CHKP Stock Analysis: Check Point Software | NASDAQ
Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 12.960m USD | 12M Return: -35% | IL0010824113 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 143M
EPS Trend: 94.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: CHKP) is an Israel-based IT security company founded in 1993 and headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo. It develops and markets a broad portfolio of cybersecurity products and services for enterprises worldwide, built around a multilevel security architecture that protects cloud, network, mobile, endpoint, and IoT environments.
The companys product portfolio is organized into several platforms: Mesh Network Security (including firewall and hyperscale firewall products), Workspace Security Platform (covering email, endpoint, mobile, browser, and XDR), Threat Exposure Management (threat intelligence and vulnerability remediation), and AI Security platforms (workforce, agent security, and red teaming). It also generates revenue from cybersecurity services such as managed detection and response, incident response, consulting, and training, along with technical customer support and professional implementation services.
Check Point operates within the Information Technology sector (GICS Sub Industry: Systems Software) and is classified as a large-cap company. Israel has become a global hub for cybersecurity vendors, and Check Point is among the longest-established publicly traded firms in that cluster, having listed on NASDAQ in 1996.
- Subscription transition pressures near-term revenue growth
- Competition from Palo Alto and CrowdStrike intensifies in cloud security
- Israel geopolitical risk weighs on operations and shekel exposure
- AI security platform expansion opens new pipeline
- Share buybacks support earnings amid margin pressure
| Net Income: 1.05b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.61% < 20% (prev 12.75%; Δ 29.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 1.17b > Net Income 1.05b |
| Net Debt (-304.6m) to EBITDA (983.2m): -0.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (103.5m) vs 12m ago -6.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 86.12% > 18% (prev 86.92%; Δ -0.80% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 41.89% > 50% (prev 46.46%; Δ -4.57% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 450.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM 901.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m) |
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 2.93b - Total Current Liabilities 1.75b) / Total Assets 7.51b |
| B: 2.06 (Retained Earnings 15.5b / Total Assets 7.51b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 901.2m / Avg Total Assets 6.60b) |
| D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 2.74b / Total Liabilities 4.78b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 9.26 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 491.3m/467.7m, Revenue 2.76b/2.64b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 86.92% / 86.12%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.57 / AQ_t-1 0.62) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.76b / 2.64b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 1.05b - CFO 1.17b) / TA 7.51b) |
| Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 130.31 with a total of 770,859 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.53%, over one month by -1.95%, over three months by -6.08% and over the past year by -34.99%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 124.40 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Check Point Software has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.76. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CHKP.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 22
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 145.8 | 11.9% |
P/E Trailing = 13.0185
P/E Forward = 12.5
P/S = 4.688
P/B = 5.2656
P/EG = 1.2503
Revenue TTM = 2.76b USD
EBIT TTM = 901.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 983.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 1.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -304.6m USD (calculated: Debt 1.97b - CCE 2.28b)
Enterprise Value = 12.7b USD (13.0b + Debt 1.97b - CCE 2.28b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 450.6 (Ebit TTM 901.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m)
EV/FCF = 11.11x (Enterprise Value 12.7b / FCF TTM 1.14b)
FCF Yield = 9.00% (FCF TTM 1.14b / Enterprise Value 12.7b)
FCF Margin = 41.20% (FCF TTM 1.14b / Revenue TTM 2.76b)
Net Margin = 37.93% (Net Income TTM 1.05b / Revenue TTM 2.76b)
Gross Margin = 86.12% ((Revenue TTM 2.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 383.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.23% (prev 85.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.68 (Enterprise Value 12.7b / Total Assets 7.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.10% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 1.97b)
Taxrate = 14.47% (32.8m / 226.6m)
NOPAT = 770.8m (EBIT 901.2m * (1 - 14.47%))
Current Ratio = 1.67 (Total Current Assets 2.93b / Total Current Liabilities 1.75b)
Debt / Equity = 0.72 (Debt 1.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.31 (Net Debt -304.6m / EBITDA 983.2m)
Debt / FCF = -0.27 (Net Debt -304.6m / FCF TTM 1.14b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.89% (Net Income 1.05b / Total Assets 7.51b)
RoE = 36.43% (Net Income TTM 1.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.88b)
RoCE = 18.57% (EBIT 901.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.88b + L.T.Debt 1.97b))
RoIC = 13.71% (NOPAT 770.8m / Invested Capital 5.62b)
WACC = 5.99% (E(13.0b)/V(14.9b) * Re(6.89%) + D(1.97b)/V(14.9b) * Rd(0.10%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 6.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.48 | Cagr: -4.65%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.31% ; FCFF base≈1.14b ; Y1≈1.14b ; Y5≈1.19b
[DCF] Fair Price = 184.2 (EV 18.5b - Net Debt -304.6m = Equity 18.8b / Shares 102.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -0.95% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.27 | EPS CAGR: 16.37% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.73 | Revenue CAGR: 5.87% | SUE: -0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.48 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=-90% | Analysts=33
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.44 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=-12.2% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.29 | Chg30d=-0.11% | Revisions=-39% | GrowthEPS=+8.2% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40% (up=23, down=55)