(AUR) Aurora Innovation - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0517741072

Self-Driving Platform, Hardware, Software, Data

Stock: Application Software
Age 4.7y

MCap 9,270m
Avg Vol 14.7M (68.5M USD)

Beta 2.229
Volatility 79.71%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -6.11%
EPS Trend: 25.7%

Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 3

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -58.23%
Rev. Trend: -70.8%

Last SUE: -0.96
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	79.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	117%
Relative Tail Risk	-10.60%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.09
Alpha	-65.30
CAGR/Max DD	0.70

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.544
Beta	2.229
Beta Downside	1.949

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	63.00%
Mean DD	30.27%
Median DD	32.32%

Description: AUR Aurora Innovation January 06, 2026

Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ:AUR) is a U.S.-based self-driving technology firm that builds the Aurora Driver platform, integrating hardware, software, and data services to enable autonomous operation across multiple vehicle types and use cases. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, the company positions itself within the Application Software sub-industry of the GICS classification.

Recent public data (as of Q3 2024) shows Aurora has logged over 1.5 million autonomous test miles and secured strategic partnerships with major OEMs such as Hyundai and Volvo, which serve as early validation of its technology stack. The firm’s cash runway is estimated at roughly 12 months based on disclosed cash-burn rates, highlighting the importance of upcoming financing rounds or commercial revenue milestones. Macro-level drivers for the sector include tightening regulatory frameworks for Level-4 autonomy and a projected CAGR of ~20 % for autonomous vehicle services through 2030.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s analyst framework useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0

Net Income (-803.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 120.0k TTM)

FCFTA -0.24 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)

CFO/TA -0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO -577.0m > Net Income -803.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)

Current Ratio 15.29 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.89b) change vs 12m ago 14.12% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue)

Asset Turnover 0.08% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -22.13 (EBITDA TTM -811.0m / Interest Expense TTM -38.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -29.50

(A) 0.48 = (Total Current Assets 1.28b - Total Current Liabilities 84.0m) / Total Assets 2.51b

(B) -1.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.97b / Total Assets 2.51b

warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.98 — check mapping/units

(D) -22.68 = Book Value of Equity -4.97b / Total Liabilities 219.0m

Total Rating: -29.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 22.23

1. Piotroski 0.0pt

2. FCF Yield -7.48%

3. FCF Margin data missing

4. Debt/Equity 0.05

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.02

6. ROIC - WACC (= -47.54)%

7. RoE -40.44%

8. Rev. Trend -70.84%

9. EPS Trend 25.66%

What is the price of AUR shares?

As of January 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.67 with a total of 12,874,544 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.51%, over one month by +13.35%, over three months by -10.71% and over the past year by -29.24%.

Is AUR a buy, sell or hold?

Aurora Innovation has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefor, it is recommend to hold AUR.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 2
Hold: 5
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AUR price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	9.8	109.6%
Analysts Target Price	9.8	109.6%
ValueRay Target Price	4.4	-6.6%

AUR Fundamental Data Overview January 12, 2026

P/S = 4635.2134
P/B = 4.0465
Revenue TTM = 2.00m USD
EBIT TTM = -841.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -811.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 107.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 107.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.13b USD (9.27b + Debt 107.0m - CCE 1.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -22.13 (Ebit TTM -841.0m / Interest Expense TTM -38.0m)
EV/FCF = -13.37x (Enterprise Value 8.13b / FCF TTM -608.0m)
FCF Yield = -7.48% (FCF TTM -608.0m / Enterprise Value 8.13b)
FCF Margin = -30.4k% (FCF TTM -608.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00m)
Net Margin = -40.1k% (Net Income TTM -803.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00m)
Gross Margin = -28.2k% ((Revenue TTM 2.00m - Cost of Revenue TTM 567.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.24 (Enterprise Value 8.13b / Total Assets 2.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.21% (Interest Expense 12.0m / Debt 107.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -664.4m (EBIT -841.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 15.29 (Total Current Assets 1.28b / Total Current Liabilities 84.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 107.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.02 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 20.0m / EBITDA -811.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 20.0m / FCF TTM -608.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -33.63% (Net Income -803.0m / Total Assets 2.51b)
RoE = -40.44% (Net Income TTM -803.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.99b)
RoCE = -40.19% (EBIT -841.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.99b + L.T.Debt 107.0m))
RoIC = -33.46% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -664.4m / Invested Capital 1.99b)
WACC = 14.08% (E(9.27b)/V(9.38b) * Re(14.14%) + D(107.0m)/V(9.38b) * Rd(11.21%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.50%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -608.0m)
EPS Correlation: 25.66 | EPS CAGR: -6.11% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -70.84 | Revenue CAGR: -58.23% | SUE: -0.96 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.11 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.47 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-2.2% | Growth Revenue=+732.4%

Additional Sources for AUR Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle