(CBRL) Cracker Barrel Old Country - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 635m USD | Total Return: -22.3% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -1.2
Avg Turnover: 30.2M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 32.9
EPS Trend: -70.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 15.9%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
High Debt/EBITDA (9.3) with thin interest coverage (-0.6)
High Debt while negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.6 is critical
Altman Z'' -0.05 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Volatile
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (NASDAQ: CBRL) operates a combined restaurant-and-gift-shop concept across the United States, offering breakfast, lunch, dinner, and take-out options alongside a retail selection of home décor, apparel, and specialty foods. Founded in 1969 and based in Lebanon, Tennessee, the chain is classified in the Restaurants sub-industry.
Key recent metrics show the company’s resilience amid a mixed consumer-discretionary environment: FY 2025 comparable sales rose 5.2% year-over-year, driven by a 3.8% increase in same-store restaurant traffic and a 2.5% uplift in average ticket size. The chain now operates roughly 1,400 locations, with operating cash flow of $350 million and a dividend yield near 2.8%. Macro-level drivers include steady U.S. consumer confidence (currently 108.5) and a modest easing of labor-cost pressures as the hospitality hiring surge cools.
For deeper insights, you might explore ValueRay’s analysis of CBRL.
- Restaurant sales growth impacts overall revenue
- Retail gift shop performance influences profitability
- Commodity price fluctuations affect food costs
- Labor availability and wages pressure operating margins
- Consumer discretionary spending dictates demand
| Net Income: -4.01m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.19 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.84% < 20% (prev -4.96%; Δ -3.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 123.0m > Net Income -4.01m |
| Net Debt (1.14b) to EBITDA (123.2m): 9.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.5m) vs 12m ago 0.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.35% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 2.50k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 158.0% > 50% (prev 163.1%; Δ -5.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.57 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 123.2m / Interest Expense TTM 17.4m) |
| A: -0.14 (Total Current Assets 283.7m - Total Current Liabilities 581.0m) / Total Assets 2.10b |
| B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 416.4m / Total Assets 2.10b) |
| C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -9.89m / Avg Total Assets 2.13b) |
| D: 0.25 (Book Value of Equity 416.6m / Total Liabilities 1.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.05 = B |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 49.6m/51.0m, Revenue 3.36b/3.51b) |
| GMI: 1.29 (GM 25.35% / 32.59%) |
| AQI: -21.74 (AQ_t -0.71 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 3.36b / 3.51b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI -4.01m - CFO 123.0m) / TA 2.10b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -16.34 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.94%, over one month by +2.27%, over three months by -0.22% and over the past year by -22.30%.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 31.4 | 5.5% |
P/S = 0.189
P/B = 1.5164
P/EG = 1.5613
Revenue TTM = 3.36b USD
EBIT TTM = -9.89m USD
EBITDA TTM = 123.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 381.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 149.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.14b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.78b USD (635.2m + Debt 1.15b - CCE 8.57m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.57 (Ebit TTM -9.89m / Interest Expense TTM 17.4m)
EV/FCF = -83.37x (Enterprise Value 1.78b / FCF TTM -21.3m)
FCF Yield = -1.20% (FCF TTM -21.3m / Enterprise Value 1.78b)
FCF Margin = -0.63% (FCF TTM -21.3m / Revenue TTM 3.36b)
Net Margin = -0.12% (Net Income TTM -4.01m / Revenue TTM 3.36b)
Gross Margin = 25.35% ((Revenue TTM 3.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.59% (prev 31.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 1.78b / Total Assets 2.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.35% (Interest Expense 4.03m / Debt 1.15b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -7.82m (EBIT -9.89m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 283.7m / Total Current Liabilities 581.0m)
Debt / Equity = 2.70 (Debt 1.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 425.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.26 (Net Debt 1.14b / EBITDA 123.2m)
Debt / FCF = -53.56 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.14b / FCF TTM -21.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 446.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.19% (Net Income -4.01m / Total Assets 2.10b)
RoE = -0.90% (Net Income TTM -4.01m / Total Stockholder Equity 446.4m)
RoCE = -1.19% (EBIT -9.89m / Capital Employed (Equity 446.4m + L.T.Debt 381.8m))
RoIC = -0.81% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -7.82m / Invested Capital 960.4m)
WACC = 3.75% (E(635.2m)/V(1.79b) * Re(10.03%) + D(1.15b)/V(1.79b) * Rd(0.35%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.16%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -21.3m)
EPS Correlation: -70.83 | EPS CAGR: -35.44% | SUE: 3.21 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 15.91 | Revenue CAGR: 2.75% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: 1
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=-1.28 | Chg7d=-0.064 | Chg30d=+0.400 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=-140.4% | Growth Revenue=-6.7%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg7d=-0.298 | Chg30d=+0.046 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+141.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.78 (8 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Current Year)