(CFLT) Confluent - Ratings and Ratios
Data Streaming, Cloud Software, Connectors, Streaming Services, Governance Suite
CFLT EPS (Earnings per Share)
CFLT Revenue
Description: CFLT Confluent
Confluent Inc (NASDAQ:CFLT) is a leading provider of a data streaming platform that enables customers to connect their applications, systems, and data layers. The companys platform, comprising Confluent Cloud and Confluent Platform, allows businesses to manage and process real-time data streams, serving various industries such as banking, retail, manufacturing, and technology.
Key aspects of Confluents offering include connectors for existing applications, Apache Flink services for creating reusable data streams, WarpStream for managed streaming services, and stream governance for data governance and regulatory compliance. The company also provides professional services, education, and certification programs to support its customers. With a strong presence in the application software industry, Confluent has demonstrated its ability to cater to diverse business needs.
From a financial perspective, Confluents growth prospects are reflected in its forward P/E ratio of 69.44, indicating high expectations for future earnings growth. However, the companys current Return on Equity (RoE) stands at -33.70, suggesting significant investment in growth initiatives. To gauge Confluents performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth rate, customer acquisition cost, and customer retention rate can be crucial. For instance, a high revenue growth rate would indicate successful adoption of its data streaming platform, while a low customer acquisition cost and high customer retention rate would suggest effective sales and support strategies.
Other relevant KPIs for Confluent include its gross margin, operating expenses as a percentage of revenue, and cash flow from operations. A high gross margin would indicate the companys ability to maintain pricing power and efficient delivery of its services. Monitoring these KPIs can provide insights into Confluents operational efficiency, competitive positioning, and potential for long-term growth.
CFLT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,898m |
| Sub-Industry | Application Software |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-06-24 |
CFLT Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -34.0% |
| Fundamental | 43.4% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -20.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.31 of 5 |
CFLT Dividends
Currently no dividends paidCFLT Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -54.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -37.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -50.1% |
| CAGR 5y | -6.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.11 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.24 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.51 |
| Alpha | 0.13 |
| Beta | 0.000 |
| Volatility | 69.12% |
| Current Volume | 5884k |
| Average Volume 20d | 6981.4k |
| Stop Loss | 18.4 (-5.8%) |
| Signal | 0.28 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-311.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 63.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 171.7% (prev 201.3%; Δ -29.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 42.2m > Net Income -311.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.98 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (341.2m) change vs 12m ago 6.82% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 74.22% (prev 72.30%; Δ 1.92pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 39.84% (prev 34.23%; Δ 5.60pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| error: Interest Coverage Ratio cannot be calculated (needs EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
Altman Z'' -0.49
| (A) 0.65 = (Total Current Assets 2.44b - Total Current Liabilities 612.9m) / Total Assets 2.82b |
| (B) -0.76 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.14b / Total Assets 2.82b |
| (C) -0.15 = EBIT TTM -397.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.67b |
| (D) -1.21 = Book Value of Equity -2.13b / Total Liabilities 1.75b |
| Total Rating: -0.49 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.36
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.45% = 0.23 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.58% = 0.64 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.04 = 1.99 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.97 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -24.21)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -31.29% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.50% = 7.46 |
| 9. EPS Trend 70.74% = 3.54 |
What is the price of CFLT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.15%, over one month by +9.29%, over three months by -17.49% and over the past year by -5.88%.
Is Confluent a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CFLT is around 16.71 USD . This means that CFLT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -14.44%.
Is CFLT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 20
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CFLT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 24.7 | 26.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 24.7 | 26.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 19 | -2.6% |
Last update: 2025-09-12 04:33
CFLT Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.94b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 41.4938
P/S = 6.4784
P/B = 6.4854
P/EG = 0.3318
Beta = 0.97
Revenue TTM = 1.06b USD
EBIT TTM = -397.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -371.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.09b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.25m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.10b USD (Calculated: Short Term 9.25m + Long Term 1.09b)
Net Debt = 812.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.06b USD (6.90b + Debt 1.10b - CCE 1.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -397.1m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
FCF Yield = 0.45% (FCF TTM 27.5m / Enterprise Value 6.06b)
FCF Margin = 2.58% (FCF TTM 27.5m / Revenue TTM 1.06b)
Net Margin = -29.27% (Net Income TTM -311.7m / Revenue TTM 1.06b)
Gross Margin = 74.22% ((Revenue TTM 1.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 274.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -2.85 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 6.06b / Book Value Of Equity -2.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.08% (Interest Expense 900.0k / Debt 1.10b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -397.1m (EBIT -397.1m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 3.98 (Total Current Assets 2.44b / Total Current Liabilities 612.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.04 (Debt 1.10b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.97 (Net Debt 812.2m / EBITDA -371.2m)
Debt / FCF = 40.16 (Debt 1.10b / FCF TTM 27.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 996.1m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -11.06% (Net Income -311.7m, Total Assets 2.82b )
RoE = -31.29% (Net Income TTM -311.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 996.1m)
RoCE = -19.00% (Ebit -397.1m / (Equity 996.1m + L.T.Debt 1.09b))
RoIC = -19.01% (NOPAT -397.1m / Invested Capital 2.09b)
WACC = 5.20% (E(6.90b)/V(8.00b) * Re(6.02%)) + (D(1.10b)/V(8.00b) * Rd(0.08%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.00 | Cagr: 1.74%
Discount Rate = 6.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈27.5m ; Y1≈18.0m ; Y5≈8.25m
Fair Price DCF = 0.56 (DCF Value 162.1m / Shares Outstanding 291.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 70.74 | EPS CAGR: 28.01% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.50 | Revenue CAGR: 25.33% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for CFLT Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle