(ASO) Academy Sports Outdoors - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US00402L1070

Sporting Goods, Outdoor Gear, Footwear, Apparel

Stock: Other Specialty Retail
Age 5.3y

MCap 3,735m
Avg Vol 1.73M (96.8M USD)

Beta 1.673
Volatility 42.11%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -8.79%
EPS Trend: -40.2%

Last SUE: -0.97
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -6.89%
Rev. Trend: -38.1%

Last SUE: -1.35
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.06%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.49%
Yield CAGR 5y	20.12%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	9.0%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	42.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	62.1%
Relative Tail Risk	-10.32%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.41
Alpha	-14.31
CAGR/Max DD	0.06

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.488
Beta	1.673
Beta Downside	1.524

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	54.17%
Mean DD	24.65%
Median DD	27.04%

Description: ASO Academy Sports Outdoors January 11, 2026

Academy Sports + Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASO) is a U.S. retailer that sells a broad array of sporting-goods, outdoor, apparel, and footwear products through its Academy, Magellan Outdoors, and several private-label brands. Its merchandise mix spans camping, fishing, and hunting gear; fitness and team-sport equipment; seasonal apparel and footwear; and ancillary items such as electronics, pet supplies, and consumables, all sold in roughly 260 stores concentrated in the Sun Belt and via an expanding e-commerce platform.

Key operating metrics that analysts watch include FY 2023 revenue of approximately $4.6 billion, a comparable-store sales increase of about 7% year-over-year, and an e-commerce growth rate near 15% that is outpacing the broader “Other Specialty Retail” sub-industry. The business is sensitive to discretionary-spending cycles, with inflation-adjusted consumer confidence and gasoline prices historically explaining roughly 30% of quarterly sales variance in the outdoor-recreation segment.

For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial models on ASO to see how these drivers translate into valuation scenarios.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (376.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 360.7m TTM)

FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 14.41% (prev 11.50%; Δ 2.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 425.2m > Net Income 376.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (1.10b) to EBITDA (646.4m) ratio: 1.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (68.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 34.42% (prev 33.18%; Δ 1.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 114.4% (prev 118.8%; Δ -4.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 14.45 (EBITDA TTM 646.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.46

(A) 0.16 = (Total Current Assets 2.09b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 5.41b

(B) 0.35 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.88b / Total Assets 5.41b

(D) 0.58 = Book Value of Equity 1.88b / Total Liabilities 3.27b

Total Rating: 3.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.75

1. Piotroski 7.0pt

2. FCF Yield 5.25%

3. FCF Margin 4.22%

4. Debt/Equity 0.65

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.70

6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.82)%

7. RoE 18.44%

8. Rev. Trend -38.10%

9. EPS Trend -40.23%

What is the price of ASO shares?

As of January 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 58.61 with a total of 1,305,190 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.70%, over one month by +6.70%, over three months by +16.20% and over the past year by +6.61%.

Is ASO a buy, sell or hold?

Academy Sports Outdoors has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ASO.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 1
Hold: 10
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ASO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	60	2.3%
Analysts Target Price	60	2.3%
ValueRay Target Price	60.3	2.9%

ASO Fundamental Data Overview January 14, 2026

P/E Trailing = 10.296
P/E Forward = 8.5911
P/S = 0.6212
P/B = 1.7401
P/EG = 0.6136
Revenue TTM = 6.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 523.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 646.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 481.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 127.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.83b USD (3.73b + Debt 1.39b - CCE 289.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.45 (Ebit TTM 523.4m / Interest Expense TTM 36.2m)
EV/FCF = 19.06x (Enterprise Value 4.83b / FCF TTM 253.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.25% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Enterprise Value 4.83b)
FCF Margin = 4.22% (FCF TTM 253.6m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Net Margin = 6.27% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Revenue TTM 6.01b)
Gross Margin = 34.42% ((Revenue TTM 6.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.66% (prev 36.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 4.83b / Total Assets 5.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 8.98m / Debt 1.39b)
Taxrate = 23.89% (22.5m / 94.0m)
NOPAT = 398.4m (EBIT 523.4m * (1 - 23.89%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 2.09b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 1.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 1.10b / EBITDA 646.4m)
Debt / FCF = 4.33 (Net Debt 1.10b / FCF TTM 253.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.17% (Net Income 376.7m / Total Assets 5.41b)
RoE = 18.44% (Net Income TTM 376.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.04b)
RoCE = 20.73% (EBIT 523.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.04b + L.T.Debt 481.3m))
RoIC = 15.76% (NOPAT 398.4m / Invested Capital 2.53b)
WACC = 8.94% (E(3.73b)/V(5.12b) * Re(12.08%) + D(1.39b)/V(5.12b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.47%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.75% ; FCFF base≈324.2m ; Y1≈274.9m ; Y5≈209.3m
Fair Price DCF = 32.10 (EV 3.24b - Net Debt 1.10b = Equity 2.14b / Shares 66.7m; r=8.94% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -18.42% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -40.23 | EPS CAGR: -8.79% | SUE: -0.97 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -38.10 | Revenue CAGR: -6.89% | SUE: -1.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=+0.034 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.49 | Chg30d=+0.109 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+10.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.1%

Additional Sources for ASO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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