(CHA) Chagee Holdings American - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.820m USD | Total Return: -65.6% in 12m

Milk Tea, Raw Materials, Teahouse Equipment, Packaging
Total Rating 25
Safety 72
Buy Signal -0.55
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: +3.3
Market Cap: 1.82B
Avg Turnover: 4.59M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility45.9%
VaR 5th Pctl7.76%
VaR vs Median2.65%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.84
Rel. Str. IBD3
Rel. Str. Peer Group12.2
Character TTM
Beta0.686
Beta Downside1.410
Hurst Exponent0.543
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD72.61%
CAGR/Max DD-0.81
CAGR/Mean DD-1.21
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CHA over the last years for every Quarter: "2022-12": null, "2023-03": null, "2023-06": null, "2023-09": null, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": 14.64, "2025-03": 3.92, "2025-06": 3.3, "2025-09": 2.57, "2025-12": 0.49, "2026-03": 0.0211,
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CHA over the last years for every Quarter: 2022-12: 215.633, 2023-03: 417.027, 2023-06: 732.385, 2023-09: 1443.711, 2023-12: 2047.048, 2024-03: 2506.571, 2024-06: 3023.337, 2024-09: 3541.248, 2024-12: 3334.426, 2025-03: 3392.711, 2025-06: 3331.881, 2025-09: 3208.33, 2025-12: 2974.485, 2026-03: 2933.363198,
Rev. CAGR: 66.78%
Rev. Trend: 88.3%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: CHA Chagee Holdings American

Chagee Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: CHA) is a Shanghai-based beverage provider that operates and franchises specialized teahouses under the CHAGEE brand. Since its inception in 2017, the company has expanded its footprint across the Peoples Republic of China and into international markets, utilizing a hybrid model of direct ownership and franchise partnerships.

The business generates revenue through the sale of tea drinks and the distribution of essential raw materials, packaging, and teahouse equipment to its network of operators. Within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, Chagee competes in the rapidly growing new-style tea segment, which emphasizes premium ingredients and modernized supply chains to differentiate from traditional tea houses. The company integrates digital operations through online platforms to manage high-volume ordering and customer loyalty programs.

For a deeper analysis of the companys competitive positioning, consider exploring the data available on ValueRay. Investors should note that the Chinese beverage market is characterized by high fragmentation and intense competition among regional and national chains.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Domestic expansion of franchised teahouses drives high-margin recurring royalty revenue
  • Fluctuating raw material and packaging costs impact consolidated gross profit margins
  • International market penetration scales brand presence and diversifies geographical revenue streams
  • Chinese consumer spending patterns directly influence same-store sales growth performance
  • Regulatory oversight of food safety and franchise operations affects long-term valuation
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 520.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -23.61 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 48.24% < 20% (prev 28.91%; Δ 19.32% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 1.44b > Net Income 520.4m
Net Debt (-6.72b) to EBITDA (637.8m): -10.54 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.11 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (192.7m) vs 12m ago 4.99% < -2%
Gross Margin: 43.86% > 18% (prev 0.47%; Δ 4.34k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 133.0% > 50% (prev 183.3%; Δ -50.29% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 5.92
A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 8.86b - Total Current Liabilities 2.85b) / Total Assets 11.5b
B: 0.34 (Retained Earnings 3.89b / Total Assets 11.5b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 491.4m / Avg Total Assets 9.36b)
D: 0.98 (Book Value of Equity 3.82b / Total Liabilities 3.89b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.92 = AAA
Beneish M -2.79
DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 148.1m/132.7m, Revenue 12.4b/13.3b)
GMI: 1.06 (GM 43.86% / 46.61%)
AQI: 1.25 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.05)
SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 12.4b / 13.3b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 520.4m - CFO 1.44b) / TA 11.5b)
Beneish M = -2.79 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of CHA shares?

As of May 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.97 with a total of 410,588 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.05%, over one month by -11.17%, over three months by -11.17% and over the past year by -65.58%.

Is CHA a buy, sell or hold?

Chagee Holdings American has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the CHA price?
Analysts Target Price 16.8 68.6%
Chagee Holdings American (CHA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 May 2026
Market Cap CNY = 12.4b (1.82b USD * 6.7948 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 10.4835
P/S = 0.141
P/B = 1.6915
Revenue TTM = 12.4b CNY
EBIT TTM = 491.4m CNY
EBITDA TTM = 637.8m CNY
Long Term Debt = 850.5m CNY (estimated: total debt 1.28b - short term 424.6m)
Short Term Debt = 424.6m CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.28b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 1.27b already included)
Net Debt = -6.72b CNY (calculated: Debt 1.28b - CCE 8.00b)
Enterprise Value = 5.64b CNY (12.4b + Debt 1.28b - CCE 8.00b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 491.4m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 4.74x (Enterprise Value 5.64b / FCF TTM 1.19b)
FCF Yield = 21.12% (FCF TTM 1.19b / Enterprise Value 5.64b)
FCF Margin = 9.57% (FCF TTM 1.19b / Revenue TTM 12.4b)
Net Margin = 4.18% (Net Income TTM 520.4m / Revenue TTM 12.4b)
Gross Margin = 43.86% ((Revenue TTM 12.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.51% (prev 40.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 5.64b / Total Assets 11.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.28b)
Taxrate = 26.68% (431.7m / 1.62b)
NOPAT = 360.3m (EBIT 491.4m * (1 - 26.68%))
Current Ratio = 3.11 (Total Current Assets 8.86b / Total Current Liabilities 2.85b)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 1.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.35b)
Debt / EBITDA = -10.54 (Net Debt -6.72b / EBITDA 637.8m)
Debt / FCF = -5.64 (Net Debt -6.72b / FCF TTM 1.19b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.78b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.56% (Net Income 520.4m / Total Assets 11.5b)
RoE = 6.69% (Net Income TTM 520.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.78b)
RoCE = 5.69% (EBIT 491.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.78b + L.T.Debt 850.5m))
RoIC = 3.98% (NOPAT 360.3m / Invested Capital 9.04b)
WACC = 7.61% (E(12.4b)/V(13.6b) * Re(8.40%) + D(1.28b)/V(13.6b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 33.33 | Cagr: 97.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈1.70b ; Y1≈1.49b ; Y5≈1.21b
[DCF] Fair Price = 207.8 (EV 19.4b - Net Debt -6.72b = Equity 26.1b / Shares 125.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.26 | Revenue CAGR: 66.78% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.96 | Chg30d=+18.12% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.94 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-1.3% | GrowthRev=+5.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.24 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+23.2% | GrowthRev=+19.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%