CASY Stock Analysis: Caseys General Stores | NASDAQ
Specialty Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 29.508m USD | 12M Return: 57.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 525M
EPS Trend: 96.5%
Qual. Beats: 5
Rev. Trend: 97.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Caseys General Stores, Inc. operates a chain of convenience stores across the United States under the Caseys and Caseys General Store names, selling a wide range of products including prepared foods (pizza, donuts, breakfast items, and sandwiches), tobacco and nicotine products, packaged beverages, beer, wine, spirits, snacks, grocery and household items, and motor fuel dispensed on a self-service basis. Stores also offer ancillary services such as ATMs, lottery products, prepaid cards, and car washes. The company runs its own distribution centers to support its retail operations, reflecting a vertically integrated supply model. Founded in 1959, Caseys is headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa, and trades on NASDAQ under the ticker CASY.
As a member of the Consumer Staples sector and the Food Retail sub-industry, Caseys competes primarily with other convenience store chains, fuel retailers, and quick-service restaurants. Its in-store kitchen program, particularly its made-to-order pizza offering, is widely regarded as a key differentiator from typical c-store peers, which historically focused more narrowly on fuel and packaged goods.
- Fuel margin volatility swings quarterly earnings
- Inside store sales growth lifts prepared food margins
- Acquisition strategy expands convenience store footprint
| Net Income: 714.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.08% < 20% (prev -0.56%; Δ 0.63% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 1.38b > Net Income 714.4m |
| Net Debt (2.84b) to EBITDA (1.39b): 2.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.01 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (37.3m) vs 12m ago -0.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.61% > 18% (prev 23.54%; Δ 1.07% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 202.2% > 50% (prev 188.9%; Δ 13.24% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 1.36b - Total Current Liabilities 1.35b) / Total Assets 8.94b |
| B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 3.95b / Total Assets 8.94b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 937.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.69b) |
| D: 0.79 (Book Value of Equity 3.95b / Total Liabilities 4.98b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.01 = A |
| DSRI: 1.27 (Receivables 254.1m/181.5m, Revenue 17.6b/15.9b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 23.54% / 24.61%) |
| AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 17.6b / 15.9b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 714.4m - CFO 1.38b) / TA 8.94b) |
| Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 819.83 with a total of 272,104 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.81%, over one month by -10.46%, over three months by +11.14% and over the past year by +57.18%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 742.50 (which is 9.4% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Caseys General Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CASY.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 954.1 | 16.4% |
P/E Trailing = 41.6625
P/E Forward = 37.3134
P/S = 1.6803
P/B = 7.342
P/EG = 3.3804
Revenue TTM = 17.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 937.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 101.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 473.5m
Net Debt = 2.84b USD (calculated: Debt 3.36b - CCE 523.0m)
Enterprise Value = 32.3b USD (29.5b + Debt 3.36b - CCE 523.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 937.0m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 44.83x (Enterprise Value 32.3b / FCF TTM 721.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.23% (FCF TTM 721.6m / Enterprise Value 32.3b)
FCF Margin = 4.11% (FCF TTM 721.6m / Revenue TTM 17.6b)
Net Margin = 4.07% (Net Income TTM 714.4m / Revenue TTM 17.6b)
Gross Margin = 24.61% ((Revenue TTM 17.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.01% (prev 25.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.62 (Enterprise Value 32.3b / Total Assets 8.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 3.36b)
Taxrate = 23.75% (222.6m / 937.0m)
NOPAT = 714.4m (EBIT 937.0m * (1 - 23.75%))
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 1.36b / Total Current Liabilities 1.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.85 (Debt 3.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.05 (Net Debt 2.84b / EBITDA 1.39b)
Debt / FCF = 3.94 (Net Debt 2.84b / FCF TTM 721.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.22% (Net Income 714.4m / Total Assets 8.94b)
RoE = 18.73% (Net Income TTM 714.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.81b)
RoCE = 15.25% (EBIT 937.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.81b + L.T.Debt 2.33b))
RoIC = 9.97% (NOPAT 714.4m / Invested Capital 7.16b)
WACC = 5.17% (E(29.5b)/V(32.9b) * Re(5.76%) + D(3.36b)/V(32.9b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 5.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈666.8m ; Y1≈764.4m ; Y5≈1.12b
[DCF] Fair Price = 380.7 (EV 16.9b - Net Debt 2.84b = Equity 14.1b / Shares 37.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.49 | EPS CAGR: 15.41% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 97.01 | Revenue CAGR: 7.57% | SUE: 1.96 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=6.70 | Chg30d=+4.61% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=6.31 | Chg30d=+1.77% | Revisions=+36% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2027-04-30): EPS=21.28 | Chg30d=+4.52% | Revisions=+63% | GrowthEPS=+11.1% | GrowthRev=+17.0%
EPS next Year (2028-04-30): EPS=23.45 | Chg30d=+3.64% | Revisions=+73% | GrowthEPS=+10.2% | GrowthRev=+1.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +65% (up=39, down=7)