(ASO) Academy Sports Outdoors - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Specialty Retail | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 3.177m USD | Total Return: 30.6% in 12m

Sporting Goods, Outdoor Equipment, Apparel, Footwear, Fitness Gear
Total Rating 42
Safety 69
Buy Signal -0.16
Specialty Retail
Industry Rotation: -4.7
Market Cap: 3.18B
Avg Turnover: 61.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.4%
VaR 5th Pctl6.73%
VaR vs Median-1.24%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.66
Rel. Str. IBD41.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group63.3
Character TTM
Beta1.592
Beta Downside1.758
Hurst Exponent0.574
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD54.17%
CAGR/Max DD0.05
CAGR/Mean DD0.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ASO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-04": 1.89, "2021-07": 2.34, "2021-10": 1.75, "2022-01": 1.61, "2022-04": 1.73, "2022-07": 2.3, "2022-10": 1.69, "2023-01": 2.04, "2023-04": 1.3, "2023-07": 2.09, "2023-10": 1.38, "2024-01": 2.21, "2024-04": 1.08, "2024-07": 2.03, "2024-10": 0.98, "2025-01": 1.96, "2025-04": 0.76, "2025-07": 1.94, "2025-10": 1.14, "2026-01": 1.97,
EPS CAGR: -9.46%
EPS Trend: -95.4%
Last SUE: -0.55
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ASO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-04: 1580.333, 2021-07: 1791.53, 2021-10: 1592.795, 2022-01: 1808.47, 2022-04: 1467.73, 2022-07: 1686.915, 2022-10: 1493.925, 2023-01: 1746.503, 2023-04: 1383.609, 2023-07: 1583.077, 2023-10: 1397.777, 2024-01: 1794.828, 2024-04: 1364.22, 2024-07: 1548.98, 2024-10: 1343.33, 2025-01: 1676.92, 2025-04: 1351.409, 2025-07: 1599.838, 2025-10: 1383.696, 2026-01: 1718.471,
Rev. CAGR: -1.69%
Rev. Trend: -81.3%
Last SUE: -3.00
Qual. Beats: -2

Warnings

Choppy Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: ASO Academy Sports Outdoors

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) is a Texas-based retailer specializing in sporting goods, outdoor recreation, and lifestyle products. The company operates through four primary divisions: Outdoors, Sports and Recreation, Apparel, and Footwear. Its inventory spans a broad range of categories, including hunting and fishing gear, team sports equipment, fitness technology, and licensed collegiate apparel.

The business model utilizes a value-based strategy, combining national brands with a portfolio of private-label offerings such as Magellan Outdoors and BCG to capture higher margins. As a player in the specialty retail sector, Academy competes by maintaining large-format stores that serve as one-stop destinations for diverse recreational needs, from camping equipment to specialized athletic footwear.

Investors can evaluate the companys long-term growth trajectory and margin stability by reviewing the detailed financial metrics available on ValueRay. Founded in 1938, the company has evolved from a family-owned business into a major regional retailer with a significant footprint across the United States.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Regional store expansion strategy targets high-growth markets in the Southern United States
  • Private label brand penetration enhances gross margins and offsets inflationary pressures
  • Consumer discretionary spending volatility impacts demand for outdoor and recreational equipment
  • Competitive pricing pressure from big-box retailers and specialized e-commerce platforms
  • Inventory management efficiency and supply chain costs influence quarterly earnings performance
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 376.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.48 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.23% < 20% (prev 12.63%; Δ 2.60% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 434.8m > Net Income 376.8m
Net Debt (1.08b) to EBITDA (642.0m): 1.68 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.89 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.6m) vs 12m ago -4.38% < -2%
Gross Margin: 34.78% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3.44k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 119.0% > 50% (prev 121.1%; Δ -2.12% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 642.0m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
Altman Z'' 3.66
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 1.95b - Total Current Liabilities 1.03b) / Total Assets 5.28b
B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 1.91b / Total Assets 5.28b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 519.1m / Avg Total Assets 5.09b)
D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 1.92b / Total Liabilities 3.11b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.66 = AA
Beneish M -2.25
DSRI: 2.03 (Receivables 34.8m/16.8m, Revenue 6.05b/5.93b)
GMI: 0.96 (GM 34.78% / 33.41%)
AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.30)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 6.05b / 5.93b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 376.8m - CFO 434.8m) / TA 5.28b)
Beneish M = -2.25 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of ASO shares?

As of May 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.52 with a total of 1,069,908 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.90%, over one month by -7.49%, over three months by -10.56% and over the past year by +30.61%.

Is ASO a buy, sell or hold?

Academy Sports Outdoors has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ASO.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ASO price?
Analysts Target Price 61.4 16.9%
Academy Sports Outdoors (ASO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 8.8899
P/E Forward = 8.7489
P/S = 0.5248
P/B = 1.6075
P/EG = 0.6249
Revenue TTM = 6.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 519.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 642.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 480.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 150.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.41b already included)
Net Debt = 1.08b USD (calculated: Debt 1.41b - CCE 330.3m)
Enterprise Value = 4.26b USD (3.18b + Debt 1.41b - CCE 330.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.33 (Ebit TTM 519.1m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
EV/FCF = 19.18x (Enterprise Value 4.26b / FCF TTM 222.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.21% (FCF TTM 222.0m / Enterprise Value 4.26b)
FCF Margin = 3.67% (FCF TTM 222.0m / Revenue TTM 6.05b)
Net Margin = 6.22% (Net Income TTM 376.8m / Revenue TTM 6.05b)
Gross Margin = 34.78% ((Revenue TTM 6.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.55% (prev 35.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 4.26b / Total Assets 5.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.57% (Interest Expense 36.2m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 18.57% (30.5m / 164.2m)
NOPAT = 422.7m (EBIT 519.1m * (1 - 18.57%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 1.95b / Total Current Liabilities 1.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.68 (Net Debt 1.08b / EBITDA 642.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.87 (Net Debt 1.08b / FCF TTM 222.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.40% (Net Income 376.8m / Total Assets 5.28b)
RoE = 18.07% (Net Income TTM 376.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.09b)
RoCE = 20.23% (EBIT 519.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.09b + L.T.Debt 480.8m))
RoIC = 9.71% (NOPAT 422.7m / Invested Capital 4.35b)
WACC = 8.66% (E(3.18b)/V(4.59b) * Re(11.58%) + D(1.41b)/V(4.59b) * Rd(2.57%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 11.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -5.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.94% ; FCFF base≈264.3m ; Y1≈231.8m ; Y5≈187.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 27.56 (EV 2.86b - Net Debt 1.08b = Equity 1.78b / Shares 64.5m; r=8.66% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.40 | EPS CAGR: -9.46% | SUE: -0.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -81.26 | Revenue CAGR: -1.69% | SUE: -3.00 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.10 | Chg30d=+0.42% | Revisions=+8% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.30 | Chg30d=-0.23% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+9.1% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=6.91 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=-8% | GrowthEPS=+9.7% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +8%