(ASO) Academy Sports Outdoors - Overview
Sector: Consumer CyclicalIndustry: Specialty Retail | Exchange NASDAQ (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 3.466m | Total Return 9% in 12m
Stock: Apparel, Footwear, Sporting Goods, Outdoor Gear
Total Rating 48
Risk 70
Buy Signal -0.07
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.24% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.35 |
| Alpha | -10.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.631 |
| Beta Downside | 1.722 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.17% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.09 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: ASO Academy Sports Outdoors March 05, 2026
Academy Sports + Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) operates as a sporting goods and outdoor recreational retailer in the United States. The companys business model is characterized by a broad product assortment across four divisions: outdoors, sports and recreation, apparel, and footwear. This multi-category approach is common among large-format specialty retailers.
The outdoors division includes camping, fishing, and hunting products, with offerings such as firearms and ammunition. The sports and recreation division covers fitness equipment, team sports gear, and recreational items like patio furniture and watersports equipment. The apparel division offers a range of clothing, including outdoor, athletic, and licensed team apparel. The footwear division sells casual, work, athletic, and specialty sports shoes.
ASO sells products under both third-party and owned brands, such as Magellan Outdoors and BCG. The company was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Katy, Texas. Further analysis of its financial performance and market position can be found on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Consumer discretionary spending impacts sporting goods demand
- Firearms and ammunition sales face regulatory scrutiny
- Supply chain disruptions increase inventory costs
- E-commerce growth expands market reach
- Weather patterns influence seasonal product sales
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 376.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.48 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 15.23% < 20% (prev 12.63%; Δ 2.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 434.8m > Net Income 376.8m |
| Net Debt (1.08b) to EBITDA (642.0m): 1.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.6m) vs 12m ago -4.38% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.78% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3.44k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 119.0% > 50% (prev 121.1%; Δ -2.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 642.0m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m) |
Altman Z'' 3.66
| A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 1.95b - Total Current Liabilities 1.03b) / Total Assets 5.28b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 1.91b / Total Assets 5.28b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 519.1m / Avg Total Assets 5.09b) |
| D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 1.92b / Total Liabilities 3.11b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.66 = AA |
Beneish M -2.25
| DSRI: 2.03 (Receivables 34.8m/16.8m, Revenue 6.05b/5.93b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 34.78% / 33.41%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 6.05b / 5.93b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 376.8m - CFO 434.8m) / TA 5.28b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.25 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
What is the price of ASO shares?
As of March 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 53.54 with a total of 1,109,416 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.60%, over one month by -12.24%, over three months by +5.17% and over the past year by +9.03%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.60%, over one month by -12.24%, over three months by +5.17% and over the past year by +9.03%.
Is ASO a buy, sell or hold?
Academy Sports Outdoors has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy ASO.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 58 | 8.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 58 | 8.3% |
ASO Fundamental Data Overview March 23, 2026
P/E Trailing = 9.3827
P/E Forward = 8.2508
P/S = 0.5726
P/B = 1.5417
P/EG = 0.5895
Revenue TTM = 6.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 519.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 642.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 480.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 150.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.08b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.55b USD (3.47b + Debt 1.41b - CCE 330.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.33 (Ebit TTM 519.1m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
EV/FCF = 20.49x (Enterprise Value 4.55b / FCF TTM 222.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.88% (FCF TTM 222.0m / Enterprise Value 4.55b)
FCF Margin = 3.67% (FCF TTM 222.0m / Revenue TTM 6.05b)
Net Margin = 6.22% (Net Income TTM 376.8m / Revenue TTM 6.05b)
Gross Margin = 34.78% ((Revenue TTM 6.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.55% (prev 35.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 4.55b / Total Assets 5.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 9.16m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 18.57% (30.5m / 164.2m)
NOPAT = 422.7m (EBIT 519.1m * (1 - 18.57%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 1.95b / Total Current Liabilities 1.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.68 (Net Debt 1.08b / EBITDA 642.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.87 (Net Debt 1.08b / FCF TTM 222.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.40% (Net Income 376.8m / Total Assets 5.28b)
RoE = 18.07% (Net Income TTM 376.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.09b)
RoCE = 20.23% (EBIT 519.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.09b + L.T.Debt 480.8m))
RoIC = 16.45% (NOPAT 422.7m / Invested Capital 2.57b)
WACC = 8.48% (E(3.47b)/V(4.88b) * Re(11.72%) + D(1.41b)/V(4.88b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 11.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.92% ; FCFF base≈264.3m ; Y1≈224.1m ; Y5≈171.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 28.16 (EV 2.89b - Net Debt 1.08b = Equity 1.81b / Shares 64.4m; r=8.48% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -18.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -31.40 | EPS CAGR: 3.53% | SUE: -0.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -8.45 | Revenue CAGR: 4.30% | SUE: -3.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.95 | Chg7d=+0.038 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.38 | Chg7d=-0.139 | Chg30d=-0.093 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=6.96 | Chg7d=-0.151 | Chg30d=-0.148 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.20 (3 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 1.1% (Discount Rate 11.7% - Earnings Yield 10.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +4.7% (Analyst 5.7% - Implied 1.1%)
P/E Forward = 8.2508
P/S = 0.5726
P/B = 1.5417
P/EG = 0.5895
Revenue TTM = 6.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 519.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 642.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 480.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 150.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.08b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.55b USD (3.47b + Debt 1.41b - CCE 330.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.33 (Ebit TTM 519.1m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
EV/FCF = 20.49x (Enterprise Value 4.55b / FCF TTM 222.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.88% (FCF TTM 222.0m / Enterprise Value 4.55b)
FCF Margin = 3.67% (FCF TTM 222.0m / Revenue TTM 6.05b)
Net Margin = 6.22% (Net Income TTM 376.8m / Revenue TTM 6.05b)
Gross Margin = 34.78% ((Revenue TTM 6.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.55% (prev 35.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 4.55b / Total Assets 5.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 9.16m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 18.57% (30.5m / 164.2m)
NOPAT = 422.7m (EBIT 519.1m * (1 - 18.57%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 1.95b / Total Current Liabilities 1.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.68 (Net Debt 1.08b / EBITDA 642.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.87 (Net Debt 1.08b / FCF TTM 222.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.40% (Net Income 376.8m / Total Assets 5.28b)
RoE = 18.07% (Net Income TTM 376.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.09b)
RoCE = 20.23% (EBIT 519.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.09b + L.T.Debt 480.8m))
RoIC = 16.45% (NOPAT 422.7m / Invested Capital 2.57b)
WACC = 8.48% (E(3.47b)/V(4.88b) * Re(11.72%) + D(1.41b)/V(4.88b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 11.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.92% ; FCFF base≈264.3m ; Y1≈224.1m ; Y5≈171.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 28.16 (EV 2.89b - Net Debt 1.08b = Equity 1.81b / Shares 64.4m; r=8.48% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -18.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -31.40 | EPS CAGR: 3.53% | SUE: -0.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -8.45 | Revenue CAGR: 4.30% | SUE: -3.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.95 | Chg7d=+0.038 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.38 | Chg7d=-0.139 | Chg30d=-0.093 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+10.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=6.96 | Chg7d=-0.151 | Chg30d=-0.148 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.20 (3 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 1.1% (Discount Rate 11.7% - Earnings Yield 10.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +4.7% (Analyst 5.7% - Implied 1.1%)