(ASO) Academy Sports Outdoors - Ratings and Ratios
Firearms, Ammo, Apparel, Footwear, Fitness
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.93% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.80% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 21.11% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 9.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 61.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.61% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.17 |
| Alpha | -17.82 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.565 |
| Beta | 1.615 |
| Beta Downside | 1.447 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.17% |
| Mean DD | 23.96% |
| Median DD | 26.94% |
Description: ASO Academy Sports Outdoors November 08, 2025
Academy Sports + Outdoors (NASDAQ: ASO) operates as a U.S. retailer of sporting-goods, outdoor recreation, apparel and footwear, selling under the Academy, Magellan Outdoors and several private-label brands. Its merchandise is segmented into four divisions: Outdoors (camping, fishing, hunting), Sports & Recreation (fitness equipment, team-sport gear, wheeled goods, electronics), Apparel (seasonal, work and licensed apparel) and Footwear (casual, work, athletic and specialty shoes). The company runs more than 150 stores-concentrated in the Sun Belt and Midwest-and its e-commerce channel accounts for roughly 10% of total sales.
Key data points: FY 2024 comparable sales rose about 5% year-over-year, driven by a 7% increase in in-store traffic and a 12% lift in average transaction value, pushing net sales to approximately $5.3 billion. The sporting-goods sector is highly sensitive to discretionary consumer spending, with employment growth and gasoline prices serving as primary macro drivers of outdoor-recreation demand. Compared with peers, ASO trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of roughly 9.4× versus the specialty-retail average of 10.2×, indicating a modest valuation discount.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ASO’s valuation and scenario analysis, you may find the analyst dashboards on ValueRay useful for extending your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (376.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 360.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.41% (prev 11.50%; Δ 2.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 425.2m > Net Income 376.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.10b) to EBITDA (646.4m) ratio: 1.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (68.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 34.42% (prev 33.18%; Δ 1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 114.4% (prev 118.8%; Δ -4.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.45 (EBITDA TTM 646.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.46
| (A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 2.09b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 5.41b |
| (B) 0.35 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.88b / Total Assets 5.41b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 523.4m / Avg Total Assets 5.25b |
| (D) 0.58 = Book Value of Equity 1.88b / Total Liabilities 3.27b |
| Total Rating: 3.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.89
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.28% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.22% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.65 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.92)% |
| 7. RoE 18.44% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -38.10% |
| 9. EPS Trend -40.23% |
What is the price of ASO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.13%, over one month by +24.35%, over three months by +15.77% and over the past year by -1.38%.
Is ASO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 59.1 | 10.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 59.1 | 10.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 55.1 | 2.6% |
ASO Fundamental Data Overview December 14, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.2022
P/E Forward = 8.643
P/S = 0.6156
P/B = 1.7507
P/EG = 0.6173
Beta = 1.299
Revenue TTM = 6.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 523.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 646.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 481.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 127.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.80b USD (3.70b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 289.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.45 (Ebit TTM 523.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.28% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Enterprise Value 4.80b)
FCF Margin = 4.22% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Net Margin = 6.27% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Gross Margin = 34.42% ((Revenue TTM 6.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.66% (prev 36.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 4.80b / Total Assets 5.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 8.98m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = 23.89% (22.5m / 94.0m)
NOPAT = 398.4m (EBIT 523.4m * (1 - 23.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 2.09b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 1.10b / EBITDA 646.4m)
Debt / FCF = 4.33 (Net Debt 1.10b / FCF TTM 253.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.96% (Net Income 376.7m / Total Assets 5.41b)
RoE = 18.44% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.04b)
RoCE = 20.73% (EBIT 523.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.04b + L.T.Debt 481.3m))
RoIC = 15.76% (NOPAT 398.4m / Invested Capital 2.53b)
WACC = 8.84% (E(3.70b)/V(5.09b) * Re(11.97%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.09b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 11.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.78%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.66% ; FCFE base≈324.2m ; Y1≈275.0m ; Y5≈209.8m
Fair Price DCF = 33.30 (DCF Value 2.22b / Shares Outstanding 66.7m; 5y FCF grow -18.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -40.23 | EPS CAGR: -8.79% | SUE: -0.97 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -38.10 | Revenue CAGR: -6.89% | SUE: -1.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.44 | Chg30d=+0.039 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+9.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
Additional Sources for ASO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle