COGT Stock Analysis: Cogent Biosciences | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.611m USD | 12M Return: 327.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

KIT Inhibitors, FGFR Inhibitors, ErbB2 Inhibitors, PI3K Inhibitors
Total Rating 47
Safety 73
Buy Signal 1.17
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +30.9
Market Cap: 6.61B
Avg Turnover: 97.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility59.0%
VaR 5th Pctl9.34%
VaR vs Median-3.37%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.51
Rel. Str. IBD97.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group79.8
Character TTM
Beta1.652
Beta Downside1.456
Hurst Exponent0.448
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD69.87%
CAGR/Max DD0.69
CAGR/Mean DD1.68
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of COGT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.43, "2021-09": -0.48, "2021-12": -0.6, "2022-03": -0.68, "2022-06": -0.71, "2022-09": -0.5, "2022-12": -0.56, "2023-03": -0.54, "2023-06": -0.59, "2023-09": -0.64, "2023-12": -0.63, "2024-03": -0.62, "2024-06": -0.59, "2024-09": -0.6412, "2024-12": -0.09, "2025-03": -0.5249, "2025-06": -1.27, "2025-09": -0.5, "2025-12": -0.5628, "2026-03": -0.53,
Last SUE: -0.09
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of COGT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 5.588, 2024-03: 0, 2024-06: 0, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: 4.292, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0, 2026-03: 0,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Tailwind
Pullback 52w

Seasonality 8.2 years of data

Jan -3.8% 9
Feb -4.5% 10
Mar -3.3% 2
Apr -7.5% 17
May +1.1% 14
Jun +3.4% 20
Jul +17.8% 25
Aug +12.2% 57
Sep -6.8% 7
Oct +1.5% 9
Nov -6.0% 21
Dec +0.2% 6

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: COGT Cogent Biosciences

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ: COGT) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts, that develops precision therapies for genetically defined diseases. Its lead candidate, bezuclastinib (CGT9486), is a selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor currently in Phase 3 trials, targeting the KIT D816V mutation associated with systemic mastocytosis and KIT exon 17 mutations found in advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). The company holds a licensing agreement with Plexxikon Inc. for the development and commercialization of bezuclastinib.

The pipeline also includes CGT4859, a selective FGFR2 inhibitor in Phase 1 for cancers with FGFR mutations such as advanced cholangiocarcinoma, along with earlier-stage programs targeting ErbB2 (CGT4255) and PI3Kα (CGT6297) mutations in solid tumors. As a clinical-stage biotech, Cogent does not yet have approved products or recurring product revenue, and its valuation is largely tied to the progress of its clinical pipeline and the likelihood of regulatory approval. The company operates within the GICS Health Care sector, Biotechnology sub-industry, and is classified as a mid-cap stock.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Bezuclastinib Phase 3 SUMMIT trial readout in systemic mastocytosis approaches
  • Blueprint Medicines Ayvakit dominates approved systemic mastocytosis market
  • Cash runway extends operations through key clinical milestones
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.33 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 46.53 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.32 > 3% & CFO -284.8m > Net Income -354.3m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 15.14 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.4m) vs 12m ago -40.50% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 1.51%; Δ -1.51% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -82.94 > 6 (EBIT TTM -354.6m / Interest Expense TTM 4.28m)
Altman Z'' -0.54
A: 0.91 (Total Current Assets 877.8m - Total Current Liabilities 58.0m) / Total Assets 903.0m
B: -1.42 (Retained Earnings -1.29b / Total Assets 903.0m)
C: -0.60 (EBIT TTM -354.6m / Avg Total Assets 593.4m)
D: 2.06 (Book Value of Equity 607.7m / Total Liabilities 295.3m)
Altman-Z'' = -0.54 = B
What is the price of COGT shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.01 with a total of 3,722,770 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.28%, over one month by +28.40%, over three months by +12.32% and over the past year by +327.91%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 38.00 (which is 5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is COGT a buy, sell or hold?

Cogent Biosciences has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.17. Therefore, it is recommended to buy COGT.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the COGT price?
Analysts Target Price 54.3 35.6%
Cogent Biosciences (COGT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.61b (6.61b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 861.1519
P/B = 12.1855
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -354.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -350.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 223.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.38m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 254.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 15.5m
Net Debt = -592.2m USD (calculated: Debt 254.1m - CCE 846.3m)
Enterprise Value = 6.02b USD (6.61b + Debt 254.1m - CCE 846.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -82.94 (Ebit TTM -354.6m / Interest Expense TTM 4.28m)
EV/FCF = -20.18x (Enterprise Value 6.02b / FCF TTM -298.2m)
FCF Yield = -4.95% (FCF TTM -298.2m / Enterprise Value 6.02b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.62m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.67 (Enterprise Value 6.02b / Total Assets 903.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.68% (Interest Expense 4.28m / Debt 254.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -280.1m (EBIT -354.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 12.24 (Total Current Assets 877.8m / Total Current Liabilities 71.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 254.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 607.7m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 1.69 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -592.2m / EBITDA -350.5m)
 Debt / FCF = 1.99 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -592.2m / FCF TTM -298.2m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 425.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -59.71% (Net Income -354.3m / Total Assets 903.0m)
RoE = -83.29% (Net Income TTM -354.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 425.4m)
RoCE = -54.67% (EBIT -354.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 425.4m + L.T.Debt 223.2m))
 RoIC = -33.09% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -280.1m / Invested Capital 846.4m)
 WACC = 11.40% (E(6.61b)/V(6.87b) * Re(11.79%) + D(254.1m)/V(6.87b) * Rd(1.68%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 22.47 | Cagr: -10.59%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -298.2m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.56 | Chg30d=+0.28% | Revisions=-22% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.57 | Chg30d=+0.18% | Revisions=-22% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-2.26 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=-42% | GrowthEPS=-6.8% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.96 | Chg30d=-38.78% | Revisions=-18% | GrowthEPS=+57.6% | GrowthRev=+3549.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -34% (up=9, down=20)