Overview Dividends

(AUR) Aurora Innovation - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0517741072

Aurora Driver, Self-Driving Platform, Autonomous Trucking, Autonomous Logistics

Application Software
Market Cap in USD: 8,903m

IPO / Inception: 2021-05-10
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -55.1%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 74.03%
EPS Trend: 25.2%

Last SUE: 1.97
Qual. Beats: 2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -58.23%
Rev. Trend: -70.8%

Last SUE: -0.96
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	66.2%
Value at Risk 5%th	99.2%
Relative Tail Risk	-8.96%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.38
Alpha	-64.35
CAGR/Max DD	0.79

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.564
Beta	2.241
Beta Downside	2.008

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	63.00%
Mean DD	28.81%
Median DD	31.11%

Description: AUR Aurora Innovation November 03, 2025

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ:AUR) is a U.S. self-driving technology company founded in 2017 and based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Its flagship Aurora Driver platform bundles autonomous-vehicle hardware, software, and data services to support a range of vehicle types and applications.

Key recent data points (as of Q3 2024) include a cash runway of roughly $400 million, a strategic partnership with a major OEM to pilot Level-4 autonomy in freight trucks, and the broader logistics sector’s projected $30 billion market for autonomous freight by 2030. The company has not yet disclosed commercial revenue, so its timeline to profitability remains highly uncertain given the capital-intensive nature of sensor, mapping, and regulatory compliance costs.

For a data-driven deep-dive, ValueRay’s platform offers up-to-date financial models and scenario analysis that can help you evaluate Aurora’s risk-adjusted upside.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0

Net Income (-803.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 120.0k TTM)

FCFTA -0.24 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)

CFO/TA -0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO -577.0m > Net Income -803.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)

Current Ratio 15.29 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.89b) change vs 12m ago 14.12% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue)

Asset Turnover 0.08% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -22.13 (EBITDA TTM -811.0m / Interest Expense TTM -38.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -29.50

(A) 0.48 = (Total Current Assets 1.28b - Total Current Liabilities 84.0m) / Total Assets 2.51b

(B) -1.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.97b / Total Assets 2.51b

warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.98 — check mapping/units

(D) -22.68 = Book Value of Equity -4.97b / Total Liabilities 219.0m

Total Rating: -29.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 22.03

1. Piotroski 0.0pt

2. FCF Yield -7.83%

3. FCF Margin data missing

4. Debt/Equity 0.05

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.02

6. ROIC - WACC (= -56.59)%

7. RoE -40.44%

8. Rev. Trend -70.84%

9. EPS Trend 25.25%

What is the price of AUR shares?

As of December 18, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 4.07 with a total of 13,462,800 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.56%, over one month by +6.27%, over three months by -30.90% and over the past year by -49.50%.

Is AUR a buy, sell or hold?

Aurora Innovation has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefor, it is recommend to hold AUR.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 2
Hold: 5
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AUR price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	9.8	140.5%
Analysts Target Price	9.8	140.5%
ValueRay Target Price	3.7	-9.1%

AUR Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025

Market Cap USD = 8.90b (8.90b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 4451.353
P/B = 3.8859
Beta = 2.47
Revenue TTM = 2.00m USD
EBIT TTM = -841.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -811.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 107.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 107.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.76b USD (8.90b + Debt 107.0m - CCE 1.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -22.13 (Ebit TTM -841.0m / Interest Expense TTM -38.0m)
FCF Yield = -7.83% (FCF TTM -608.0m / Enterprise Value 7.76b)
FCF Margin = -30.4k% (FCF TTM -608.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00m)
Net Margin = -40.1k% (Net Income TTM -803.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00m)
Gross Margin = -9999 % ((Revenue TTM 2.00m - Cost of Revenue TTM 567.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -1800 % (prev -9999 %)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.09 (Enterprise Value 7.76b / Total Assets 2.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.21% (Interest Expense 12.0m / Debt 107.0m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -201.0m)
NOPAT = -841.0m (EBIT -841.0m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 15.29 (Total Current Assets 1.28b / Total Current Liabilities 84.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 107.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.02 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 20.0m / EBITDA -811.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 20.0m / FCF TTM -608.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -31.99% (Net Income -803.0m / Total Assets 2.51b)
RoE = -40.44% (Net Income TTM -803.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.99b)
RoCE = -40.19% (EBIT -841.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.99b + L.T.Debt 107.0m))
RoIC = -42.36% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -841.0m / Invested Capital 1.99b)
WACC = 14.23% (E(8.90b)/V(9.01b) * Re(14.27%) + D(107.0m)/V(9.01b) * Rd(11.21%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 14.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.50%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -608.0m)
EPS Correlation: 25.25 | EPS CAGR: 74.03% | SUE: 1.97 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -70.84 | Revenue CAGR: -58.23% | SUE: -0.96 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.11 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.47 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-2.2% | Growth Revenue=+804.0%

Additional Sources for AUR Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle