(ASO) Academy Sports Outdoors - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US00402L1070

Firearms, Ammo, Apparel, Footwear, Fitness

Dividends

Dividend Yield 0.93%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.80%
Yield CAGR 5y 21.11%
Payout Consistency 100.0%
Payout Ratio 9.0%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 41.9%
Value at Risk 5%th 61.7%
Relative Tail Risk -10.61%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.17
Alpha -17.82
CAGR/Max DD 0.06
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.565
Beta 1.615
Beta Downside 1.447
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 54.17%
Mean DD 23.96%
Median DD 26.94%

Description: ASO Academy Sports Outdoors November 08, 2025

Academy Sports + Outdoors (NASDAQ: ASO) operates as a U.S. retailer of sporting-goods, outdoor recreation, apparel and footwear, selling under the Academy, Magellan Outdoors and several private-label brands. Its merchandise is segmented into four divisions: Outdoors (camping, fishing, hunting), Sports & Recreation (fitness equipment, team-sport gear, wheeled goods, electronics), Apparel (seasonal, work and licensed apparel) and Footwear (casual, work, athletic and specialty shoes). The company runs more than 150 stores-concentrated in the Sun Belt and Midwest-and its e-commerce channel accounts for roughly 10% of total sales.

Key data points: FY 2024 comparable sales rose about 5% year-over-year, driven by a 7% increase in in-store traffic and a 12% lift in average transaction value, pushing net sales to approximately $5.3 billion. The sporting-goods sector is highly sensitive to discretionary consumer spending, with employment growth and gasoline prices serving as primary macro drivers of outdoor-recreation demand. Compared with peers, ASO trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of roughly 9.4× versus the specialty-retail average of 10.2×, indicating a modest valuation discount.

For a deeper, data-driven look at ASO’s valuation and scenario analysis, you may find the analyst dashboards on ValueRay useful for extending your research.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (376.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 360.7m TTM)
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 14.41% (prev 11.50%; Δ 2.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 425.2m > Net Income 376.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (1.10b) to EBITDA (646.4m) ratio: 1.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (68.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 34.42% (prev 33.18%; Δ 1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 114.4% (prev 118.8%; Δ -4.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 14.45 (EBITDA TTM 646.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.46

(A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 2.09b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 5.41b
(B) 0.35 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.88b / Total Assets 5.41b
(C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 523.4m / Avg Total Assets 5.25b
(D) 0.58 = Book Value of Equity 1.88b / Total Liabilities 3.27b
Total Rating: 3.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.89

1. Piotroski 7.0pt
2. FCF Yield 5.28%
3. FCF Margin 4.22%
4. Debt/Equity 0.65
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.70
6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.92)%
7. RoE 18.44%
8. Rev. Trend -38.10%
9. EPS Trend -40.23%

What is the price of ASO shares?

As of December 17, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 53.67 with a total of 1,619,737 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.13%, over one month by +24.35%, over three months by +15.77% and over the past year by -1.38%.

Is ASO a buy, sell or hold?

Academy Sports Outdoors has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ASO.
  • Strong Buy: 9
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ASO price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 59.1 10.1%
Analysts Target Price 59.1 10.1%
ValueRay Target Price 55.1 2.6%

ASO Fundamental Data Overview December 14, 2025

Market Cap USD = 3.70b (3.70b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 10.2022
P/E Forward = 8.643
P/S = 0.6156
P/B = 1.7507
P/EG = 0.6173
Beta = 1.299
Revenue TTM = 6.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 523.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 646.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 481.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 127.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.80b USD (3.70b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 289.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.45 (Ebit TTM 523.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.28% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Enterprise Value 4.80b)
FCF Margin = 4.22% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Net Margin = 6.27% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Gross Margin = 34.42% ((Revenue TTM 6.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.66% (prev 36.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 4.80b / Total Assets 5.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 8.98m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = 23.89% (22.5m / 94.0m)
NOPAT = 398.4m (EBIT 523.4m * (1 - 23.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 2.09b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 1.10b / EBITDA 646.4m)
Debt / FCF = 4.33 (Net Debt 1.10b / FCF TTM 253.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.96% (Net Income 376.7m / Total Assets 5.41b)
RoE = 18.44% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.04b)
RoCE = 20.73% (EBIT 523.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.04b + L.T.Debt 481.3m))
RoIC = 15.76% (NOPAT 398.4m / Invested Capital 2.53b)
WACC = 8.84% (E(3.70b)/V(5.09b) * Re(11.97%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.09b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 11.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.78%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.66% ; FCFE base≈324.2m ; Y1≈275.0m ; Y5≈209.8m
Fair Price DCF = 33.30 (DCF Value 2.22b / Shares Outstanding 66.7m; 5y FCF grow -18.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -40.23 | EPS CAGR: -8.79% | SUE: -0.97 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -38.10 | Revenue CAGR: -6.89% | SUE: -1.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.44 | Chg30d=+0.039 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+9.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%

Additional Sources for ASO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle