ASTE Stock Analysis: Astec Industries | NASDAQ
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.323m USD | 12M Return: 39.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 11.3M
EPS Trend: 70.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 48.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Astec Industries (NASDAQ: ASTE) designs, engineers, manufactures, and services a broad portfolio of equipment used primarily in road building and related construction activities worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Infrastructure Solutions, which spans asphalt production, paving, milling, and soil remediation equipment along with automation and telematics platforms, and Materials Solutions, which covers crushing, screening, washing, conveying, and material handling equipment used in quarry, mining, recycling, and bulk terminal applications.
The company sells to a diverse customer base, including asphalt and concrete producers, highway and heavy contractors, utility contractors, aggregate producers, demolition and recycling contractors, mine and quarry operators, port authorities, power stations, and government agencies. Astec was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.
As a Small Cap industrial in the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry, Astecs revenue tends to track infrastructure spending, highway funding cycles, and construction/mining activity. Heavy equipment manufacturers in this segment typically supplement new equipment sales with aftermarket parts and service revenue tied to their installed base, which generally provides a more stable income stream than original equipment sales during downturns.
- US infrastructure spending lifts asphalt plant and paver orders
- Aggregates demand drives crusher and screen segment growth
- Steel input costs and FX headwinds pressure segment margins
| Net Income: 25.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.21 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 31.81% < 20% (prev 34.72%; Δ -2.92% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 82.1m > Net Income 25.8m |
| Net Debt (320.1m) to EBITDA (104.2m): 3.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.34 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (23.3m) vs 12m ago 1.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.07% > 18% (prev 25.93%; Δ 0.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 118.9% > 50% (prev 125.5%; Δ -6.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 60.1m / Interest Expense TTM 23.9m) |
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 819.5m - Total Current Liabilities 349.6m) / Total Assets 1.43b |
| B: 0.40 (Retained Earnings 566.5m / Total Assets 1.43b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 60.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.24b) |
| D: 0.90 (Book Value of Equity 678.1m / Total Liabilities 750.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.72 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 230.5m/177.3m, Revenue 1.48b/1.33b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 25.93% / 26.07%) |
| AQI: 1.98 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 1.48b / 1.33b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 25.8m - CFO 82.1m) / TA 1.43b) |
| Beneish M = -2.23 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 56.62 with a total of 90,136 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.63%, over one month by +14.48%, over three months by -7.27% and over the past year by +39.15%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 53.20 (which is 6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Astec Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ASTE.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 72.5 | 28% |
P/E Trailing = 51.3929
P/E Forward = 14.3266
P/S = 0.8959
P/B = 1.9517
P/EG = 1.3033
Revenue TTM = 1.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 60.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 104.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 365.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 397.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.09m
Net Debt = 320.1m USD (calculated: Debt 397.0m - CCE 76.9m)
Enterprise Value = 1.64b USD (1.32b + Debt 397.0m - CCE 76.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.51 (Ebit TTM 60.1m / Interest Expense TTM 23.9m)
EV/FCF = 44.18x (Enterprise Value 1.64b / FCF TTM 37.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.26% (FCF TTM 37.2m / Enterprise Value 1.64b)
FCF Margin = 2.52% (FCF TTM 37.2m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Net Margin = 1.75% (Net Income TTM 25.8m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Gross Margin = 26.07% ((Revenue TTM 1.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.01% (prev 27.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 1.64b / Total Assets 1.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.02% (Interest Expense 23.9m / Debt 397.0m)
Taxrate = 28.73% (10.4m / 36.2m)
NOPAT = 42.8m (EBIT 60.1m * (1 - 28.73%))
Current Ratio = 2.34 (Total Current Assets 819.5m / Total Current Liabilities 349.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.59 (Debt 397.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 678.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.07 (Net Debt 320.1m / EBITDA 104.2m)
Debt / FCF = 8.60 (Net Debt 320.1m / FCF TTM 37.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 675.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.08% (Net Income 25.8m / Total Assets 1.43b)
RoE = 3.82% (Net Income TTM 25.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 675.9m)
RoCE = 5.77% (EBIT 60.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 675.9m + L.T.Debt 365.5m))
RoIC = 4.15% (NOPAT 42.8m / Invested Capital 1.03b)
WACC = 8.53% (E(1.32b)/V(1.72b) * Re(9.80%) + D(397.0m)/V(1.72b) * Rd(6.02%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 77.78 | Cagr: 0.88%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.43% ; FCFF base≈51.1m ; Y1≈44.8m ; Y5≈36.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 10.64 (EV 564.7m - Net Debt 320.1m = Equity 244.6m / Shares 23.0m; r=8.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 70.84 | EPS CAGR: 14.87% | SUE: -0.99 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 48.32 | Revenue CAGR: 2.20% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=-1.39% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=+1.00% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.60 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+8.0% | GrowthRev=+14.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.21 | Chg30d=-0.06% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+17.0% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=7, down=7)