CHRD Stock Analysis: Chord Energy | NASDAQ
Oil & Gas E&P | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 7.609m USD | 12M Return: 43.9% | US6742152076 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 99.2M
EPS Trend: -81.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 89.0%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CHRD) is an independent U.S. exploration and production company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. All of the companys operations are concentrated in the Williston Basin, a major onshore oil-producing region best known for the Bakken shale play, which is one of the largest crude oil fields in the United States.
As an independent E&P, Chord does not operate refineries or retail fuel outlets; instead, it sells its production to refiners, marketers, and other purchasers with access to pipeline and rail takeaway capacity. This non-integrated business model is common among mid-cap E&Ps, which typically focus capital and operations on a single producing basin rather than maintaining a diversified global asset base like the major integrated oil companies.
The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was previously known as Oasis Petroleum Inc. before adopting the Chord Energy name in July 2022.
- Williston Basin oil production volumes drive revenue growth
- Crude oil price spreads and WTI differentials compress margins
- Capital return program boosted by Bakken well economics and free cash flow
- Natural gas and NGL pricing volatility in North Dakota impacts segment mix
| Net Income: 848.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.18% < 20% (prev -1.00%; Δ 7.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 2.59b > Net Income 848.3m |
| Net Debt (1.04b) to EBITDA (2.48b): 0.42 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (56.6m) vs 12m ago -2.04% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.39% > 18% (prev 22.44%; Δ 4.95% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 48.13% > 50% (prev 42.25%; Δ 5.88% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.56 > 6 (EBIT TTM 944.1m / Interest Expense TTM 98.8m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 2.16b - Total Current Liabilities 1.76b) / Total Assets 13.7b |
| B: 0.18 (Retained Earnings 2.53b / Total Assets 13.7b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 944.1m / Avg Total Assets 13.1b) |
| D: 1.56 (Book Value of Equity 8.36b / Total Liabilities 5.36b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.91 = A |
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 1.34b/1.28b, Revenue 6.32b/5.30b) |
| GMI: 0.82 (GM 22.44% / 27.39%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 6.32b / 5.30b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 848.3m - CFO 2.59b) / TA 13.7b) |
| Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 137.53 with a total of 569,341 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.32%, over one month by -6.83%, over three months by +24.34% and over the past year by +43.91%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 129.40 (which is 5.9% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Chord Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CHRD.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 173.4 | 26.1% |
P/E Trailing = 9.3614
P/S = 1.2769
P/B = 0.9014
Revenue TTM = 6.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 944.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.48b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.48b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.59m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.65b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 148.2m
Net Debt = 1.04b USD (calculated: Debt 1.65b - CCE 611.6m)
Enterprise Value = 8.65b USD (7.61b + Debt 1.65b - CCE 611.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.56 (Ebit TTM 944.1m / Interest Expense TTM 98.8m)
EV/FCF = 7.28x (Enterprise Value 8.65b / FCF TTM 1.19b)
FCF Yield = 13.74% (FCF TTM 1.19b / Enterprise Value 8.65b)
FCF Margin = 18.81% (FCF TTM 1.19b / Revenue TTM 6.32b)
Net Margin = 13.42% (Net Income TTM 848.3m / Revenue TTM 6.32b)
Gross Margin = 27.39% ((Revenue TTM 6.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.08% (prev 22.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 8.65b / Total Assets 13.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.98% (Interest Expense 98.8m / Debt 1.65b)
Taxrate = 20.55% (219.4m / 1.07b)
NOPAT = 750.1m (EBIT 944.1m * (1 - 20.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 2.16b / Total Current Liabilities 1.76b)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 1.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.36b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.42 (Net Debt 1.04b / EBITDA 2.48b)
Debt / FCF = 0.87 (Net Debt 1.04b / FCF TTM 1.19b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.14b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.46% (Net Income 848.3m / Total Assets 13.7b)
RoE = 10.42% (Net Income TTM 848.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.14b)
RoCE = 9.81% (EBIT 944.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.14b + L.T.Debt 1.48b))
RoIC = 6.44% (NOPAT 750.1m / Invested Capital 11.6b)
WACC = 6.17% (E(7.61b)/V(9.26b) * Re(6.48%) + D(1.65b)/V(9.26b) * Rd(5.98%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 41.00 | Cagr: 13.29%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.10b ; Y1≈1.26b ; Y5≈1.85b
[DCF] Fair Price = 490.5 (EV 27.9b - Net Debt 1.04b = Equity 26.8b / Shares 54.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -81.30 | EPS CAGR: -21.01% | SUE: -0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.00 | Revenue CAGR: 15.56% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.88 | Chg30d=+17.44% | Revisions=+30% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.09 | Chg30d=+9.09% | Revisions=+46% | GrowthEPS=+121.3% | GrowthRev=+38.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=16.25 | Chg30d=+14.83% | Revisions=+64% | GrowthEPS=-22.9% | GrowthRev=-17.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +58% (up=23, down=5)