(COST) Costco Wholesale - Ratings and Ratios
Groceries, Electronics, Gasoline, Pharmacy, Travel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.52% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.86% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 13.31% |
| Payout Consistency | 43.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 31.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.30% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha | -4.50 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.30 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.599 |
| Beta | 0.461 |
| Beta Downside | 0.484 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.74% |
| Mean DD | 5.47% |
| Median DD | 4.06% |
Description: COST Costco Wholesale December 01, 2025
Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ:COST) operates a global network of membership-based warehouse clubs across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and the United Kingdom, selling a broad mix of food, grocery, and non-food items, plus ancillary services such as gasoline, pharmacies, and travel. The business model relies on low-margin, high-volume sales and a renewal-driven membership fee structure.
Key performance indicators that illustrate Costco’s scale and efficiency include FY 2023 net sales of roughly **$226 billion**, a **membership renewal rate exceeding 90 %**, and **same-store sales growth of about 6 % YoY**, driven largely by strong demand for fresh foods and private-label (Kirkland) products.
Macro-level drivers for the consumer-staples merchandise-retail sector remain robust: persistent inflation pressures keep shoppers focused on value and bulk purchasing, while the shift toward e-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment supports Costco’s growing online sales channel, which now accounts for roughly **15 % of total revenue**.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of Costco’s valuation dynamics, you may find the free tools on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 8.30b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.57% < 20% (prev -0.30%; Δ 0.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 14.76b > Net Income 8.30b |
| Net Debt (-8.12b) to EBITDA (13.72b): -0.59 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (444.5m) vs 12m ago -0.10% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.88% > 18% (prev 0.13%; Δ 1275 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 359.1% > 50% (prev 352.7%; Δ 6.41% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 73.99 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 13.72b / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.47
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 43.41b - Total Current Liabilities 41.80b) / Total Assets 82.79b |
| B: 0.29 (Retained Earnings 23.87b / Total Assets 82.79b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 11.25b / Avg Total Assets 78.09b) |
| D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 21.89b / Total Liabilities 52.49b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.47 = A |
Beneish M -3.12
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 3.23b/2.96b, Revenue 280.39b/258.81b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 12.88% / 12.67%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 280.39b / 258.81b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 8.30b - CFO 14.76b) / TA 82.79b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.12 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.59
| 1. Piotroski: 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 2.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 3.21% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: -0.59 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 18.34% |
| 7. RoE: 29.61% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 53.94% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 64.61% |
What is the price of COST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.04%, over one month by +15.03%, over three months by +4.52% and over the past year by +4.91%.
Is COST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the COST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1030.2 | 4.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1030.2 | 4.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1179.7 | 20% |
COST Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 47.1698
P/S = 1.5149
P/B = 13.9297
P/EG = 5.2976
Revenue TTM = 280.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 11.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.72b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 361.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 8.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -8.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 416.64b USD (424.76b + Debt 8.10b - CCE 16.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 73.99 (Ebit TTM 11.25b / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m)
EV/FCF = 46.28x (Enterprise Value 416.64b / FCF TTM 9.00b)
FCF Yield = 2.16% (FCF TTM 9.00b / Enterprise Value 416.64b)
FCF Margin = 3.21% (FCF TTM 9.00b / Revenue TTM 280.39b)
Net Margin = 2.96% (Net Income TTM 8.30b / Revenue TTM 280.39b)
Gross Margin = 12.88% ((Revenue TTM 280.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 244.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.07% (prev 12.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.03 (Enterprise Value 416.64b / Total Assets 82.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 35.0m / Debt 8.10b)
Taxrate = 22.53% (582.0m / 2.58b)
NOPAT = 8.71b (EBIT 11.25b * (1 - 22.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 43.41b / Total Current Liabilities 41.80b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 8.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 30.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.59 (Net Debt -8.12b / EBITDA 13.72b)
Debt / FCF = -0.90 (Net Debt -8.12b / FCF TTM 9.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.63% (Net Income 8.30b / Total Assets 82.79b)
RoE = 29.61% (Net Income TTM 8.30b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.04b)
RoCE = 33.37% (EBIT 11.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.04b + L.T.Debt 5.67b))
RoIC = 25.81% (NOPAT 8.71b / Invested Capital 33.76b)
WACC = 7.47% (E(424.76b)/V(432.86b) * Re(7.61%) + D(8.10b)/V(432.86b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.69% ; FCFF base≈7.41b ; Y1≈8.41b ; Y5≈11.47b
Fair Price DCF = 514.5 (EV 220.24b - Net Debt -8.12b = Equity 228.36b / Shares 443.9m; r=7.47% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.74% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 64.61 | EPS CAGR: 3.89% | SUE: 2.97 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 53.94 | Revenue CAGR: 7.18% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=4.51 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=28
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=20.32 | Chg30d=+0.055 | Revisions Net=+20 | Growth EPS=+11.6% | Growth Revenue=+8.0%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=22.27 | Chg30d=+0.051 | Revisions Net=+14 | Growth EPS=+9.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.4%
Additional Sources for COST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle