(BRY) Berry Petroleum - Ratings and Ratios
Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Well Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.92% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 58.11% |
| Payout Consistency | 77.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 17.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 60.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.08 |
| Alpha | -34.08 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.488 |
| Beta | 1.426 |
| Beta Downside | 2.215 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 73.04% |
| Mean DD | 30.80% |
| Median DD | 24.34% |
Description: BRY Berry Petroleum October 29, 2025
Berry Petroleum Corp (NASDAQ: BRY) is an independent upstream energy firm focused on low-risk, long-lived onshore oil and gas assets in California and Utah, complemented by a well-servicing business that handles well interventions, abandonments, and water logistics for third-party producers.
In 2023 the company generated approximately 3.1 MMboe of net production, with a weighted-average realized price of $78 per barrel of oil equivalent and an operating cash flow of $120 million, while maintaining a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.2×, reflecting a relatively conservative balance sheet for a mid-size upstream player.
Berry’s earnings are tightly linked to U.S. crude price movements, California’s stringent environmental regulations, and regional water-management costs; a 10 % rise in WTI crude typically lifts FY-2024 adjusted EBITDA by roughly $30 million, whereas tighter water-use restrictions can erode margins by up to 5 %.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of Berry’s cash-flow sensitivity to oil-price scenarios.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (-90.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 40.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -5.06% (prev -4.28%; Δ -0.78pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 171.3m > Net Income -90.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (390.0m) to EBITDA (91.6m) ratio: 4.26 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.81 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (77.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.03% (prev 36.15%; Δ -5.12pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 46.84% (prev 53.62%; Δ -6.78pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.14 (EBITDA TTM 91.6m / Interest Expense TTM 58.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.59
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 143.8m - Total Current Liabilities 178.2m) / Total Assets 1.39b |
| (B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -32.7m / Total Assets 1.39b |
| (C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -66.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.45b |
| (D) -0.04 = Book Value of Equity -32.6m / Total Liabilities 748.0m |
| Total Rating: -0.59 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 28.38
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.05% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.67% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.63 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.90)% |
| 7. RoE -13.63% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -89.41% |
| 9. EPS Trend -47.72% |
What is the price of BRY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.04%, over one month by +2.71%, over three months by +4.27% and over the past year by -13.60%.
Is BRY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BRY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4 | 19.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4 | 19.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.5 | 2.7% |
BRY Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Forward = 17.7936
P/S = 0.3528
P/B = 0.4002
Beta = 0.834
Revenue TTM = 680.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -66.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 91.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 354.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 46.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 403.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 390.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 647.7m USD (257.7m + Debt 403.4m - CCE 13.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.14 (Ebit TTM -66.2m / Interest Expense TTM 58.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.05% (FCF TTM 52.1m / Enterprise Value 647.7m)
FCF Margin = 7.67% (FCF TTM 52.1m / Revenue TTM 680.2m)
Net Margin = -13.36% (Net Income TTM -90.9m / Revenue TTM 680.2m)
Gross Margin = 31.03% ((Revenue TTM 680.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 469.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.70% (prev 29.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 647.7m / Total Assets 1.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.07% (Interest Expense 16.4m / Debt 403.4m)
Taxrate = 26.70% (-9.48m / -35.5m)
NOPAT = -48.5m (EBIT -66.2m * (1 - 26.70%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.81 (Total Current Assets 143.8m / Total Current Liabilities 178.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 403.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 639.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.26 (Net Debt 390.0m / EBITDA 91.6m)
Debt / FCF = 7.48 (Net Debt 390.0m / FCF TTM 52.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 666.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.55% (Net Income -90.9m / Total Assets 1.39b)
RoE = -13.63% (Net Income TTM -90.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 666.5m)
RoCE = -6.49% (EBIT -66.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 666.5m + L.T.Debt 354.5m))
RoIC = -4.68% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -48.5m / Invested Capital 1.04b)
WACC = 6.21% (E(257.7m)/V(661.0m) * Re(11.27%) + D(403.4m)/V(661.0m) * Rd(4.07%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 11.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.16%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.32% ; FCFE base≈89.6m ; Y1≈81.0m ; Y5≈70.3m
Fair Price DCF = 10.12 (DCF Value 785.6m / Shares Outstanding 77.6m; 5y FCF grow -11.89% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -47.72 | EPS CAGR: -50.84% | SUE: -0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -89.41 | Revenue CAGR: -9.28% | SUE: -0.40 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for BRY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle