(BLDP) Ballard Power Systems - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Equipment & Parts | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.342m USD | Total Return: 242.5% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -11.6
Avg Turnover: 37.0M
EPS Trend: 11.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 17.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (6.6) with thin interest coverage (-43.1)
High Debt while negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio -43.1 is critical
Altman Z'' -2.82 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Supp Ema20, Leader, Tailwind, Confidence
Ballard Power Systems Inc. (BLDP) specializes in the design and manufacture of proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cell solutions. The company targets heavy-duty transportation sectors, including bus, truck, rail, and marine, while also providing stationary power and material handling applications. Headquartered in Canada, Ballard maintains a global footprint with operations across North America, Europe, and Asia.
The company utilizes a dual business model that combines hardware sales with engineering services and technology transfer. This approach allows Ballard to monetize its intellectual property through strategic partnerships, particularly in the Chinese market. PEM fuel cells are increasingly favored in heavy-duty transit because they offer faster refueling times and higher energy density compared to traditional battery-electric systems.
Investors can evaluate the company’s long-term contract pipeline and revenue milestones on ValueRay. Ballard continues to focus on reducing the lifecycle costs of hydrogen stacks to compete with diesel internal combustion engines.
- Adoption rates for heavy-duty fuel cell engines in bus and truck markets
- Hydrogen infrastructure expansion determines commercial viability of PEM fuel cell products
- Strategic joint venture performance and order backlogs in the Chinese market
- Manufacturing scale and vertical integration efforts to reduce unit production costs
- Global shift toward decarbonization subsidies and zero-emission transportation mandates influence revenue growth
| Net Income: -81.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.72 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 511.9% < 20% (prev 849.2%; Δ -337.3% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.06 > 3% & CFO -39.3m > Net Income -81.3m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 10.70 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (300.9m) vs 12m ago 0.47% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.44% > 18% (prev -0.29%; Δ 1.17k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 14.57% > 50% (prev 9.34%; Δ 5.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -43.07 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -75.2m / Interest Expense TTM 1.84m) |
| A: 0.80 (Total Current Assets 583.9m - Total Current Liabilities 54.6m) / Total Assets 663.1m |
| B: -3.26 (Retained Earnings -2.16b / Total Assets 663.1m) |
| C: -0.11 (EBIT TTM -79.4m / Avg Total Assets 709.9m) |
| D: 3.17 (Book Value of Equity 270.1m / Total Liabilities 85.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.82 = D |
| DSRI: 0.41 (Receivables 16.7m/28.1m, Revenue 103.4m/70.7m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.46 (Revenue 103.4m / 70.7m) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI -81.3m - CFO -39.3m) / TA 663.1m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.22 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.98%, over one month by +50.16%, over three months by +125.59% and over the past year by +242.45%.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 3
| Analysts Target Price | 4 | -15.8% |
P/S = 12.9743
P/B = 2.1596
P/EG = 3.517
Revenue TTM = 103.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -79.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -75.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 20.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.44m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -495.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 841.6m USD (1.34b + Debt 20.9m - CCE 520.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -43.07 (Ebit TTM -79.4m / Interest Expense TTM 1.84m)
EV/FCF = -17.72x (Enterprise Value 841.6m / FCF TTM -47.5m)
FCF Yield = -5.64% (FCF TTM -47.5m / Enterprise Value 841.6m)
FCF Margin = -45.93% (FCF TTM -47.5m / Revenue TTM 103.4m)
Net Margin = -78.60% (Net Income TTM -81.3m / Revenue TTM 103.4m)
Gross Margin = 11.44% ((Revenue TTM 103.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 91.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.23% (prev 16.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.27 (Enterprise Value 841.6m / Total Assets 663.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.11% (Interest Expense 441k / Debt 20.9m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -62.7m (EBIT -79.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 10.70 (Total Current Assets 583.9m / Total Current Liabilities 54.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 20.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 577.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.59 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -495.8m / EBITDA -75.2m)
Debt / FCF = 10.44 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -495.8m / FCF TTM -47.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 602.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.45% (Net Income -81.3m / Total Assets 663.1m)
RoE = -13.49% (Net Income TTM -81.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 602.4m)
RoCE = -12.73% (EBIT -79.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 602.4m + L.T.Debt 20.9m))
RoIC = -10.40% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -62.7m / Invested Capital 602.7m)
WACC = 12.68% (E(1.34b)/V(1.36b) * Re(12.85%) + D(20.9m)/V(1.36b) * Rd(2.11%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 64.44 | Cagr: 0.31%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -47.5m)
EPS Correlation: 11.03 | EPS CAGR: 7.04% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 17.07 | Revenue CAGR: -1.98% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+9.09% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=+12.00% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=+21.55% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+39.1% | GrowthRev=+18.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.14 | Chg30d=+7.75% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+14.9% | GrowthRev=+22.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%