(BRY) Berry Petroleum - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Well Services
BRY EPS (Earnings per Share)
BRY Revenue
Description: BRY Berry Petroleum October 29, 2025
Berry Petroleum Corp (NASDAQ: BRY) is an independent upstream energy firm focused on low-risk, long-lived onshore oil and gas assets in California and Utah, complemented by a well-servicing business that handles well interventions, abandonments, and water logistics for third-party producers.
In 2023 the company generated approximately 3.1 MMboe of net production, with a weighted-average realized price of $78 per barrel of oil equivalent and an operating cash flow of $120 million, while maintaining a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.2×, reflecting a relatively conservative balance sheet for a mid-size upstream player.
Berry’s earnings are tightly linked to U.S. crude price movements, California’s stringent environmental regulations, and regional water-management costs; a 10 % rise in WTI crude typically lifts FY-2024 adjusted EBITDA by roughly $30 million, whereas tighter water-use restrictions can erode margins by up to 5 %.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of Berry’s cash-flow sensitivity to oil-price scenarios.
BRY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 258m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2018-07-18 |
BRY Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -53.4% |
| Fundamental | 44.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 56.7% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -41.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.80 of 5 |
BRY Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.94% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 58.11% |
| Payout Consistency | 77.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 15.7% |
BRY Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 45% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -42.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -8.1% |
| CAGR 5y | -21.26% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.29 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.71 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.20 |
| Alpha | -56.19 |
| Beta | 1.186 |
| Volatility | 42.07% |
| Current Volume | 617.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 621.7k |
| Stop Loss | 3.1 (-5.5%) |
| Signal | 0.15 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (5.03m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 45.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -4.30% (prev -7.99%; Δ 3.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 186.6m > Net Income 5.03m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (364.6m) to EBITDA (148.3m) ratio: 2.46 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.83 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (77.7m) change vs 12m ago 0.99% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.59% (prev 44.00%; Δ 4.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 53.37% (prev 62.92%; Δ -9.54pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.27 (EBITDA TTM 148.3m / Interest Expense TTM 50.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.13
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 158.0m - Total Current Liabilities 190.9m) / Total Assets 1.33b |
| (B) -0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -6.71m / Total Assets 1.33b |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -13.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.43b |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 70.9m / Total Liabilities 669.2m |
| Total Rating: -0.13 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.96
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 20.04% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.81% = 3.95 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.55 = 2.35 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.46 = -0.88 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.02)% = -8.77 |
| 7. RoE 0.73% = 0.06 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -54.06% = -4.05 |
| 9. EPS Trend -33.93% = -1.70 |
What is the price of BRY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.67%, over one month by -13.46%, over three months by +16.73% and over the past year by -32.74%.
Is Berry Petroleum a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of BRY is around 3.05 USD . This means that BRY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.01%.
Is BRY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BRY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4 | 23.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4 | 23.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.3 | 1.5% |
BRY Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Trailing = 41.625
P/E Forward = 17.7936
P/S = 0.3682
P/B = 0.4318
Beta = 1.186
Revenue TTM = 765.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -13.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 148.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 364.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.91m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 364.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 364.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 603.3m USD (258.4m + Debt 364.6m - CCE 19.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.27 (Ebit TTM -13.7m / Interest Expense TTM 50.5m)
FCF Yield = 20.04% (FCF TTM 120.9m / Enterprise Value 603.3m)
FCF Margin = 15.81% (FCF TTM 120.9m / Revenue TTM 765.1m)
Net Margin = 0.66% (Net Income TTM 5.03m / Revenue TTM 765.1m)
Gross Margin = 48.59% ((Revenue TTM 765.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 393.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.96% (prev 32.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.45 (Enterprise Value 603.3m / Total Assets 1.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.25% (Interest Expense 15.5m / Debt 364.6m)
Taxrate = 28.18% (13.2m / 46.8m)
NOPAT = -9.85m (EBIT -13.7m * (1 - 28.18%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 158.0m / Total Current Liabilities 190.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 364.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 664.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.46 (Net Debt 364.6m / EBITDA 148.3m)
Debt / FCF = 3.02 (Net Debt 364.6m / FCF TTM 120.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 689.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.38% (Net Income 5.03m / Total Assets 1.33b)
RoE = 0.73% (Net Income TTM 5.03m / Total Stockholder Equity 689.8m)
RoCE = -1.30% (EBIT -13.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 689.8m + L.T.Debt 364.6m))
RoIC = -0.92% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -9.85m / Invested Capital 1.07b)
WACC = 6.10% (E(258.4m)/V(623.0m) * Re(10.39%) + D(364.6m)/V(623.0m) * Rd(4.25%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.22%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.96% ; FCFE base≈125.7m ; Y1≈118.0m ; Y5≈110.2m
Fair Price DCF = 17.51 (DCF Value 1.36b / Shares Outstanding 77.6m; 5y FCF grow -7.88% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -33.93 | EPS CAGR: -78.27% | SUE: -0.34 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -54.06 | Revenue CAGR: -7.74% | SUE: 1.74 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for BRY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle