BJRI Stock Analysis: BJs Restaurants | NASDAQ

Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.235m USD | 12M Return: 39.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Pizzas, Craft Beers, Pastas, Desserts
Total Rating 62
Safety 75
Buy Signal 1.26
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: +7.2
Market Cap: 1.23B
Avg Turnover: 28.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.5%
VaR 5th Pctl6.75%
VaR vs Median-1.18%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.89
Rel. Str. IBD91.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group98.6
Character TTM
Beta0.865
Beta Downside0.564
Hurst Exponent0.370
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD41.61%
CAGR/Max DD0.50
CAGR/Mean DD1.47
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BJRI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.26, "2021-09": -0.13, "2021-12": -0.2, "2022-03": 0.06, "2022-06": 0.01, "2022-09": -0.07, "2022-12": 0.07, "2023-03": 0.15, "2023-06": 0.5, "2023-09": -0.16, "2023-12": 0.34, "2024-03": 0.32, "2024-06": 0.74, "2024-09": -0.13, "2024-12": 0.47, "2025-03": 0.59, "2025-06": 0.97, "2025-09": 0.04, "2025-12": 0.66, "2026-03": 0.57,
EPS CAGR: 67.23%
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Last SUE: -0.29
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BJRI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 290.283, 2021-09: 282.18, 2021-12: 291.268, 2022-03: 298.729, 2022-06: 329.697, 2022-09: 311.348, 2022-12: 344.152, 2023-03: 341.28, 2023-06: 349.67, 2023-09: 318.644, 2023-12: 323.635, 2024-03: 337.334, 2024-06: 349.927, 2024-09: 325.702, 2024-12: 344.339, 2025-03: 347.973, 2025-06: 365.597, 2025-09: 330.157, 2025-12: 355.399, 2026-03: 358.118,
Rev. CAGR: 1.95%
Rev. Trend: 84.5%
Last SUE: 0.36
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +1.3% 14
Feb +1.7% 14
Mar -3.7% 34
Apr +8.4% 42
May -1.7% 9
Jun -1.5% 14
Jul -5.6% 22
Aug -2.3% 8
Sep -4.6% 23
Oct +4.8% 25
Nov +5.5% 23
Dec +0.3% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BJRI BJs Restaurants

BJs Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ: BJRI) is a U.S.-based operator of full-service casual dining restaurants, founded in 1978 and headquartered in Huntington Beach, California. The company was originally known as Chicago Pizza & Brewery, Inc. before adopting its current name in August 2004. Its menu centers on deep-dish pizza, complemented by craft beer, appetizers, entrées, wings, pastas, sandwiches, specialty salads, and its signature Pizookie desserts.

The company operates within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, competing in the casual dining segment of the U.S. restaurant industry. Its brewery-and-pizzahouse format pairs a broad menu with in-house craft beer production, a model designed to drive higher average checks and repeat visits relative to traditional casual dining peers.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Comparable sales decline as casual dining traffic weakens
  • Cheese and wheat commodity costs pressure restaurant margins
  • New restaurant unit openings accelerate revenue growth pipeline
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 44.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.84 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -9.44% < 20% (prev -7.34%; Δ -2.11% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 148.9m > Net Income 44.4m
Net Debt (840.6m) to EBITDA (126.2m): 6.66 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.31 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (21.9m) vs 12m ago -5.98% < -2%
Gross Margin: 58.12% > 18% (prev 29.70%; Δ 28.42% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 139.6% > 50% (prev 134.1%; Δ 5.47% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM 45.1m / Interest Expense TTM 4.60m)
Altman Z'' 1.03
A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 60.4m - Total Current Liabilities 193.5m) / Total Assets 999.1m
B: 0.30 (Retained Earnings 299.2m / Total Assets 999.1m)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 45.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.01b)
D: 0.59 (Book Value of Equity 372.5m / Total Liabilities 626.5m)
Altman-Z'' = 1.03 = BB
Beneish M -3.52
DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 14.6m/16.3m, Revenue 1.41b/1.37b)
GMI: 0.51 (GM 29.70% / 58.12%)
AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.11)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 1.41b / 1.37b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 44.4m - CFO 148.9m) / TA 999.1m)
Beneish M = -3.52 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of BJRI shares?

As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 60.23 with a total of 244,096 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.76%, over one month by +32.00%, over three months by +55.96% and over the past year by +39.05%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 57.40 (which is 4.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is BJRI a buy, sell or hold?

BJs Restaurants has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.13. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BJRI.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BJRI price?
Analysts Target Price 45 -25.3%
BJs Restaurants (BJRI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.23b (1.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 29.5226
P/E Forward = 28.0112
P/S = 0.8762
P/B = 3.3145
P/EG = 1.9983
Revenue TTM = 1.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 45.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 126.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 62.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 44.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 863.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 400.7m
Net Debt = 840.6m USD (calculated: Debt 863.3m - CCE 22.7m)
Enterprise Value = 2.08b USD (1.23b + Debt 863.3m - CCE 22.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.80 (Ebit TTM 45.1m / Interest Expense TTM 4.60m)
EV/FCF = 25.89x (Enterprise Value 2.08b / FCF TTM 80.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.86% (FCF TTM 80.1m / Enterprise Value 2.08b)
FCF Margin = 5.69% (FCF TTM 80.1m / Revenue TTM 1.41b)
Net Margin = 3.15% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Revenue TTM 1.41b)
Gross Margin = 58.12% ((Revenue TTM 1.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 590.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.59% (prev 74.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.08 (Enterprise Value 2.08b / Total Assets 999.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.53% (Interest Expense 4.60m / Debt 863.3m)
Taxrate = 0.61% (55.0k / 9.09m)
NOPAT = 44.8m (EBIT 45.1m * (1 - 0.61%))
Current Ratio = 0.31 (Total Current Assets 60.4m / Total Current Liabilities 193.5m)
Debt / Equity = 2.32 (Debt 863.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 372.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.66 (Net Debt 840.6m / EBITDA 126.2m)
Debt / FCF = 10.49 (Net Debt 840.6m / FCF TTM 80.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 370.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.39% (Net Income 44.4m / Total Assets 999.1m)
RoE = 11.97% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 370.4m)
RoCE = 10.43% (EBIT 45.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 370.4m + L.T.Debt 62.0m))
RoIC = 5.42% (NOPAT 44.8m / Invested Capital 827.2m)
WACC = 5.53% (E(1.23b)/V(2.10b) * Re(9.02%) + D(863.3m)/V(2.10b) * Rd(0.53%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 9.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -73.79 | Cagr: -3.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈52.9m ; Y1≈60.7m ; Y5≈89.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 23.92 (EV 1.34b - Net Debt 840.6m = Equity 502.7m / Shares 21.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.36 | EPS CAGR: 67.23% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.53 | Revenue CAGR: 1.95% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=+1.05% | Revisions=-30% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=-4.18% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.21 | Chg30d=-0.36% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=-2.3% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.61 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=-30% | GrowthEPS=+18.2% | GrowthRev=+3.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=9, down=16)