CHKP Stock Analysis: Check Point Software | NASDAQ

Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 14.446m USD | 12M Return: -40.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Firewalls, Cloud Security, Endpoint Security, Threat Intelligence
Total Rating 37
Safety 80
Buy Signal -0.47
Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +10.3
Market Cap: 14.4B
Avg Turnover: 146M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.0%
VaR 5th Pctl6.91%
VaR vs Median2.46%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.24
Rel. Str. IBD6.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group12.9
Character TTM
Beta0.515
Beta Downside0.773
Hurst Exponent0.514
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD51.83%
CAGR/Max DD0.05
CAGR/Mean DD0.24
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CHKP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.61, "2021-09": 1.65, "2021-12": 2.25, "2022-03": 1.57, "2022-06": 1.64, "2022-09": 1.77, "2022-12": 2.45, "2023-03": 1.8, "2023-06": 2, "2023-09": 2.07, "2023-12": 2.57, "2024-03": 2.04, "2024-06": 2.17, "2024-09": 2.25, "2024-12": 2.7, "2025-03": 2.21, "2025-06": 2.37, "2025-09": 3.94, "2025-12": 3.4, "2026-03": 2.5,
EPS CAGR: 15.81%
EPS Trend: 93.6%
Last SUE: 0.19
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CHKP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 526.1, 2021-09: 534, 2021-12: 599.1, 2022-03: 542.7, 2022-06: 571.1, 2022-09: 577.6, 2022-12: 638.5, 2023-03: 566.2, 2023-06: 588.7, 2023-09: 596.3, 2023-12: 663.5, 2024-03: 598.8, 2024-06: 627.4, 2024-09: 635.1, 2024-12: 703.7, 2025-03: 637.8, 2025-06: 665.2, 2025-09: 677.5, 2025-12: 744.9, 2026-03: 668.4,
Rev. CAGR: 5.93%
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Last SUE: -1.77
Qual. Beats: -2

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.7% 29
Feb -0.5% 33
Mar +0.4% 23
Apr -4.0% 33
May +0.2% 13
Jun -1.4% 15
Jul +6.0% 25
Aug +1.1% 9
Sep -1.7% 23
Oct +0.0% 8
Nov +1.9% 22
Dec -0.8% 5

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CHKP Check Point Software

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: CHKP) is an Israel-based IT security company that develops, markets, and supports products and services for enterprises worldwide. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, the company went public on NASDAQ in 1996 and is classified as a large-cap stock within the Systems Software sub-industry of the Information Technology sector.

The company operates a multi-level security architecture designed to protect cloud, network, mobile, endpoint, and IoT environments. Its product portfolio is organized around four main pillars: Mesh Network Security (including its flagship firewalls and AI-powered management tools), Workspace Security Platform (covering email, endpoint, mobile, browser, and XDR solutions), Threat Exposure Management (threat intelligence, vulnerability detection, and remediation), and AI Security platforms (workforce and agent security, including red teaming).

In addition to products, Check Point generates revenue from a broad services portfolio, including managed detection and response, incident response, security consulting, professional implementation services, and certification/educational training. The company also offers technical customer support programs and plans.

As a cybersecurity vendor, Check Point operates in a sector that has become a structural spending category for enterprises and governments due to the rising volume and sophistication of cyber threats. Israel is recognized as a global hub for cybersecurity innovation, hosting a concentration of security software firms, defense-related R&D talent, and venture investment in the field.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Infinity Platform subscription transition pressures near-term revenue growth
  • CrowdStrike and Palo Alto intensify competitive pressure in endpoint security
  • Israel conflict raises operational risk for Tel Aviv-headquartered operations
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 1.06b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.37 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 56.07% < 20% (prev 6.60%; Δ 49.47% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 1.34b > Net Income 1.06b
Net Debt (-795.3m) to EBITDA (1.04b): -0.77 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (106.1m) vs 12m ago -4.76% < -2%
Gross Margin: 86.38% > 18% (prev 87.23%; Δ -0.85% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 41.85% > 50% (prev 46.85%; Δ -5.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 474.1 > 6 (EBIT TTM 948.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m)
Altman Z'' 9.45
A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 3.36b - Total Current Liabilities 1.81b) / Total Assets 7.61b
B: 2.00 (Retained Earnings 15.3b / Total Assets 7.61b)
C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 948.2m / Avg Total Assets 6.59b)
D: 0.59 (Book Value of Equity 2.81b / Total Liabilities 4.80b)
Altman-Z'' = 9.45 = AAA
Beneish M -3.11
DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 410.1m/399.7m, Revenue 2.76b/2.60b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 87.23% / 86.38%)
AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.52 / AQ_t-1 0.63)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 2.76b / 2.60b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.06b - CFO 1.34b) / TA 7.61b)
Beneish M = -3.11 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of CHKP shares?

As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 138.16 with a total of 788,813 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.88%, over one month by +8.42%, over three months by -2.60% and over the past year by -40.25%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 129.60 (which is 6.2% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is CHKP a buy, sell or hold?

Check Point Software has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.76. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CHKP.

  • StrongBuy: 13
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 22
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CHKP price?
Analysts Target Price 145.7 5.5%
Check Point Software (CHKP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 14.4b (14.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.287
P/E Forward = 13.089
P/S = 5.2418
P/B = 5.0485
P/EG = 1.3089
Revenue TTM = 2.76b USD
EBIT TTM = 948.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.04b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.97b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 1.97b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -795.3m USD (calculated: Debt 1.97b - CCE 2.77b)
Enterprise Value = 13.7b USD (14.4b + Debt 1.97b - CCE 2.77b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 474.1 (Ebit TTM 948.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m)
EV/FCF = 10.43x (Enterprise Value 13.7b / FCF TTM 1.31b)
FCF Yield = 9.59% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Enterprise Value 13.7b)
FCF Margin = 47.48% (FCF TTM 1.31b / Revenue TTM 2.76b)
Net Margin = 38.37% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Revenue TTM 2.76b)
Gross Margin = 86.38% ((Revenue TTM 2.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 375.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 85.38% (prev 86.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.79 (Enterprise Value 13.7b / Total Assets 7.61b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.10% (Interest Expense 2.00m / Debt 1.97b)
Taxrate = 15.18% (34.3m / 225.9m)
NOPAT = 804.2m (EBIT 948.2m * (1 - 15.18%))
Current Ratio = 1.85 (Total Current Assets 3.36b / Total Current Liabilities 1.81b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 1.97b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.77 (Net Debt -795.3m / EBITDA 1.04b)
Debt / FCF = -0.61 (Net Debt -795.3m / FCF TTM 1.31b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.06% (Net Income 1.06b / Total Assets 7.61b)
RoE = 36.43% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.90b)
RoCE = 19.45% (EBIT 948.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.90b + L.T.Debt 1.97b))
RoIC = 14.20% (NOPAT 804.2m / Invested Capital 5.66b)
WACC = 6.86% (E(14.4b)/V(16.4b) * Re(7.79%) + D(1.97b)/V(16.4b) * Rd(0.10%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 7.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.67 | Cagr: -2.73%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.22b ; Y1≈1.40b ; Y5≈2.06b
[DCF] Fair Price = 305.4 (EV 31.0b - Net Debt -795.3m = Equity 31.8b / Shares 104.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.59 | EPS CAGR: 15.81% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.82 | Revenue CAGR: 5.93% | SUE: -1.77 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.45 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-86% | Analysts=34
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.58 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-42% | Analysts=34
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.43 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-8% | GrowthEPS=-12.3% | GrowthRev=+3.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.42 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-27% | GrowthEPS=+9.5% | GrowthRev=+6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -44% (up=37, down=97)