(CGON) CG Oncology, Common stock - Ratings and Ratios
Oncolytic Immunotherapy, Cretostimogene, BCG-Unresponsive NMIBC, Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 66.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 101% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.60 |
| Alpha | 6.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.333 |
| Beta | 1.499 |
| Beta Downside | 1.447 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.47% |
| Mean DD | 31.13% |
| Median DD | 30.67% |
Description: CGON CG Oncology, Common stock November 11, 2025
CG Oncology, Inc. (NASDAQ: CGON) is a late-stage clinical biopharma focused on bladder-sparing immunotherapies for bladder cancer, a market valued at roughly $5 billion in the United States with limited treatment options for BCG-unresponsive non-muscle invasive disease.
The company’s pipeline includes:
- BOND-003 – a phase 3 trial targeting high-risk BCG-unresponsive NMIBC.
- CORE-001 – phase 2 evaluating cretostimogene plus pembrolizumab in the same patient cohort.
- CORE-002 – phase 2 testing cretostimogene with nivolumab for muscle-invasive bladder cancer.
- PIVOT-006 – a cretostimogene monotherapy in phase 3 for intermediate-risk NMIBC after TURBT, developed under a collaboration with Merck.
- CORE-008 – phase 2 for high-risk NMIBC, enrolling both BCG-exposed and BCG-naïve patients.
Founded in 2010 (originally Cold Genesys) and headquartered in Irvine, California, CG Oncology rebranded in June 2020. As of the latest quarterly filing, the firm reported approximately $70 million of cash and marketable securities, providing a runway into 2025, while the broader biotech sector benefits from sustained R&D tax credits and FDA’s accelerated-approval pathways for immuno-oncology assets.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of CGON’s risk-adjusted upside, you may find the ValueRay platform’s forward-looking valuation model useful.
CGON Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,879m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2024-01-25 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 12.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.40 of 5 |
CGON Dividends
Currently no dividends paidCGON Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 5.13% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.08 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.16 |
| Current Volume | 575.6k |
| Average Volume | 806.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-128.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 33.1k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.17pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 116.6k% (prev 84.9k%; Δ 31.7kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO -93.8m > Net Income -128.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 22.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (76.2m) change vs 12m ago 14.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 71.69% (prev -12.6k%; Δ 12.6kpp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 0.09% (prev 0.12%; Δ -0.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -5.55 (EBITDA TTM -157.2m / Interest Expense TTM 19.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -6.43
| (A) 0.92 = (Total Current Assets 673.0m - Total Current Liabilities 30.4m) / Total Assets 701.4m |
| (B) -0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -293.9m / Total Assets 701.4m |
| (C) -0.17 = EBIT TTM -108.5m / Avg Total Assets 632.9m |
| (D) -9.45 = Book Value of Equity -293.9m / Total Liabilities 31.1m |
| Total Rating: -6.43 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.74
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -4.24% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.00 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.09 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -24.50)% |
| 7. RoE -19.37% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 15.38% |
| 9. EPS Trend -85.86% |
What is the price of CGON shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.81%, over one month by -6.61%, over three months by +59.46% and over the past year by +26.27%.
Is CGON a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CGON price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 68.1 | 67.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 68.1 | 67.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 45.8 | 12.4% |
CGON Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/S = 5225.2427
P/B = 4.4848
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 551.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -108.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -157.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 994.0k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 288.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 994.0k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -13.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.22b USD (2.88b + Debt 994.0k - CCE 661.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.55 (Ebit TTM -108.5m / Interest Expense TTM 19.6m)
FCF Yield = -4.24% (FCF TTM -94.1m / Enterprise Value 2.22b)
FCF Margin = -17.1k% (FCF TTM -94.1m / Revenue TTM 551.0k)
Net Margin = -23.2k% (Net Income TTM -128.1m / Revenue TTM 551.0k)
Gross Margin = 71.69% ((Revenue TTM 551.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 156.0k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 100.0%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.16 (Enterprise Value 2.22b / Total Assets 701.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1968 % (Interest Expense 19.6m / Debt 994.0k)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -85.7m (EBIT -108.5m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 22.15 (Total Current Assets 673.0m / Total Current Liabilities 30.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 994.0k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 670.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.09 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -13.6m / EBITDA -157.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -13.6m / FCF TTM -94.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 661.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -18.26% (Net Income -128.1m / Total Assets 701.4m)
RoE = -19.37% (Net Income TTM -128.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 661.3m)
RoCE = -16.38% (EBIT -108.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 661.3m + L.T.Debt 994.0k))
RoIC = -12.96% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -85.7m / Invested Capital 661.3m)
WACC = 11.54% (E(2.88b)/V(2.88b) * Re(11.54%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 6.95%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -94.1m)
EPS Correlation: -85.86 | EPS CAGR: -66.85% | SUE: -3.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 15.38 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: -1.26 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for CGON Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle