(ASND) Ascendis Pharma AS - Ratings and Ratios
TransCon, Hormone, Parathyroid, Oncology, Rare
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 58.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.57% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.58 |
| Alpha | 79.61 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.383 |
| Beta | 0.310 |
| Beta Downside | 0.250 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 43.62% |
| Mean DD | 13.20% |
| Median DD | 12.03% |
Description: ASND Ascendis Pharma AS January 02, 2026
Ascendis Pharma A/S (NASDAQ: ASND) is a Denmark-based biopharmaceutical firm that develops long-acting, TransCon-platform therapies for unmet endocrine and oncology indications. Its marketed products include SKYTROFA for pediatric growth-hormone deficiency and YORVIPATH, a once-daily injection for adult chronic hypoparathyroidism, while a pipeline of three rare-disease endocrinology candidates and several oncology programs remain in clinical development.
Key recent metrics: as of Q2 2024, Ascendis reported cash and equivalents of approximately $210 million, extending its runway to late 2025; SKYTROFA generated $12 million in net sales in 2023, reflecting a 35 % YoY growth driven by expanding pediatric endocrinology adoption in Europe and the U.S.; the global market for growth-hormone therapies is projected to reach $7 billion by 2028, providing a favorable macro-trend for the company’s core franchise. Additionally, the biotech sector’s R&D tax credit environment in Denmark and the U.S. continues to support cash-flow efficiency for firms at Ascendis’s stage.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Ascendis’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analyst tools worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: -232.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 14.28 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.84% < 20% (prev 41.32%; Δ -36.48% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.09 > 3% & CFO -106.7m > Net Income -232.9m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.03 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (61.0m) vs 12m ago 4.14% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 86.80% > 18% (prev 0.85%; Δ 8595 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 57.51% > 50% (prev 29.94%; Δ 27.57% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.98 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -133.2m / Interest Expense TTM 154.2m) |
Altman Z'' -10.49
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 1.02b - Total Current Liabilities 986.5m) / Total Assets 1.15b |
| B: -2.34 (Retained Earnings -2.71b / Total Assets 1.15b) |
| C: -0.13 (EBIT TTM -150.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.12b) |
| D: -2.03 (Book Value of Equity -2.70b / Total Liabilities 1.33b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -10.49= D |
Beneish M -1.30
| DSRI: 2.06 (Receivables 134.7m/33.1m, Revenue 646.5m/327.4m) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 86.80% / 84.82%) |
| AQI: 1.48 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.97 (Revenue 646.5m / 327.4m) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -232.9m - CFO -106.7m) / TA 1.15b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.30 = D |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 38.84
| 1. Piotroski: 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: -1.02% |
| 3. FCF Margin: -17.35% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: -4.67 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: data missing |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: -24.63% |
| 7. RoE: 141.8% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 89.23% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 73.21% |
What is the price of ASND shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.36%, over one month by +12.50%, over three months by +17.10% and over the past year by +84.63%.
Is ASND a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASND price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 262.9 | 11.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 262.9 | 11.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 292.6 | 24.3% |
ASND Fundamental Data Overview January 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 48.3092
P/S = 19.4507
P/B = 14.5547
Revenue TTM = 646.5m EUR
EBIT TTM = -150.5m EUR
EBITDA TTM = -133.2m EUR
Long Term Debt = 331.4m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 482.3m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 813.6m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 274.6m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.03b EUR (10.75b + Debt 813.6m - CCE 539.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.98 (Ebit TTM -150.5m / Interest Expense TTM 154.2m)
EV/FCF = -98.34x (Enterprise Value 11.03b / FCF TTM -112.2m)
FCF Yield = -1.02% (FCF TTM -112.2m / Enterprise Value 11.03b)
FCF Margin = -17.35% (FCF TTM -112.2m / Revenue TTM 646.5m)
Net Margin = -36.03% (Net Income TTM -232.9m / Revenue TTM 646.5m)
Gross Margin = 86.80% ((Revenue TTM 646.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 85.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.54% (prev 80.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.55 (Enterprise Value 11.03b / Total Assets 1.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.42% (Interest Expense 19.7m / Debt 813.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -118.9m (EBIT -150.5m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 1.02b / Total Current Liabilities 986.5m)
Debt / Equity = -4.67 (negative equity) (Debt 813.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -174.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.06 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 274.6m / EBITDA -133.2m)
Debt / FCF = -2.45 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 274.6m / FCF TTM -112.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -164.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -20.72% (Net Income -232.9m / Total Assets 1.15b)
RoE = 141.8% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -232.9m / Total Stockholder Equity -164.3m)
RoCE = -90.08% (EBIT -150.5m / Capital Employed (Equity -164.3m + L.T.Debt 331.4m))
RoIC = -17.93% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -118.9m / Invested Capital 663.2m)
WACC = 6.70% (E(10.75b)/V(11.57b) * Re(7.06%) + D(813.6m)/V(11.57b) * Rd(2.42%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.79%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -112.2m)
EPS Correlation: 73.21 | EPS CAGR: 25.15% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.23 | Revenue CAGR: 173.7% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.43 | Chg30d=+0.029 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.47 | Chg30d=+0.112 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+205.1% | Growth Revenue=+82.9%
Additional Sources for ASND Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle