CHRW Stock Analysis: CH Robinson Worldwide | NASDAQ

Truckload Brokerage, Intermodal Shipping, Freight Forwarding, Fresh Produce

Total Rating 55

Safety 85

Buy Signal -0.17

Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Rotation: -0.5

Market Cap: 16.3B
Avg Turnover: 268M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility39.1%

VaR 5^th Pctl5.74%

VaR vs Median-8.15%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.37

Rel. Str. IBD11.9

Rel. Str. Peer Group10.7 pctl

Character TTM

Beta0.195

Beta Downside0.395

Hurst Exponent0.516

Choppyness59.2%

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD35.23%

CAGR/Max DD0.60

CAGR/Mean DD2.32

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 23.75%
EPS Trend: 91.2%

Last SUE: 2.69
Qual. Beats: 2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -3.51%
Rev. Trend: -82.9%

Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.3% 7

Feb -0.5% 21

Mar -0.7% 18

Apr -3.1% 18

May -2.0% 5

Jun -0.6% 17

Jul +1.9% 10

Aug +1.2% 28

Sep +0.7% 11

Oct -4.1% 12

Nov +1.3% 37

Dec -1.5% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CHRW CH Robinson Worldwide

C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) is one of the largest third-party logistics providers in North America, operating as an asset-light freight broker that connects shippers with carriers rather than owning significant transportation equipment itself. The company runs two reporting segments - North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding - and offers a broad service portfolio that includes truckload and less-than-truckload (LTL) brokerage, intermodal (combined truck and rail), non-vessel operating common carrier (NVOCC) ocean services, air freight forwarding, indirect air carrier door-to-door services, customs brokerage, and fee-based managed warehousing and supply chain consulting.

Beyond traditional freight services, CHRW operates the Robinson Fresh trade name, which sources, markets, and distributes fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishables to grocery retailers, restaurants, and produce wholesalers - a niche that complements its cold-chain logistics capabilities.

Founded in 1905 and headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota, the company is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CHRW (GICS Sub-Industry: Air Freight & Logistics) and has been publicly traded since its 1997 IPO. Its broker-driven model means revenue is largely generated from the spread between contracted shipper rates and carrier costs, making freight market pricing volatility a key driver of margins.

Headlines to Watch Out For

North American Surface Transportation margins pressured by truckload rate weakness
Global Forwarding volumes decline amid weak ocean and air freight demand
Recent CEO departure and restructuring plan target cost reductions and margin recovery

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0

Net Income: 633.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.55 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 7.70% < 20% (prev 4.22%; Δ 3.48% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 685.4m > Net Income 633.3m
Net Debt (2.12b) to EBITDA (998.3m): 2.12 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (119.8m) vs 12m ago -1.39% < -2%
Gross Margin: 10.13% > 18% (prev 8.15%; Δ 1.99% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 304.4% > 50% (prev 319.7%; Δ -15.22% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 898.5m / Interest Expense TTM 163.1m)

Altman Z'' 6.45

A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 3.56b - Total Current Liabilities 2.25b) / Total Assets 5.84b
B: 1.07 (Retained Earnings 6.25b / Total Assets 5.84b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 898.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.58b)
D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 1.63b / Total Liabilities 4.22b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.45 = AAA

Beneish M -3.15

DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 3.06b/2.73b, Revenue 17.0b/17.0b)
GMI: 0.80 (GM 8.15% / 10.13%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.35)
SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 17.0b / 17.0b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 633.3m - CFO 685.4m) / TA 5.84b)
Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of CHRW shares?

As of October 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 138.85 with a total of 1,228,654 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.64%, over one month by -9.15%, over three months by -32.24% and over the past year by +10.60%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 128.90 (which is 7.2% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is CHRW a buy, sell or hold?

CH Robinson Worldwide has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.48. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CHRW.

StrongBuy: 15
Buy: 4
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CHRW price?

Analysts Target Price	194.4	40%

CH Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 16 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 16.3b (16.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.3113
P/E Forward = 21.5054
P/S = 0.9571
P/B = 10.7448
P/EG = 1.8224
Revenue TTM = 17.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 898.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 998.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.09b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 70.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 301.8m
Net Debt = 2.12b USD (calculated: Debt 2.27b - CCE 154.6m)
Enterprise Value = 18.4b USD (16.3b + Debt 2.27b - CCE 154.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.51 (Ebit TTM 898.5m / Interest Expense TTM 163.1m)
EV/FCF = 27.49x (Enterprise Value 18.4b / FCF TTM 668.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.64% (FCF TTM 668.8m / Enterprise Value 18.4b)
FCF Margin = 3.93% (FCF TTM 668.8m / Revenue TTM 17.0b)
Net Margin = 3.73% (Net Income TTM 633.3m / Revenue TTM 17.0b)
Gross Margin = 10.13% ((Revenue TTM 17.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.96% (prev 7.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.15 (Enterprise Value 18.4b / Total Assets 5.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.17% (Interest Expense 163.1m / Debt 2.27b)
Taxrate = 18.42% (143.0m / 776.3m)
NOPAT = 733.0m (EBIT 898.5m * (1 - 18.42%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 3.56b / Total Current Liabilities 2.25b)
Debt / Equity = 1.40 (Debt 2.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.12 (Net Debt 2.12b / EBITDA 998.3m)
Debt / FCF = 3.17 (Net Debt 2.12b / FCF TTM 668.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.34% (Net Income 633.3m / Total Assets 5.84b)
RoE = 36.01% (Net Income TTM 633.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.76b)
RoCE = 31.55% (EBIT 898.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.76b + L.T.Debt 1.09b))
RoIC = 20.90% (NOPAT 733.0m / Invested Capital 3.51b)
WACC = 6.24% (E(16.3b)/V(18.5b) * Re(6.30%) + D(2.27b)/V(18.5b) * Rd(7.17%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 6.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 15.97 | Cagr: 0.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.98% ; FCFF base≈677.9m ; Y1≈661.9m ; Y5≈663.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 70.77 (EV 10.4b - Net Debt 2.12b = Equity 8.26b / Shares 116.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -3.30% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.20 | EPS CAGR: 23.75% | SUE: 2.69 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -82.88 | Revenue CAGR: -3.51% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=+2.90% | Revisions=+81% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.30 | Chg30d=+0.94% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+23.8% | GrowthRev=+13.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.49 | Chg30d=-0.10% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+18.9% | GrowthRev=+6.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +73% (up=27, down=3)