(AUPH) Aurinia Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
Immunosuppressant, Lupus, Nephritis, Inhibitor, Autoimmune
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 50.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 68.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.75% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.44 |
| Alpha | 79.41 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.441 |
| Beta | 0.668 |
| Beta Downside | 0.428 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.80% |
| Mean DD | 28.44% |
| Median DD | 31.58% |
Description: AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals November 12, 2025
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:AUPH) is a Canada-based biopharma focused on high-unmet-need autoimmune disorders. Its flagship product, LUPKYNIS (voclosporin), is an oral calcineurin inhibitor approved for adult patients with active lupus nephritis, and the pipeline includes AUR200, a dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor targeting broader autoimmune indications.
Key performance indicators as of Q3 2024 show annualized revenue of roughly $120 million, driven primarily by LUPKYNIS sales in the U.S., and a cash runway extending into mid-2026 under current burn rates (~$80 million / year). The company’s market capitalization hovers around $1.2 billion, with a price-to-sales multiple of ~10×, reflecting investor expectations for pipeline de-risking.
Sector-level drivers remain favorable: the global lupus nephritis market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~7% through 2030, and the broader autoimmune therapeutics space benefits from increasing biologic adoption and payer willingness to reimburse oral alternatives that reduce infusion costs.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of AUPH’s valuation and risk profile, consider reviewing its detailed analyst metrics on ValueRay.
AUPH Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,024m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 1999-01-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 64.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.33 of 5 |
AUPH Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAUPH Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 46.36% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.76 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.63 |
| Current Volume | 1297.3k |
| Average Volume | 1723.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (77.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 15.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.23 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 17.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 136.4% (prev 164.2%; Δ -27.82pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 120.1m > Net Income 77.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.02m) to EBITDA (102.4m) ratio: 0.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.76 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (136.0m) change vs 12m ago -6.62% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 88.81% (prev 87.25%; Δ 1.56pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 49.37% (prev 40.11%; Δ 9.25pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 18.73 (EBITDA TTM 102.4m / Interest Expense TTM 4.43m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.89
| (A) 0.69 = (Total Current Assets 438.7m - Total Current Liabilities 76.2m) / Total Assets 527.5m |
| (B) -1.63 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -860.2m / Total Assets 527.5m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.63 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 83.0m / Avg Total Assets 538.4m |
| (D) 1.58 = Book Value of Equity 255.9m / Total Liabilities 161.8m |
| Total Rating: 1.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 94.29
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.85% |
| 3. FCF Margin 45.10% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.21 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.05 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.71)% |
| 7. RoE 21.79% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.31% |
| 9. EPS Trend 92.94% |
What is the price of AUPH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.53%, over one month by +27.87%, over three months by +26.06% and over the past year by +83.74%.
Is AUPH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AUPH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.5 | 2.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.5 | 2.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 13.6 | -10.4% |
AUPH Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 27.4107
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 7.6136
P/B = 5.5292
Beta = 1.457
Revenue TTM = 265.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 83.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 102.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 78.2m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 17.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 78.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.02m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.75b USD (2.02b + Debt 78.2m - CCE 351.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.73 (Ebit TTM 83.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.43m)
FCF Yield = 6.85% (FCF TTM 119.9m / Enterprise Value 1.75b)
FCF Margin = 45.10% (FCF TTM 119.9m / Revenue TTM 265.8m)
Net Margin = 29.28% (Net Income TTM 77.8m / Revenue TTM 265.8m)
Gross Margin = 88.81% ((Revenue TTM 265.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 29.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 88.42% (prev 89.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.32 (Enterprise Value 1.75b / Total Assets 527.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 1.10m / Debt 78.2m)
Taxrate = 1.29% (411.0k / 32.0m)
NOPAT = 81.9m (EBIT 83.0m * (1 - 1.29%))
Current Ratio = 5.76 (Total Current Assets 438.7m / Total Current Liabilities 76.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 78.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 365.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.05 (Net Debt 5.02m / EBITDA 102.4m)
Debt / FCF = 0.04 (Net Debt 5.02m / FCF TTM 119.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 357.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.76% (Net Income 77.8m / Total Assets 527.5m)
RoE = 21.79% (Net Income TTM 77.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 357.2m)
RoCE = 19.06% (EBIT 83.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 357.2m + L.T.Debt 78.2m))
RoIC = 22.93% (NOPAT 81.9m / Invested Capital 357.2m)
WACC = 8.22% (E(2.02b)/V(2.10b) * Re(8.48%) + D(78.2m)/V(2.10b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 8.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.76%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.51% ; FCFE base≈83.4m ; Y1≈54.8m ; Y5≈25.1m
Fair Price DCF = 3.47 (DCF Value 457.6m / Shares Outstanding 131.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 92.94 | EPS CAGR: 190.8% | SUE: 1.72 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.31 | Revenue CAGR: 41.22% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for AUPH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle