(AUR) Aurora Innovation - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US0517741072
Aurora Driver, Self-Driving Platform, Autonomous Trucking, Autonomous Logistics
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 59.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 88.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.54% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha | -49.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.474 |
| Beta | 2.249 |
| Beta Downside | 2.147 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.47% |
| Mean DD | 28.21% |
| Median DD | 29.80% |
Description: AUR Aurora Innovation November 03, 2025
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ:AUR) is a U.S. self-driving technology company founded in 2017 and based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Its flagship Aurora Driver platform bundles autonomous-vehicle hardware, software, and data services to support a range of vehicle types and applications.
Key recent data points (as of Q3 2024) include a cash runway of roughly $400 million, a strategic partnership with a major OEM to pilot Level-4 autonomy in freight trucks, and the broader logistics sector’s projected $30 billion market for autonomous freight by 2030. The company has not yet disclosed commercial revenue, so its timeline to profitability remains highly uncertain given the capital-intensive nature of sensor, mapping, and regulatory compliance costs.
For a data-driven deep-dive, ValueRay’s platform offers up-to-date financial models and scenario analysis that can help you evaluate Aurora’s risk-adjusted upside.
AUR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,870m |
| Sub-Industry | Application Software |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-05-10 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -33.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.80 of 5 |
AUR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAUR Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 36.44% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.61 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.29 |
| Current Volume | 14388.7k |
| Average Volume | 18087.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-803.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 120.0k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.24 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.68pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO -577.0m > Net Income -803.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 15.29 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.89b) change vs 12m ago 14.12% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue) |
| Asset Turnover 0.08% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -3.12 (EBITDA TTM -799.0m / Interest Expense TTM 195.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -28.84
| (A) 0.48 = (Total Current Assets 1.28b - Total Current Liabilities 84.0m) / Total Assets 2.51b |
| (B) -1.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.97b / Total Assets 2.51b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.98 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.25 = EBIT TTM -608.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.39b |
| (D) -22.68 = Book Value of Equity -4.97b / Total Liabilities 219.0m |
| Total Rating: -28.84 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 28.56
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -6.96% = -3.48 |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.05 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.03 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -46.54)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -40.44% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -29.32% = -2.20 |
| 9. EPS Trend 84.90% = 4.24 |
What is the price of AUR shares?
As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 4.13 with a total of 14,388,682 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.40%, over one month by -23.80%, over three months by -37.04% and over the past year by -23.23%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.40%, over one month by -23.80%, over three months by -37.04% and over the past year by -23.23%.
Is Aurora Innovation a good stock to buy?
No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Aurora Innovation (NASDAQ:AUR) is currently (November 2025)
a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 28.56 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AUR is around 3.38 USD . This means that AUR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.16%.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AUR is around 3.38 USD . This means that AUR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.16%.
Is AUR a buy, sell or hold?
Aurora Innovation has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AUR.
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AUR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10 | 142.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10 | 142.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4 | -3.9% |
AUR Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
Market Cap USD = 9.87b (9.87b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 4935.1963
P/B = 4.9493
Beta = 2.463
Revenue TTM = 2.00m USD
EBIT TTM = -608.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -799.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 121.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 12.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 107.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.73b USD (9.87b + Debt 107.0m - CCE 1.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.12 (Ebit TTM -608.0m / Interest Expense TTM 195.0m)
FCF Yield = -6.96% (FCF TTM -608.0m / Enterprise Value 8.73b)
FCF Margin = -30.4k% (FCF TTM -608.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00m)
Net Margin = -40.1k% (Net Income TTM -803.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00m)
Gross Margin = -3500 % ((Revenue TTM 2.00m - Cost of Revenue TTM 72.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -500.0% (prev -1600 %)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.48 (Enterprise Value 8.73b / Total Assets 2.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.21% (Interest Expense 12.0m / Debt 107.0m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -748.0m)
NOPAT = -608.0m (EBIT -608.0m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 15.29 (Total Current Assets 1.28b / Total Current Liabilities 84.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 107.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.03 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 20.0m / EBITDA -799.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 20.0m / FCF TTM -608.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -31.99% (Net Income -803.0m / Total Assets 2.51b)
RoE = -40.44% (Net Income TTM -803.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.99b)
RoCE = -28.86% (EBIT -608.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.99b + L.T.Debt 121.0m))
RoIC = -32.28% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -608.0m / Invested Capital 1.88b)
WACC = 14.27% (E(9.87b)/V(9.98b) * Re(14.30%) + D(107.0m)/V(9.98b) * Rd(11.21%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 14.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.50%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -608.0m)
EPS Correlation: 84.90 | EPS CAGR: 165.5% | SUE: 1.97 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -29.32 | Revenue CAGR: -26.95% | SUE: -0.96 | # QB: 0
P/S = 4935.1963
P/B = 4.9493
Beta = 2.463
Revenue TTM = 2.00m USD
EBIT TTM = -608.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -799.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 121.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 12.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 107.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.73b USD (9.87b + Debt 107.0m - CCE 1.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.12 (Ebit TTM -608.0m / Interest Expense TTM 195.0m)
FCF Yield = -6.96% (FCF TTM -608.0m / Enterprise Value 8.73b)
FCF Margin = -30.4k% (FCF TTM -608.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00m)
Net Margin = -40.1k% (Net Income TTM -803.0m / Revenue TTM 2.00m)
Gross Margin = -3500 % ((Revenue TTM 2.00m - Cost of Revenue TTM 72.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -500.0% (prev -1600 %)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.48 (Enterprise Value 8.73b / Total Assets 2.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.21% (Interest Expense 12.0m / Debt 107.0m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -748.0m)
NOPAT = -608.0m (EBIT -608.0m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 15.29 (Total Current Assets 1.28b / Total Current Liabilities 84.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 107.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.03 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 20.0m / EBITDA -799.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 20.0m / FCF TTM -608.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -31.99% (Net Income -803.0m / Total Assets 2.51b)
RoE = -40.44% (Net Income TTM -803.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.99b)
RoCE = -28.86% (EBIT -608.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.99b + L.T.Debt 121.0m))
RoIC = -32.28% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -608.0m / Invested Capital 1.88b)
WACC = 14.27% (E(9.87b)/V(9.98b) * Re(14.30%) + D(107.0m)/V(9.98b) * Rd(11.21%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 14.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.50%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -608.0m)
EPS Correlation: 84.90 | EPS CAGR: 165.5% | SUE: 1.97 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -29.32 | Revenue CAGR: -26.95% | SUE: -0.96 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AUR Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle