(ASO) Academy Sports Outdoors - Ratings and Ratios
Firearms, Ammo, Apparel, Footwear, Fitness
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.01% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.18% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 21.11% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 8.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 61.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.14% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Alpha | -17.13 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.445 |
| Beta | 1.612 |
| Beta Downside | 1.444 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.17% |
| Mean DD | 23.73% |
| Median DD | 26.79% |
Description: ASO Academy Sports Outdoors November 08, 2025
Academy Sports + Outdoors (NASDAQ: ASO) operates as a U.S. retailer of sporting-goods, outdoor recreation, apparel and footwear, selling under the Academy, Magellan Outdoors and several private-label brands. Its merchandise is segmented into four divisions: Outdoors (camping, fishing, hunting), Sports & Recreation (fitness equipment, team-sport gear, wheeled goods, electronics), Apparel (seasonal, work and licensed apparel) and Footwear (casual, work, athletic and specialty shoes). The company runs more than 150 stores-concentrated in the Sun Belt and Midwest-and its e-commerce channel accounts for roughly 10% of total sales.
Key data points: FY 2024 comparable sales rose about 5% year-over-year, driven by a 7% increase in in-store traffic and a 12% lift in average transaction value, pushing net sales to approximately $5.3 billion. The sporting-goods sector is highly sensitive to discretionary consumer spending, with employment growth and gasoline prices serving as primary macro drivers of outdoor-recreation demand. Compared with peers, ASO trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of roughly 9.4× versus the specialty-retail average of 10.2×, indicating a modest valuation discount.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ASO’s valuation and scenario analysis, you may find the analyst dashboards on ValueRay useful for extending your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (370.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 358.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.96% (prev 11.81%; Δ 1.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 473.1m > Net Income 370.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.06b) to EBITDA (639.7m) ratio: 1.66 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.64 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (67.7m) change vs 12m ago -7.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 34.04% (prev 33.31%; Δ 0.73pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 117.7% (prev 125.3%; Δ -7.60pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.24 (EBITDA TTM 639.7m / Interest Expense TTM 36.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.37
| (A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 1.99b - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 5.28b |
| (B) 0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.82b / Total Assets 5.28b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 518.3m / Avg Total Assets 5.08b |
| (D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 1.82b / Total Liabilities 3.20b |
| Total Rating: 3.37 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.97
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.38% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.95% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.66 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.66 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.55)% |
| 7. RoE 18.57% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -31.55% |
| 9. EPS Trend -50.71% |
What is the price of ASO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.32%, over one month by +4.71%, over three months by +0.01% and over the past year by -1.35%.
Is ASO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 57.3 | 16.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 57.3 | 16.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 50.3 | 2% |
ASO Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 8.3083
P/E Forward = 6.8027
P/S = 0.4932
P/B = 1.4191
P/EG = 0.4859
Beta = 1.299
Revenue TTM = 5.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 518.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 639.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 481.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 142.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.06b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.00b USD (2.94b + Debt 1.36b - CCE 300.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.24 (Ebit TTM 518.3m / Interest Expense TTM 36.4m)
FCF Yield = 7.38% (FCF TTM 295.5m / Enterprise Value 4.00b)
FCF Margin = 4.95% (FCF TTM 295.5m / Revenue TTM 5.97b)
Net Margin = 6.21% (Net Income TTM 370.9m / Revenue TTM 5.97b)
Gross Margin = 34.04% ((Revenue TTM 5.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.05% (prev 33.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 4.00b / Total Assets 5.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.66% (Interest Expense 9.03m / Debt 1.36b)
Taxrate = 23.90% (39.4m / 164.8m)
NOPAT = 394.4m (EBIT 518.3m * (1 - 23.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.64 (Total Current Assets 1.99b / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 1.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.66 (Net Debt 1.06b / EBITDA 639.7m)
Debt / FCF = 3.58 (Net Debt 1.06b / FCF TTM 295.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.00b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.03% (Net Income 370.9m / Total Assets 5.28b)
RoE = 18.57% (Net Income TTM 370.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.00b)
RoCE = 20.91% (EBIT 518.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.00b + L.T.Debt 481.7m))
RoIC = 15.89% (NOPAT 394.4m / Invested Capital 2.48b)
WACC = 8.33% (E(2.94b)/V(4.30b) * Re(11.95%) + D(1.36b)/V(4.30b) * Rd(0.66%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 11.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.72% ; FCFE base≈341.8m ; Y1≈289.9m ; Y5≈221.2m
Fair Price DCF = 35.20 (DCF Value 2.35b / Shares Outstanding 66.6m; 5y FCF grow -18.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -50.71 | EPS CAGR: -46.47% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -31.55 | Revenue CAGR: 0.12% | SUE: -0.34 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.38 | Chg30d=-0.008 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
Additional Sources for ASO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle