(BPOP) Popular - Overview

Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Banks - Regional | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 9.348m USD | Total Return: 40.9% in 12m

Retail Banking, Commercial Loans, Mortgages, Insurance, Asset Management
Total Rating 57
Safety 57
Buy Signal 0.60
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: -9.8
Market Cap: 9.35B
Avg Turnover: 70.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility26.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.38%
VaR vs Median0.85%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.36
Rel. Str. IBD70.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group91.1
Character TTM
Beta1.035
Beta Downside1.134
Hurst Exponent0.619
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD22.63%
CAGR/Max DD1.76
CAGR/Mean DD7.74
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BPOP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 3.12, "2021-06": 2.66, "2021-09": 3.09, "2021-12": 2.58, "2022-03": 2.69, "2022-06": 2.77, "2022-09": 5.7, "2022-12": 3.56, "2023-03": 2.22, "2023-06": 2.1, "2023-09": 1.9, "2023-12": 1.95, "2024-03": 1.88, "2024-06": 2.46, "2024-09": 2.16, "2024-12": 2.52, "2025-03": 2.56, "2025-06": 3.09, "2025-09": 3.14, "2025-12": 3.3954, "2026-03": 3.78,
EPS CAGR: 8.64%
EPS Trend: 13.5%
Last SUE: 2.23
Qual. Beats: 6
Revenue Revenue of BPOP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 664.65, 2021-06: 673.384, 2021-09: 686.46, 2021-12: 695.183, 2022-03: 653.46, 2022-06: 698.135, 2022-09: 1045.361, 2022-12: 783.16, 2023-03: 867.074, 2023-06: 917.677, 2023-09: 966.436, 2023-12: 1006.774, 2024-03: 1023.765, 2024-06: 1049.117, 2024-09: 1067.21, 2024-12: 1049.403, 2025-03: 1031.278, 2025-06: 1074.488, 2025-09: 1099.436, 2025-12: 1124.307, 2026-03: 1112.842,
Rev. CAGR: 13.24%
Rev. Trend: 78.6%
Last SUE: 0.74
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: BPOP Popular

Popular, Inc. (BPOP) is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in Puerto Rico, operating primarily through its banking subsidiaries, Banco Popular de Puerto Rico and Popular Bank. The firm provides a comprehensive range of retail and commercial banking products, including deposit accounts, mortgage lending, and asset management, alongside specialized services such as insurance brokerage and investment banking.

As a dominant player in the Puerto Rican financial sector, Popular, Inc. benefits from a significant market share in a region characterized by a high concentration of banking assets among a few large institutions. The company’s business model relies on a mix of interest income from its diverse loan portfolio-spanning residential, commercial, and construction sectors-and non-interest income derived from its extensive service offerings like credit cards and fiduciary management. For a deeper analysis of these revenue streams, investors can explore the fundamental data available on ValueRay.

Founded in 1893, the company maintains a geographic footprint that extends across the United States, the Caribbean, and Latin America. This regional banking structure allows the firm to leverage localized economic trends while managing risk through sector-specific lending, such as its recent focus on renewable energy and healthcare hub financing.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Dominant market share in Puerto Rico drives low-cost core deposit funding advantage
  • Federal fund rate shifts impact net interest margin on variable loan portfolios
  • Economic recovery and reconstruction spending in Puerto Rico stimulates commercial loan growth
  • High institutional ownership levels increase stock sensitivity to regional banking sector sentiment
  • Regulatory oversight of capitalization levels influences timing of share buybacks and dividends
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 901.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.30 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.11% < 20% (prev -920.7%; Δ 919.6% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 898.0m > Net Income 901.3m
Net Debt (869.6m) to EBITDA (1.10b): 0.79 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.89 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (64.9m) vs 12m ago -6.36% < -2%
Gross Margin: 68.18% > 18% (prev 0.62%; Δ 6.76k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.87% > 50% (prev 5.67%; Δ 0.21% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.66 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.10b / Interest Expense TTM 1.21b)
Altman Z'' 0.36
A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 384.9m - Total Current Liabilities 434.1m) / Total Assets 76.13b
B: 0.07 (Retained Earnings 5.40b / Total Assets 76.13b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 798.2m / Avg Total Assets 75.08b)
D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 4.24b / Total Liabilities 69.82b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.36 = B
Beneish M -3.42
DSRI: 0.13 (Receivables 308.6m/2.21b, Revenue 4.41b/4.20b)
GMI: 0.90 (GM 68.18% / 61.70%)
AQI: 1.62 (AQ_t 0.98 / AQ_t-1 0.61)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 4.41b / 4.20b)
TATA: 0.00 (NI 901.3m - CFO 898.0m) / TA 76.13b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.42 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of BPOP shares? As of May 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 144.04 with a total of 422,289 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.34%, over one month by -0.63%, over three months by -0.02% and over the past year by +40.93%.
Is BPOP a buy, sell or hold? Popular has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BPOP.
  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BPOP price?
Analysts Target Price 171.2 18.9%
Popular (BPOP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 16 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 10.7209
P/E Forward = 10.8108
P/S = 3.1103
P/B = 1.5321
P/EG = 1.3651
Revenue TTM = 4.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 798.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 759.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 434.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.25b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 869.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.22b USD (9.35b + Debt 1.25b - CCE 384.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.66 (Ebit TTM 798.2m / Interest Expense TTM 1.21b)
EV/FCF = 14.28x (Enterprise Value 10.22b / FCF TTM 715.4m)
FCF Yield = 7.00% (FCF TTM 715.4m / Enterprise Value 10.22b)
FCF Margin = 16.22% (FCF TTM 715.4m / Revenue TTM 4.41b)
Net Margin = 20.43% (Net Income TTM 901.3m / Revenue TTM 4.41b)
Gross Margin = 68.18% ((Revenue TTM 4.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.11% (prev 67.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.13 (Enterprise Value 10.22b / Total Assets 76.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 22.08% (Interest Expense 277.0m / Debt 1.25b)
Taxrate = 16.04% (46.9m / 292.6m)
NOPAT = 670.2m (EBIT 798.2m * (1 - 16.04%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 384.9m / Total Current Liabilities 434.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 1.25b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.79 (Net Debt 869.6m / EBITDA 1.10b)
Debt / FCF = 1.22 (Net Debt 869.6m / FCF TTM 715.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.20% (Net Income 901.3m / Total Assets 76.13b)
RoE = 14.64% (Net Income TTM 901.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.16b)
RoCE = 11.54% (EBIT 798.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.16b + L.T.Debt 759.6m))
RoIC = 9.05% (NOPAT 670.2m / Invested Capital 7.40b)
WACC = 10.68% (E(9.35b)/V(10.60b) * Re(9.62%) + D(1.25b)/V(10.60b) * Rd(22.08%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.22%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.34% ; FCFF base≈618.9m ; Y1≈590.2m ; Y5≈569.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 90.85 (EV 6.73b - Net Debt 869.6m = Equity 5.86b / Shares 64.5m; r=10.68% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -6.10% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 13.51 | EPS CAGR: 8.64% | SUE: 2.23 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 78.59 | Revenue CAGR: 13.24% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.66 | Chg30d=+4.44% | Revisions=+56% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.65 | Chg30d=-0.75% | Revisions=-11% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.79 | Chg30d=+4.42% | Revisions=+56% | GrowthEPS=+21.4% | GrowthRev=+6.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=16.48 | Chg30d=+2.38% | Revisions=+56% | GrowthEPS=+11.5% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56%