(CART) Maplebear - Ratings and Ratios
Online, Grocery, Delivery, Ads, Saas
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.99% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.22 |
| Alpha | -29.01 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.33 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.466 |
| Beta | 0.664 |
| Beta Downside | 0.937 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.19% |
| Mean DD | 15.40% |
| Median DD | 15.13% |
Description: CART Maplebear January 04, 2026
Maplebear Inc., operating under the Instacart brand, provides online grocery shopping services to North-American households via its mobile app and website, and also generates revenue from advertising and SaaS solutions for retailers.
As of the latest quarterly report (Q4 2023), Instacart reported gross merchandise volume (GMV) of roughly $15 billion-a 12% year-over-year increase-and an active user base exceeding 15 million, with SaaS contracts now accounting for about 5% of total revenue, reflecting growing demand for white-label fulfillment platforms.
Key sector drivers include sustained e-commerce adoption in food retail (U.S. online grocery sales grew 18% YoY in 2023), inflation-induced price-sensitivity that boosts the appeal of Instacart’s price-comparison tools, and a tight labor market that raises fulfillment costs across the industry.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of CART’s valuation metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 514.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 60.53% < 20% (prev 51.21%; Δ 9.32% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 941.0m > Net Income 514.0m |
| Net Debt (-1.65b) to EBITDA (660.0m): -2.50 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (283.2m) vs 12m ago 0.77% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.46% > 18% (prev 0.75%; Δ 7370 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 85.83% > 50% (prev 84.00%; Δ 1.82% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -12.93 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 660.0m / Interest Expense TTM -44.0m) |
Altman Z'' -1.82
| A: 0.48 (Total Current Assets 3.03b - Total Current Liabilities 832.0m) / Total Assets 4.54b |
| B: -0.77 (Retained Earnings -3.49b / Total Assets 4.54b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 569.0m / Avg Total Assets 4.23b) |
| D: -3.23 (Book Value of Equity -3.50b / Total Liabilities 1.08b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.82= D |
Beneish M -3.10
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.04b/949.0m, Revenue 3.63b/3.30b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 74.46% / 75.38%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 3.63b / 3.30b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 514.0m - CFO 941.0m) / TA 4.54b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.04
| 1. Piotroski: 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 10.13% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 24.22% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 5.56% |
| 7. RoE: 15.78% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 90.89% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 38.09% |
What is the price of CART shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.52%, over one month by -14.68%, over three months by -2.69% and over the past year by -13.90%.
Is CART a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CART price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 50.6 | 31.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 50.6 | 31.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 39.4 | 2.5% |
CART Fundamental Data Overview January 18, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.3399
P/S = 2.8577
P/B = 2.992
P/EG = 3.642
Revenue TTM = 3.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 569.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 660.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 37.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 37.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.65b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.69b USD (10.38b + Debt 37.0m - CCE 1.73b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -12.93 (Ebit TTM 569.0m / Interest Expense TTM -44.0m)
EV/FCF = 9.88x (Enterprise Value 8.69b / FCF TTM 880.0m)
FCF Yield = 10.13% (FCF TTM 880.0m / Enterprise Value 8.69b)
FCF Margin = 24.22% (FCF TTM 880.0m / Revenue TTM 3.63b)
Net Margin = 14.15% (Net Income TTM 514.0m / Revenue TTM 3.63b)
Gross Margin = 74.46% ((Revenue TTM 3.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 928.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.70% (prev 74.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.91 (Enterprise Value 8.69b / Total Assets 4.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.36% (Interest Expense 1.61m / Debt 37.0m)
Taxrate = 20.44% (37.0m / 181.0m)
NOPAT = 452.7m (EBIT 569.0m * (1 - 20.44%))
Current Ratio = 3.64 (Total Current Assets 3.03b / Total Current Liabilities 832.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 37.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.50 (Net Debt -1.65b / EBITDA 660.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.88 (Net Debt -1.65b / FCF TTM 880.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.14% (Net Income 514.0m / Total Assets 4.54b)
RoE = 15.78% (Net Income TTM 514.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.26b)
RoCE = 17.28% (EBIT 569.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.26b + L.T.Debt 37.0m))
RoIC = 13.90% (NOPAT 452.7m / Invested Capital 3.26b)
WACC = 8.34% (E(10.38b)/V(10.42b) * Re(8.36%) + D(37.0m)/V(10.42b) * Rd(4.36%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 69.16%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.15% ; FCFF base≈806.8m ; Y1≈995.2m ; Y5≈1.69b
Fair Price DCF = 108.3 (EV 26.78b - Net Debt -1.65b = Equity 28.44b / Shares 262.5m; r=8.34% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 38.09 | EPS CAGR: -0.59% | SUE: -1.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.89 | Revenue CAGR: 19.93% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=20
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.20 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+22.4% | Growth Revenue=+9.0%
Additional Sources for CART Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle