(COST) Costco Wholesale - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US22160K1051
Groceries, Electronics, Gasoline, Pharmacy, Travel
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.58% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.43% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -22.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 50.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.95% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.63 |
| Alpha | -20.50 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.286 |
| Beta | 0.471 |
| Beta Downside | 0.477 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 18.47% |
| Mean DD | 4.97% |
| Median DD | 3.86% |
Description: COST Costco Wholesale December 01, 2025
Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ:COST) operates a global network of membership-based warehouse clubs across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and the United Kingdom, selling a broad mix of food, grocery, and non-food items, plus ancillary services such as gasoline, pharmacies, and travel. The business model relies on low-margin, high-volume sales and a renewal-driven membership fee structure.
Key performance indicators that illustrate Costco’s scale and efficiency include FY 2023 net sales of roughly **$226 billion**, a **membership renewal rate exceeding 90 %**, and **same-store sales growth of about 6 % YoY**, driven largely by strong demand for fresh foods and private-label (Kirkland) products.
Macro-level drivers for the consumer-staples merchandise-retail sector remain robust: persistent inflation pressures keep shoppers focused on value and bulk purchasing, while the shift toward e-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment supports Costco’s growing online sales channel, which now accounts for roughly **15 % of total revenue**.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of Costco’s valuation dynamics, you may find the free tools on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (8.10b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 16.51b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.46% (prev -0.48%; Δ 0.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 13.34b > Net Income 8.10b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-5.99b) to EBITDA (13.40b) ratio: -0.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.03 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (444.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 12.84% (prev 12.61%; Δ 0.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 374.6% (prev 364.4%; Δ 10.26pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 69.58 (EBITDA TTM 13.40b / Interest Expense TTM 154.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.50
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 38.38b - Total Current Liabilities 37.11b) / Total Assets 77.10b |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 22.65b / Total Assets 77.10b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 10.72b / Avg Total Assets 73.47b |
| (D) 0.44 = Book Value of Equity 20.88b / Total Liabilities 47.94b |
| Total Rating: 2.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.72
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.00% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.85% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.28 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.45 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 17.06)% |
| 7. RoE 30.47% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 60.21% |
| 9. EPS Trend 70.61% |
What is the price of COST shares?
As of December 11, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 874.41 with a total of 3,045,058 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.19%, over one month by -4.49%, over three months by -8.43% and over the past year by -11.52%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.19%, over one month by -4.49%, over three months by -8.43% and over the past year by -11.52%.
Is COST a buy, sell or hold?
Costco Wholesale has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.97.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy COST.
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the COST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1056.5 | 20.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1056.5 | 20.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 970.4 | 11% |
COST Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
Market Cap USD = 397.29b (397.29b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 49.3041
P/E Forward = 45.6621
P/S = 1.4435
P/B = 14.0148
P/EG = 5.135
Beta = 0.982
Revenue TTM = 275.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.72b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.71b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 178.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 8.17b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -5.99b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 391.30b USD (397.29b + Debt 8.17b - CCE 14.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 69.58 (Ebit TTM 10.72b / Interest Expense TTM 154.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.00% (FCF TTM 7.84b / Enterprise Value 391.30b)
FCF Margin = 2.85% (FCF TTM 7.84b / Revenue TTM 275.24b)
Net Margin = 2.94% (Net Income TTM 8.10b / Revenue TTM 275.24b)
Gross Margin = 12.84% ((Revenue TTM 275.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 239.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.91% (prev 12.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.08 (Enterprise Value 391.30b / Total Assets 77.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.56% (Interest Expense 46.0m / Debt 8.17b)
Taxrate = 25.64% (900.0m / 3.51b)
NOPAT = 7.97b (EBIT 10.72b * (1 - 25.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 38.38b / Total Current Liabilities 37.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 8.17b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 29.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.45 (Net Debt -5.99b / EBITDA 13.40b)
Debt / FCF = -0.76 (Net Debt -5.99b / FCF TTM 7.84b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 26.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.50% (Net Income 8.10b / Total Assets 77.10b)
RoE = 30.47% (Net Income TTM 8.10b / Total Stockholder Equity 26.58b)
RoCE = 33.18% (EBIT 10.72b / Capital Employed (Equity 26.58b + L.T.Debt 5.71b))
RoIC = 24.66% (NOPAT 7.97b / Invested Capital 32.31b)
WACC = 7.60% (E(397.29b)/V(405.46b) * Re(7.75%) + D(8.17b)/V(405.46b) * Rd(0.56%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.03%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.72% ; FCFE base≈7.35b ; Y1≈8.15b ; Y5≈10.62b
Fair Price DCF = 416.4 (DCF Value 184.53b / Shares Outstanding 443.2m; 5y FCF grow 12.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 70.61 | EPS CAGR: 22.41% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.21 | Revenue CAGR: 15.39% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=4.50 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=20.07 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+10.2% | Growth Revenue=+7.9%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=22.15 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+10.3% | Growth Revenue=+7.5%
P/E Trailing = 49.3041
P/E Forward = 45.6621
P/S = 1.4435
P/B = 14.0148
P/EG = 5.135
Beta = 0.982
Revenue TTM = 275.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.72b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.71b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 178.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 8.17b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -5.99b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 391.30b USD (397.29b + Debt 8.17b - CCE 14.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 69.58 (Ebit TTM 10.72b / Interest Expense TTM 154.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.00% (FCF TTM 7.84b / Enterprise Value 391.30b)
FCF Margin = 2.85% (FCF TTM 7.84b / Revenue TTM 275.24b)
Net Margin = 2.94% (Net Income TTM 8.10b / Revenue TTM 275.24b)
Gross Margin = 12.84% ((Revenue TTM 275.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 239.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.91% (prev 12.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.08 (Enterprise Value 391.30b / Total Assets 77.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.56% (Interest Expense 46.0m / Debt 8.17b)
Taxrate = 25.64% (900.0m / 3.51b)
NOPAT = 7.97b (EBIT 10.72b * (1 - 25.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 38.38b / Total Current Liabilities 37.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 8.17b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 29.16b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.45 (Net Debt -5.99b / EBITDA 13.40b)
Debt / FCF = -0.76 (Net Debt -5.99b / FCF TTM 7.84b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 26.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.50% (Net Income 8.10b / Total Assets 77.10b)
RoE = 30.47% (Net Income TTM 8.10b / Total Stockholder Equity 26.58b)
RoCE = 33.18% (EBIT 10.72b / Capital Employed (Equity 26.58b + L.T.Debt 5.71b))
RoIC = 24.66% (NOPAT 7.97b / Invested Capital 32.31b)
WACC = 7.60% (E(397.29b)/V(405.46b) * Re(7.75%) + D(8.17b)/V(405.46b) * Rd(0.56%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.03%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.72% ; FCFE base≈7.35b ; Y1≈8.15b ; Y5≈10.62b
Fair Price DCF = 416.4 (DCF Value 184.53b / Shares Outstanding 443.2m; 5y FCF grow 12.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 70.61 | EPS CAGR: 22.41% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.21 | Revenue CAGR: 15.39% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=4.50 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=20.07 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+10.2% | Growth Revenue=+7.9%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=22.15 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+10.3% | Growth Revenue=+7.5%
Additional Sources for COST Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle