(CINF) Cincinnati Financial - NASDAQ
Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 26.034m USD | Total Return: 16.6% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 100M
EPS Trend: 79.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 93.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Earnings expected to drop: P/E 9.6 → Forward 19.6
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is an Ohio-based insurance provider operating across five primary segments: Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, Excess and Surplus Lines, Life Insurance, and Investments. The companys portfolio includes property and casualty coverage, workers compensation, surety bonds, and life insurance products, alongside a dedicated investment arm that manages fixed-maturity and equity assets. Beyond standard insurance, CINF provides commercial leasing, financing, and brokerage services.
The company utilizes an independent agency distribution model, which focuses on building long-term relationships with local agents to drive policy growth. In the property and casualty sector, profitability is heavily influenced by the combined ratio, a measure of incurred losses and expenses relative to earned premiums. As a diversified insurer, CINF mitigates risk by balancing standard regulated lines with excess and surplus lines, which cover higher-risk or non-standard exposures that traditional insurers typically avoid.
Investors can further evaluate these operational segments and financial trends by reviewing the detailed metrics available on ValueRay.
- Investment portfolio performance depends on equity market volatility and interest rate trends
- Combined ratio stability hinges on catastrophe loss frequency and severity
- Agency distribution model drives commercial lines premium growth and market share
- Personal lines profitability remains sensitive to rising auto repair and replacement costs
- Excess and surplus lines expansion provides higher margin revenue diversification opportunities
| Net Income: 2.76b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -101.5% < 20% (prev -97.74%; Δ -3.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 3.46b > Net Income 2.76b |
| Net Debt (-307.0m) to EBITDA (3.65b): -0.08 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (156.6m) vs 12m ago 0.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 50.29% > 18% (prev 42.05%; Δ 8.24% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 32.93% > 50% (prev 29.42%; Δ 3.50% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 46.68 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.49b / Interest Expense TTM 74.7m) |
| A: -0.32 (Total Current Assets 5.45b - Total Current Liabilities 18.6b) / Total Assets 41.2b |
| B: 0.41 (Retained Earnings 16.8b / Total Assets 41.2b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 3.49b / Avg Total Assets 39.2b) |
| D: 0.62 (Book Value of Equity 15.7b / Total Liabilities 25.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.49 = B |
| DSRI: 0.68 (Receivables 3.46b/4.32b, Revenue 12.9b/11.0b) |
| GMI: 0.84 (GM 42.05% / 50.29%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.86 / AQ_t-1 0.82) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 12.9b / 11.0b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 2.76b - CFO 3.46b) / TA 41.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.28 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 169.01 with a total of 585,608 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.25%,
over one month by +3.19%,
over three months by +3.52% and
over the past year by +16.62%.
Cincinnati Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.63. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CINF.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 181.5 | 7.4% |
P/E Trailing = 9.6226
P/E Forward = 19.6464
P/S = 2.0138
P/B = 1.6569
P/EG = 2.1896
Revenue TTM = 12.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.65b USD
Long Term Debt = 791.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 25.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 952.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 68.0m
Net Debt = -307.0m USD (calculated: Debt 952.0m - CCE 1.26b)
Enterprise Value = 25.7b USD (26.0b + Debt 952.0m - CCE 1.26b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 46.68 (Ebit TTM 3.49b / Interest Expense TTM 74.7m)
EV/FCF = 7.46x (Enterprise Value 25.7b / FCF TTM 3.45b)
FCF Yield = 13.41% (FCF TTM 3.45b / Enterprise Value 25.7b)
FCF Margin = 26.69% (FCF TTM 3.45b / Revenue TTM 12.9b)
Net Margin = 21.34% (Net Income TTM 2.76b / Revenue TTM 12.9b)
Gross Margin = 50.29% ((Revenue TTM 12.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.42b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.84% (prev 52.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 25.7b / Total Assets 41.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.85% (Interest Expense 74.7m / Debt 952.0m)
Taxrate = 19.71% (677.0m / 3.43b)
NOPAT = 2.80b (EBIT 3.49b * (1 - 19.71%))
Current Ratio = 0.29 (Total Current Assets 5.45b / Total Current Liabilities 18.6b)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 952.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.08 (Net Debt -307.0m / EBITDA 3.65b)
Debt / FCF = -0.09 (Net Debt -307.0m / FCF TTM 3.45b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.03% (Net Income 2.76b / Total Assets 41.2b)
RoE = 17.98% (Net Income TTM 2.76b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.3b)
RoCE = 21.63% (EBIT 3.49b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.3b + L.T.Debt 791.0m))
RoIC = 12.72% (NOPAT 2.80b / Invested Capital 22.0b)
WACC = 7.36% (E(26.0b)/V(27.0b) * Re(7.40%) + D(952.0m)/V(27.0b) * Rd(7.85%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 7.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -20.95 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.10b ; Y1≈3.56b ; Y5≈5.24b
[DCF] Fair Price = 511.5 (EV 78.8b - Net Debt -307.0m = Equity 79.1b / Shares 154.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 79.84 | EPS CAGR: 23.34% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 93.10 | Revenue CAGR: 11.22% | SUE: -0.28 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.73 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.89 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+11% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.77 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+56% | GrowthEPS=+10.3% | GrowthRev=-4.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.18 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+4.7% | GrowthRev=+6.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56%