CBRL Stock Analysis: Cracker Barrel Old Country | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.191m USD | 12M Return: -12.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 56.5M
EPS Trend: -86.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -28.8%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRL) operates a hybrid retail-restaurant concept in the United States, combining a casual dining restaurant with an attached gift shop under a single roof. The restaurant segment serves breakfast, lunch, and dinner through dine-in, pick-up, and delivery channels, while the retail segment sells decorative and functional items such as rocking chairs, seasonal gifts, apparel, toys, cookware, and packaged foods. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Lebanon, Tennessee.
CBRL is classified within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry under the broader Consumer Discretionary sector, making it one of the few publicly traded casual dining operators that derives a meaningful portion of revenue from on-site retail merchandise rather than solely from food and beverage sales.
- Restaurant traffic declines as discretionary spending weakens
- Menu price hikes offset food and labor cost inflation
- Gift shop retail sales pressured by cautious consumer spending
| Net Income: 26.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.66 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.67% < 20% (prev -4.17%; Δ -4.51% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 194.7m > Net Income 26.2m |
| Net Debt (1.68b) to EBITDA (162.1m): 10.34 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.50 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.5m) vs 12m ago 0.18% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.14% > 18% (prev 32.72%; Δ 1.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 157.9% > 50% (prev 164.1%; Δ -6.18% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM 29.0m / Interest Expense TTM 16.1m) |
| A: -0.14 (Total Current Assets 290.6m - Total Current Liabilities 580.1m) / Total Assets 2.09b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 453.5m / Total Assets 2.09b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 29.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.11b) |
| D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 465.5m / Total Liabilities 1.62b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.19 = B |
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 42.3m/53.1m, Revenue 3.34b/3.51b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 32.72% / 34.14%) |
| AQI: 1.14 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 3.34b / 3.51b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 26.2m - CFO 194.7m) / TA 2.09b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 55.10 with a total of 1,581,875 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.89%, over one month by +57.16%, over three months by +94.70% and over the past year by -12.51%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 51.60 (which is 6.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Cracker Barrel Old Country has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CBRL.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 39.5 | -28.3% |
P/E Trailing = 46.3478
P/E Forward = 106.383
P/S = 0.357
P/B = 2.5609
P/EG = 1.5613
Revenue TTM = 3.34b USD
EBIT TTM = 29.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 162.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 336.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 149.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 608.0m
Net Debt = 1.68b USD (calculated: Debt 1.70b - CCE 26.1m)
Enterprise Value = 2.87b USD (1.19b + Debt 1.70b - CCE 26.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.80 (Ebit TTM 29.0m / Interest Expense TTM 16.1m)
EV/FCF = 48.46x (Enterprise Value 2.87b / FCF TTM 59.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.06% (FCF TTM 59.2m / Enterprise Value 2.87b)
FCF Margin = 1.77% (FCF TTM 59.2m / Revenue TTM 3.34b)
Net Margin = 0.79% (Net Income TTM 26.2m / Revenue TTM 3.34b)
Gross Margin = 34.14% ((Revenue TTM 3.34b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.20b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.78% (prev 5.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 2.87b / Total Assets 2.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.95% (Interest Expense 16.1m / Debt 1.70b)
Taxrate = 15.18% (7.66m / 50.5m)
NOPAT = 24.6m (EBIT 29.0m * (1 - 15.18%))
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 290.6m / Total Current Liabilities 580.1m)
Debt / Equity = 3.66 (Debt 1.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 465.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.34 (Net Debt 1.68b / EBITDA 162.1m)
Debt / FCF = 28.33 (Net Debt 1.68b / FCF TTM 59.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 445.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.24% (Net Income 26.2m / Total Assets 2.09b)
RoE = 5.89% (Net Income TTM 26.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 445.4m)
RoCE = 3.70% (EBIT 29.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 445.4m + L.T.Debt 336.8m))
RoIC = 1.51% (NOPAT 24.6m / Invested Capital 1.63b)
WACC = 3.93% (E(1.19b)/V(2.89b) * Re(8.41%) + D(1.70b)/V(2.89b) * Rd(0.95%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 8.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 60.0 | Cagr: 0.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈45.5m ; Y1≈52.2m ; Y5≈76.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.16b - Net Debt 1.68b = -520.7m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -86.13 | EPS CAGR: -50.40% | SUE: 3.14 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -28.78 | Revenue CAGR: -0.51% | SUE: 3.06 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=-0.38 | Chg30d=-12.22% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=+81.73% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=-107.4% | GrowthRev=-5.5%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=0.67 | Chg30d=+25.32% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+386.1% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%