BGC Stock Analysis: BGC | NASDAQ

Capital Markets | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.318m USD | 12M Return: 3.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Bonds, Derivatives, Equities, Commodities
Total Rating 48
Safety 65
Buy Signal -0.03
Capital Markets
Industry Rotation: +2.8
Market Cap: 5.32B
Avg Turnover: 41.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.6%
VaR 5th Pctl5.40%
VaR vs Median3.72%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.12
Rel. Str. IBD50.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group63.8
Character TTM
Beta0.617
Beta Downside0.511
Hurst Exponent0.571
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD34.46%
CAGR/Max DD1.03
CAGR/Mean DD3.45
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BGC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.16, "2021-09": 0.14, "2021-12": 0.17, "2022-03": 0.21, "2022-06": 0.17, "2022-09": 0.16, "2022-12": 0.16, "2023-03": 0.23, "2023-06": 0.2, "2023-09": 0.19, "2023-12": 0.21, "2024-03": 0.25, "2024-06": 0.23, "2024-09": 0.26, "2024-12": 0.25, "2025-03": 0.29, "2025-06": 0.31, "2025-09": 0.29, "2025-12": 0.31, "2026-03": 0.41,
EPS CAGR: 21.91%
EPS Trend: 99.6%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BGC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 500.995, 2021-09: 470.705, 2021-12: 457.149, 2022-03: 504.029, 2022-06: 426.795, 2022-09: 412.457, 2022-12: 431.014, 2023-03: 527.552, 2023-06: 479.709, 2023-09: 472.544, 2023-12: 500.174, 2024-03: 568.85, 2024-06: 533.616, 2024-09: 544.167, 2024-12: 559.962, 2025-03: 652.611, 2025-06: 768.736, 2025-09: 722.81, 2025-12: 823.085, 2026-03: 955.481,
Rev. CAGR: 21.36%
Rev. Trend: 96.3%
Last SUE: 0.89
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.8% 0
Feb +0.4% 13
Mar -0.9% 24
Apr -2.4% 17
May -6.9% 16
Jun +5.5% 31
Jul -0.8% 9
Aug -1.6% 9
Sep -1.8% 36
Oct +0.1% 8
Nov +4.0% 37
Dec -0.3% 5

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BGC BGC

BGC Group, Inc. is a financial brokerage and technology company listed on NASDAQ, operating across the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company is classified within the Financials sector, specifically the Investment Banking & Brokerage subsector, reflecting its core role as an intermediary in capital and commodities markets.

Its brokerage operations span a wide range of asset classes, including government and corporate bonds, interest rate and credit derivatives, foreign exchange, fixed income, equities, futures and options, listed derivatives, and physical commodities in oil, refined products, environmental, and energy transition markets. The company also provides ship chartering services. In addition, BGC offers post-trade and infrastructure services such as clearing, market data, network and connectivity solutions, and financial technology products.

BGC serves a diverse institutional client base, including banks, broker-dealers, trading firms, hedge funds, governments, corporations, investment firms, commodity trading firms, and end users, supporting transactions executed both over-the-counter and on exchanges through its integrated platform. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fenics electronic platform growth expands high-margin revenue mix
  • Rate volatility drives fixed income and FX brokerage volumes
  • Special dividends and buybacks boost shareholder capital returns
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 183.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 12.72% < 20% (prev 29.10%; Δ -16.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 360.4m > Net Income 183.9m
Net Debt (1.95b) to EBITDA (489.2m): 3.99 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.15 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (475.3m) vs 12m ago -2.12% < -2%
Gross Margin: 68.31% > 18% (prev 44.15%; Δ 24.16% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 60.88% > 50% (prev 46.89%; Δ 13.99% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM 382.3m / Interest Expense TTM 133.1m)
Altman Z'' 0.73
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 3.11b - Total Current Liabilities 2.69b) / Total Assets 5.86b
B: -0.14 (Retained Earnings -836.0m / Total Assets 5.86b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 382.3m / Avg Total Assets 5.37b)
D: 0.24 (Book Value of Equity 1.10b / Total Liabilities 4.59b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.73 = B
Beneish M -3.17
DSRI: 0.61 (Receivables 1.83b/2.09b, Revenue 3.27b/2.29b)
GMI: 0.65 (GM 44.15% / 68.31%)
AQI: 1.32 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.33)
SGI: 1.43 (Revenue 3.27b / 2.29b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 183.9m - CFO 360.4m) / TA 5.86b)
Beneish M = -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of BGC shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.09 with a total of 2,440,841 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.12%, over one month by +2.78%, over three months by +4.82% and over the past year by +3.16%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.40 (which is 6.2% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is BGC a buy, sell or hold?

BGC has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BGC.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BGC price?
Analysts Target Price 15.5 39.8%
BGC (BGC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.32b (5.32b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.0
P/E Forward = 5.9382
P/S = 1.7156
P/B = 4.8042
P/EG = 3.5958
Revenue TTM = 3.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 382.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 489.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.54b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 238.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 197.0m
Net Debt = 1.95b USD (calculated: Debt 1.97b - CCE 22.1m)
Enterprise Value = 7.27b USD (5.32b + Debt 1.97b - CCE 22.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.87 (Ebit TTM 382.3m / Interest Expense TTM 133.1m)
EV/FCF = 24.64x (Enterprise Value 7.27b / FCF TTM 295.1m)
FCF Yield = 4.06% (FCF TTM 295.1m / Enterprise Value 7.27b)
FCF Margin = 9.02% (FCF TTM 295.1m / Revenue TTM 3.27b)
Net Margin = 5.63% (Net Income TTM 183.9m / Revenue TTM 3.27b)
Gross Margin = 68.31% ((Revenue TTM 3.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.50% (prev 89.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 7.27b / Total Assets 5.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.74% (Interest Expense 133.1m / Debt 1.97b)
Taxrate = 29.15% (72.6m / 249.2m)
NOPAT = 270.9m (EBIT 382.3m * (1 - 29.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 3.11b / Total Current Liabilities 2.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.79 (Debt 1.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.99 (Net Debt 1.95b / EBITDA 489.2m)
Debt / FCF = 6.61 (Net Debt 1.95b / FCF TTM 295.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 992.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.42% (Net Income 183.9m / Total Assets 5.86b)
RoE = 18.54% (Net Income TTM 183.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 992.0m)
RoCE = 15.11% (EBIT 382.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 992.0m + L.T.Debt 1.54b))
RoIC = 8.55% (NOPAT 270.9m / Invested Capital 3.17b)
WACC = 7.24% (E(5.32b)/V(7.29b) * Re(8.15%) + D(1.97b)/V(7.29b) * Rd(6.74%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 8.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 6.82 | Cagr: -0.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈263.3m ; Y1≈301.9m ; Y5≈444.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 12.81 (EV 6.69b - Net Debt 1.95b = Equity 4.73b / Shares 369.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.57 | EPS CAGR: 21.91% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.27 | Revenue CAGR: 21.36% | SUE: 0.89 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-1.47% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.42 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+20.3% | GrowthRev=+15.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.61 | Chg30d=+0.94% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+13.7% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=3, down=3)