CFFN Stock Analysis: Capitol Federal Financial | NASDAQ
Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.052m USD | 12M Return: 39.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.45M
EPS Trend: 80.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 68.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ: CFFN) is a Topeka, Kansas-based bank holding company founded in 1893 that operates Capitol Federal Savings Bank, a U.S. retail bank offering a full suite of deposit products-including savings, money market, checking, certificates of deposit, and retirement accounts-alongside a diversified lending portfolio covering one- to four-family residential real estate, commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, construction, and consumer loans such as home equity lines, home improvement, vehicle, and savings-secured loans. The company supplements its core banking franchise with mobile, telephone, and online banking channels, bill payment, a call center, mortgage lending, and an investment portfolio of securities and mortgage-backed securities.
As a savings bank holding company classified under the Financials sector and Regional Banks sub-industry, Capitol Federals business model is anchored in traditional community banking, with a notable concentration in residential mortgage lending-a typical characteristic of the thrift industry, which historically benefited from a more favorable regulatory framework under the former Office of Thrift Supervision.
- Net interest margin compresses as deposit costs outpace asset yields
- Mortgage origination volume softens amid housing affordability headwinds
- Special dividend payouts continue as capital exceeds regulatory requirements
| Net Income: 77.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -36.56% < 20% (prev -1.26k%; Δ 1.22k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 72.8m > Net Income 77.6m |
| Net Debt (571.4m) to EBITDA (98.8m): 5.78 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.09 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (126.6m) vs 12m ago -2.61% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 49.33% > 18% (prev 45.06%; Δ 4.27% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 4.44% > 50% (prev 4.16%; Δ 0.29% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 95.0m / Interest Expense TTM 216.4m) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 16.3m - Total Current Liabilities 175.0m) / Total Assets 9.83b |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -73.8m / Total Assets 9.83b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 95.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.77b) |
| D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 1.03b / Total Liabilities 8.80b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.06 = B |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 8.11b/1.40m, Revenue 434.2m/404.0m) |
| GMI: 0.91 (GM 45.06% / 49.33%) |
| AQI: 1.15 (AQ_t 0.99 / AQ_t-1 0.86) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 434.2m / 404.0m) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 77.6m - CFO 72.8m) / TA 9.83b) |
| Beneish M = -1.31 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.37 with a total of 634,380 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.06%, over one month by +5.95%, over three months by +14.07% and over the past year by +39.88%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.10 (which is 3.2% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Capitol Federal Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CFFN.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 8.3 | -1.4% |
P/E Trailing = 14.1
P/E Forward = 20.4499
P/S = 4.8654
P/B = 1.0241
P/EG = 4.0875
Revenue TTM = 434.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 95.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 98.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.71b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 175.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.71b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.06m
Net Debt = 571.4m USD (calculated: Debt 1.71b - CCE 1.14b)
Enterprise Value = 1.62b USD (1.05b + Debt 1.71b - CCE 1.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.44 (Ebit TTM 95.0m / Interest Expense TTM 216.4m)
EV/FCF = 24.38x (Enterprise Value 1.62b / FCF TTM 66.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.10% (FCF TTM 66.6m / Enterprise Value 1.62b)
FCF Margin = 15.34% (FCF TTM 66.6m / Revenue TTM 434.2m)
Net Margin = 17.88% (Net Income TTM 77.6m / Revenue TTM 434.2m)
Gross Margin = 49.33% ((Revenue TTM 434.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 220.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.31% (prev 49.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.17 (Enterprise Value 1.62b / Total Assets 9.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.67% (Interest Expense 216.4m / Debt 1.71b)
Taxrate = 18.23% (17.3m / 95.0m)
NOPAT = 77.6m (EBIT 95.0m * (1 - 18.23%))
Current Ratio = 0.09 (Total Current Assets 16.3m / Total Current Liabilities 175.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.67 (Debt 1.71b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.78 (Net Debt 571.4m / EBITDA 98.8m)
Debt / FCF = 8.58 (Net Debt 571.4m / FCF TTM 66.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.79% (Net Income 77.6m / Total Assets 9.83b)
RoE = 7.46% (Net Income TTM 77.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.04b)
RoCE = 3.46% (EBIT 95.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.04b + L.T.Debt 1.71b))
RoIC = 0.79% (NOPAT 77.6m / Invested Capital 9.81b)
WACC = 9.43% (E(1.05b)/V(2.76b) * Re(7.91%) + D(1.71b)/V(2.76b) * Rd(12.67%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 7.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -41.40 | Cagr: -1.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.56% ; FCFF base≈52.3m ; Y1≈59.9m ; Y5≈88.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.37 (EV 1.12b - Net Debt 571.4m = Equity 544.1m / Shares 124.4m; r=9.43% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 80.32 | EPS CAGR: 23.08% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 68.16 | Revenue CAGR: 36.19% | SUE: 0.71 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=+3.03% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=0.66 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+26.9% | GrowthRev=+15.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=0.72 | Chg30d=-2.04% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+9.1% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)