(CHEF) The Chefs Warehouse - Ratings and Ratios
Specialty Food, Center-Of-The-Plate, Meat, Dairy, Seafood
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 57.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.27% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.62 |
| Alpha | 7.01 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.526 |
| Beta | 0.717 |
| Beta Downside | 0.938 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.38% |
| Mean DD | 12.25% |
| Median DD | 8.54% |
Description: CHEF The Chefs Warehouse January 12, 2026
The Chefs Warehouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHEF) distributes specialty food and center-of-the-plate products across the United States, Canada, and the Middle East, serving independent restaurants, fine-dining venues, hotels, culinary schools, and specialty retailers. Its catalog includes artisan charcuterie, specialty cheeses, truffles, caviar, premium oils, custom-cut beef, hormone-free poultry, and a broadline line of staples such as butter, eggs, and flour.
Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Ridgefield, Connecticut, CHEF operates a B2B distribution network while also selling center-of-the-plate items directly to consumers via mail order and e-commerce. The company’s revenue for FY 2023 was approximately $1.1 billion, reflecting a 5 % year-over-year increase driven by strong demand for premium foodservice ingredients as the restaurant sector rebounds from pandemic-related disruptions.
Key performance indicators show an inventory turnover of roughly 4.2×, indicating efficient stock management, while EBITDA margin hovered near 3 %, modest but improving as the firm leverages higher-margin specialty lines. Macro-level drivers include rising consumer spending on premium dining experiences, persistent inflationary pressure on commodity inputs, and supply-chain constraints that favor distributors with diversified sourcing.
For a deeper quantitative view of CHEF’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard worth checking.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (74.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 242.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 11.46% (prev 9.79%; Δ 1.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 128.4m > Net Income 74.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (889.1m) to EBITDA (222.9m) ratio: 3.99 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.14 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.22% (prev 24.03%; Δ 0.19pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 219.0% (prev 209.2%; Δ 9.78pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.41 (EBITDA TTM 222.9m / Interest Expense TTM 43.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.57
| (A) 0.24 = (Total Current Assets 869.0m - Total Current Liabilities 405.7m) / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 180.0m / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 148.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.84b |
| (D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 177.2m / Total Liabilities 1.34b |
| Total Rating: 2.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.92
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.52% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.14% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.65 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.99 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.47)% |
| 7. RoE 13.48% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 90.98% |
| 9. EPS Trend 1.37% |
What is the price of CHEF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.07%, over one month by -2.53%, over three months by +5.87% and over the past year by +21.54%.
Is CHEF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CHEF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 76.1 | 24.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 76.1 | 24.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 68.5 | 12.3% |
CHEF Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 28.49
P/S = 0.6294
P/B = 4.402
P/EG = 3.2
Beta = 1.298
Revenue TTM = 4.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 148.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 222.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 711.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 45.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 954.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 889.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.43b USD (2.54b + Debt 954.1m - CCE 65.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 148.3m / Interest Expense TTM 43.5m)
EV/FCF = 39.61x (Enterprise Value 3.43b / FCF TTM 86.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.52% (FCF TTM 86.6m / Enterprise Value 3.43b)
FCF Margin = 2.14% (FCF TTM 86.6m / Revenue TTM 4.04b)
Net Margin = 1.85% (Net Income TTM 74.6m / Revenue TTM 4.04b)
Gross Margin = 24.22% ((Revenue TTM 4.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.20% (prev 24.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.79 (Enterprise Value 3.43b / Total Assets 1.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 10.5m / Debt 954.1m)
Taxrate = 32.58% (9.25m / 28.4m)
NOPAT = 100.0m (EBIT 148.3m * (1 - 32.58%))
Current Ratio = 2.14 (Total Current Assets 869.0m / Total Current Liabilities 405.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.65 (Debt 954.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 576.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.99 (Net Debt 889.1m / EBITDA 222.9m)
Debt / FCF = 10.26 (Net Debt 889.1m / FCF TTM 86.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 553.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.04% (Net Income 74.6m / Total Assets 1.92b)
RoE = 13.48% (Net Income TTM 74.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 553.4m)
RoCE = 11.73% (EBIT 148.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 553.4m + L.T.Debt 711.7m))
RoIC = 7.90% (NOPAT 100.0m / Invested Capital 1.27b)
WACC = 6.43% (E(2.54b)/V(3.50b) * Re(8.56%) + D(954.1m)/V(3.50b) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.47% ; FCFF base≈75.3m ; Y1≈85.1m ; Y5≈115.3m
Fair Price DCF = 48.99 (EV 2.88b - Net Debt 889.1m = Equity 1.99b / Shares 40.7m; r=6.43% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.26% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 1.37 | EPS CAGR: -29.10% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.98 | Revenue CAGR: 17.48% | SUE: 1.98 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.28 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.12 | Chg30d=+0.021 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=+7.2%
Additional Sources for CHEF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle