(BGC) BGC - Overview
Stock: Fixed-Income, Foreign-Exchange, Derivatives, Energy, Shipping
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.85% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.06% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 18.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 9.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.13 |
| Alpha | -21.60 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.017 |
| Beta Downside | 1.181 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.46% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.83 |
Description: BGC BGC January 08, 2026
BGC Group Inc. (NASDAQ:BGC) is a global brokerage and fintech firm that delivers a suite of trading and post-trade services across fixed-income, FX, commodities, equities, and derivatives. Its integrated platform supports both OTC and exchange-based transactions, offering price discovery, execution, clearing and back-office solutions to banks, broker-dealers, hedge funds, corporates, and sovereign entities.
In FY 2023 the company reported revenue of $1.18 billion, a 7 % YoY increase driven largely by higher volumes in interest-rate and credit-derivative trading, while adjusted EBITDA rose to $260 million, reflecting strong operating leverage. Key sector drivers include persistent interest-rate volatility, which boosts demand for rate-sensitive hedging products, and elevated commodity price swings that sustain activity in energy and shipping brokerage. BGC’s market-share in U.S. inter-dealer broker (IDB) services remains among the top three, giving it a defensible position in a market where regulatory pressure is tightening on transparency and reporting.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of BGC’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analytics tools useful for further research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 165.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 43.47% < 20% (prev 44.95%; Δ -1.48% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 465.8m > Net Income 165.8m |
| Net Debt (1.06b) to EBITDA (428.3m): 2.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (484.6m) vs 12m ago 1.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.49% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 4204 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 52.99% > 50% (prev 48.99%; Δ 3.99% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.85 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 428.3m / Interest Expense TTM 116.5m) |
Altman Z'' 1.04
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 3.71b - Total Current Liabilities 2.54b) / Total Assets 5.83b |
| B: -0.16 (Retained Earnings -915.1m / Total Assets 5.83b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 332.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.10b) |
| D: -0.20 (Book Value of Equity -949.4m / Total Liabilities 4.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.04 = BB |
Beneish M -2.78
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 2.91b/2.08b, Revenue 2.70b/2.15b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 42.49% / 44.88%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.26 (Revenue 2.70b / 2.15b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 165.8m - CFO 465.8m) / TA 5.83b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of BGC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by -1.21%, over three months by -2.16% and over the past year by -5.74%.
Is BGC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BGC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 14.5 | 61.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 14.5 | 61.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.6 | 18.2% |
BGC Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 1.6387
P/B = 4.4237
P/EG = 1.22
Revenue TTM = 2.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 332.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 428.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.84b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 195.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.84b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.06b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.39b USD (4.33b + Debt 1.84b - CCE 774.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.85 (Ebit TTM 332.5m / Interest Expense TTM 116.5m)
EV/FCF = 13.47x (Enterprise Value 5.39b / FCF TTM 400.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.43% (FCF TTM 400.2m / Enterprise Value 5.39b)
FCF Margin = 14.80% (FCF TTM 400.2m / Revenue TTM 2.70b)
Net Margin = 6.13% (Net Income TTM 165.8m / Revenue TTM 2.70b)
Gross Margin = 42.49% ((Revenue TTM 2.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.93% (prev 42.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 5.39b / Total Assets 5.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.84% (Interest Expense 33.8m / Debt 1.84b)
Taxrate = 22.19% (7.43m / 33.5m)
NOPAT = 258.7m (EBIT 332.5m * (1 - 22.19%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 3.71b / Total Current Liabilities 2.54b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 1.84b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 965.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.48 (Net Debt 1.06b / EBITDA 428.3m)
Debt / FCF = 2.65 (Net Debt 1.06b / FCF TTM 400.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 939.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.25% (Net Income 165.8m / Total Assets 5.83b)
RoE = 17.65% (Net Income TTM 165.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 939.5m)
RoCE = 11.97% (EBIT 332.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 939.5m + L.T.Debt 1.84b))
RoIC = 9.82% (NOPAT 258.7m / Invested Capital 2.63b)
WACC = 7.21% (E(4.33b)/V(6.16b) * Re(9.66%) + D(1.84b)/V(6.16b) * Rd(1.84%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.86%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.82% ; FCFF base≈306.3m ; Y1≈246.1m ; Y5≈168.3m
Fair Price DCF = 7.20 (EV 3.65b - Net Debt 1.06b = Equity 2.59b / Shares 359.3m; r=7.21% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -23.51% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 16.75 | EPS CAGR: -46.64% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.54 | Revenue CAGR: 12.99% | SUE: -0.57 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+14.5% | Growth Revenue=+11.0%