(CG) Carlyle - Ratings and Ratios
Private Equity, Real Assets, Credit, Fund
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.37% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.27% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.78% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 35.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 57.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 |
| Alpha | -4.93 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.77 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | 1.704 |
| Beta Downside | 2.141 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.53% |
| Mean DD | 11.67% |
| Median DD | 11.17% |
Description: CG Carlyle December 19, 2025
The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CG) is a global investment firm that operates across four primary platforms – Corporate Private Equity, Real Assets, Global Market Strategies, and Solutions – deploying capital through both direct investments and fund-of-fund structures. Its direct-investment mandate spans a wide array of transaction types, including management-led leveraged buyouts, strategic minority stakes, structured credit, distressed assets, and venture-stage financings, targeting sectors ranging from industrial manufacturing and agribusiness to fintech, aerospace, and healthcare.
As of FY 2023, Carlyle reported approximately $426 billion in assets under management (AUM), reflecting a 12 % YoY increase driven largely by strong fundraising in its Real Assets and Private Equity segments. The firm’s revenue mix is roughly 55 % fee-based (management and performance fees) and 45 % investment income, with net income margins hovering around 15 % after adjusting for one-time gains. Key macro drivers for Carlyle’s pipeline include the current low-interest-rate environment that supports leveraged buyouts, heightened corporate-level cash generation fueling divestitures, and growing institutional demand for ESG-aligned infrastructure assets, especially in renewable energy and logistics.
For a deeper, data-rich view of Carlyle’s valuation dynamics and peer comparisons, you may find it worthwhile to explore the analytics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (661.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 221.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -56.75% (prev 83.71%; Δ -140.5pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO -2.43b <= Net Income 661.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.40b) to EBITDA (1.15b) ratio: 8.16 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (376.5m) change vs 12m ago 3.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 80.96% (prev 76.77%; Δ 4.19pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 14.85% (prev 12.98%; Δ 1.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.37 (EBITDA TTM 1.15b / Interest Expense TTM 702.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.03
| (A) -0.08 = (Total Current Assets 4.26b - Total Current Liabilities 6.35b) / Total Assets 27.06b |
| (B) 0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.62b / Total Assets 27.06b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 962.8m / Avg Total Assets 24.86b |
| (D) 0.08 = Book Value of Equity 1.62b / Total Liabilities 20.21b |
| Total Rating: 0.03 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 32.37
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -8.00% |
| 3. FCF Margin -68.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.25 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 8.16 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.70)% |
| 7. RoE 11.67% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -3.01% |
| 9. EPS Trend -37.59% |
What is the price of CG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.08%, over one month by +9.34%, over three months by -5.09% and over the past year by +20.20%.
Is CG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 66.3 | 12.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 66.3 | 12.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 68.9 | 16.6% |
CG Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
P/E Trailing = 34.264
P/E Forward = 12.2399
P/S = 6.876
P/B = 3.9116
P/EG = 0.838
Beta = 2.055
Revenue TTM = 3.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 962.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.54b USD (estimated: total debt 12.66b - short term 118.7m)
Short Term Debt = 118.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.66b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 31.46b USD (22.06b + Debt 12.66b - CCE 3.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.37 (Ebit TTM 962.8m / Interest Expense TTM 702.9m)
FCF Yield = -8.00% (FCF TTM -2.52b / Enterprise Value 31.46b)
FCF Margin = -68.19% (FCF TTM -2.52b / Revenue TTM 3.69b)
Net Margin = 17.92% (Net Income TTM 661.5m / Revenue TTM 3.69b)
Gross Margin = 80.96% ((Revenue TTM 3.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 702.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.47% (prev 83.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 31.46b / Total Assets 27.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.64% (Interest Expense 207.1m / Debt 12.66b)
Taxrate = -31.12% (negative due to tax credits) (-26.7m / 85.8m)
NOPAT = 1.26b (EBIT 962.8m * (1 - -31.12%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 4.26b / Total Current Liabilities 6.35b)
Debt / Equity = 2.25 (Debt 12.66b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.62b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.16 (Net Debt 9.40b / EBITDA 1.15b)
Debt / FCF = -3.74 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 9.40b / FCF TTM -2.52b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.44% (Net Income 661.5m / Total Assets 27.06b)
RoE = 11.67% (Net Income TTM 661.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.67b)
RoCE = 5.29% (EBIT 962.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.67b + L.T.Debt 12.54b))
RoIC = 7.89% (NOPAT 1.26b / Invested Capital 16.01b)
WACC = 8.59% (E(22.06b)/V(34.72b) * Re(12.29%) + D(12.66b)/V(34.72b) * Rd(1.64%) * (1-Tc(-0.31)))
Discount Rate = 12.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.15%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.52b)
EPS Correlation: -37.59 | EPS CAGR: -44.48% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -3.01 | Revenue CAGR: -14.21% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.80 | Chg30d=+0.027 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+18.2% | Growth Revenue=+24.6%
Additional Sources for CG Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle