
ASML EPS (Earnings per Share)
ASML Revenue
Description: ASML ASML Holding October 08, 2025
ASML Holding N.V. designs, manufactures, markets, and services advanced lithography equipment that enables semiconductor manufacturers to pattern integrated circuits at ever-smaller geometries. Its core offering spans extreme ultraviolet (EUV) systems, deep-ultraviolet (DUV) immersion and dry tools, as well as complementary metrology, inspection, and computational lithography solutions.
The product suite includes EUV scanners that are the only commercially viable machines for sub-5 nm nodes, DUV immersion scanners used for 7 nm-28 nm processes, YieldStar optical metrology tools for wafer-level pattern quality, and HMI electron-beam defect inspection platforms. ASML also provides software for lithography control, system refurbishment, and full-service customer support.
Headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands, ASML operates globally across Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, the broader Asian region, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company originated as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. in 1984 and rebranded to ASML in 2001.
Key quantitative signals (FY 2023): revenue of €21.5 billion, a 20 % YoY increase driven largely by EUV shipments; EUV market share above 90 % for high-volume manufacturing; and R&D spend of €2.6 billion (~12 % of revenue), underscoring its moat in photolithography innovation. Macro-level drivers include the industry-wide transition to 3 nm and upcoming 2 nm nodes, which lock in multi-year capital-expenditure cycles for chipmakers, and the broader semiconductor supply-chain resurgence post-COVID-19.
For a deeper, data-rich dive into ASML’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a structured framework that can help you quantify upside and downside risks.
ASML Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 395,751m |
| Sub-Industry | Semiconductor Materials & Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 1995-03-15 |
ASML Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 76.1% |
| Fundamental | 88.6% |
| Dividend Rating | 51.5% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 24.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.25 of 5 |
ASML Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.69% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.04% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 23.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 24.2% |
ASML Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 95.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 67.6% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 57% |
| CAGR 5y | 29.83% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.66 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 1.79 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.24 |
| Alpha | 23.53 |
| Beta | 1.276 |
| Volatility | 36.68% |
| Current Volume | 1017.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1496k |
| Stop Loss | 992.7 (-3.9%) |
| Signal | -0.37 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (9.42b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.93b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.21 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 13.39pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 25.17% (prev 32.70%; Δ -7.54pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 (>3.0%) and CFO 11.18b > Net Income 9.42b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-3.54b) to EBITDA (12.38b) ratio: -0.29 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.43 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (388.4m) change vs 12m ago -1.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.52% (prev 51.44%; Δ 1.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 75.16% (prev 62.45%; Δ 12.71pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 844.9 (EBITDA TTM 12.38b / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.70
| (A) 0.18 = (Total Current Assets 26.71b - Total Current Liabilities 18.62b) / Total Assets 44.85b |
| (B) 0.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 14.41b / Total Assets 44.85b |
| (C) 0.27 = EBIT TTM 11.41b / Avg Total Assets 42.80b |
| (D) 0.65 = Book Value of Equity 17.62b / Total Liabilities 27.23b |
| Total Rating: 4.70 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.55
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt = 3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.74% = 1.37 |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.71% = 7.18 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.21 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.29 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 96.15)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 54.00% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 59.16% = 4.44 |
| 9. EPS Trend 41.68% = 2.08 |
What is the price of ASML shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.37%, over one month by +9.10%, over three months by +42.84% and over the past year by +46.77%.
Is ASML Holding a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ASML is around 1097.93 USD . This means that ASML is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 6.28%.
Is ASML a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 22
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASML price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 978.8 | -5.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 978.8 | -5.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1247.4 | 20.7% |
ASML Fundamental Data Overview October 18, 2025
P/E Trailing = 36.5838
P/E Forward = 34.0136
P/S = 12.3044
P/B = 19.3404
P/EG = 1.9205
Beta = 1.276
Revenue TTM = 32.16b EUR
EBIT TTM = 11.41b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 12.38b EUR
Long Term Debt = 3.70b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.12b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.70b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -3.54b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 336.99b EUR (340.54b + Debt 3.70b - CCE 7.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 844.9 (Ebit TTM 11.41b / Interest Expense TTM 13.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.74% (FCF TTM 9.23b / Enterprise Value 336.99b)
FCF Margin = 28.71% (FCF TTM 9.23b / Revenue TTM 32.16b)
Net Margin = 29.27% (Net Income TTM 9.42b / Revenue TTM 32.16b)
Gross Margin = 52.52% ((Revenue TTM 32.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.69% (prev 53.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.51 (Enterprise Value 336.99b / Total Assets 44.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.34% (Interest Expense 12.7m / Debt 3.70b)
Taxrate = 17.55% (487.4m / 2.78b)
NOPAT = 9.40b (EBIT 11.41b * (1 - 17.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 26.71b / Total Current Liabilities 18.62b)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 3.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.29 (Net Debt -3.54b / EBITDA 12.38b)
Debt / FCF = -0.38 (Net Debt -3.54b / FCF TTM 9.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.99% (Net Income 9.42b / Total Assets 44.85b)
RoE = 54.00% (Net Income TTM 9.42b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.44b)
RoCE = 53.96% (EBIT 11.41b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.44b + L.T.Debt 3.70b))
RoIC = 106.8% (NOPAT 9.40b / Invested Capital 8.81b)
WACC = 10.61% (E(340.54b)/V(344.24b) * Re(10.72%) + D(3.70b)/V(344.24b) * Rd(0.34%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 10.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.69%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.57% ; FCFE base≈6.71b ; Y1≈4.97b ; Y5≈2.90b
Fair Price DCF = 95.65 (DCF Value 37.13b / Shares Outstanding 388.1m; 5y FCF grow -30.62% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 41.68 | EPS CAGR: 5.81% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 59.16 | Revenue CAGR: 10.96% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ASML Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle