Overview Dividends

(CHRD) Chord Energy - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6742152076

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids

CHRD EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -25.50%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -78.0%

CHRD Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 9.76%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 75.6%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	34.2%
Value at Risk 5%th	57.2%
Relative Tail Risk	1.76%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.56
Alpha	-40.10

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.516
Beta	1.238
Beta Downside	1.686

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	53.91%
Mean DD	19.38%
Median DD	11.70%

Description: CHRD Chord Energy November 05, 2025

Chord Energy Corp (NASDAQ: CHRD) is an independent U.S. upstream firm focused on the Williston Basin, where it acquires, explores, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company markets its output to refiners, marketers, and other buyers with access to pipeline and rail infrastructure. It rebranded from Oasis Petroleum in July 2022, but its operational footprint and corporate headquarters in Houston, Texas remain unchanged.

According to the most recent 10-K (2023), CHRD reported average daily production of roughly 30,000 barrels of oil equivalent (boe) per day, with a crude-oil-weighted mix of about 80 % oil and 20 % natural gas/NGLs. The firm generated $210 million of operating cash flow in 2023, and its net debt stood at $1.0 billion, yielding a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 3.5×-a level that is modest for the mid-cap E&P segment but still sensitive to sustained price volatility.

Key economic drivers for CHRD include the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, which directly affects revenue given the oil-heavy production profile, and the availability of midstream capacity in the Williston Basin, where pipeline constraints can force higher rail freight costs. A sector-wide trend worth noting is the accelerating shift toward capital efficiency: peers are increasingly prioritizing low-cost, high-margin acreage, which could pressure CHRD’s capital allocation if its acquisition pipeline does not meet the same cost discipline.

For a deeper quantitative view of CHRD’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of its cash-flow sensitivity to oil-price scenarios.

CHRD Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	4,970m
Sub-Industry	Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
IPO / Inception	2000-02-15
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-34.7%
Analyst Rating	4.40 of 5

CHRD Dividends

Dividend Yield	5.74%
Yield on Cost 5y	27.86%
Yield CAGR 5y	21.74%
Payout Consistency	74.6%
Payout Ratio	44.6%

CHRD Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	-9.64%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	-0.18
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	-0.50
Current Volume	712.7k
Average Volume	712.7k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (170.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 309.7m TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.56pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 10.39% (prev -2.30%; Δ 12.69pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.21b > Net Income 170.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (880.0m) to EBITDA (1.79b) ratio: 0.49 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (57.2m) change vs 12m ago -8.74% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 41.97% (prev 28.84%; Δ 13.12pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 39.51% (prev 36.53%; Δ 2.98pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 4.80 (EBITDA TTM 1.79b / Interest Expense TTM 70.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.37

(A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 2.06b - Total Current Liabilities 1.53b) / Total Assets 13.10b

(B) 0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.03b / Total Assets 13.10b

(D) 0.40 = Book Value of Equity 2.03b / Total Liabilities 5.02b

Total Rating: 1.37 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.47

1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50

2. FCF Yield 14.78% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 16.75% = 4.19

4. Debt/Equity 0.19 = 2.48

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.49 = 2.32

6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.97)% = -4.96

7. RoE 2.04% = 0.17

8. Rev. Trend 75.60% = 5.67

9. EPS Trend -78.04% = -3.90

What is the price of CHRD shares?

As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 93.11 with a total of 712,701 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.53%, over one month by +2.49%, over three months by -8.27% and over the past year by -25.18%.

Is Chord Energy a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Chord Energy is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 61.47 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CHRD is around 78.07 USD . This means that CHRD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -16.15%.

Is CHRD a buy, sell or hold?

Chord Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CHRD.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 3
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CHRD price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	128.7	38.2%
Analysts Target Price	128.7	38.2%
ValueRay Target Price	87	-6.5%

CHRD Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 4.97b (4.97b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 29.527
P/S = 1.0247
P/B = 0.6897
Beta = 0.799
Revenue TTM = 5.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 340.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 842.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 24.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.51b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 880.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.85b USD (4.97b + Debt 1.51b - CCE 629.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.80 (Ebit TTM 340.0m / Interest Expense TTM 70.9m)
FCF Yield = 14.78% (FCF TTM 864.8m / Enterprise Value 5.85b)
FCF Margin = 16.75% (FCF TTM 864.8m / Revenue TTM 5.16b)
Net Margin = 3.31% (Net Income TTM 170.6m / Revenue TTM 5.16b)
Gross Margin = 41.97% ((Revenue TTM 5.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 14.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.45 (Enterprise Value 5.85b / Total Assets 13.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.24% (Interest Expense 18.7m / Debt 1.51b)
Taxrate = -23.60% (negative due to tax credits) (-40.2m / 170.3m)
NOPAT = 420.2m (EBIT 340.0m * (1 - -23.60%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 2.06b / Total Current Liabilities 1.53b)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 1.51b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.49 (Net Debt 880.0m / EBITDA 1.79b)
Debt / FCF = 1.02 (Net Debt 880.0m / FCF TTM 864.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.30% (Net Income 170.6m / Total Assets 13.10b)
RoE = 2.04% (Net Income TTM 170.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.37b)
RoCE = 3.69% (EBIT 340.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.37b + L.T.Debt 842.6m))
RoIC = 4.51% (NOPAT 420.2m / Invested Capital 9.33b)
WACC = 8.47% (E(4.97b)/V(6.48b) * Re(10.58%) + D(1.51b)/V(6.48b) * Rd(1.24%) * (1-Tc(-0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 15.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.12% ; FCFE base≈892.3m ; Y1≈919.2m ; Y5≈1.03b
Fair Price DCF = 213.3 (DCF Value 12.13b / Shares Outstanding 56.9m; 5y FCF grow 3.02% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -78.04 | EPS CAGR: -25.50% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.60 | Revenue CAGR: 9.76% | SUE: 1.69 | # QB: 2

Additional Sources for CHRD Stock

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