ASTS Stock Analysis: Ast Spacemobile | NASDAQ
Communication Equipment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 23.315m USD | 12M Return: 41.2% | US00217D1000 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 547M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 38.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 6.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is a U.S.-based satellite communications company founded in 2017 and headquartered in Midland, Texas. The company designs and develops its BlueBird satellite constellation with the goal of building a space-based cellular broadband network that connects directly to standard smartphones, serving both commercial and government end-users who are outside the reach of terrestrial cellular coverage.
The company operates within the wireless telecommunication services sector, specifically in the emerging direct-to-device (D2D) satellite connectivity segment. Unlike traditional satellite broadband services that require dedicated user terminals, AST SpaceMobiles business model targets standard mobile devices, positioning it at the intersection of the satellite and mobile network operator (MNO) industries.
- BlueBird satellite launches accelerate constellation deployment
- AT&T and Verizon partnerships drive commercial service revenue ramp
- Dilutive capital raises persist amid heavy constellation spending
| Net Income: -618.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.28 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 8.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.00k% < 20% (prev 17.5k%; Δ -15.5k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -144.7m > Net Income -618.8m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 13.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (299.1m) vs 12m ago 23.59% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -13.99% > 18% (prev -1.17k%; Δ 1.15k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 2.98% > 50% (prev 0.26%; Δ 2.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -12.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM -745.2m / Interest Expense TTM 60.6m) |
| A: 0.39 (Total Current Assets 2.49b - Total Current Liabilities 191.0m) / Total Assets 5.85b |
| B: -0.21 (Retained Earnings -1.25b / Total Assets 5.85b) |
| C: -0.19 (EBIT TTM -745.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.87b) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 1.89b / Total Liabilities 3.46b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.16 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.29 (Receivables 79.3m/11.5m, Revenue 115.3m/4.89m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 3.11 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 23.57 (Revenue 115.3m / 4.89m) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI -618.8m - CFO -144.7m) / TA 5.85b) |
| Beneish M = 13.81 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of September 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 58.52 with a total of 19,681,246 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.24%, over one month by -12.75%, over three months by -27.45% and over the past year by +41.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 51.20 (which is 12.5% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Ast Spacemobile has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.18. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ASTS.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 79.6 | 36% |
P/S = 202.2136
P/B = 9.88
Revenue TTM = 115.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -745.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -678.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.96b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.02b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 21.8m
Net Debt = 727.3m USD (calculated: Debt 3.02b - CCE 2.29b)
Enterprise Value = 24.0b USD (23.3b + Debt 3.02b - CCE 2.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -12.31 (Ebit TTM -745.2m / Interest Expense TTM 60.6m)
EV/FCF = -14.68x (Enterprise Value 24.0b / FCF TTM -1.64b)
FCF Yield = -6.81% (FCF TTM -1.64b / Enterprise Value 24.0b)
FCF Margin = -1.42k% (FCF TTM -1.64b / Revenue TTM 115.3m)
Net Margin = -536.7% (Net Income TTM -618.8m / Revenue TTM 115.3m)
Gross Margin = -13.99% ((Revenue TTM 115.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 131.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.23% (prev 24.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.11 (Enterprise Value 24.0b / Total Assets 5.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.01% (Interest Expense 60.6m / Debt 3.02b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -588.7m (EBIT -745.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 13.05 (Total Current Assets 2.49b / Total Current Liabilities 191.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.59 (Debt 3.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.07 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 727.3m / EBITDA -678.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.44 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 727.3m / FCF TTM -1.64b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -16.00% (Net Income -618.8m / Total Assets 5.85b)
RoE = -35.08% (Net Income TTM -618.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.76b)
RoCE = -15.76% (EBIT -745.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.76b + L.T.Debt 2.96b))
RoIC = -10.38% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -588.7m / Invested Capital 5.67b)
WACC = 14.38% (E(23.3b)/V(26.3b) * Re(16.04%) + D(3.02b)/V(26.3b) * Rd(2.01%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 16.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 97.78 | Cagr: 49.26%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.64b)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.51 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 38.19 | Revenue CAGR: 70.69% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.45 | Chg30d=-53.90% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.28 | Chg30d=-64.76% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=-70.4% | GrowthRev=+138.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-1.10 | Chg30d=-60.51% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+51.8% | GrowthRev=+285.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64% (up=1, down=10)