CHRD Stock Analysis: Chord Energy | NASDAQ
Oil & Gas E&P | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 7.006m USD | 12M Return: 23.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 102M
EPS Trend: -91.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 87.4%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.
Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CHRD) is an independent U.S. exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in the Williston Basin. The company sells its output to refiners, marketers, and other buyers with access to pipeline and rail takeaway capacity. Originally founded in 2007 as Oasis Petroleum Inc., the company rebranded to Chord Energy Corporation in July 2022 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Chord operates within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry, a segment of the broader Energy sector that focuses on upstream activities-locating reserves and bringing hydrocarbons to market. The Williston Basin, spanning portions of North Dakota and Montana, is one of the most prolific oil-producing regions in the United States and is best known for the Bakken and Three Forks formations, which have made it a key contributor to U.S. tight oil production over the past decade.
- WTI crude prices dictate Williston Basin revenue and margins
- Bakken production growth drives total oil output higher
- Shareholder returns via dividends and buybacks accelerate
| Net Income: -66.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.50 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.76% < 20% (prev -3.83%; Δ 4.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.89b > Net Income -66.8m |
| Net Debt (1.52b) to EBITDA (1.64b): 0.93 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (56.8m) vs 12m ago -4.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.11% > 18% (prev 25.55%; Δ -9.44% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 40.52% > 50% (prev 41.21%; Δ -0.68% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.49 > 6 (EBIT TTM 135.7m / Interest Expense TTM 90.9m) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 1.71b - Total Current Liabilities 1.67b) / Total Assets 13.2b |
| B: 0.16 (Retained Earnings 2.08b / Total Assets 13.2b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 135.7m / Avg Total Assets 13.1b) |
| D: 1.55 (Book Value of Equity 8.05b / Total Liabilities 5.19b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.23 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 1.35b/1.32b, Revenue 5.33b/5.38b) |
| GMI: 1.59 (GM 25.55% / 16.11%) |
| AQI: 0.27 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 5.33b / 5.38b) |
| TATA: -0.15 (NI -66.8m - CFO 1.89b) / TA 13.2b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 115.97 with a total of 1,067,234 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.15%, over one month by -17.17%, over three months by -18.90% and over the past year by +23.59%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 108.60 (which is 6.4% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Chord Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CHRD.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 173.4 | 49.6% |
P/S = 1.3947
P/B = 0.8706
Revenue TTM = 5.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 135.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.64b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 125.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 134.9m
Net Debt = 1.52b USD (calculated: Debt 1.75b - CCE 225.8m)
Enterprise Value = 8.53b USD (7.01b + Debt 1.75b - CCE 225.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.49 (Ebit TTM 135.7m / Interest Expense TTM 90.9m)
EV/FCF = 17.03x (Enterprise Value 8.53b / FCF TTM 500.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.87% (FCF TTM 500.9m / Enterprise Value 8.53b)
FCF Margin = 9.40% (FCF TTM 500.9m / Revenue TTM 5.33b)
Net Margin = -1.25% (Net Income TTM -66.8m / Revenue TTM 5.33b)
Gross Margin = 16.11% ((Revenue TTM 5.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.24% (prev 10.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.64 (Enterprise Value 8.53b / Total Assets 13.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.19% (Interest Expense 90.9m / Debt 1.75b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 107.2m (EBIT 135.7m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 1.71b / Total Current Liabilities 1.67b)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 1.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.93 (Net Debt 1.52b / EBITDA 1.64b)
Debt / FCF = 3.04 (Net Debt 1.52b / FCF TTM 500.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.51% (Net Income -66.8m / Total Assets 13.2b)
RoE = -0.83% (Net Income TTM -66.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.07b)
RoCE = 1.42% (EBIT 135.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.07b + L.T.Debt 1.48b))
RoIC = 0.94% (NOPAT 107.2m / Invested Capital 11.5b)
WACC = 6.91% (E(7.01b)/V(8.76b) * Re(7.61%) + D(1.75b)/V(8.76b) * Rd(5.19%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 2.22 | Cagr: 13.06%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈733.2m ; Y1≈643.0m ; Y5≈519.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 121.0 (EV 8.34b - Net Debt 1.52b = Equity 6.81b / Shares 56.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -91.32 | EPS CAGR: -24.47% | SUE: 2.60 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 87.40 | Revenue CAGR: 13.37% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.68 | Chg30d=+17.35% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.52 | Chg30d=+19.68% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+125.8% | GrowthRev=+27.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=15.80 | Chg30d=+7.19% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=-26.6% | GrowthRev=-15.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62%