(AUR) Aurora Innovation - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Parts | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 13.483m USD | Total Return: 15% in 12m

Autonomous Software, Computing Hardware, Lidar Sensors, Data Services
Total Rating 32
Safety 69
Buy Signal -0.42
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +3.1
Market Cap: 13.5B
Avg Turnover: 199M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility88.6%
VaR 5th Pctl14.3%
VaR vs Median-2.09%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.49
Rel. Str. IBD84.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group89.5
Character TTM
Beta2.527
Beta Downside2.698
Hurst Exponent0.500
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD63.00%
CAGR/Max DD1.19
CAGR/Mean DD2.26
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AUR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.02, "2021-06": -0.03, "2021-09": -0.07, "2021-12": -0.24, "2022-03": 0.07, "2022-06": -0.14, "2022-09": -0.17, "2022-12": -0.25, "2023-03": -0.16, "2023-06": -0.18, "2023-09": -0.13, "2023-12": -0.13, "2024-03": -0.11, "2024-06": -0.12, "2024-09": -0.13, "2024-12": -0.09, "2025-03": -0.12, "2025-06": -0.08, "2025-09": -0.0793, "2025-12": -0.11, "2026-03": -0.11,
Last SUE: 0.11
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AUR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 0, 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 55.599, 2021-12: 26.401, 2022-03: 42, 2022-06: 21, 2022-09: 3, 2022-12: 2, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 21, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 0, 2024-03: 0, 2024-06: 0, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: 0, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 1, 2025-09: 1, 2025-12: 1, 2026-03: 1,
Last SUE: 0.11
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -5.8 is critical

Altman Z'' -15.00 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Choppy Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs(ibd) Leader

Description: AUR Aurora Innovation

Aurora Innovation, Inc. is a Pittsburgh-based technology firm focused on the development of the Aurora Driver, an integrated autonomous vehicle platform. The system combines proprietary hardware, software, and data services designed to automate various vehicle classes, with a primary commercial focus on the heavy-duty trucking industry.

The company operates within the autonomous driving sector, which utilizes a Hardware-as-a-Service or subscription-based business model to provide logistics firms with self-driving capabilities. Unlike traditional automotive manufacturing, Aurora’s platform is designed to be vehicle-agnostic, allowing for integration across different original equipment manufacturer (OEM) truck models and passenger vehicles.

For more detailed data on how this technology impacts long-term valuation, consider exploring the metrics available on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Commercial launch of driverless trucking routes accelerates recurring software revenue
  • Capital expenditure requirements for sensor suite production impact cash runway
  • Federal and state regulatory frameworks dictate autonomous vehicle deployment timelines
  • Freight industry adoption rates drive Aurora Horizon subscription service scaling
  • Strategic partnerships with truck manufacturers determine hardware integration and market reach
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: -831.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.30 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.19 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.27 > 3% & CFO -598.0m > Net Income -831.0m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 9.49 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.95b) vs 12m ago 11.70% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.19% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.19% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -5.77 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -904.0m / Interest Expense TTM 162.0m)
Altman Z'' -15.00
A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 1.27b - Total Current Liabilities 134.0m) / Total Assets 2.19b
B: -2.47 (Retained Earnings -5.40b / Total Assets 2.19b)
C: -0.44 (EBIT TTM -934.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.13b)
D: -24.42 (Book Value of Equity -5.40b / Total Liabilities 221.0m)
Altman-Z'' = -33.23 = D
What is the price of AUR shares?

As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.07 with a total of 23,336,111 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.30%, over one month by +43.99%, over three months by +45.77% and over the past year by +14.96%.

Is AUR a buy, sell or hold?

Aurora Innovation has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold AUR.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AUR price?
Analysts Target Price 10.6 49.4%
Aurora Innovation (AUR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 20 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 13.5b (13.5b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 3370.8179
P/B = 7.4094
Revenue TTM = 4.00m USD
EBIT TTM = -934.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -904.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 67.0m USD (estimated: total debt 79.0m - short term 12.0m)
Short Term Debt = 12.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 163.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 84.0m
Net Debt = -1.06b USD (calculated: Debt 163.0m - CCE 1.23b)
Enterprise Value = 12.4b USD (13.5b + Debt 163.0m - CCE 1.23b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.77 (Ebit TTM -934.0m / Interest Expense TTM 162.0m)
EV/FCF = -19.22x (Enterprise Value 12.4b / FCF TTM -646.0m)
FCF Yield = -5.20% (FCF TTM -646.0m / Enterprise Value 12.4b)
 FCF Margin = -16.1k% (FCF TTM -646.0m / Revenue TTM 4.00m)
 Net Margin = -20.8k% (Net Income TTM -831.0m / Revenue TTM 4.00m)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 4.00m - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.0m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.68 (Enterprise Value 12.4b / Total Assets 2.19b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 99.39% (Interest Expense 162.0m / Debt 163.0m)
 Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -737.9m (EBIT -934.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 9.49 (Total Current Assets 1.27b / Total Current Liabilities 134.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 163.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.96b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 1.18 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.06b / EBITDA -904.0m)
 Debt / FCF = 1.65 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.06b / FCF TTM -646.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -39.05% (Net Income -831.0m / Total Assets 2.19b)
RoE = -11.09% (Net Income TTM -831.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.49b)
RoCE = -12.35% (EBIT -934.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.49b + L.T.Debt 67.0m))
 RoIC = -36.03% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -737.9m / Invested Capital 2.05b)
 WACC = 14.69% (E(13.5b)/V(13.6b) * Re(14.87%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 14.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 11.62%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -646.0m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.12 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.12 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.54 | Chg30d=-13.02% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=-58.9% | GrowthRev=+402.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.42 | Chg30d=+5.93% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+22.0% | GrowthRev=+1150.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%