CHRD Stock Analysis: Chord Energy | NASDAQ
Oil & Gas E&P | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 7.460m USD | 12M Return: 46.7% | US6742152076 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 103M
EPS Trend: -81.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 89.0%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CHRD) is an independent U.S. exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the Williston Basin. The company sells its output to refiners, marketers, and other buyers with access to pipeline and rail takeaway capacity. Originally founded in 2007 as Oasis Petroleum Inc., the company rebranded to Chord Energy Corporation in July 2022 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Chord operates within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry, a segment of the broader Energy sector that focuses on upstream activities-locating reserves and bringing hydrocarbons to market. The Williston Basin, spanning portions of North Dakota and Montana, is one of the most prolific oil-producing regions in the United States and is best known for the Bakken and Three Forks formations, which have made it a key contributor to U.S. tight oil production over the past decade.
- WTI crude prices dictate Williston Basin revenue and margins
- Bakken production growth drives total oil output higher
- Shareholder returns via dividends and buybacks accelerate
| Net Income: 848.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.18% < 20% (prev -1.00%; Δ 7.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 2.59b > Net Income 848.3m |
| Net Debt (1.03b) to EBITDA (2.30b): 0.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (56.9m) vs 12m ago -1.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.75% > 18% (prev 22.44%; Δ 2.31% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 48.13% > 50% (prev 42.25%; Δ 5.88% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.03 > 6 (EBIT TTM 764.5m / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 2.16b - Total Current Liabilities 1.76b) / Total Assets 13.7b |
| B: 0.18 (Retained Earnings 2.53b / Total Assets 13.7b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 764.5m / Avg Total Assets 13.1b) |
| D: 1.56 (Book Value of Equity 8.36b / Total Liabilities 5.36b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.82 = A |
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 1.34b/1.28b, Revenue 6.32b/5.30b) |
| GMI: 0.91 (GM 22.44% / 24.75%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 6.32b / 5.30b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 848.3m - CFO 2.59b) / TA 13.7b) |
| Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 139.23 with a total of 577,478 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.71%, over one month by +13.79%, over three months by +0.27% and over the past year by +46.67%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 131.50 (which is 5.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Chord Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CHRD.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 165.7 | 19% |
P/S = 1.4849
P/B = 0.9822
Revenue TTM = 6.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 764.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 7.59m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 134.9m
Net Debt = 1.03b USD (calculated: Debt 1.64b - CCE 611.6m)
Enterprise Value = 8.49b USD (7.46b + Debt 1.64b - CCE 611.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.03 (Ebit TTM 764.5m / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m)
EV/FCF = 5.33x (Enterprise Value 8.49b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
FCF Yield = 18.77% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Enterprise Value 8.49b)
FCF Margin = 25.20% (FCF TTM 1.59b / Revenue TTM 6.32b)
Net Margin = 13.42% (Net Income TTM 848.3m / Revenue TTM 6.32b)
Gross Margin = 24.75% ((Revenue TTM 6.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.38% (prev 22.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 8.49b / Total Assets 13.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.28% (Interest Expense 152.0m / Debt 1.64b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 603.9m (EBIT 764.5m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 2.16b / Total Current Liabilities 1.76b)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 1.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.36b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.45 (Net Debt 1.03b / EBITDA 2.30b)
Debt / FCF = 0.64 (Net Debt 1.03b / FCF TTM 1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.14b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.46% (Net Income 848.3m / Total Assets 13.7b)
RoE = 10.42% (Net Income TTM 848.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.14b)
RoCE = 7.95% (EBIT 764.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.14b + L.T.Debt 1.48b))
RoIC = 5.19% (NOPAT 603.9m / Invested Capital 11.6b)
WACC = 6.72% (E(7.46b)/V(9.10b) * Re(6.59%) + D(1.64b)/V(9.10b) * Rd(9.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 41.84 | Cagr: 13.56%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.34b ; Y1≈1.54b ; Y5≈2.26b
[DCF] Fair Price = 586.2 (EV 34.0b - Net Debt 1.03b = Equity 33.0b / Shares 56.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -81.30 | EPS CAGR: -21.01% | SUE: -0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.00 | Revenue CAGR: 15.56% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.42 | Chg30d=-17.28% | Revisions=-79% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.65 | Chg30d=-6.00% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+106.1% | GrowthRev=+22.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=14.73 | Chg30d=-7.75% | Revisions=-21% | GrowthEPS=-25.0% | GrowthRev=-11.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -63% (up=5, down=27)