BGC Stock Analysis: BGC | NASDAQ
Capital Markets | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.444m USD | 12M Return: 24.1% | US0889291045 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 48.7M
EPS Trend: 99.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 97.1%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
BGC Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: BGC) is a mid-cap financial brokerage and technology company headquartered in New York, with operations spanning the U.S., Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. Founded in 1945 and publicly listed since 1999, the company sits within the Investment Banking & Brokerage sub-industry of the financials sector. BGC provides a broad suite of brokerage services across asset classes including government and corporate bonds, interest rate and credit derivatives, foreign exchange, equities, futures, options, and commodities. It also offers ship chartering services, clearing, post-trade, and market infrastructure solutions to a diverse client base of banks, broker-dealers, hedge funds, governments, corporations, and commodity trading firms.
The company operates an integrated platform supporting both OTC and exchange-based execution, alongside financial technology, connectivity, and market data offerings. A notable strategic initiative is BGC Compute Infrastructure Markets, a division dedicated to the secondary market for compute and memory capacity-a relatively novel segment that ties the brokerage business to the growing digital infrastructure economy. This diversification into compute capacity trading reflects how traditional interdealer brokers are increasingly leveraging technology platforms to expand addressable markets beyond conventional fixed income and derivatives products.
- Rates volatility drives fixed income brokerage volumes higher
- FENICS platform growth boosts recurring technology revenue
- Energy and commodities desks expand amid volatile oil markets
| Net Income: 198.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -23.09% < 20% (prev 46.02%; Δ -69.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 447.7m > Net Income 198.9m |
| Net Debt (1.09b) to EBITDA (511.6m): 2.13 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (479.1m) vs 12m ago -1.14% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 79.98% > 18% (prev 43.56%; Δ 36.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.27% > 50% (prev 51.62%; Δ 11.65% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.07 > 6 (EBIT TTM 405.0m / Interest Expense TTM 132.1m) |
| A: -0.14 (Total Current Assets 3.70b - Total Current Liabilities 4.48b) / Total Assets 5.75b |
| B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -773.1m / Total Assets 5.75b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 405.0m / Avg Total Assets 5.32b) |
| D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 1.11b / Total Liabilities 4.48b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.55 = B |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 2.82b/1.96b, Revenue 3.37b/2.53b) |
| GMI: 0.54 (GM 43.56% / 79.98%) |
| AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.39) |
| SGI: 1.33 (Revenue 3.37b / 2.53b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 198.9m - CFO 447.7m) / TA 5.75b) |
| Beneish M = -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.29 with a total of 3,133,759 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.08%, over one month by -5.68%, over three months by +1.99% and over the past year by +24.12%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.70 (which is 5.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
BGC has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BGC.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 15.5 | 37.3% |
P/E Trailing = 29.359
P/E Forward = 5.9382
P/S = 1.7217
P/B = 5.1996
P/EG = 3.5958
Revenue TTM = 3.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 405.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 511.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.54b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.77b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 197.0m
Net Debt = 1.09b USD (calculated: Debt 1.97b - CCE 881.1m)
Enterprise Value = 6.53b USD (5.44b + Debt 1.97b - CCE 881.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.07 (Ebit TTM 405.0m / Interest Expense TTM 132.1m)
EV/FCF = 17.02x (Enterprise Value 6.53b / FCF TTM 383.8m)
FCF Yield = 5.87% (FCF TTM 383.8m / Enterprise Value 6.53b)
FCF Margin = 11.40% (FCF TTM 383.8m / Revenue TTM 3.37b)
Net Margin = 5.91% (Net Income TTM 198.9m / Revenue TTM 3.37b)
Gross Margin = 79.98% ((Revenue TTM 3.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 674.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.61% (prev 91.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 6.53b / Total Assets 5.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.70% (Interest Expense 132.1m / Debt 1.97b)
Taxrate = 30.67% (83.7m / 272.9m)
NOPAT = 280.8m (EBIT 405.0m * (1 - 30.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 3.70b / Total Current Liabilities 4.48b)
Debt / Equity = 1.78 (Debt 1.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.13 (Net Debt 1.09b / EBITDA 511.6m)
Debt / FCF = 2.84 (Net Debt 1.09b / FCF TTM 383.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.74% (Net Income 198.9m / Total Assets 5.75b)
RoE = 19.20% (Net Income TTM 198.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.04b)
RoCE = 15.73% (EBIT 405.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.04b + L.T.Debt 1.54b))
RoIC = 9.75% (NOPAT 280.8m / Invested Capital 2.88b)
WACC = 6.78% (E(5.44b)/V(7.42b) * Re(7.55%) + D(1.97b)/V(7.42b) * Rd(6.70%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 7.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -14.76 | Cagr: 0.10%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.82% ; FCFF base≈368.1m ; Y1≈404.4m ; Y5≈513.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.43 (EV 7.84b - Net Debt 1.09b = Equity 6.75b / Shares 366.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 11.41% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.62 | EPS CAGR: 22.49% | SUE: 0.89 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.08 | Revenue CAGR: 23.83% | SUE: 1.43 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=-1.49% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.41 | Chg30d=-1.06% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+19.1% | GrowthRev=+17.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=-2.48% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+12.1% | GrowthRev=+6.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=2, down=3)