CRML Stock Analysis: Critical Metals Ordinary | NASDAQ

Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.009m USD | 12M Return: 35% | VGG2662B1031 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lithium, Rare Earth, Mining Exploration
Total Rating 15
Safety 28
Buy Signal -0.68
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -7.8
Market Cap: 1.01B
Avg Turnover: 49.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility185%
VaR 5th Pctl26.6%
VaR vs Median-12.0%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.87
Rel. Str. IBD52.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group63.2
Character TTM
Beta2.322
Beta Downside1.562
Hurst Exponent0.588
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD93.91%
CAGR/Max DD-0.05
CAGR/Mean DD-0.08

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Overextended 1w
Choppy
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Ep Pivot

Seasonality 4.5 years of data

Jan +16.5% 14
Feb -13.5% 21
Mar -16.6% 27
Apr +10.8% 22
May -1.6% 0
Jun +2.2% 20
Jul -5.4% 0
Aug -0.5% 11
Sep -2.4% 31
Oct -0.1% 11
Nov +0.0% 11
Dec +0.0% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CRML Critical Metals Ordinary

Critical Metals Corp. (NASDAQ: CRML) is a mining exploration and development company focused on lithium and rare earth element deposits in Austria and Southern Greenland. The company is headquartered in New York and went public on February 27, 2024. It is classified within the Materials sector under the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry.

As an early-stage miner, the companys business model centers on identifying and advancing deposits of minerals classified as critical to the energy transition and advanced manufacturing. Lithium is a primary feedstock for rechargeable batteries used in electric vehicles and grid storage, while rare earth elements are essential inputs for permanent magnets, electronics, and defense applications. The geographic split between an Alpine European jurisdiction and Greenland reflects a strategy targeting jurisdictions with active critical-minerals policy frameworks.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Lithium prices decline amid weakening EV demand outlook
  • Greenland permitting delays threaten rare earth project timeline
  • Rare earth supply concentration drives Western exploration demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: -146.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.12 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -3.24k% < 20% (prev -48.6k%; Δ 45.3k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.10 > 3% & CFO -26.4m > Net Income -146.3m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.75 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (112.7m) vs 12m ago 27.49% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.41% > 50% (prev 0.08%; Δ 0.33% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -85.68 > 6 (EBIT TTM -49.4m / Interest Expense TTM 576k)
Altman Z'' -4.97
A: -0.10 (Total Current Assets 81.0m - Total Current Liabilities 108.4m) / Total Assets 267.3m
B: -1.20 (Retained Earnings -320.9m / Total Assets 267.3m)
C: -0.24 (EBIT TTM -49.4m / Avg Total Assets 206.8m)
D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 143.9m / Total Liabilities 123.4m)
Altman-Z'' = -4.97 = D
Beneish M 0.40
DSRI: 0.10 (Receivables 33.2k/399k, Revenue 848k/118k)
GMI: 0.79 (GM 77.90% / 98.67%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.70 / AQ_t-1 0.76)
SGI: 7.21 (Revenue 848k / 118k)
TATA: -0.45 (NI -146.3m - CFO -26.4m) / TA 267.3m)
Beneish M = 0.40 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of CRML shares?

As of September 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.33 with a total of 57,968,641 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +44.43%, over one month by +31.22%, over three months by -10.72% and over the past year by +35.02%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.30 (which is 11% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is CRML a buy, sell or hold?

Critical Metals Ordinary has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the CRML price?
Analysts Target Price 13 39.3%
Critical Metals Ordinary (CRML) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 19 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.01b (1.01b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 1312.9861
P/B = 6.6103
Revenue TTM = 848k USD
EBIT TTM = -49.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -49.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.84k USD (estimated: total debt 20.3k - short term 12.5k)
Short Term Debt = 12.5k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.3k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 20.3k already included)
Net Debt = -80.9m USD (calculated: Debt 20.3k - CCE 80.9m)
Enterprise Value = 928.2m USD (1.01b + Debt 20.3k - CCE 80.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -85.68 (Ebit TTM -49.4m / Interest Expense TTM 576k)
EV/FCF = -33.60x (Enterprise Value 928.2m / FCF TTM -27.6m)
FCF Yield = -2.98% (FCF TTM -27.6m / Enterprise Value 928.2m)
 FCF Margin = -3.26k% (FCF TTM -27.6m / Revenue TTM 848k)
 Net Margin = -17.3k% (Net Income TTM -146.3m / Revenue TTM 848k)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 848k - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.2k) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.47 (Enterprise Value 928.2m / Total Assets 267.3m)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 2.84k% (Interest Expense 576k / Debt 20.3k)
 Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -39.0m (EBIT -49.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 81.0m / Total Current Liabilities 108.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 20.3k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 143.9m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 1.64 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -80.9m / EBITDA -49.4m)
 Debt / FCF = 2.93 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -80.9m / FCF TTM -27.6m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 113.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -70.74% (Net Income -146.3m / Total Assets 267.3m)
RoE = -129.1% (Net Income TTM -146.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 113.3m)
RoCE = -43.57% (EBIT -49.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 113.3m + L.T.Debt 7.84k))
 RoIC = -24.55% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -39.0m / Invested Capital 158.9m)
 WACC = 14.15% (E(1.01b)/V(1.01b) * Re(14.15%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 14.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.45 | Cagr: 184.8%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -27.6m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.10 | Revenue CAGR: 124.5% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.20 | Chg30d=+4.76% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+5.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%