(CINF) Cincinnati Financial - Overview
Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 25.377m USD | Total Return: 26.5% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -8.1
Avg Turnover: 92.4M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 73.9
EPS Trend: 37.8%
Qual. Beats: 5
Rev. Trend: 72.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:CINF) is a U.S. property-casualty insurer that operates through five segments: Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, Excess & Surplus Lines, Life Insurance, and Investments. The commercial segment provides property, casualty, auto, workers’ compensation, surety and specialty coverages; the personal segment writes auto, homeowners and umbrella policies; the excess & surplus lines unit offers high-limit liability and property solutions; the life unit sells term, universal and whole-life products plus annuities; and the investments arm manages a portfolio of taxable and tax-exempt bonds, preferred and common equity.
In its latest quarter (Q2 2024), CINF reported a combined ratio of 93.5%, indicating underwriting profitability, and net written premiums rose 6% year-over-year to $1.23 billion. The company posted earnings per share of $8.55 and generated a return on equity of 11.2%, both beating consensus estimates. Investment income benefited from a higher-yielding bond market, contributing $210 million to net income.
Key drivers for the sector include sustained interest-rate environments that lift investment yields, while the frequency of severe weather events-particularly in the Midwest and Southeast-continues to pressure loss ratios. Regulatory capital requirements and the ongoing shift toward digital distribution also shape growth prospects for insurers like Cincinnati Financial.
For a deeper dive into CINF’s valuation metrics, you might want to explore ValueRay’s analyst tools.
- Property casualty insurance premium growth drives revenue
- Investment portfolio performance impacts profitability
- Catastrophe losses increase claims and reduce earnings
- Interest rate changes affect investment income
- Regulatory changes influence underwriting and pricing
| Net Income: 2.39b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.23% < 20% (prev 44.54%; Δ -2.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 3.11b > Net Income 2.39b |
| Net Debt (-18.82b) to EBITDA (3.20b): -5.88 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (157.7m) vs 12m ago 0.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.41% > 18% (prev 0.49%; Δ 4.69k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 32.58% > 50% (prev 31.06%; Δ 1.52% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 40.60 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.20b / Interest Expense TTM 74.7m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 23.95b - Total Current Liabilities 18.62b) / Total Assets 41.00b |
| B: 0.41 (Retained Earnings 16.72b / Total Assets 41.00b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 3.03b / Avg Total Assets 38.75b) |
| D: 0.68 (Book Value of Equity 17.08b / Total Liabilities 25.09b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.42 = A |
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 4.18b/3.83b, Revenue 12.62b/11.34b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 47.41% / 49.40%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.41 / AQ_t-1 0.41) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 12.62b / 11.34b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 2.39b - CFO 3.11b) / TA 41.00b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.36%, over one month by -1.35%, over three months by +1.32% and over the past year by +26.49%.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 173.3 | 6.1% |
P/E Forward = 19.1205
P/S = 2.0091
P/B = 1.5949
P/EG = 2.1896
Revenue TTM = 12.62b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.03b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 790.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 25.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 886.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -18.82b USD (recalculated: Debt 886.0m - CCE 19.70b)
Enterprise Value = 6.56b USD (25.38b + Debt 886.0m - CCE 19.70b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 40.60 (Ebit TTM 3.03b / Interest Expense TTM 74.7m)
EV/FCF = 2.12x (Enterprise Value 6.56b / FCF TTM 3.10b)
FCF Yield = 47.28% (FCF TTM 3.10b / Enterprise Value 6.56b)
FCF Margin = 24.57% (FCF TTM 3.10b / Revenue TTM 12.62b)
Net Margin = 18.95% (Net Income TTM 2.39b / Revenue TTM 12.62b)
Gross Margin = 47.41% ((Revenue TTM 12.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.29% (prev 58.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.16 (Enterprise Value 6.56b / Total Assets 41.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.92% (Interest Expense 34.7m / Debt 886.0m)
Taxrate = 19.52% (164.0m / 840.0m)
NOPAT = 2.44b (EBIT 3.03b * (1 - 19.52%))
Current Ratio = 1.29 (Total Current Assets 23.95b / Total Current Liabilities 18.62b)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 886.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.88 (Net Debt -18.82b / EBITDA 3.20b)
Debt / FCF = -6.07 (Net Debt -18.82b / FCF TTM 3.10b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.18% (Net Income 2.39b / Total Assets 41.00b)
RoE = 16.13% (Net Income TTM 2.39b / Total Stockholder Equity 14.83b)
RoCE = 19.41% (EBIT 3.03b / Capital Employed (Equity 14.83b + L.T.Debt 790.0m))
RoIC = 15.60% (NOPAT 2.44b / Invested Capital 15.65b)
WACC = 7.58% (E(25.38b)/V(26.26b) * Re(7.73%) + D(886.0m)/V(26.26b) * Rd(3.92%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 7.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 81.53% ; FCFF base≈2.91b ; Y1≈3.26b ; Y5≈4.34b
[DCF] Fair Price = 655.7 (EV 83.26b - Net Debt -18.82b = Equity 102.08b / Shares 155.7m; r=7.58% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 13.94% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 37.82 | EPS CAGR: 22.38% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: 72.71 | Revenue CAGR: 28.12% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.69 | Chg7d=+0.015 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.50 | Chg7d=-0.065 | Chg30d=-0.043 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+6.9% | Growth Revenue=-3.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.22 | Chg7d=+0.012 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+6.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -1.4% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 9.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -5.8% (Analyst -7.2% - Implied -1.4%)