(AVO) Mission Produce - Overview
Stock: Avocados, Mangoes, Blueberries
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.61 |
| Alpha | 11.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.364 |
| Beta Downside | 0.390 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.87% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.15 |
Description: AVO Mission Produce January 25, 2026
Mission Produce, Inc. (NASDAQ:AVO) is a vertically integrated fresh-produce company that sources, farms, packages, markets, and distributes avocados, mangoes, and blueberries to U.S. and international retailers, wholesalers, and food-service operators. Its operations are organized into three segments-Marketing & Distribution, International Farming, and Blueberries-and it augments the core business with ripening, bag-ging, custom packing, logistics, quality assurance, merchandising, market-trend insights, and training services. Founded in 1983, the firm is headquartered in Oxnard, California.
Key recent data points: (1) Avocado shipments grew 12% YoY in Q3 2024, driven by sustained demand in the U.S. food-service channel and higher average selling prices of $1.45 lb⁻¹ versus $1.32 lb⁻¹ a year earlier. (2) The global blueberry market is expanding at a 7% CAGR, with Mission’s blueberry segment contributing an estimated $85 million in revenue in FY 2024, reflecting a 15% increase in volume shipped to Europe and Asia. (3) Commodity-price volatility and rising labor costs in Mexico-Mission’s primary avocado-growing region-remain material cost drivers, with input cost inflation running at ~4.3% YoY.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 37.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.18% < 20% (prev 10.52%; Δ -1.34% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 88.6m > Net Income 37.7m |
| Net Debt (-50.4m) to EBITDA (105.9m): -0.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.95 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (71.3m) vs 12m ago -1.06% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.55% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1143 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 142.4% > 50% (prev 127.1%; Δ 15.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.59 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 105.9m / Interest Expense TTM 9.40m) |
Altman Z'' 3.45
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 262.2m - Total Current Liabilities 134.5m) / Total Assets 983.0m |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 339.3m / Total Assets 983.0m) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 71.3m / Avg Total Assets 977.2m) |
| D: 0.94 (Book Value of Equity 340.0m / Total Liabilities 363.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.45 = A |
Beneish M -3.05
| DSRI: 0.79 (Receivables 106.6m/119.1m, Revenue 1.39b/1.23b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 11.55% / 12.33%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 1.39b / 1.23b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 37.7m - CFO 88.6m) / TA 983.0m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of AVO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.23%, over one month by +20.33%, over three months by +16.24% and over the past year by +20.74%.
Is AVO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AVO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17.3 | 23.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17.3 | 23.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.1 | 7.6% |
AVO Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 18.7266
P/S = 0.6854
P/B = 1.603
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 71.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 105.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 93.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -50.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 903.1m USD (953.5m + Debt 14.4m - CCE 64.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.59 (Ebit TTM 71.3m / Interest Expense TTM 9.40m)
EV/FCF = 24.28x (Enterprise Value 903.1m / FCF TTM 37.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.12% (FCF TTM 37.2m / Enterprise Value 903.1m)
FCF Margin = 2.67% (FCF TTM 37.2m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = 2.71% (Net Income TTM 37.7m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 11.55% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.46% (prev 12.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.92 (Enterprise Value 903.1m / Total Assets 983.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 15.97% (Interest Expense 2.30m / Debt 14.4m)
Taxrate = 40.0% (11.2m / 28.0m)
NOPAT = 42.8m (EBIT 71.3m * (1 - 40.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.95 (Total Current Assets 262.2m / Total Current Liabilities 134.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 14.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 587.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.48 (Net Debt -50.4m / EBITDA 105.9m)
Debt / FCF = -1.35 (Net Debt -50.4m / FCF TTM 37.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 564.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.86% (Net Income 37.7m / Total Assets 983.0m)
RoE = 6.68% (Net Income TTM 37.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 564.8m)
RoCE = 10.83% (EBIT 71.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 564.8m + L.T.Debt 93.7m))
RoIC = 6.19% (NOPAT 42.8m / Invested Capital 690.9m)
WACC = 7.29% (E(953.5m)/V(967.9m) * Re(7.26%) + D(14.4m)/V(967.9m) * Rd(15.97%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Discount Rate = 7.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.57% ; FCFF base≈46.8m ; Y1≈30.7m ; Y5≈14.0m
Fair Price DCF = 5.14 (EV 313.8m - Net Debt -50.4m = Equity 364.2m / Shares 70.8m; r=7.29% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 62.27 | EPS CAGR: 161.1% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 74.73 | Revenue CAGR: 10.88% | SUE: 0.51 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-10-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+0.080 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-7.6% | Growth Revenue=-12.4%
EPS next Year (2027-10-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+10.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.5%