(BLMN) Bloomin Brands - Ratings and Ratios
Outback, Carrabbas, Bonefish, Flemings
BLMN EPS (Earnings per Share)
BLMN Revenue
Description: BLMN Bloomin Brands
Bloomin Brands, Inc. is a restaurant company that owns and operates a diverse portfolio of casual, polished casual, and fine dining restaurants globally, with a significant presence in the United States. The companys restaurant concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, Carrabbas Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Flemings Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, cater to different tastes and preferences, allowing it to capture a broad customer base. With its foundation in 1988 and headquartered in Tampa, Florida, Bloomin Brands has established itself as a significant player in the restaurant industry.
From a business perspective, Bloomin Brands operates through two main segments: U.S. and International Franchise. This segmentation enables the company to manage its domestic and international operations effectively, leveraging franchising as a key growth strategy. The companys diverse brand portfolio and operational structure position it for potential expansion and recovery in the competitive dining market.
Analyzing the provided
Forecasting the future performance of Bloomin Brands involves analyzing both its technical and fundamental data. Given the current trends, if the stock continues to trade above its SMA20 and SMA50, it may signal a short-term bullish trend. However, the stocks position relative to its SMA200 suggests that it still faces longer-term challenges. Considering the companys P/E ratio of 9.06 and forward P/E of 6.27, along with a negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -0.76, it appears that Bloomin Brands is in a recovery phase, potentially offering value to investors. A potential forecast could be that if the company improves its RoE and continues to show stability or growth in its stock price relative to its SMAs, it may attract more investors, potentially driving the stock price towards $10-$12 in the short to medium term, contingent on overall market conditions and the companys operational performance.
BLMN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 564m |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| GiC Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| IPO / Inception | 2012-08-08 |
BLMN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -49.5 |
| Fundamental | 45.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 78.7 |
| Rel. Strength | -64.8 |
| Analysts | 3.00 of 5 |
| Fair Price Momentum | 6.31 USD |
| Fair Price DCF | 3.26 USD |
BLMN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 10.45% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.43% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 36.85% |
| Payout Consistency | 77.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 51.5% |
BLMN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 42.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -84.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -23.5% |
| CAGR 5y | -10.13% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.13 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.94 |
| Alpha | -70.17 |
| Beta | 0.614 |
| Volatility | 121.82% |
| Current Volume | 3873.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2017k |
| Stop Loss | 6 (-7.3%) |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (-4.98m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 243.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -15.55% (prev -12.63%; Δ -2.92pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 227.8m > Net Income -4.98m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.20b) to EBITDA (268.6m) ratio: 8.21 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.34 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (85.1m) change vs 12m ago -3.94% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 92.69% (prev 14.18%; Δ 78.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 119.9% (prev 135.2%; Δ -15.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.84 (EBITDA TTM 268.6m / Interest Expense TTM 56.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.24
| (A) -0.19 = (Total Current Assets 320.5m - Total Current Liabilities 952.3m) / Total Assets 3.38b |
| (B) -0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -883.7m / Total Assets 3.38b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 103.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.39b |
| (D) -0.35 = Book Value of Equity -1.14b / Total Liabilities 3.25b |
| Total Rating: -2.24 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 45.46
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.56% = 0.78 |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.64% = 0.16 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 8.75 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.42 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 3.37% = 4.21 |
| 7. RoE -1.91% = -0.32 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -51.66% = -2.58 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -1.72% = -0.29 |
| 10. EPS Trend data missing |
| 11. EPS CAGR -4.02% = -0.50 |
As of August 13, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 6.47 with a total of 3,873,732 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -27.79%, over one month by -35.49%, over three months by -25.23% and over the past year by -55.06%.
No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Bloomin Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) is currently (August 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 45.46 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of BLMN is around 6.31 USD . This means that BLMN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -2.47%.
Bloomin Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold BLMN.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, BLMN Bloomin Brands will be worth about 7 in August 2026. The stock is currently trading at 6.47. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +8.5%.
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.8 | 19.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.8 | 36.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7 | 8.5% |
BLMN Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 70.1m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last fiscal year)
P/E Trailing = 7.4494
P/E Forward = 5.16
P/S = 0.1434
P/B = 1.4198
P/EG = 1.07
Beta = 1.312
Revenue TTM = 4.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 103.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 268.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 158.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.19b USD (Calculated: Short Term 158.8m + Long Term 1.03b)
Net Debt = 2.20b USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 1.68b USD (564.0m + Debt 1.19b - CCE 70.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.84 (Ebit TTM 103.2m / Interest Expense TTM 56.1m)
FCF Yield = 1.56% (FCF TTM 26.2m / Enterprise Value 1.68b)
FCF Margin = 0.64% (FCF TTM 26.2m / Revenue TTM 4.06b)
Net Margin = -0.12% (Net Income TTM -4.98m / Revenue TTM 4.06b)
Gross Margin = 92.69% ((Revenue TTM 4.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 297.0m) / Revenue TTM)
[93m Tobins Q-Ratio = -1.48 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 1.68b / Book Value Of Equity -1.14b)
[39m Interest Expense / Debt = 0.90% (Interest Expense 10.7m / Debt 1.19b)
[93m Taxrate = -46.16% (set to none) (from quarterly Income Tax Expense: -8.75m / 19.0m)
[39m[93m NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
[39m Current Ratio = 0.34 (Total Current Assets 320.5m / Total Current Liabilities 952.3m)
Debt / Equity = 8.75 (Debt 1.19b / last Fiscal Year total Stockholder Equity 135.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.42 (Net Debt 2.20b / EBITDA 268.6m)
Debt / FCF = 45.32 (Debt 1.19b / FCF TTM 26.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 261.3m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.15% (Net Income -4.98m, Total Assets 3.38b )
RoE = -1.91% (Net Income TTM -4.98m / Total Stockholder Equity 261.3m)
RoCE = 8.01% (Ebit 103.2m / (Equity 261.3m + L.T.Debt 1.03b))
RoIC = 3.37% (Ebit 103.2m / (Assets 3.38b - Current Assets 320.5m))
[93m WACC = unknown (E(564.0m)/V(1.75b) * Re(8.28%)) + (D(1.19b)/V(1.75b) * Rd(0.90%) * (1-Tc(none)))
[39m Shares Correlation 5-Years: -80.0 | Cagr: -3.73%
Discount Rate = 8.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.47% ; FCFE base≈52.4m ; Y1≈33.7m ; Y5≈14.8m
Fair Price DCF = 3.26 (DCF Value 277.6m / Shares Outstanding 85.1m; 5y FCF grow -41.42% → 2.90% )
Revenue Correlation: -51.66 | Revenue CAGR: -1.72%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -80.89%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: -4.02%
EPS Growth Correlation: -32.01%
Additional Sources for BLMN Stock
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