AUR Stock Analysis: Aurora Innovation | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 11.464m USD | 12M Return: -6.8% | US0517741072 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 159M
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 5.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (NASDAQ: AUR) is a U.S.-based self-driving technology company developing the Aurora Driver, an integrated platform combining self-driving hardware, software, and data services. The platform is designed to be vehicle-agnostic, enabling interoperability across multiple vehicle types and applications, a common strategic approach in the autonomous vehicle sector where firms aim to license technology across automotive and trucking use cases rather than manufacture vehicles themselves. Founded in 2017 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania-a longstanding hub for robotics and autonomous systems research-Aurora went public in May 2021 and is classified within the Information Technology sector under the Application Software sub-industry, reflecting its software-centric business model. As a large-cap stock, it represents one of the more prominent publicly traded pure-play autonomous driving companies in the U.S. market.
- Driverless trucking commercial launch remains key catalyst
- High cash burn and capital raise plans pressure shares
- OEM partnerships with Volvo and PACCAR advance deployment
| Net Income: -900.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.35 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.8k% < 20% (prev 126k%; Δ -103k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.31 > 3% & CFO -679.0m > Net Income -900.0m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 11.38 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.98b) vs 12m ago 10.70% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.23% > 50% (prev 0.05%; Δ 0.18% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -224.0 > 6 (EBIT TTM -896.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m) |
| A: 0.53 (Total Current Assets 1.25b - Total Current Liabilities 110.0m) / Total Assets 2.17b |
| B: -2.62 (Retained Earnings -5.67b / Total Assets 2.17b) |
| C: -0.41 (EBIT TTM -896.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.19b) |
| D: 9.13 (Book Value of Equity 1.95b / Total Liabilities 214.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.77 = BBB |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.05 with a total of 34,865,789 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.71%, over one month by -21.83%, over three months by -17.62% and over the past year by -6.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 4.20 (which is 16.8% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).
Aurora Innovation has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.08. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AUR.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 12.1 | 138.6% |
P/S = 2292.7537
P/B = 6.4855
Revenue TTM = 5.00m USD
EBIT TTM = -896.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -858.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 70.0m USD (estimated: total debt 82.0m - short term 12.0m)
Short Term Debt = 12.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 82.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 82.0m already included)
Net Debt = -1.14b USD (calculated: Debt 82.0m - CCE 1.22b)
Enterprise Value = 10.3b USD (11.5b + Debt 82.0m - CCE 1.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -224.0 (Ebit TTM -896.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m)
EV/FCF = -13.75x (Enterprise Value 10.3b / FCF TTM -751.0m)
FCF Yield = -7.27% (FCF TTM -751.0m / Enterprise Value 10.3b)
FCF Margin = -15.0k% (FCF TTM -751.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00m)
Net Margin = -18.0k% (Net Income TTM -900.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 5.00m - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.77 (Enterprise Value 10.3b / Total Assets 2.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.88% (Interest Expense 4.00m / Debt 82.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -707.8m (EBIT -896.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 11.38 (Total Current Assets 1.25b / Total Current Liabilities 110.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 82.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.32 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.14b / EBITDA -858.0m)
Debt / FCF = 1.51 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.14b / FCF TTM -751.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -41.09% (Net Income -900.0m / Total Assets 2.17b)
RoE = -43.12% (Net Income TTM -900.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.09b)
RoCE = -41.54% (EBIT -896.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.09b + L.T.Debt 70.0m))
RoIC = -34.22% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -707.8m / Invested Capital 2.07b)
WACC = 15.50% (E(11.5b)/V(11.5b) * Re(15.58%) + D(82.0m)/V(11.5b) * Rd(4.88%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.68 | Cagr: 11.81%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -751.0m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.72 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.23 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.12 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.49 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-43.5% | GrowthRev=+399.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.45 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+8.2% | GrowthRev=+1200.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=1, down=3)