(COST) Costco Wholesale - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US22160K1051
Stock: Groceries, Electronics, Gasoline, Pharmacy, Travel
Total Rating 53
Risk 80
Buy Signal -0.82
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.92% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 13.31% |
| Payout Consistency | 43.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.5% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.23 |
| Alpha | -11.78 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.479 |
| Beta Downside | 0.485 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.74% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.16 |
Description: COST Costco Wholesale January 26, 2026
Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ:COST) operates membership-based warehouse clubs across 13 countries, offering a broad assortment that spans groceries, fresh foods, household goods, apparel, and ancillary services such as gasoline, pharmacies, and optical centers. The model relies on low-margin, high-volume sales and a renewable membership fee structure, supplemented by e-commerce, business centers, and travel services.
Key recent metrics (FY 2024): revenue reached $226.9 billion, a 4.5 % year-over-year increase in comparable sales, and a 94 % membership renewal rate-both above industry averages. Operating margin held at 2.9 % while free cash flow topped $8.5 billion, supporting ongoing warehouse expansion (now 860 locations) and dividend growth. Macro-driven factors such as slowing US inflation and resilient consumer confidence are bolstering discretionary spending, while the bulk-retail sector benefits from supply-chain efficiencies and a shift toward value-oriented shopping.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may explore Costco’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 8.30b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.57% < 20% (prev -0.30%; Δ 0.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 14.76b > Net Income 8.30b |
| Net Debt (-8.12b) to EBITDA (13.72b): -0.59 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (444.5m) vs 12m ago -0.10% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.88% > 18% (prev 0.13%; Δ 1275 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 359.1% > 50% (prev 352.7%; Δ 6.41% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 73.99 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 13.72b / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.47
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 43.41b - Total Current Liabilities 41.80b) / Total Assets 82.79b |
| B: 0.29 (Retained Earnings 23.87b / Total Assets 82.79b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 11.25b / Avg Total Assets 78.09b) |
| D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 21.89b / Total Liabilities 52.49b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.47 = A |
Beneish M -3.12
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 3.23b/2.96b, Revenue 280.39b/258.81b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 12.88% / 12.67%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 280.39b / 258.81b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 8.30b - CFO 14.76b) / TA 82.79b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of COST shares?
As of February 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 940.25 with a total of 2,180,584 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.24%, over one month by +8.77%, over three months by +2.47% and over the past year by -3.33%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.24%, over one month by +8.77%, over three months by +2.47% and over the past year by -3.33%.
Is COST a buy, sell or hold?
Costco Wholesale has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.97.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy COST.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the COST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1030.2 | 9.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1030.2 | 9.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1110.3 | 18.1% |
COST Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Trailing = 51.0112
P/E Forward = 46.9484
P/S = 1.5088
P/B = 13.9577
P/EG = 5.2872
Revenue TTM = 280.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 11.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.72b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 361.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 8.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -8.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 414.93b USD (423.04b + Debt 8.10b - CCE 16.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 73.99 (Ebit TTM 11.25b / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m)
EV/FCF = 46.09x (Enterprise Value 414.93b / FCF TTM 9.00b)
FCF Yield = 2.17% (FCF TTM 9.00b / Enterprise Value 414.93b)
FCF Margin = 3.21% (FCF TTM 9.00b / Revenue TTM 280.39b)
Net Margin = 2.96% (Net Income TTM 8.30b / Revenue TTM 280.39b)
Gross Margin = 12.88% ((Revenue TTM 280.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 244.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.07% (prev 12.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.01 (Enterprise Value 414.93b / Total Assets 82.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 35.0m / Debt 8.10b)
Taxrate = 22.53% (582.0m / 2.58b)
NOPAT = 8.71b (EBIT 11.25b * (1 - 22.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 43.41b / Total Current Liabilities 41.80b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 8.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 30.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.59 (Net Debt -8.12b / EBITDA 13.72b)
Debt / FCF = -0.90 (Net Debt -8.12b / FCF TTM 9.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.63% (Net Income 8.30b / Total Assets 82.79b)
RoE = 29.61% (Net Income TTM 8.30b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.04b)
RoCE = 33.37% (EBIT 11.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.04b + L.T.Debt 5.67b))
RoIC = 25.81% (NOPAT 8.71b / Invested Capital 33.76b)
WACC = 7.54% (E(423.04b)/V(431.14b) * Re(7.68%) + D(8.10b)/V(431.14b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.44% ; FCFF base≈7.41b ; Y1≈8.41b ; Y5≈11.47b
Fair Price DCF = 507.1 (EV 216.96b - Net Debt -8.12b = Equity 225.08b / Shares 443.9m; r=7.54% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.74% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 64.61 | EPS CAGR: 3.89% | SUE: 3.03 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 53.94 | Revenue CAGR: 7.18% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-05-31): EPS=4.87 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=28
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=20.32 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=+20 | Growth EPS=+11.6% | Growth Revenue=+8.0%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=22.27 | Chg30d=+0.029 | Revisions Net=+14 | Growth EPS=+9.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.4%
P/E Forward = 46.9484
P/S = 1.5088
P/B = 13.9577
P/EG = 5.2872
Revenue TTM = 280.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 11.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.72b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 361.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 8.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -8.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 414.93b USD (423.04b + Debt 8.10b - CCE 16.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 73.99 (Ebit TTM 11.25b / Interest Expense TTM 152.0m)
EV/FCF = 46.09x (Enterprise Value 414.93b / FCF TTM 9.00b)
FCF Yield = 2.17% (FCF TTM 9.00b / Enterprise Value 414.93b)
FCF Margin = 3.21% (FCF TTM 9.00b / Revenue TTM 280.39b)
Net Margin = 2.96% (Net Income TTM 8.30b / Revenue TTM 280.39b)
Gross Margin = 12.88% ((Revenue TTM 280.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 244.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.07% (prev 12.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.01 (Enterprise Value 414.93b / Total Assets 82.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 35.0m / Debt 8.10b)
Taxrate = 22.53% (582.0m / 2.58b)
NOPAT = 8.71b (EBIT 11.25b * (1 - 22.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 43.41b / Total Current Liabilities 41.80b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 8.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 30.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.59 (Net Debt -8.12b / EBITDA 13.72b)
Debt / FCF = -0.90 (Net Debt -8.12b / FCF TTM 9.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.63% (Net Income 8.30b / Total Assets 82.79b)
RoE = 29.61% (Net Income TTM 8.30b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.04b)
RoCE = 33.37% (EBIT 11.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.04b + L.T.Debt 5.67b))
RoIC = 25.81% (NOPAT 8.71b / Invested Capital 33.76b)
WACC = 7.54% (E(423.04b)/V(431.14b) * Re(7.68%) + D(8.10b)/V(431.14b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.44% ; FCFF base≈7.41b ; Y1≈8.41b ; Y5≈11.47b
Fair Price DCF = 507.1 (EV 216.96b - Net Debt -8.12b = Equity 225.08b / Shares 443.9m; r=7.54% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.74% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 64.61 | EPS CAGR: 3.89% | SUE: 3.03 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 53.94 | Revenue CAGR: 7.18% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-05-31): EPS=4.87 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=28
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=20.32 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=+20 | Growth EPS=+11.6% | Growth Revenue=+8.0%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=22.27 | Chg30d=+0.029 | Revisions Net=+14 | Growth EPS=+9.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.4%