CHRW Stock Analysis: CH Robinson Worldwide | NASDAQ
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 14.714m USD | 12M Return: -14.1% | US12541W2098 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 296M
EPS Trend: 95.6%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: -35.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) is one of the largest third-party logistics providers in North America, operating as an asset-light freight broker that connects shippers with carriers rather than owning significant transportation equipment itself. The company runs two reporting segments - North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding - and offers a broad service portfolio that includes truckload and less-than-truckload (LTL) brokerage, intermodal (combined truck and rail), non-vessel operating common carrier (NVOCC) ocean services, air freight forwarding, indirect air carrier door-to-door services, customs brokerage, and fee-based managed warehousing and supply chain consulting.
Beyond traditional freight services, CHRW operates the Robinson Fresh trade name, which sources, markets, and distributes fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishables to grocery retailers, restaurants, and produce wholesalers - a niche that complements its cold-chain logistics capabilities.
Founded in 1905 and headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota, the company is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CHRW (GICS Sub-Industry: Air Freight & Logistics) and has been publicly traded since its 1997 IPO. Its broker-driven model means revenue is largely generated from the spread between contracted shipper rates and carrier costs, making freight market pricing volatility a key driver of margins.
- North American Surface Transportation margins pressured by truckload rate weakness
- Global Forwarding volumes decline amid weak ocean and air freight demand
- Recent CEO departure and restructuring plan target cost reductions and margin recovery
| Net Income: 668.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.49 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.74% < 20% (prev 6.68%; Δ -0.94% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 534.0m > Net Income 668.8m |
| Net Debt (2.26b) to EBITDA (946.5m): 2.39 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.34 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (118.7m) vs 12m ago -2.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 11.93% > 18% (prev 8.30%; Δ 3.64% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 313.6% > 50% (prev 315.7%; Δ -2.08% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.45 > 6 (EBIT TTM 848.9m / Interest Expense TTM 63.1m) |
| A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 4.13b - Total Current Liabilities 3.08b) / Total Assets 6.39b |
| B: 1.00 (Retained Earnings 6.38b / Total Assets 6.39b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 848.9m / Avg Total Assets 5.81b) |
| D: 0.33 (Book Value of Equity 1.58b / Total Liabilities 4.81b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.65 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 3.55b/2.72b, Revenue 18.2b/16.5b) |
| GMI: 0.70 (GM 8.30% / 11.93%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 18.2b / 16.5b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 668.8m - CFO 534.0m) / TA 6.39b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 128.71 with a total of 1,783,125 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.16%, over one month by -18.39%, over three months by -12.06% and over the past year by -14.12%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 122.10 (which is 5.1% or 1.1 ATR below the current price).
CH Robinson Worldwide has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.39. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CHRW.
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 183.7 | 42.8% |
P/E Trailing = 22.8369
P/E Forward = 17.8253
P/S = 0.8077
P/B = 9.3186
P/EG = 1.5237
Revenue TTM = 18.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 848.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 946.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.09b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 495.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.45b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 301.8m
Net Debt = 2.26b USD (calculated: Debt 2.45b - CCE 193.1m)
Enterprise Value = 17.0b USD (14.7b + Debt 2.45b - CCE 193.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.45 (Ebit TTM 848.9m / Interest Expense TTM 63.1m)
EV/FCF = 33.56x (Enterprise Value 17.0b / FCF TTM 505.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.98% (FCF TTM 505.9m / Enterprise Value 17.0b)
FCF Margin = 2.78% (FCF TTM 505.9m / Revenue TTM 18.2b)
Net Margin = 3.67% (Net Income TTM 668.8m / Revenue TTM 18.2b)
Gross Margin = 11.93% ((Revenue TTM 18.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.09% (prev 14.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.66 (Enterprise Value 17.0b / Total Assets 6.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.57% (Interest Expense 63.1m / Debt 2.45b)
Taxrate = 18.55% (152.3m / 821.2m)
NOPAT = 691.4m (EBIT 848.9m * (1 - 18.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.34 (Total Current Assets 4.13b / Total Current Liabilities 3.08b)
Debt / Equity = 1.55 (Debt 2.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.58b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.39 (Net Debt 2.26b / EBITDA 946.5m)
Debt / FCF = 4.47 (Net Debt 2.26b / FCF TTM 505.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.69b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.51% (Net Income 668.8m / Total Assets 6.39b)
RoE = 39.59% (Net Income TTM 668.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.69b)
RoCE = 30.55% (EBIT 848.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.69b + L.T.Debt 1.09b))
RoIC = 19.17% (NOPAT 691.4m / Invested Capital 3.61b)
WACC = 5.76% (E(14.7b)/V(17.2b) * Re(6.37%) + D(2.45b)/V(17.2b) * Rd(2.57%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 6.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -45.98 | Cagr: -0.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈646.6m ; Y1≈567.0m ; Y5≈458.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 44.11 (EV 7.35b - Net Debt 2.26b = Equity 5.09b / Shares 115.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.64 | EPS CAGR: 27.14% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -35.26 | Revenue CAGR: -1.44% | SUE: 1.70 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=1.61 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.34 | Chg30d=+1.52% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+24.5% | GrowthRev=+16.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.48 | Chg30d=-0.30% | Revisions=+19% | GrowthEPS=+18.0% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +42% (up=22, down=8)