CBRL Stock Analysis: Cracker Barrel Old Country | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.156m USD | 12M Return: 35.4% | US22410J1060 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 52.4M
EPS Trend: -89.2%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: -50.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRL) is a U.S.-based operator of a hybrid restaurant-and-retail concept that combines casual dining with an attached country-themed gift shop. Founded in 1969 and headquartered in Lebanon, Tennessee, the company is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Restaurants sub-industry, making its sales sensitive to discretionary consumer spending trends.
The companys restaurants offer breakfast, lunch, and dinner through dine-in, pick-up, and delivery services, while its gift shops sell decorative and functional merchandise such as rocking chairs, seasonal gifts, apparel, toys, cookware, candies, and preserves. This dual revenue model-pairing a food-service business with a retail gift shop in a single location-is a distinctive format that diversifies income streams beyond restaurant sales alone.
- Same-store restaurant traffic declines amid casual dining competition
- Gift shop retail sales pressured by discretionary spending pullback
- Food and labor cost inflation compresses restaurant margins
| Net Income: 31.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.04% < 20% (prev -8.97%; Δ 2.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 206.2m > Net Income 31.7m |
| Net Debt (1.61b) to EBITDA (171.4m): 9.38 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.58 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (22.6m) vs 12m ago 0.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.27% > 18% (prev 32.95%; Δ -4.69% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 158.6% > 50% (prev 161.1%; Δ -2.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.91 > 6 (EBIT TTM 41.9m / Interest Expense TTM 14.4m) |
| A: -0.10 (Total Current Assets 275.9m - Total Current Liabilities 476.2m) / Total Assets 2.02b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 460.0m / Total Assets 2.02b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 41.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.09b) |
| D: 0.31 (Book Value of Equity 478.2m / Total Liabilities 1.54b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.55 = B |
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 38.1m/47.9m, Revenue 3.32b/3.48b) |
| GMI: 1.17 (GM 32.95% / 28.27%) |
| AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 3.32b / 3.48b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 31.7m - CFO 206.2m) / TA 2.02b) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 55.34 with a total of 965,228 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.00%, over one month by +4.89%, over three months by +14.48% and over the past year by +35.42%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 52.00 (which is 6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Cracker Barrel Old Country has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.89. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CBRL.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 50.7 | -8.4% |
P/E Trailing = 37.7518
P/E Forward = 48.5437
P/S = 0.3483
P/B = 2.1013
P/EG = 1.5613
Revenue TTM = 3.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 41.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 171.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 336.8m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 48.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 608.0m
Net Debt = 1.61b USD (calculated: Debt 1.64b - CCE 36.5m)
Enterprise Value = 2.76b USD (1.16b + Debt 1.64b - CCE 36.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.91 (Ebit TTM 41.9m / Interest Expense TTM 14.4m)
EV/FCF = 30.41x (Enterprise Value 2.76b / FCF TTM 90.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.29% (FCF TTM 90.9m / Enterprise Value 2.76b)
FCF Margin = 2.74% (FCF TTM 90.9m / Revenue TTM 3.32b)
Net Margin = 0.95% (Net Income TTM 31.7m / Revenue TTM 3.32b)
Gross Margin = 28.27% ((Revenue TTM 3.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.38b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.04% (prev 69.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.37 (Enterprise Value 2.76b / Total Assets 2.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.87% (Interest Expense 14.4m / Debt 1.64b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 33.1m (EBIT 41.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.58 (Total Current Assets 275.9m / Total Current Liabilities 476.2m)
Debt / Equity = 3.44 (Debt 1.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 478.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.38 (Net Debt 1.61b / EBITDA 171.4m)
Debt / FCF = 17.69 (Net Debt 1.61b / FCF TTM 90.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 449.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.51% (Net Income 31.7m / Total Assets 2.02b)
RoE = 7.05% (Net Income TTM 31.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 449.6m)
RoCE = 5.33% (EBIT 41.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 449.6m + L.T.Debt 336.8m))
RoIC = 2.12% (NOPAT 33.1m / Invested Capital 1.56b)
WACC = 3.58% (E(1.16b)/V(2.80b) * Re(7.70%) + D(1.64b)/V(2.80b) * Rd(0.87%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 71.00 | Cagr: 0.87%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈78.4m ; Y1≈89.9m ; Y5≈132.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 17.16 (EV 1.99b - Net Debt 1.61b = Equity 383.7m / Shares 22.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.22 | EPS CAGR: -54.17% | SUE: 2.45 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -50.34 | Revenue CAGR: -1.06% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+83.37% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2027-01-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=+19.24% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2027-07-31): EPS=2.01 | Chg30d=+82.90% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+151.8% | GrowthRev=+1.7%
EPS next Year (2028-07-31): EPS=2.12 | Chg30d=+26.48% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+5.5% | GrowthRev=+2.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56% (up=11, down=2)