(BLMN) Bloomin Brands - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 678m USD | Total Return: 9% in 12m

Steaks, Italian Cuisine, Seafood, Wine, Casual Dining
Total Rating 42
Safety 35
Buy Signal 0.18
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: +8.5
Market Cap: 678M
Avg Turnover: 20.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility55.2%
VaR 5th Pctl9.06%
VaR vs Median-0.36%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.44
Rel. Str. IBD69
Rel. Str. Peer Group87.8
Character TTM
Beta1.484
Beta Downside1.329
Hurst Exponent0.428
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD80.50%
CAGR/Max DD-0.35
CAGR/Mean DD-0.63
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BLMN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.81, "2021-09": 0.57, "2021-12": 0.6, "2022-03": 0.8, "2022-06": 0.68, "2022-09": 0.35, "2022-12": 0.68, "2023-03": 0.98, "2023-06": 0.7, "2023-09": 0.44, "2023-12": 0.75, "2024-03": 0.7, "2024-06": 0.51, "2024-09": 0.21, "2024-12": 0.22, "2025-03": 0.58, "2025-06": 0.33, "2025-09": -0.03, "2025-12": 0.26, "2026-03": 0.67,
EPS CAGR: -32.81%
EPS Trend: -95.7%
Last SUE: 1.34
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of BLMN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1077.366, 2021-09: 1010.463, 2021-12: 1047.083, 2022-03: 1140.535, 2022-06: 1125.162, 2022-09: 1055.763, 2022-12: 1095.048, 2023-03: 1244.746, 2023-06: 1152.694, 2023-09: 1079.833, 2023-12: 1194.197, 2024-03: 1069.073, 2024-06: 1118.866, 2024-09: 1038.771, 2024-12: 597.511, 2025-03: 1049.594, 2025-06: 1002.366, 2025-09: 928.813, 2025-12: 975.223, 2026-03: 1059.673,
Rev. CAGR: -8.42%
Rev. Trend: -82.4%
Last SUE: 0.11
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA (13.8) with thin interest coverage (1.0)

Altman Z'' -2.40 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Volatile

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader, Confidence

Description: BLMN Bloomin Brands

Bloomin Brands, Inc. is a global hospitality company headquartered in Tampa, Florida, operating a diverse portfolio of casual and fine dining brands. Its primary revenue drivers include Outback Steakhouse, Carrabbas Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Flemings Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar.

The company utilizes a dual-track business model consisting of corporate-owned locations and international franchise segments. Within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, this multi-concept approach allows the firm to capture market share across different price points, ranging from mid-tier casual dining to high-end steakhouse experiences.

To evaluate how these specific brand segments contribute to long-term valuation, you may wish to review the detailed financial metrics on ValueRay. The casual dining sector remains highly sensitive to fluctuations in commodity costs and consumer discretionary spending patterns.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Outback Steakhouse same-store sales growth drives overall domestic revenue performance
  • Elevated beef prices and labor costs compress consolidated operating margins
  • International expansion strategy in Brazil impacts long-term earnings diversification
  • Digital and off-premises sales growth influences casual dining market share
  • Consumer discretionary spending shifts dictate traffic trends across four core brands
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 21.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.43 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -15.25% < 20% (prev -12.08%; Δ -3.17% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 278.5m > Net Income 21.7m
Net Debt (3.13b) to EBITDA (227.3m): 13.78 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.24 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (85.8m) vs 12m ago 0.73% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.45% > 18% (prev 0.13%; Δ 5.43k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 123.6% > 50% (prev 115.1%; Δ 8.45% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 227.3m / Interest Expense TTM 46.6m)
Altman Z'' -2.40
A: -0.19 (Total Current Assets 195.2m - Total Current Liabilities 799.9m) / Total Assets 3.11b
B: -0.28 (Retained Earnings -861.9m / Total Assets 3.11b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 47.2m / Avg Total Assets 3.21b)
D: -0.31 (Book Value of Equity -847.8m / Total Liabilities 2.72b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.40 = D
Beneish M -4.00
DSRI: 0.23 (Receivables 36.8m/154.3m, Revenue 3.97b/3.80b)
GMI: 0.25 (GM 54.45% / 13.36%)
AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.30)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 3.97b / 3.80b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 21.7m - CFO 278.5m) / TA 3.11b)
Beneish M = -4.34 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of BLMN shares?

As of June 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.14 with a total of 2,387,039 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.09%, over one month by +37.50%, over three months by +28.80% and over the past year by +8.95%.

Is BLMN a buy, sell or hold?

Bloomin Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold BLMN.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BLMN price?
Analysts Target Price 8.6 6.1%
Bloomin Brands (BLMN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 678.1m (678.1m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 33.0
P/E Forward = 6.2461
P/S = 0.171
P/B = 1.6927
P/EG = 1.07
Revenue TTM = 3.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 47.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 752.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 180.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.22b
Net Debt = 3.13b USD (calculated: Debt 3.20b - CCE 71.3m)
Enterprise Value = 3.81b USD (678.1m + Debt 3.20b - CCE 71.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.01 (Ebit TTM 47.2m / Interest Expense TTM 46.6m)
EV/FCF = 31.97x (Enterprise Value 3.81b / FCF TTM 119.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.13% (FCF TTM 119.2m / Enterprise Value 3.81b)
FCF Margin = 3.01% (FCF TTM 119.2m / Revenue TTM 3.97b)
Net Margin = 0.55% (Net Income TTM 21.7m / Revenue TTM 3.97b)
Gross Margin = 54.45% ((Revenue TTM 3.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.04% (prev 70.20%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.22 (Enterprise Value 3.81b / Total Assets 3.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.45% (Interest Expense 46.6m / Debt 3.20b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 37.3m (EBIT 47.2m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.24 (Total Current Assets 195.2m / Total Current Liabilities 799.9m)
Debt / Equity = 8.10 (Debt 3.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 395.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.78 (Net Debt 3.13b / EBITDA 227.3m)
Debt / FCF = 26.28 (Net Debt 3.13b / FCF TTM 119.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 367.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.68% (Net Income 21.7m / Total Assets 3.11b)
RoE = 1.77% (Net Income TTM 21.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.23b)
RoCE = 2.38% (EBIT 47.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.23b + L.T.Debt 752.6m))
RoIC = 1.51% (NOPAT 37.3m / Invested Capital 2.48b)
WACC = 2.90% (E(678.1m)/V(3.88b) * Re(11.20%) + D(3.20b)/V(3.88b) * Rd(1.45%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -37.78 | Cagr: -4.99%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈89.9m ; Y1≈103.1m ; Y5≈151.7m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.28b - Net Debt 3.13b = -849.0m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -95.66 | EPS CAGR: -32.81% | SUE: 1.34 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -82.37 | Revenue CAGR: -8.42% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=+33.18% | Revisions=+75% | Analysts=12
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=-61.97% | Revisions=-75% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=+2.83% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=-22.8% | GrowthRev=+0.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.97 | Chg30d=+0.55% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+10.7% | GrowthRev=+1.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +75%