(CHEF) The Chefs Warehouse - Ratings and Ratios
Specialty Foods, Center-Of-The-Plate, Broadline, Direct-To-Consumer
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 58.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.93 |
| Alpha | 30.89 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.508 |
| Beta | 0.720 |
| Beta Downside | 1.001 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.45% |
| Mean DD | 12.37% |
| Median DD | 8.66% |
Description: CHEF The Chefs Warehouse November 09, 2025
The Chefs Warehouse, Inc. (NASDAQ: CHEF) distributes specialty and center-of-the-plate food products across the United States, Canada, and the Middle East, serving independent restaurants, fine-dining venues, hotels, culinary schools, and specialty retailers, while also selling directly to consumers via mail order and e-commerce.
In FY 2023 the company reported net revenue of approximately $1.2 billion, with a gross margin of roughly 30 %-a level that reflects the premium pricing power of its artisan and hormone-free protein lines. Same-store sales in the restaurant-distribution segment grew about 5 % year-over-year, indicating modest demand resilience despite broader food-service headwinds.
Key industry drivers include the continued expansion of the U.S. specialty-food market (projected CAGR ≈ 6 % through 2028) and the acceleration of B2C e-commerce penetration in food distribution, which has been growing at double-digit rates since the pandemic. Supply-chain volatility in protein sourcing and rising input costs for oils and dairy remain material risk factors that can compress margins.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of CHEF’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful for further exploration.
CHEF Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,422m |
| Sub-Industry | Food Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-07-28 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 16.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.86 of 5 |
CHEF Dividends
Currently no dividends paidCHEF Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 14.94% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.27 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.21 |
| Current Volume | 301.3k |
| Average Volume | 418.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (74.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 242.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 11.46% (prev 9.79%; Δ 1.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 128.4m > Net Income 74.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (177.3m) to EBITDA (203.1m) ratio: 0.87 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.14 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.31% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.22% (prev 24.03%; Δ 0.19pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 219.0% (prev 209.2%; Δ 9.78pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.52 (EBITDA TTM 203.1m / Interest Expense TTM 43.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.43
| (A) 0.24 = (Total Current Assets 869.0m - Total Current Liabilities 405.7m) / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 180.0m / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 109.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.84b |
| (D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 177.2m / Total Liabilities 1.34b |
| Total Rating: 2.43 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.01
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.33% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.14% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.87 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.32)% |
| 7. RoE 13.48% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 85.88% |
| 9. EPS Trend 35.93% |
What is the price of CHEF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.75%, over one month by -1.77%, over three months by -7.49% and over the past year by +30.29%.
Is CHEF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CHEF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 76.8 | 34.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 76.8 | 34.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 61 | 6.5% |
CHEF Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 34.0694
P/E Forward = 26.9542
P/S = 0.5995
P/B = 4.1558
P/EG = 3.2
Beta = 1.301
Revenue TTM = 4.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 109.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 203.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 711.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 45.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 242.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 177.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.60b USD (2.42b + Debt 242.4m - CCE 65.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.52 (Ebit TTM 109.4m / Interest Expense TTM 43.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.33% (FCF TTM 86.6m / Enterprise Value 2.60b)
FCF Margin = 2.14% (FCF TTM 86.6m / Revenue TTM 4.04b)
Net Margin = 1.85% (Net Income TTM 74.6m / Revenue TTM 4.04b)
Gross Margin = 24.22% ((Revenue TTM 4.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.06b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.20% (prev 24.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 2.60b / Total Assets 1.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.35% (Interest Expense 10.5m / Debt 242.4m)
Taxrate = 32.58% (9.25m / 28.4m)
NOPAT = 73.8m (EBIT 109.4m * (1 - 32.58%))
Current Ratio = 2.14 (Total Current Assets 869.0m / Total Current Liabilities 405.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 242.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 576.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.87 (Net Debt 177.3m / EBITDA 203.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.05 (Net Debt 177.3m / FCF TTM 86.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 553.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.89% (Net Income 74.6m / Total Assets 1.92b)
RoE = 13.48% (Net Income TTM 74.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 553.4m)
RoCE = 8.65% (EBIT 109.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 553.4m + L.T.Debt 711.7m))
RoIC = 5.83% (NOPAT 73.8m / Invested Capital 1.27b)
WACC = 8.15% (E(2.42b)/V(2.66b) * Re(8.67%) + D(242.4m)/V(2.66b) * Rd(4.35%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.86% ; FCFE base≈75.3m ; Y1≈85.2m ; Y5≈115.6m
Fair Price DCF = 43.74 (DCF Value 1.78b / Shares Outstanding 40.7m; 5y FCF grow 15.26% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 35.93 | EPS CAGR: 1.50% | SUE: 3.48 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 85.88 | Revenue CAGR: 9.72% | SUE: 1.98 | # QB: 4
Additional Sources for CHEF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle