CASY Stock Analysis: Caseys General Stores | NASDAQ
Specialty Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 22.833m USD | 12M Return: 17.4% | US1475281036 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 400M
EPS Trend: 96.0%
Qual. Beats: 6
Rev. Trend: 97.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Caseys General Stores, Inc. is a U.S. convenience store operator running stores under the Caseys and Caseys General Store banners, with a headquarters in Ankeny, Iowa, and a founding date of 1959. Its stores offer a wide assortment of prepared foods, including pizza, donuts, hot breakfast items, and sandwiches, alongside beverages, tobacco, beer, wine, spirits, snacks, candy, and general merchandise such as health and beauty aids and automotive products. The company also sells self-service motor fuel, including gasoline and diesel, and provides ancillary services like ATMs, lottery products, prepaid cards, and car washes, while operating its own distribution centers to support retail operations.
As a member of the consumer staples sector, Caseys competes within the convenience store and fuel retailing industry, where operators typically pursue a high-frequency, small-ticket sales model anchored by fuel volumes and complemented by higher-margin in-store food service. The companys notable in-house food program, particularly its private-label pizza, represents a key differentiator relative to traditional c-store competitors that rely more heavily on packaged goods and fuel.
- Fuel margin volatility swings quarterly profit on gasoline costs
- Inside sales accelerate on pizza and prepared food growth
- Store expansion and acquisitions drive network growth
| Net Income: 772.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.84 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.14% < 20% (prev 0.24%; Δ -0.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 1.39b > Net Income 772.8m |
| Net Debt (2.96b) to EBITDA (1.46b): 2.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (37.1m) vs 12m ago -0.56% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.78% > 18% (prev 23.16%; Δ 0.62% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 213.5% > 50% (prev 196.0%; Δ 17.46% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 1.39b - Total Current Liabilities 1.36b) / Total Assets 9.12b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 4.09b / Total Assets 9.12b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.00b / Avg Total Assets 8.75b) |
| D: 0.81 (Book Value of Equity 4.09b / Total Liabilities 5.03b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.11 = A |
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 245.8m/195.5m, Revenue 18.7b/16.4b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 23.16% / 23.78%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 18.7b / 16.4b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 772.8m - CFO 1.39b) / TA 9.12b) |
| Beneish M = -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 646.27 with a total of 412,481 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.62%, over one month by +2.74%, over three months by -21.32% and over the past year by +17.43%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 620.50 (which is 4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Caseys General Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CASY.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 790.5 | 22.3% |
P/E Trailing = 29.8291
P/E Forward = 29.0698
P/S = 1.2228
P/B = 5.3926
P/EG = 2.7014
Revenue TTM = 18.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.46b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 104.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 457.6m
Net Debt = 2.96b USD (calculated: Debt 3.35b - CCE 384.1m)
Enterprise Value = 25.8b USD (22.8b + Debt 3.35b - CCE 384.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 1.00b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 39.75x (Enterprise Value 25.8b / FCF TTM 648.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.52% (FCF TTM 648.9m / Enterprise Value 25.8b)
FCF Margin = 3.48% (FCF TTM 648.9m / Revenue TTM 18.7b)
Net Margin = 4.14% (Net Income TTM 772.8m / Revenue TTM 18.7b)
Gross Margin = 23.78% ((Revenue TTM 18.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.78% (prev 26.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.83 (Enterprise Value 25.8b / Total Assets 9.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 3.35b)
Taxrate = 23.15% (232.8m / 1.01b)
NOPAT = 769.1m (EBIT 1.00b * (1 - 23.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 1.39b / Total Current Liabilities 1.36b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 3.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.03 (Net Debt 2.96b / EBITDA 1.46b)
Debt / FCF = 4.56 (Net Debt 2.96b / FCF TTM 648.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.93b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.84% (Net Income 772.8m / Total Assets 9.12b)
RoE = 19.68% (Net Income TTM 772.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.93b)
RoCE = 16.00% (EBIT 1.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.93b + L.T.Debt 2.33b))
RoIC = 10.29% (NOPAT 769.1m / Invested Capital 7.48b)
WACC = 4.54% (E(22.8b)/V(26.2b) * Re(5.20%) + D(3.35b)/V(26.2b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -42.88 | Cagr: -0.14%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.08% ; FCFF base≈655.8m ; Y1≈644.3m ; Y5≈653.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 196.1 (EV 10.2b - Net Debt 2.96b = Equity 7.25b / Shares 37.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -2.59% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.00 | EPS CAGR: 18.16% | SUE: 2.79 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 97.13 | Revenue CAGR: 9.05% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=6.82 | Chg30d=+1.52% | Revisions=+67% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2027-01-31): EPS=3.98 | Chg30d=-2.46% | Revisions=-12% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2027-04-30): EPS=21.32 | Chg30d=-0.28% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=+11.3% | GrowthRev=+19.0%
EPS next Year (2028-04-30): EPS=23.41 | Chg30d=-0.61% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+9.8% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +46% (up=19, down=6)