(ASTS) Ast Spacemobile - Ratings and Ratios
Satellites, Broadband, Cellular, Space
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 122% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 169% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.83 |
| Alpha | 248.83 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.28 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.625 |
| Beta | 2.231 |
| Beta Downside | 2.072 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 71.20% |
| Mean DD | 29.89% |
| Median DD | 31.78% |
Description: ASTS Ast Spacemobile December 17, 2025
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTS) designs, builds, and operates the BlueBird satellite constellation to deliver a direct-to-smartphone cellular broadband network from low-Earth orbit. The service targets users outside terrestrial coverage, offering commercial and government customers a space-based alternative to traditional cellular infrastructure. Founded in 2017 and based in Midland, Texas, the firm is classified under the Wireless Telecommunication Services sub-industry.
Key operational metrics include a planned 75-satellite constellation, with the first two BlueBird satellites launched in early 2024 and a target of full deployment by 2027. The company recently secured a $500 million financing round and a partnership with T-Mobile to test direct-to-handset connectivity, which could unlock a total addressable market of roughly $30 billion in underserved rural and maritime segments. Primary economic drivers are the global push for 5G expansion, rising demand for connectivity in remote logistics and defense, and the decreasing cost per kilogram to launch LEO satellites.
For a deeper quantitative analysis, see the ValueRay profile on ASTS.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-303.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.11m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.36 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -7.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6170 % (prev 18.1k%; Δ -11.9kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO -164.9m > Net Income -303.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 9.56 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (272.8m) change vs 12m ago 75.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -185.4% (prev -2078 %; Δ 1892 pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 1.10% (prev 0.30%; Δ 0.79pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -12.34 (EBITDA TTM -358.7m / Interest Expense TTM 32.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.49
| (A) 0.45 = (Total Current Assets 1.28b - Total Current Liabilities 133.6m) / Total Assets 2.55b |
| (B) -0.30 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -757.7m / Total Assets 2.55b |
| (C) -0.24 = EBIT TTM -402.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.69b |
| (D) -0.82 = Book Value of Equity -756.5m / Total Liabilities 924.9m |
| Total Rating: -0.49 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 29.40
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.50% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.58 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.34 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -46.34)% |
| 7. RoE -38.51% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -15.22% |
| 9. EPS Trend -25.55% |
What is the price of ASTS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +16.01%, over one month by +46.72%, over three months by +26.16% and over the past year by +285.72%.
Is ASTS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ASTS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 71.5 | -14.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 71.5 | -14.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 103.2 | 23.6% |
ASTS Fundamental Data Overview January 02, 2026
P/S = 1439.9847
P/B = 20.7408
Beta = 2.759
Revenue TTM = 18.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -402.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -358.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 697.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 722.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -481.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.20b USD (26.68b + Debt 722.5m - CCE 1.20b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -12.34 (Ebit TTM -402.9m / Interest Expense TTM 32.6m)
FCF Yield = -3.50% (FCF TTM -916.0m / Enterprise Value 26.20b)
FCF Margin = -4943 % (FCF TTM -916.0m / Revenue TTM 18.5m)
Net Margin = -1640 % (Net Income TTM -303.8m / Revenue TTM 18.5m)
Gross Margin = -185.4% ((Revenue TTM 18.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 52.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.61% (prev -913.8%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.27 (Enterprise Value 26.20b / Total Assets 2.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.04% (Interest Expense 7.54m / Debt 722.5m)
Taxrate = -0.23% (negative due to tax credits) (374.0k / -163.5m)
NOPAT = -403.8m (EBIT -402.9m * (1 - -0.23%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 9.56 (Total Current Assets 1.28b / Total Current Liabilities 133.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.58 (Debt 722.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.34 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -481.8m / EBITDA -358.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.53 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -481.8m / FCF TTM -916.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 788.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.91% (Net Income -303.8m / Total Assets 2.55b)
RoE = -38.51% (Net Income TTM -303.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 788.9m)
RoCE = -27.10% (EBIT -402.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 788.9m + L.T.Debt 697.6m))
RoIC = -32.45% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -403.8m / Invested Capital 1.24b)
WACC = 13.88% (E(26.68b)/V(27.41b) * Re(14.23%) + D(722.5m)/V(27.41b) * Rd(1.04%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 14.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 73.96%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -916.0m)
EPS Correlation: -25.55 | EPS CAGR: 5.68% | SUE: 0.67 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -15.22 | Revenue CAGR: 25.87% | SUE: -0.50 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.27 | Chg30d=+0.013 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.82 | Chg30d=-0.106 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+35.6% | Growth Revenue=+342.6%
Additional Sources for ASTS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle