(COST) Costco Wholesale - Ratings and Ratios
Groceries, Electronics, Gasoline, Pharmacy, Travel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.55% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.47% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 13.31% |
| Payout Consistency | 43.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.34% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.06 |
| Alpha | -10.21 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.427 |
| Beta | 0.462 |
| Beta Downside | 0.478 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.74% |
| Mean DD | 5.36% |
| Median DD | 3.89% |
Description: COST Costco Wholesale December 01, 2025
Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ:COST) operates a global network of membership-based warehouse clubs across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and the United Kingdom, selling a broad mix of food, grocery, and non-food items, plus ancillary services such as gasoline, pharmacies, and travel. The business model relies on low-margin, high-volume sales and a renewal-driven membership fee structure.
Key performance indicators that illustrate Costco’s scale and efficiency include FY 2023 net sales of roughly **$226 billion**, a **membership renewal rate exceeding 90 %**, and **same-store sales growth of about 6 % YoY**, driven largely by strong demand for fresh foods and private-label (Kirkland) products.
Macro-level drivers for the consumer-staples merchandise-retail sector remain robust: persistent inflation pressures keep shoppers focused on value and bulk purchasing, while the shift toward e-commerce and omnichannel fulfillment supports Costco’s growing online sales channel, which now accounts for roughly **15 % of total revenue**.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of Costco’s valuation dynamics, you may find the free tools on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (8.30b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 16.82b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.04pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.57% (prev -0.30%; Δ 0.87pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 14.76b > Net Income 8.30b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-8.12b) to EBITDA (13.71b) ratio: -0.59 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (444.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 12.88% (prev 12.67%; Δ 0.20pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 359.1% (prev 352.7%; Δ 6.41pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 72.26 (EBITDA TTM 13.71b / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.45
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 43.41b - Total Current Liabilities 41.80b) / Total Assets 82.79b |
| (B) 0.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 23.87b / Total Assets 82.79b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 10.98b / Avg Total Assets 78.09b |
| (D) 0.42 = Book Value of Equity 21.89b / Total Liabilities 52.49b |
| Total Rating: 2.45 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.64
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.26% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.21% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.59 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 17.73)% |
| 7. RoE 29.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 53.94% |
| 9. EPS Trend 64.61% |
What is the price of COST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.24%, over one month by +4.10%, over three months by -1.77% and over the past year by -0.77%.
Is COST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the COST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1030.2 | 11.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1030.2 | 11.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1106.3 | 19.6% |
COST Fundamental Data Overview January 10, 2026
P/E Forward = 43.6681
P/S = 1.4493
P/B = 12.9278
P/EG = 4.9165
Beta = 1.008
Revenue TTM = 280.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.98b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.71b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 361.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 8.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -8.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 398.24b USD (406.36b + Debt 8.10b - CCE 16.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 72.26 (Ebit TTM 10.98b / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m)
EV/FCF = 44.23x (Enterprise Value 398.24b / FCF TTM 9.00b)
FCF Yield = 2.26% (FCF TTM 9.00b / Enterprise Value 398.24b)
FCF Margin = 3.21% (FCF TTM 9.00b / Revenue TTM 280.39b)
Net Margin = 2.96% (Net Income TTM 8.30b / Revenue TTM 280.39b)
Gross Margin = 12.88% ((Revenue TTM 280.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 244.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.07% (prev 12.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.81 (Enterprise Value 398.24b / Total Assets 82.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 35.0m / Debt 8.10b)
Taxrate = 22.53% (582.0m / 2.58b)
NOPAT = 8.51b (EBIT 10.98b * (1 - 22.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 43.41b / Total Current Liabilities 41.80b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 8.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 30.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.59 (Net Debt -8.12b / EBITDA 13.71b)
Debt / FCF = -0.90 (Net Debt -8.12b / FCF TTM 9.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.63% (Net Income 8.30b / Total Assets 82.79b)
RoE = 29.61% (Net Income TTM 8.30b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.04b)
RoCE = 32.58% (EBIT 10.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.04b + L.T.Debt 5.67b))
RoIC = 25.21% (NOPAT 8.51b / Invested Capital 33.76b)
WACC = 7.48% (E(406.36b)/V(414.46b) * Re(7.62%) + D(8.10b)/V(414.46b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.67% ; FCFF base≈7.41b ; Y1≈8.41b ; Y5≈11.47b
Fair Price DCF = 514.1 (EV 220.06b - Net Debt -8.12b = Equity 228.17b / Shares 443.9m; r=7.48% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.74% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 64.61 | EPS CAGR: 3.89% | SUE: 2.97 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 53.94 | Revenue CAGR: 7.18% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-02-28): EPS=4.52 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=27
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=20.34 | Chg30d=+0.266 | Revisions Net=+21 | Growth EPS=+11.7% | Growth Revenue=+8.0%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=22.30 | Chg30d=+0.148 | Revisions Net=+14 | Growth EPS=+9.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.4%
Additional Sources for COST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle