AURA Stock Analysis: Aura Biosciences | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 718m USD | 12M Return: 14.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Ocular Oncology, Bladder Cancer, Solid Tumors, Drug Conjugates
Total Rating 27
Safety 62
Buy Signal -0.27
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +30.9
Market Cap: 718M
Avg Turnover: 4.23M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility75.9%
VaR 5th Pctl12.7%
VaR vs Median1.54%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.44
Rel. Str. IBD58.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group20.8
Character TTM
Beta1.023
Beta Downside1.203
Hurst Exponent0.452
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD60.42%
CAGR/Max DD-0.27
CAGR/Mean DD-0.43
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AURA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": null, "2021-09": -0.25, "2021-12": -2.51, "2022-03": -0.44, "2022-06": -0.46, "2022-09": -0.54, "2022-12": -0.55, "2023-03": -0.46, "2023-06": -0.48, "2023-09": -0.48, "2023-12": -0.56, "2024-03": -0.4, "2024-06": -0.41, "2024-09": -0.42, "2024-12": -0.52, "2025-03": -0.55, "2025-06": -0.47, "2025-09": -0.4, "2025-12": -0.37, "2026-03": -0.5,
Last SUE: 0.31
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AURA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 2.056, 2024-03: 2.056, 2024-06: 0, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: 1.238, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0, 2026-03: 0,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 4.7 years of data

Jan -0.7% 0
Feb +2.5% 0
Mar -6.5% 22
Apr +1.1% 20
May +3.7% 44
Jun +8.8% 30
Jul +12.9% 14
Aug -10.0% 45
Sep +1.7% 11
Oct -1.7% 0
Nov +5.5% 22
Dec -12.7% 24

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AURA Aura Biosciences

Aura Biosciences is a clinical-stage biotechnology company headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, founded in 2009 and listed on NASDAQ since October 2021. The company develops precision therapies for solid tumors using a proprietary platform that links virus-like particles to drugs or nucleic acids to create virus-like drug conjugates (VDCs).

Its lead asset, bel-sar, is in late-stage clinical development for primary choroidal melanoma and other ocular oncology indications, with early-stage work in bladder cancer. As a clinical-stage biotech, Aura does not yet have approved products or recurring commercial revenue, and its valuation is largely tied to the progression of its R&D pipeline and clinical trial outcomes.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Bel-sar Phase 3 efficacy data readout in choroidal melanoma
  • FDA breakthrough designation accelerates bel-sar regulatory pathway
  • Limited cash runway risks dilutive equity offering
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.67 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -15.04 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.66 > 3% & CFO -91.3m > Net Income -112.4m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 7.09 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.4m) vs 12m ago 34.56% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.80%; Δ -0.80% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' -8.77
A: 0.74 (Total Current Assets 118.5m - Total Current Liabilities 16.7m) / Total Assets 137.7m
B: -3.73 (Retained Earnings -514.1m / Total Assets 137.7m)
C: -0.77 (EBIT TTM -112.3m / Avg Total Assets 146.5m)
D: 3.52 (Book Value of Equity 107.2m / Total Liabilities 30.4m)
Altman-Z'' = -8.77 = D
What is the price of AURA shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.03 with a total of 814,995 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.18%, over one month by +8.49%, over three months by +6.03% and over the past year by +14.12%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.30 (which is 10.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is AURA a buy, sell or hold?

Aura Biosciences has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.57. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AURA.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AURA price?
Analysts Target Price 18.8 167.4%
Aura Biosciences (AURA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 717.8m (717.8m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/B = 7.4457
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -112.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -111.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 13.7m USD (estimated: total debt 17.0m - short term 3.27m)
Short Term Debt = 3.27m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 17.0m already included)
Net Debt = -97.7m USD (calculated: Debt 17.0m - CCE 114.7m)
Enterprise Value = 620.1m USD (717.8m + Debt 17.0m - CCE 114.7m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -112.3m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -6.77x (Enterprise Value 620.1m / FCF TTM -91.6m)
FCF Yield = -14.78% (FCF TTM -91.6m / Enterprise Value 620.1m)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 274k) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.50 (Enterprise Value 620.1m / Total Assets 137.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 17.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -88.7m (EBIT -112.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 7.09 (Total Current Assets 118.5m / Total Current Liabilities 16.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 17.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 107.2m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.88 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -97.7m / EBITDA -111.2m)
 Debt / FCF = 1.07 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -97.7m / FCF TTM -91.6m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 143.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -76.70% (Net Income -112.4m / Total Assets 137.7m)
RoE = -78.12% (Net Income TTM -112.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 143.9m)
RoCE = -71.26% (EBIT -112.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 143.9m + L.T.Debt 13.7m))
 RoIC = -71.40% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -88.7m / Invested Capital 124.2m)
 WACC = 9.36% (E(717.8m)/V(734.8m) * Re(9.58%) + D(17.0m)/V(734.8m) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.11 | Cagr: 20.38%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -91.6m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.38 | Chg30d=+7.41% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.37 | Chg30d=+6.37% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.59 | Chg30d=+0.47% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+9.4% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-1.67 | Chg30d=-2.30% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=-4.5% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +13% (up=7, down=5)