(CMPO) CompoSecure - Ratings and Ratios
Metal Payment Cards, Composite Cards, Arculus Authentication
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 60.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.35 |
| Alpha | 54.11 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.94 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.506 |
| Beta | 1.151 |
| Beta Downside | 1.141 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.35% |
| Mean DD | 11.02% |
| Median DD | 8.05% |
Description: CMPO CompoSecure November 12, 2025
CompoSecure, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMPO) designs and manufactures metal, composite, and proprietary financial-transaction cards for a global client base that includes banks, card manufacturers, system integrators, and security firms. Its flagship offering combines Arculus-based secure authentication with digital-asset storage, positioning its metal cards as both a branding tool and a trusted gateway for financial and crypto transactions.
Key metrics and sector context (as of the latest filings and industry reports): • FY 2023 revenue was approximately $57 million, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase driven by heightened demand for secure, high-value payment cards. • Gross margin expanded to 38% after the company scaled its proprietary metal-card platform, outpacing the average 31% margin in the broader industrial-machinery component segment. • The global market for secure payment cards is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~9% through 2028, fueled by rising fintech adoption, stricter regulatory standards for transaction security, and growing consumer interest in tangible crypto-friendly products.
For a deeper dive into CMPO’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit for additional data and scenario analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-216.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.64m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -20.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 45.78% (prev 21.98%; Δ 23.80pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 26.5m > Net Income -216.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.26 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (110.3m) change vs 12m ago 188.6% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.59% (prev 52.33%; Δ -1.75pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 34.15% (prev 96.36%; Δ -62.21pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.10 (EBITDA TTM -214.4m / Interest Expense TTM 5.99m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.80
| (A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 132.0m - Total Current Liabilities 58.5m) / Total Assets 505.5m |
| (B) -0.98 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -494.4m / Total Assets 505.5m |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -6.58m / Avg Total Assets 470.5m |
| (D) -1.40 = Book Value of Equity -494.6m / Total Liabilities 353.0m |
| Total Rating: -3.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.71
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.92% |
| 3. FCF Margin 14.44% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.59 |
| 7. RoE 469.3% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -56.86% |
| 9. EPS Trend -50.35% |
What is the price of CMPO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.68%, over one month by +5.16%, over three months by +5.05% and over the past year by +75.84%.
Is CMPO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CMPO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 26 | 21.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 26 | 21.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 29.4 | 37.1% |
CMPO Fundamental Data Overview January 02, 2026
P/S = 15.1678
P/B = 15.9849
Beta = 0.998
Revenue TTM = 160.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -6.58m USD
EBITDA TTM = -214.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 184.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 13.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 201.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -127.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.51b USD (2.44b + Debt 201.6m - CCE 127.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.10 (Ebit TTM -6.58m / Interest Expense TTM 5.99m)
FCF Yield = 0.92% (FCF TTM 23.2m / Enterprise Value 2.51b)
FCF Margin = 14.44% (FCF TTM 23.2m / Revenue TTM 160.7m)
Net Margin = -134.8% (Net Income TTM -216.7m / Revenue TTM 160.7m)
Gross Margin = 50.59% ((Revenue TTM 160.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 79.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.97 (Enterprise Value 2.51b / Total Assets 505.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.97% (Interest Expense 5.99m / Debt 201.6m)
Taxrate = -20.57% (negative due to tax credits) (29.8m / -144.9m)
NOPAT = -7.93m (EBIT -6.58m * (1 - -20.57%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.26 (Total Current Assets 132.0m / Total Current Liabilities 58.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.32 (Debt 201.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 152.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.59 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -127.4m / EBITDA -214.4m)
Debt / FCF = -5.49 (Net Debt -127.4m / FCF TTM 23.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -46.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -46.05% (Net Income -216.7m / Total Assets 505.5m)
RoE = 469.3% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -216.7m / Total Stockholder Equity -46.2m)
RoCE = -4.76% (EBIT -6.58m / Capital Employed (Equity -46.2m + L.T.Debt 184.4m))
RoIC = -288.9% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -7.93m / Invested Capital 2.74m)
WACC = 9.75% (E(2.44b)/V(2.64b) * Re(10.26%) + D(201.6m)/V(2.64b) * Rd(2.97%) * (1-Tc(-0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 138.6%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.25% ; FCFF base≈58.2m ; Y1≈61.6m ; Y5≈73.1m
Fair Price DCF = 8.57 (EV 955.9m - Net Debt -127.4m = Equity 1.08b / Shares 126.4m; r=9.75% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 6.31% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -50.35 | EPS CAGR: -33.51% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -56.86 | Revenue CAGR: -43.94% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.26 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+6.9% | Growth Revenue=+10.0%
Additional Sources for CMPO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle