(ASO) Academy Sports Outdoors - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US00402L1070
Stock: Sporting Goods, Outdoor Gear, Footwear, Apparel
Total Rating 40
Risk 98
Buy Signal -0.54
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.06% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.43% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 20.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 9.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.97% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Alpha | -21.62 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.679 |
| Beta Downside | 1.553 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.17% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.06 |
Description: ASO Academy Sports Outdoors January 11, 2026
Academy Sports + Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASO) is a U.S. retailer that sells a broad array of sporting-goods, outdoor, apparel, and footwear products through its Academy, Magellan Outdoors, and several private-label brands. Its merchandise mix spans camping, fishing, and hunting gear; fitness and team-sport equipment; seasonal apparel and footwear; and ancillary items such as electronics, pet supplies, and consumables, all sold in roughly 260 stores concentrated in the Sun Belt and via an expanding e-commerce platform.
Key operating metrics that analysts watch include FY 2023 revenue of approximately $4.6 billion, a comparable-store sales increase of about 7% year-over-year, and an e-commerce growth rate near 15% that is outpacing the broader “Other Specialty Retail” sub-industry. The business is sensitive to discretionary-spending cycles, with inflation-adjusted consumer confidence and gasoline prices historically explaining roughly 30% of quarterly sales variance in the outdoor-recreation segment.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial models on ASO to see how these drivers translate into valuation scenarios.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 376.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.41% < 20% (prev 11.50%; Δ 2.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 425.2m > Net Income 376.7m |
| Net Debt (1.10b) to EBITDA (646.4m): 1.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (68.0m) vs 12m ago -5.31% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.42% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3409 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 114.4% > 50% (prev 118.8%; Δ -4.40% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.45 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 646.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m) |
Altman Z'' 3.46
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 2.09b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 5.41b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 1.88b / Total Assets 5.41b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 523.4m / Avg Total Assets 5.25b) |
| D: 0.58 (Book Value of Equity 1.88b / Total Liabilities 3.27b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.46 = A |
Beneish M -3.13
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 17.5m/18.1m, Revenue 6.01b/6.05b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 34.42% / 33.18%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 6.01b / 6.05b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 376.7m - CFO 425.2m) / TA 5.41b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ASO shares?
As of February 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 55.01 with a total of 1,545,717 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.61%, over one month by +5.48%, over three months by +16.95% and over the past year by +9.16%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.61%, over one month by +5.48%, over three months by +16.95% and over the past year by +9.16%.
Is ASO a buy, sell or hold?
Academy Sports Outdoors has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy ASO.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 59.9 | 9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 59.9 | 9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 55.2 | 0.4% |
ASO Fundamental Data Overview January 28, 2026
P/E Trailing = 10.1746
P/E Forward = 8.7184
P/S = 0.6139
P/B = 1.7653
P/EG = 0.6225
Revenue TTM = 6.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 523.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 646.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 481.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 127.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.79b USD (3.69b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 289.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.45 (Ebit TTM 523.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
EV/FCF = 18.89x (Enterprise Value 4.79b / FCF TTM 253.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.30% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Enterprise Value 4.79b)
FCF Margin = 4.22% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Net Margin = 6.27% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Gross Margin = 34.42% ((Revenue TTM 6.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.66% (prev 36.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 4.79b / Total Assets 5.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 8.98m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = 23.89% (22.5m / 94.0m)
NOPAT = 398.4m (EBIT 523.4m * (1 - 23.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 2.09b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 1.10b / EBITDA 646.4m)
Debt / FCF = 4.33 (Net Debt 1.10b / FCF TTM 253.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.17% (Net Income 376.7m / Total Assets 5.41b)
RoE = 18.44% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.04b)
RoCE = 20.73% (EBIT 523.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.04b + L.T.Debt 481.3m))
RoIC = 15.76% (NOPAT 398.4m / Invested Capital 2.53b)
WACC = 8.93% (E(3.69b)/V(5.08b) * Re(12.10%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.08b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.47%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.80% ; FCFF base≈324.2m ; Y1≈274.9m ; Y5≈209.3m
Fair Price DCF = 32.19 (EV 3.25b - Net Debt 1.10b = Equity 2.15b / Shares 66.7m; r=8.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -18.42% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -56.94 | EPS CAGR: -47.39% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -38.10 | Revenue CAGR: -6.89% | SUE: -1.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.48 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+10.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
P/E Forward = 8.7184
P/S = 0.6139
P/B = 1.7653
P/EG = 0.6225
Revenue TTM = 6.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 523.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 646.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 481.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 127.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.79b USD (3.69b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 289.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.45 (Ebit TTM 523.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
EV/FCF = 18.89x (Enterprise Value 4.79b / FCF TTM 253.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.30% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Enterprise Value 4.79b)
FCF Margin = 4.22% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Net Margin = 6.27% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Gross Margin = 34.42% ((Revenue TTM 6.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.66% (prev 36.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 4.79b / Total Assets 5.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 8.98m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = 23.89% (22.5m / 94.0m)
NOPAT = 398.4m (EBIT 523.4m * (1 - 23.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 2.09b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 1.10b / EBITDA 646.4m)
Debt / FCF = 4.33 (Net Debt 1.10b / FCF TTM 253.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.17% (Net Income 376.7m / Total Assets 5.41b)
RoE = 18.44% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.04b)
RoCE = 20.73% (EBIT 523.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.04b + L.T.Debt 481.3m))
RoIC = 15.76% (NOPAT 398.4m / Invested Capital 2.53b)
WACC = 8.93% (E(3.69b)/V(5.08b) * Re(12.10%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.08b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.47%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.80% ; FCFF base≈324.2m ; Y1≈274.9m ; Y5≈209.3m
Fair Price DCF = 32.19 (EV 3.25b - Net Debt 1.10b = Equity 2.15b / Shares 66.7m; r=8.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -18.42% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -56.94 | EPS CAGR: -47.39% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -38.10 | Revenue CAGR: -6.89% | SUE: -1.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.92 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.48 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+10.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%