(CEG) Constellation Energy - Overview
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 110.004m USD | Total Return: -5.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -7.2
Avg Turnover: 901M
EPS Trend: 23.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 15.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is a Baltimore-based energy producer and supplier operating across five major regional segments in the United States, including the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and ERCOT. The company maintains a diverse generation portfolio of approximately 31,676 megawatts, utilizing nuclear, natural gas, and renewable sources such as wind, solar, and hydroelectric power. Its customer base spans residential, commercial, industrial, and public sectors.
As a major player in the electric utilities sub-industry, Constellation Energy functions as a merchant power producer, meaning it often sells electricity into competitive wholesale markets rather than operating solely as a traditional rate-regulated utility. Nuclear assets form the core of its carbon-free generation strategy, providing a baseline of power that supports corporate and government sustainability mandates. Investors can evaluate the company’s long-term valuation metrics and growth drivers on ValueRay.
- Nuclear production tax credits provide stable baseline revenue through federal policy
- Data center power demand growth accelerates high-margin electricity sales contracts
- Carbon-free energy premiums drive corporate sustainability partnership revenue expansion
- Uranium fuel cost fluctuations impact long-term nuclear generation profit margins
- Nuclear plant life extensions increase long-term capital expenditure and capacity outlook
| Net Income: 2.32b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.75 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 15.97% < 20% (prev 16.68%; Δ -0.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 4.24b > Net Income 2.32b |
| Net Debt (5.24b) to EBITDA (5.79b): 0.91 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (314.0m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.61% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 1.74k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 47.46% > 50% (prev 44.53%; Δ 2.93% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.79b / Interest Expense TTM 511.0m) |
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 12.12b - Total Current Liabilities 7.94b) / Total Assets 57.25b |
| B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 5.90b / Total Assets 57.25b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 4.16b / Avg Total Assets 55.09b) |
| D: 0.34 (Book Value of Equity 14.52b / Total Liabilities 42.40b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.68 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 4.27b/3.72b, Revenue 26.15b/23.57b) |
| GMI: 1.44 (GM 17.61% / 25.39%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 26.15b / 23.57b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 2.32b - CFO 4.24b) / TA 57.25b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.86%, over one month by -9.20%, over three months by -11.56% and over the past year by -5.43%.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 367.7 | 37.6% |
P/E Forward = 26.5957
P/S = 4.3083
P/B = 7.5776
P/EG = 3.7418
Revenue TTM = 26.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.16b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.25b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.74b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.24b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 115.25b USD (110.00b + Debt 8.99b - CCE 3.75b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.15 (Ebit TTM 4.16b / Interest Expense TTM 511.0m)
EV/FCF = 89.48x (Enterprise Value 115.25b / FCF TTM 1.29b)
FCF Yield = 1.12% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Enterprise Value 115.25b)
FCF Margin = 4.93% (FCF TTM 1.29b / Revenue TTM 26.15b)
Net Margin = 8.87% (Net Income TTM 2.32b / Revenue TTM 26.15b)
Gross Margin = 17.61% ((Revenue TTM 26.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.54b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.54% (prev 23.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.01 (Enterprise Value 115.25b / Total Assets 57.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.26% (Interest Expense 113.0m / Debt 8.99b)
Taxrate = 38.15% (264.0m / 692.0m)
NOPAT = 2.57b (EBIT 4.16b * (1 - 38.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 12.12b / Total Current Liabilities 7.94b)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 8.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (Net Debt 5.24b / EBITDA 5.79b)
Debt / FCF = 4.07 (Net Debt 5.24b / FCF TTM 1.29b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.21% (Net Income 2.32b / Total Assets 57.25b)
RoE = 16.78% (Net Income TTM 2.32b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.82b)
RoCE = 19.76% (EBIT 4.16b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.82b + L.T.Debt 7.25b))
RoIC = 11.45% (NOPAT 2.57b / Invested Capital 22.49b)
WACC = 11.29% (E(110.00b)/V(119.00b) * Re(12.15%) + D(8.99b)/V(119.00b) * Rd(1.26%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 12.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 64.51% ; FCFF base≈1.29b ; Y1≈1.13b ; Y5≈912.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 13.93 (EV 10.29b - Net Debt 5.24b = Equity 5.05b / Shares 362.3m; r=11.29% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 23.95 | EPS CAGR: -40.47% | SUE: -3.25 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 15.73 | Revenue CAGR: 2.23% | SUE: 0.80 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.53 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.62 | Chg30d=+0.21% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+23.7% | GrowthRev=+25.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.59 | Chg30d=-2.23% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+17.0% | GrowthRev=+5.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%