Overview Dividends

(CRNC) Cerence - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US1567271093

AI Assistant, Edge, Cloud, Speech, NLP

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of CRNC over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": 0.61, "2020-12": 0.59, "2021-03": 0.69, "2021-06": 0.62, "2021-09": 0.66, "2021-12": 0.59, "2022-03": 0.33, "2022-06": 0.43, "2022-09": -0.14, "2022-12": 0.36, "2023-03": -0.04, "2023-06": -0.04, "2023-09": 0.09, "2023-12": 1.12, "2024-03": -0.09, "2024-06": 0.19, "2024-09": -0.07, "2024-12": -0.03, "2025-03": 0.63, "2025-06": 0.12, "2025-09": -0.1242,
EPS CAGR: -75.36%
EPS Trend: -10.7%
Last SUE: 0.80σ
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of CRNC over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 90.882, 2020-12: 94.964, 2021-03: 98.662, 2021-06: 96.801, 2021-09: 98.076, 2021-12: 94.426, 2022-03: 86.28, 2022-06: 89.041, 2022-09: 58.144, 2022-12: 83.658, 2023-03: 68.393, 2023-06: 61.66, 2023-09: 80.764, 2023-12: 138.335, 2024-03: 67.825, 2024-06: 70.539, 2024-09: 54.805, 2024-12: 50.896, 2025-03: 78.01, 2025-06: 62.236, 2025-09: 60.639,
Revenue CAGR: -11.04%
Revenue Trend: -37.8%
Last SUE: 2.35σ
Qual. Beats: 3
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 100%
Value at Risk 5%th 129%
Relative Tail Risk -21.79%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.76
Alpha 41.08
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.399
Beta 2.821
Beta Downside 2.110
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 93.25%
Mean DD 55.34%
Median DD 63.75%

Description: CRNC Cerence October 25, 2025

Cerence Inc. (NASDAQ:CRNC) develops AI-driven virtual assistants tailored for the mobility and transportation sector across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, and the broader Asia-Pacific region. Its product stack includes edge-deployed software, cloud-connected services, and professional integration support, delivering conversational AI capabilities such as speech recognition, natural-language understanding, speech enhancement, text-to-speech, and acoustic modeling.

Key recent metrics (as of FY 2024) indicate the company generated approximately $210 million in revenue, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of roughly 28 %-driven largely by expanding OEM contracts and the rollout of over-the-air updates for in-vehicle assistants. The broader automotive AI market is projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23 % through 2030, underscoring a favorable macro-trend for Cerence’s technology. A strategic partnership with Arm’s Kleidi team aims to boost the performance of its CaLLM Edge platform, potentially reducing inference latency by up to 40 % on automotive-grade silicon.

If you want a data-rich, quantitative deep-dive into Cerence’s valuation and risk profile, consider exploring the analyst tools and model inputs available on ValueRay.

CRNC Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 465m
Sub-Industry Systems Software
IPO / Inception 2019-10-02
Return 12m vs S&P 500 27.1%
Analyst Rating 3.14 of 5

CRNC Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

CRNC Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y -20.79%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio -0.22
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio -0.38
Current Volume 1523.8k
Average Volume 1266.4k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (-18.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 15.1m TTM)
FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.75pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 33.79% (prev 14.69%; Δ 19.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 61.2m > Net Income -18.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (133.1m) to EBITDA (11.9m) ratio: 11.14 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.84 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (43.3m) change vs 12m ago 3.52% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 72.74% (prev 73.52%; Δ -0.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 37.78% (prev 47.20%; Δ -9.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 0.14 (EBITDA TTM 11.9m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -6.08

(A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 186.3m - Total Current Liabilities 101.2m) / Total Assets 630.6m
(B) -1.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -940.5m / Total Assets 630.6m
warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.49 — check mapping/units
(C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 1.40m / Avg Total Assets 666.5m
(D) -2.01 = Book Value of Equity -965.5m / Total Liabilities 479.9m
Total Rating: -6.08 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 37.59

1. Piotroski 3.0pt
2. FCF Yield 7.87%
3. FCF Margin 18.59%
4. Debt/Equity 1.44
5. Debt/Ebitda 11.14
6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.87)%
7. RoE -12.99%
8. Rev. Trend -37.85%
9. EPS Trend -10.67%

What is the price of CRNC shares?

As of November 26, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 10.26 with a total of 1,523,810 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +31.20%, over one month by -9.92%, over three months by -2.38% and over the past year by +45.33%.

Is CRNC a buy, sell or hold?

Cerence has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.14. Therefor, it is recommend to hold CRNC.
  • Strong Buy: 0
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CRNC price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 12.5 21.8%
Analysts Target Price 12.5 21.8%
ValueRay Target Price 8.9 -13.5%

CRNC Fundamental Data Overview November 23, 2025

Market Cap USD = 465.1m (465.1m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 34.4828
P/S = 1.8911
P/B = 3.0898
Beta = 2.569
Revenue TTM = 251.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 1.40m USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 198.8m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 4.34m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 217.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 133.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 594.8m USD (465.1m + Debt 217.1m - CCE 87.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.14 (Ebit TTM 1.40m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.87% (FCF TTM 46.8m / Enterprise Value 594.8m)
FCF Margin = 18.59% (FCF TTM 46.8m / Revenue TTM 251.8m)
Net Margin = -7.43% (Net Income TTM -18.7m / Revenue TTM 251.8m)
Gross Margin = 72.74% ((Revenue TTM 251.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 68.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.55% (prev 73.73%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 594.8m / Total Assets 630.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.79% (Interest Expense 1.71m / Debt 217.1m)
Taxrate = -144.3% (out of range, set to none) (7.89m / -5.47m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.84 (Total Current Assets 186.3m / Total Current Liabilities 101.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.44 (Debt 217.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 150.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 11.14 (Net Debt 133.1m / EBITDA 11.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.84 (Net Debt 133.1m / FCF TTM 46.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 144.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.97% (Net Income -18.7m / Total Assets 630.6m)
RoE = -12.99% (Net Income TTM -18.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 144.1m)
RoCE = 0.41% (EBIT 1.40m / Capital Employed (Equity 144.1m + L.T.Debt 198.8m))
RoIC = 0.32% (EBIT 1.40m / (Assets 630.6m - Curr.Liab 101.2m - Cash 87.5m))
WACC = 11.19% (E(465.1m)/V(682.2m) * Re(16.41%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 16.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.68%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 42.47% ; FCFE base≈32.8m ; Y1≈21.5m ; Y5≈9.85m
Fair Price DCF = 1.85 (DCF Value 83.3m / Shares Outstanding 44.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -10.67 | EPS CAGR: -75.36% | SUE: 0.80 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.85 | Revenue CAGR: -11.04% | SUE: 2.35 | # QB: 3

Additional Sources for CRNC Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle